scholarly journals Uncertain Analysis of Fuzzy Evaluation Model for Water Resources Carrying Capacity: A Case Study in Zanhuang County, North China Plain

Water ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (20) ◽  
pp. 2804
Author(s):  
Yinxin Ge ◽  
Jin Wu ◽  
Dasheng Zhang ◽  
Ruitao Jia ◽  
Haotian Yang

The scientific and accurate evaluation of water resources carrying capacity has good social, environmental and resource benefits. Reasonable selection of evaluation parameters is the key step to realize efficient and sustainable development of water resources. Taking Zanhuang County in the North China Plain as the research area, this study selected fuzzy comprehensive evaluation models with different weights in the established evaluation index framework to explore the sources of uncertainty affecting the evaluation results of water resources carrying capacity. By using the sensitivity analysis method of index weight, the index with the biggest influence factor on the evaluation result is selected to reduce the uncertainty problems such as index redundancy and small correlation degree. The results show that the correlation and reliable of comprehensive evaluation value obtained by different weight methods is different. The evaluation result obtained by using the analytic hierarchy process is more relevant than the entropy weight method, and it is more consistent with the actual load-bearing situation. The study of sensitivity index shows that water area index is the biggest factor affecting the change of evaluation results, and water resources subsystem and socio-economic subsystem play a dominant role in the whole evaluation framework. The results show that strengthening the data quality control of index assignment and weight method is helpful to reduce the error of water resources carrying capacity evaluation. It can also provide scientific basis for the improvement of fuzzy evaluation model.

2010 ◽  
Vol 113-116 ◽  
pp. 488-494 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yue Jian Wang ◽  
Guang Yang ◽  
Hai Liang Xu

The water resources carrying capacity is an important component of natural resource carrying capacity in a country or region sustained development process. It is the key being related to using the water resources reasonably, which means vital to the sustained growth of the water resources, the social economy and the ecological environment concordant development.Taking the case of river basin in arid zone of the Manasi River Basin,The author evaluated water resources supporting capacity condition basin in different year of the Manasi River by establishing fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model. The results indicated that because of saving water technological progress and industry restructure advancement, the water resources carrying capacity of Manasi River will be improved in the future twenty years. The water resources supply and demand contradictory will be obtained certain alleviation, but the uneven of water resources space and time distribution is still the main restrictive factor of the development of society and economic and the ecological environment construction.


2014 ◽  
Vol 675-677 ◽  
pp. 787-793
Author(s):  
Yan Li Wang ◽  
Rui Ping Zhou ◽  
Min Zhang ◽  
Min Ning Zhao

In the construction plan of the Xi'an-Xianyang Integration, water resources carrying capacity (WRBC) plays an important role in construction planning. Establish a comprehensive evaluation model of water resources carrying capacity in Xianyang City. 10 indexes of 5 categories, which were selected the analysis of relevant indexes including socio-economic indexes, water supply and demand indicators and water quality indicators, etc., were used to composing evaluation system. Using Cluster Analysis, Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and Fuzzy Matrix. The sum of insecurity and less security coefficient of Xianyang City Water Resources Carrying Capacity is at about 0.7. The sum of more security and security coefficient is at about 0.3. And the safety coefficient of Water Resources Carrying Capacity in Xianyang City shows increasing trend. In Xi'an-Xianyang integration, through economic development, focusing on the construction of water and water pollution control, water resources carrying capacity is expected to increase in Xianyang City.


Author(s):  
Lihong Meng ◽  
Youcun Liu ◽  
Weijing Ma ◽  
Qingyun Wang ◽  
Xiaoli Mo ◽  
...  

Abstract As one of the most serious water-shortage regions of China, the shortage of water resources and ecological deuteration of the Tarim River Basin has increasingly attracted attention, and management and sustainable utilization of water resources rely mostly on the understanding of their carrying capacity. In the present study, water resources carrying capacity of the Tarim River Basin was evaluated using a multi-dimensional perspective of nature, society and economy factors based on a variable fuzzy evaluation model for the 2018 hydroclimatic conditions. Evaluation model results rated Aksu, Kizilsu, Kashi and Hotan districts as grade 2, where water resources current use and overexploitation have reached a relatively high level combined with a limited water resources carrying capacity. Bazhou district, where the water resources carrying capacity is relatively higher was evaluated and rated as grade 1 by the model. It is urgent to put forward some strategies in order to protect and improve the water resources carrying capacity in the Tarim River Basin which include promoting more efficient utilization of water conservation schemes, strengthening the long-term investment in environmental protection, improving the ratio of industrial wastewater treatment and reducing the industrial water quota. The results of the present study are aimed to be a beneficial guide in the planning and management of the Tarim's River basin water resources and possibly for other similar river basins.


2018 ◽  
Vol 38 ◽  
pp. 01012
Author(s):  
Qiang Zhao ◽  
Qian Gao ◽  
Mingyue Zhu ◽  
Xiumei Li

Water resources carrying capacity is the maximum available water resources supporting by the social and economic development. Based on investigating and statisticing on the current situation of water resources in Shandong Province, this paper selects 13 factors including per capita water resources, water resources utilization, water supply modulus, rainfall, per capita GDP, population density, per capita water consumption, water consumption per million yuan, The water consumption of industrial output value, the agricultural output value of farmland, the irrigation rate of cultivated land, the water consumption rate of ecological environment and the forest coverage rate were used as the evaluation factors. Then,the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model was used to analyze the water resources carrying capacity Force status evaluation. The results showed : The comprehensive evaluation results of water resources in Shandong Province were lower than 0.6 in 2001-2009 and higher than 0.6 in 2010-2015, which indicating that the water resources carrying capacity of Shandong Province has been improved.; In addition, most of the years a value of less than 0.6, individual years below 0.4, the interannual changes are relatively large, from that we can see the level of water resources is generally weak, the greater the interannual changes in Shandong Province.


2019 ◽  
Vol 136 ◽  
pp. 02035 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kun Ding ◽  
Yi Zhang ◽  
Yang Xu ◽  
Chen Yang

Since the reform and opening up, with the rapid development of economy and society, China's water resources are facing severe challenges. However, there is no recognized best method for the evaluation of water resources carrying capacity. The evaluation process is either subjective and random. Either the researcher relies too much on the inherent information of the sample and ignores the subjective initiative. The results of both evaluations are not objective and fair. The entropy weight method is used to determine the weight of sample index, and the water resources carrying capacity is comprehensively evaluated through the coupling of the Philo model. Taking Hefei City as an example, the evaluation results are scientific, reasonable and authentic, which can provide reference for the comprehensive evaluation of water resources carrying capacity of related cities.


2012 ◽  
Vol 518-523 ◽  
pp. 918-921 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ke Li ◽  
Jing Yao Qi ◽  
Jian Hui Wang ◽  
Hai Lu ◽  
Zhi Jie Zhao

With the growth of population, water security has become the worldwide problem combined with severe environment pollution, quick economic development and irrational water allocation. Based on sustainable development, Water resources carrying capacity (WRCC) driven from physics originally has been proposed to solve it. The measurement of WRCC can tell decision-makers that how much population the water resource can feed, what degree water resources can support the economic and so on. Because the decision-makers can make adaptive decisions based on the correct evaluation of WRCC, the ways of the assessment of WRCC are very important. This paper focuses on how to measure WRCC by selecting three typical methods, fuzzy model of comprehensive evaluation, multiple criteria analysis (MCA) and system dynamics (SD) methods. The characteristics of these methods are good at solving the multi-objective and complicated problem in common which is the trait of WRCC. The differences of them are the specific process of analysis and evaluation.


2014 ◽  
Vol 641-642 ◽  
pp. 53-57
Author(s):  
Yang Liu ◽  
Hao Wang ◽  
Jian Hua Wang ◽  
Xiang Dong Chen ◽  
Jia Hong Liu

Based on adequate consideration of status of water resources utilization and socio-economic development in the Shanxi Provinces, the AHP method was used to calculate the weights of each index and the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation of water resource carrying capacity in the Shanxi Province was carried out from 2006 to 2011. The evaluation results indicated that the overall level of the water resources carrying capacity in Shanxi Province was contained in critical state, however, a steady rise.


2012 ◽  
Vol 195-196 ◽  
pp. 764-769 ◽  
Author(s):  
Liang Ma ◽  
Jing Hua Zhao ◽  
Ming Hong ◽  
Liang Liang Chen

In view of the uncertainty of evaluation indicators for water resources carrying capacity the theory of set pair analysis is adopted. The samples are preliminarily classified by calculating the connection degree between the samples and evaluation indicators. Then the samples are further ranked through the identity, difference and antagonism set pair analysis. The weights of evaluation factors in the model are obtained from the avail value of data reflecting the information entropy, by which the weight allocation is more reasonable. The application result of this model to an example is compared with those obtained from integrated evaluating methods and the attribute recognition method. It shows that the proposed method is practical and reasonable.


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