scholarly journals Improving the Estimation of Weighted Mean Temperature in China Using Machine Learning Methods

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (5) ◽  
pp. 1016
Author(s):  
Zhangyu Sun ◽  
Bao Zhang ◽  
Yibin Yao
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Water Vapor ◽  
Water Vapor Pressure ◽  
Tropospheric Delay ◽  
Weighted Mean ◽  
Learning Methods ◽  
Machine Learning Methods ◽  
Mean Temperature ◽  
Weighted Mean Temperature

As a crucial parameter in estimating precipitable water vapor from tropospheric delay, the weighted mean temperature (Tm) plays an important role in Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS)-based water vapor monitoring techniques. However, the rigorous calculation of Tm requires vertical profiles of temperature and water vapor pressure that are difficult to acquire in practice. As a result, empirical models are widely used but have limited accuracy. In this study, we use three machine learning methods, i.e., random forest (RF), backpropagation neural network (BPNN), and generalized regression neural network (GRNN), to improve the estimation of empirical Tm in China. The basic idea is to use the high-quality radiosonde observations estimated Tm to calibrate and optimize the empirical Tm through machine learning methods. Validating results show that the three machine learning methods improve the Tm accuracy by 37.2%, 32.6%, and 34.9% compared with the global pressure and temperature model 3 (GPT3). In addition to the overall accuracy improvement, the proposed methods also mitigate the accuracy variations in space and time, guaranteeing evenly high accuracy. This study provides a new idea to estimate Tm, which could potentially contribute to the GNSS meteorology.

scholarly journals CONSTRUCTION OF REGIONAL WEIGHTED MEAN TEMPERATURE MODEL BASED ON OPTIMIZATION BP NEURAL NETWORK

2020 ◽  
Vol XLII-3/W10 ◽  
pp. 1099-1105
Author(s):  
Z. X. Chen ◽  
L. L. Liu ◽  
L. K. Huang ◽  
Q. T. Wan ◽  
X. Q. Mo
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Water Vapor ◽  
Bp Neural Network ◽  
Precipitable Water ◽  
Precipitable Water Vapor ◽  
Radiosonde Data ◽  
Weighted Mean ◽  
Mean Temperature ◽  
Weighted Mean Temperature ◽  
Single Station

Abstract. The tropospheric weighted mean temperature (Tm) is one of the key characteristic parameters in the troposphere, which plays an important role in the conversion of Zenith Wet Delay (ZWD) to atmospheric Precipitable Water Vapor (PWV). The precision of Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) inversion of PWV can be significantly improved with the accurate calculation of Tm. Due to the strong nonlinear mapping ability of Back Propagation (BP) neural network, the algorithm can be used to excavate the law with massive data. In term of the nonlinear and non-stationary characteristics of GNSS precipitable water vapor, in this paper, we proposes a forecast method of GNSS precipitable water vapor based on BP neural network, which can modelling the weighted mean temperature of troposphere. The traditional BP neural network has some shortcomings, such as large amount of calculation, long training time and easy to appear “over-fitting” phenomenon and so on. In order to optimize the deficiency and numerical simulation, the three characteristic values include water vapor pressure, surface pressure and surface temperature provided are selected as input parameters, named as BP_Tm. The optimal initialization parameters of the model were obtained from the 2016 radiosonde data of 89 radiosonde stations in China, and the modeling and accuracy verification were conducted with the 2017 radiosonde data，and the accuracy of the new model was compared with the common regional Tm model. The results show the BP_Tm model has good simulation accuracy, the average deviation is −0.186K, and the root mean square error is 3.144K. When simulating the weighted mean temperature of a single station, the accuracy of the four models to simulate Tm is compared and analyzed, which the BP_Tm model can obtain good accuracy and reflect better stability and reliability.

scholarly journals Modify the Accuracy of MODIS PWV in China: A Performance Comparison Using Random Forest, Generalized Regression Neural Network and Back−Propagation Neural Network

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (11) ◽  
pp. 2215
Author(s):  
Zhaohui Xiong ◽  
Xiaogong Sun ◽  
Jizhang Sang ◽  
Xiaomin Wei
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Water Vapor ◽  
Spatial Resolution ◽  
High Spatial Resolution ◽  
Back Propagation ◽  
Back Propagation Neural Network ◽  
Generalized Regression Neural Network ◽  
Learning Methods ◽  
Machine Learning Methods

Water vapor plays an important role in climate change and water cycling, but there are few water vapor products with both high spatial resolution and high accuracy that effectively monitor the change of water vapor. The high precision Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) Precipitable Water Vapor (PWV) is often used to calibrate the high spatial resolution Moderate−resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) PWV to produce new PWV product with high accuracy and high spatial resolution. In addition, the machine learning method has a good performance in modifying the accuracy of MODIS PWV. However, the accuracy improvement of different machine learning methods and different modeling timescale is different. In this article, we use three machine learning methods, namely, the Random Forest (RF), Generalized Regression Neural Network (GRNN), and Back−propagation Neural Network (BPNN) to calibrate MODIS PWV in 2019, at annual and monthly timescales. We also use the Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) method for comparison. The root mean squares (RMSs) at the annual timescale with the three machine learning methods are 4.1 mm (BPNN), 3.3 mm (RF), and 3.9 mm (GRNN), and the average RMSs become 2.9 mm (BPNN), 2.8 mm (RF), and 2.5 mm (GRNN) at the monthly timescale. Those results are all better than the MLR method (5.0 mm at the annual timescale and 4.6 mm at the monthly timescale). When there is an obvious variation pattern in the training sample, the RF method can capture the pattern to achieve the best results since the RF achieves the best performance at the annual timescale. Dividing such samples into several sub−samples each having higher internal consistency could further improve the performance of machine learning methods, especially for the GRNN, since GRNN achieves the best performance at the monthly timescale, and the performance of those three machine learning methods at the monthly timescale is better than that of annual timescale. The spatial and temporal variation patterns of the RMS values are significantly weakened after the modeling by machine learning methods for both three methods.

scholarly journals A Novel Modeling Strategy of Weighted Mean Temperature in China Using RNN and LSTM

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (15) ◽  
pp. 3004
Author(s):  
Wenliang Gao ◽  
Jingxiang Gao ◽  
Liu Yang ◽  
Mingjun Wang ◽  
Wenhao Yao
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Water Vapor ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Precipitable Water ◽  
Satellite System ◽  
Site Location ◽  
Weighted Mean ◽  
Mean Temperature ◽  
Weighted Mean Temperature ◽  
Modeling Strategy

In the meteorology of Global Navigation Satellite System, the weighted mean temperature (Tm) is a key parameter in the process of converting the zenith wetness delay into precipitable water vapor, and it plays an important role in water vapor monitoring. In this research, two deep learning algorithms, namely, recurrent neural network (RNN) and long short-term memory neural network (LSTM), were used to build a high-precision weighted mean temperature model for China using their excellent time series memory capability. The model needs site location information and measured surface temperature to predict the weighted mean temperature. We used data from 118 stations in and around China provided by the Integrated Global Radiosonde Archive from 2010 to 2015 to train the model and data from 2016 for model testing. The root mean square error (RMSE) of the RNN_Tm and LSTM_Tm models were 3.01K and 2.89K, respectively. Compared with the values calculated by the empirical GPT3 model, the accuracy was improved by 31.1% (RNN_Tm) and 33.9% (LSTM_Tm). In addition, we selected another 10 evenly distributed stations in China and used the constructed model to test the prediction capability of the weighted mean temperature from 2010 to 2016. The RMSE values were 2.95K and 2.86K, which proved that the model also exhibits high generalization in non-modeling sites in China. In general, the RNN_Tm and LSTM_Tm models have a good performance in weighted mean temperature prediction.

scholarly journals Neural Network-Based Models for Estimating Weighted Mean Temperature in China and Adjacent Areas

Atmosphere ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 169
Author(s):  
Fengyang Long ◽  
Wusheng Hu ◽  
Yanfeng Dong ◽  
Jinling Wang
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Water Vapor ◽  
Meteorological Factor ◽  
Profile Data ◽  
Weighted Mean ◽  
Mean Temperature ◽  
Weighted Mean Temperature ◽  
New Models ◽  
Atmospheric Profile ◽  
Tm Model

The weighted mean temperature (Tm) is a key parameter when converting the zenith wet delay (ZWD) to precipitation water vapor (PWV) in ground-based Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) meteorology. Tm can be calculated via numerical integration with the atmospheric profile data measured along the zenith direction, but this method is not practical in most cases because it is not easy for general users to get real-time atmospheric profile data. An alternative method to obtain an accurate Tm value is to establish regional or global models on the basis of its relations with surface meteorological elements as well as the spatiotemporal variation characteristics of Tm. In this study, the complex relations between Tm and some of its essentially associated factors including the geographic position and terrain, surface temperature and surface water vapor pressure were considered to develop Tm models, and then a non-meteorological-factor Tm model (NMFTm), a single-meteorological-factor Tm model (SMFTm) and a multi-meteorological-factor Tm model (MMFTm) applicable to China and adjacent areas were established by adopting the artificial neural network technique. The generalization performance of new models was strengthened with the help of an ensemble learning method, and the model accuracies were compared with several representative published Tm models from different perspectives. The results show that the new models all exhibit consistently better performance than the competing models under the same application conditions tested by the data within the study area. The NMFTm model is superior to the latest non-meteorological model and has the advantages of simplicity and utility. Both the SMFTm model and MMFTm model show higher accuracy than all the published Tm models listed in this study; in particular, the MMFTm model is about 14.5% superior to the first-generation neural network-based Tm (NN-I) model, with the best accuracy so far in terms of the root-mean-square error.

scholarly journals A New Approach for the Development of Grid Models Calculating Tropospheric Key Parameters over China

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (17) ◽  
pp. 3546
Author(s):  
Ge Zhu ◽  
Liangke Huang ◽  
Lilong Liu ◽  
Chen Li ◽  
Junyu Li ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Water Vapor ◽  
Vapor Pressure ◽  
High Precision ◽  
Water Vapor Pressure ◽  
Sliding Window ◽  
Weighted Mean ◽  
New Approach ◽  
Mean Temperature ◽  
Weighted Mean Temperature ◽  
Pressure Water

Pressure, water vapor pressure, temperature, and weighted mean temperature (Tm) are tropospheric parameters that play an important role in high-precision global navigation satellite system navigation (GNSS). As accurate tropospheric parameters are obligatory in GNSS navigation and GNSS water vapor detection, high-precision modeling of tropospheric parameters has gained widespread attention in recent years. A new approach is introduced to develop an empirical tropospheric delay model named the China Tropospheric (CTrop) model, providing meteorological parameters based on the sliding window algorithm. The radiosonde data in 2017 are treated as reference values to validate the performance of the CTrop model, which is compared to the canonical Global Pressure and Temperature 3 (GPT3) model. The accuracy of the CTrop model in regards to pressure, water vapor pressure, temperature, and weighted mean temperature are 5.51 hPa, 2.60 hPa, 3.09 K, and 3.35 K, respectively, achieving an improvement of 6%, 9%, 10%, and 13%, respectively, when compared to the GPT3 model. Moreover, three different resolutions of the CTrop model based on the sliding window algorithm are also developed to reduce the amount of gridded data provided to the users, as well as to speed up the troposphere delay computation process, for which users can access model parameters of different resolutions for their requirements. With better accuracy of estimating the tropospheric parameters than that of the GPT3 model, the CTrop model is recommended to improve the performance of GNSS positioning and navigation.

scholarly journals Possibility of Autonomous Estimation of Shiba Goat’s Estrus and Non-Estrus Behavior by Machine Learning Methods

Animals ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (5) ◽  
pp. 771
Author(s):  
Toshiya Arakawa
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Random Forest ◽  
Markov Models ◽  
Tracking System ◽  
Video Tracking ◽  
Training Data ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Learning Methods ◽  
Machine Learning Methods

Mammalian behavior is typically monitored by observation. However, direct observation requires a substantial amount of effort and time, if the number of mammals to be observed is sufficiently large or if the observation is conducted for a prolonged period. In this study, machine learning methods as hidden Markov models (HMMs), random forests, support vector machines (SVMs), and neural networks, were applied to detect and estimate whether a goat is in estrus based on the goat’s behavior; thus, the adequacy of the method was verified. Goat’s tracking data was obtained using a video tracking system and used to estimate whether they, which are in “estrus” or “non-estrus”, were in either states: “approaching the male”, or “standing near the male”. Totally, the PC of random forest seems to be the highest. However, The percentage concordance (PC) value besides the goats whose data were used for training data sets is relatively low. It is suggested that random forest tend to over-fit to training data. Besides random forest, the PC of HMMs and SVMs is high. However, considering the calculation time and HMM’s advantage in that it is a time series model, HMM is better method. The PC of neural network is totally low, however, if the more goat’s data were acquired, neural network would be an adequate method for estimation.

Landslide susceptibility mapping based on convolutional neural network and conventional machine learning methods

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rui Liu ◽  
Xin Yang ◽  
Chong Xu ◽  
Luyao Li ◽  
Xiangqiang Zeng
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Convolutional Neural Network ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Learning Methods ◽  
Machine Learning Methods ◽  
Conventional Machine

Abstract Landslide susceptibility mapping (LSM) is a useful tool to estimate the probability of landslide occurrence, providing a scientific basis for natural hazards prevention, land use planning, and economic development in landslide-prone areas. To date, a large number of machine learning methods have been applied to LSM, and recently the advanced Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) has been gradually adopted to enhance the prediction accuracy of LSM. The objective of this study is to introduce a CNN based model in LSM and systematically compare its overall performance with the conventional machine learning models of random forest, logistic regression, and support vector machine. Herein, we selected the Jiuzhaigou region in Sichuan Province, China as the study area. A total number of 710 landslides and 12 predisposing factors were stacked to form spatial datasets for LSM. The ROC analysis and several statistical metrics, such as accuracy, root mean square error (RMSE), Kappa coefficient, sensitivity, and specificity were used to evaluate the performance of the models in the training and validation datasets. Finally, the trained models were calculated and the landslide susceptibility zones were mapped. Results suggest that both CNN and conventional machine-learning based models have a satisfactory performance (AUC: 85.72% − 90.17%). The CNN based model exhibits excellent good-of-fit and prediction capability, and achieves the highest performance (AUC: 90.17%) but also significantly reduces the salt-of-pepper effect, which indicates its great potential of application to LSM.

Detecting Items with the Biggest Weight Based on Neural Network and Machine Learning Methods

2020 ◽  
pp. 383-396
Author(s):  
Vitaliy Danylyk ◽  
Victoria Vysotska ◽  
Vasyl Lytvyn ◽  
Svitlana Vyshemyrska ◽  
Iryna Lurie ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Learning Methods ◽  
Machine Learning Methods

scholarly journals A Comparison of Machine Learning Methods in a High-Dimensional Classification Problem

2014 ◽  
Vol 5 (3) ◽  
pp. 82-96 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marijana Zekić-Sušac ◽  
Sanja Pfeifer ◽  
Nataša Šarlija
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Classification Accuracy ◽  
Classification Problem ◽  
High Dimensional ◽  
Nearest Neighbour ◽  
Learning Methods ◽  
Machine Learning Methods ◽  
Dimensional Classification ◽  
Artificial Neural

Abstract Background: Large-dimensional data modelling often relies on variable reduction methods in the pre-processing and in the post-processing stage. However, such a reduction usually provides less information and yields a lower accuracy of the model. Objectives: The aim of this paper is to assess the high-dimensional classification problem of recognizing entrepreneurial intentions of students by machine learning methods. Methods/Approach: Four methods were tested: artificial neural networks, CART classification trees, support vector machines, and k-nearest neighbour on the same dataset in order to compare their efficiency in the sense of classification accuracy. The performance of each method was compared on ten subsamples in a 10-fold cross-validation procedure in order to assess computing sensitivity and specificity of each model. Results: The artificial neural network model based on multilayer perceptron yielded a higher classification rate than the models produced by other methods. The pairwise t-test showed a statistical significance between the artificial neural network and the k-nearest neighbour model, while the difference among other methods was not statistically significant. Conclusions: Tested machine learning methods are able to learn fast and achieve high classification accuracy. However, further advancement can be assured by testing a few additional methodological refinements in machine learning methods.

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