scholarly journals A 40-Year Analysis of the Hydrological Drought Index for the Tigris Basin, Turkey

Water ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. 657
Author(s):  
Arzu Ozkaya ◽  
Yeliz Zerberg

Drought is a natural disaster that occurs globally when water availability is significantly below normal levels. Drought assessment is important for water resource planning, and therefore indexes can be used to characterize drought magnitudes. Using the monthly streamflow data at 47 stations from 1972 to 2011, the streamflow drought index (SDI) series with 3- (SDI-3), 6- (SDI-6), and 12-month (SDI-12) time scales were calculated, and the hydrological drought of the upper Tigris Basin in Turkey has been assessed. The results showed that almost all stations experienced at least one severe drought during the study period. The results revealed that since the early 1990s the study area has become drier. Using the data for a 12-month period and the area of the sub-basins for each flow monitoring station, area-weighted SDI-12 (WSDI) values were constructed. According to the WSDI results, the intensity and number of drought conditions increased during every 10-year period. This outcome has been verified using the maps of averaged SDI-12 values over the Tigris Basin. We noticed from observations of the maps that the time domain zones in lower latitudes experienced drought earlier as compared with zones in higher latitudes.

2020 ◽  
Vol 80 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Kee An Hong ◽  
Jer Lang Hong ◽  
Izihan Ibrahim

In this study, drought occurrence in the Melaka basin has been assessed using the meteorological and hydrological drought indices. A continuous rainfall and streamflow data of 40 years were used for drought analysis. Results show that in terms of meteorological drought index, the severe drought occurred in 1986-1988. The streamflow drought index indicates that the extreme drought occurred in 1982-1984. Further analysis based on seasonal precipitation and streamflow data shows that there is no drought for 79% of the time for the period 1960-2000 where there are hydrological records. For most of the dry and wet seasons, it is more likely that the frequency of occurrence of hydrological droughts only is higher than the frequency of occurrence of meteorological and hydrological droughts simultaneously or only meteorological droughts.


2022 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jiawei Zhou ◽  
Xiaohong Chen ◽  
Chuang Xu ◽  
Pan Wu

Abstract Socioeconomic drought is a phenomenon of water shortage caused by an imbalance between the supply and demand of water resources in natural and human socioeconomic systems. Occurrence of these droughts is closely related to sustainable socioeconomic development. However, compared with meteorological drought, hydrological drought and agricultural drought, socioeconomic drought has received relatively little attention. Therefore, this paper proposes a universal and relatively simple socioeconomic drought assessment index, the Standardized Supply and Demand Water Index (SSDWI). Taking the Jianjiang River Basin (JJRB) in Guangdong Province, China as an example, socioeconomic drought characteristics and trends during 1985-2019 were analyzed. The return period of different levels of drought were calculated using a copula function to estimate the risk of socioeconomic drought in the basin, and the relationship between socioeconomic, meteorological, and hydrological droughts and their potential drivers were discussed. The results showed that: (1) SSDWI was a better index for characterizing socioeconomic drought in the JJRB. 29 socioeconomic droughts occurred in the basin during the past 35 years, with an average duration of 6.16 months and an average severity of 5.82 per events. Socioeconomic droughts mainly occurred in autumn and winter, which also had more severe droughts than other seasons. (2) In the JJRB, the joint return periods of ‘∪’ and ‘∩’ for moderate drought, severe drought and extreme drought were 8.81a and 10.81a, 16.49a and 26.44a, and 41.68a and 91.13a, respectively; (3) Due to the increasing outflow from Gaozhou Reservoir, the risk of socioeconomic drought and hydrological drought in the JJRB has significantly declined since 2008. The reasonable operation of the reservoir has played an important role in alleviating the hydrological and socioeconomic drought in the basin.


2020 ◽  
Vol 19 (2) ◽  
pp. 18-27
Author(s):  
Worapong Lohpaisankrit ◽  
◽  
Jessada Techamahasaranont ◽  

Predicting drought occurrence accurately still remains a challenging task. To fill research gaps, this study identified and analysed meteorological and hydrological droughts using the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) and Streamflow Drought Index (SDI), respectively, in the upper Lam Pao watershed in Thailand. The study also focused on investigating the relationships between both droughts. The SPI and SDI were computed based on observed long-term precipitation and streamflow data during the period of 1988-2017. The drought analysis was carried out by using the R packages. The location, period and severity level of drought events were graphically presented. On the basis of trend analysis, the SPI series showed slightly increasing trends, whereas no trend was found for the SDI series. This implied that the hydrological drought was influenced by not only precipitation but also other factors. The key findings indicated that there was a positive relationship between meteorological and hydrological droughts. In addition, there was a specific lag time, which may depend on physical characteristics of a basin, in drought propagating from meteorological drought to hydrological drought. Overall, the drought indices can help to predict hydrological drought events, which could be valuable information for drought monitoring and early warning systems.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hasrul Hazman Hasan ◽  
Siti Fatin Mohd Razali ◽  
Nur Shazwani Muhammad ◽  
Asmadi Ahmad

Abstract. Drought is considered a damaging natural disaster causing significant economic, social, and environmental impacts. The challenge of drought is to determine the characteristics of drought, its frequency, duration, and severity, which are critical for controlling the effects of drought and mitigation strategies. The objective of this study is to identify the drought characteristics and temporal assessment of drought using Streamflow Drought Index (SDI) and theory of runs (ToR). It also highlights the need and methods for selecting the most appropriate time scale for drought assessment, especially in tropical countries. Malaysia experiences tropical weather and monsoon seasons throughout the year with typically humid temperatures ranging from 20 °C to 30 °C. The different spatial patterns of SDI for three-, six-, nine-, and 12-month were adopted throughout Peninsular Malaysia, using 40 years of daily streamflow data from 42 gauging stations. The area under drought stress at different time scales during the study period is stable and accounts for about 24 % of the total area. The years 1997–1999, 2002 and 2016–2018 mark the most critical drought years, when more than 48 % of the total area of the basin was affected by hydrological drought. Spatial evaluation of drought characteristics shows that short-term droughts are common in most regions, with relatively high severity and frequency in the northeast and southeast of Peninsular Malaysia, where the maximum frequency reached 35.7 % and 42.8 %, respectively. The shortest scale (3-month) recorded more mild and moderate events. Since the most extensive time scale (12-month) includes more dry and wet periods, its high value may lead to misleading information for the early warning system. Using the results of this multi-scale SDI analysis, hydrologists, water managers, and policy makers can better understand the time scale selected for hydrological drought analysis. Short-term drought conditions show high interannual variability with the predominant pattern. It was shown that among the SDI time scales, the SDI for 3-month is the most suitable for effectively tracking hydrological droughts in tropical regions.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hasrul Hazman Hasan ◽  
Siti Fatin Mohd Razali ◽  
Nur Shazwani Muhammad ◽  
Asmadi Ahmad

Abstract. Drought is considered a damaging natural disaster for economic, societal, and ecological impacts. The challenge of drought is to determine the drought characteristics, frequency, duration and severity, vital for drought's impact control and mitigation strategies. This paper adopts the spatial pattern of Streamflow Drought Index (SDI) for three, six, nine and twelve months for the tropical climate at Peninsular Malaysia. About 40 years of daily streamflow data based on 42 hydrological discharge stations were analyzed to obtain these indices. The area under drought stress during the study period at different time scales is stable and approximately 24 % of the total area. The years 1997–1999, 2002 and 2016–2018 mark the most critical drought years, with more than 48 % of the entire basin area under hydrological drought. According to the spatial evaluation of drought characteristics, short-term droughts are frequent in most regions, with relatively high severity and frequency in Northeast and Southeast of Peninsular Malaysia, where the maximum frequency reached 35.7 % and 42.8 %, respectively. This outcome emphasizes the importance and necessity of the basin's drought action strategies. Early detection of a probable hydrological drought can improve in the implementation of drought prevention or mitigation strategies.


Author(s):  
Vu Thuy Linh ◽  
Vo Ngoc Quynh Tram ◽  
Ho Minh Dung ◽  
Dang Nguyen Dong Phuong ◽  
Nguyen Duy Liem ◽  
...  

Author(s):  
Sonam S. Dash ◽  
Dipaka R. Sena ◽  
Uday Mandal ◽  
Anil Kumar ◽  
Gopal Kumar ◽  
...  

Abstract The hydrologic behaviour of the Brahmani River basin (BRB) (39,633.90 km2), India was assessed for the base period (1970–1999) and future climate scenarios (2050) using the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT). Monthly streamflow data of 2000–2009 and 2010–2012 was used for calibration and validation, respectively, and performed satisfactorily with Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency (ENS) of 0.52–0.55. The projected future climatic outcomes of the HadGEM2-ES model indicated that minimum temperature, maximum temperature, and precipitation may increase by 1.11–3.72 °C, 0.27–2.89 °C, and 16–263 mm, respectively, by 2050. The mean annual streamflow over the basin may increase by 20.86, 11.29, 4.45, and 37.94% under RCP 2.6, 4.5, 6.0, and 8.5, respectively, whereas the sediment yield is likely to increase by 23.34, 10.53, 2.45, and 27.62% under RCP 2.6, 4.5, 6.0, and 8.5, respectively, signifying RCP 8.5 to be the most adverse scenario for the BRB. Moreover, a ten-fold increase in environmental flow (defined as Q90) by the mid-century period is expected under the RCP 8.5 scenario. The vulnerable area assessment revealed that the increase in moderate and high erosion-prone regions will be more prevalent in the mid-century. The methodology developed herein could be successfully implemented for identification and prioritization of critical zones in worldwide river basins.


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