scholarly journals A Poisson-Regression, Support Vector Machine and Grey Prediction Based Combined Forecasting Model Proposal: A Case Study in Distribution Business

Author(s):  
Fatih YİĞİT ◽  
Şakir ESNAF ◽  
Bahar YALÇIN
2013 ◽  
Vol 291-294 ◽  
pp. 2164-2168 ◽  
Author(s):  
Li Tian ◽  
Qiang Qiang Wang ◽  
An Zhao Cao

With the characteristic of line loss volatility, a research of line loss rate prediction was imperatively carried out. Considering the optimization ability of heuristic algorithm and the regression ability of support vector machine, a heuristic algorithm-support vector machine model is constructed. Case study shows that, compared with other heuristic algorithms’, the search efficiency and speed of genetic algorithm are good, and the prediction model is with high accuracy.


Energies ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (23) ◽  
pp. 6319
Author(s):  
Chia-Sheng Tu ◽  
Chih-Ming Hong ◽  
Hsi-Shan Huang ◽  
Chiung-Hsing Chen

This paper presents a short-term wind power forecasting model for the next day based on historical marine weather and corresponding wind power output data. Due the large amount of historical marine weather and wind power data, we divided the data into clusters using the data regression (DR) algorithm to get meaningful training data, so as to reduce the number of modeling data and improve the efficiency of computing. The regression model was constructed based on the principle of the least squares support vector machine (LSSVM). We carried out wind speed forecasting for one hour and one day and used the correlation between marine wind speed and the corresponding wind power regression model to realize an indirect wind power forecasting model. Proper parameter settings for LSSVM are important to ensure its efficiency and accuracy. In this paper, we used an enhanced bee swarm optimization (EBSO) to perform the parameter optimization for LSSVM, which not only improved the forecast model availability, but also improved the forecasting accuracy.


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