scholarly journals The Impact of Investors Overconfidence on Trading Activities and Stock Returns in Pakistan Stock Exchange

2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 15-31
Author(s):  
MUHAMMAD TAHIR KHAN ◽  
GHAYYUR QADIR ◽  
SHAH RAZA KHAN ◽  
ABDUL LATIF

This study investigates the hypothesis of investor overconfidence that impact stock activity and stock return, using vector auto regressive model. Data observed consist of Monthly and daily returns from PSX 100 index. The results of the study shows that there are specific months in which the variables respond to each other or they are some actions that appears after some interval or else there is no significant relationship of current monthly return to past months volume, volume with volatility in stock returns as it is not increased with increase in volume. And there is no relationship of current monthly volume with previous market returns, Investor overconfidence has negative impact on trading activity as it keep them high and exaggerated level as it is not the real value of the securities and it may harm the investors. The results further marked that immediate past month return has an impact on current trading activity that is denoted from volume of trade.

2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Quang Thi Thieu Nguyen ◽  
Dao Le Trang Anh ◽  
Christopher Gan

PurposeThis study investigates the Chinese stocks' returns during different epidemic periods to assess their effects on firms' market performance.Design/methodology/approachThe study employs an event study method on more than 3,000 firms listed on Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges during periods of SARS, H5N1, H7N9 and COVID-19FindingsEpidemics' effect on firms' stock returns is persistent up to 10 days after the event dates. Although the impact varies with types and development of the disease, most firms experience a negative impact of the epidemics. Among the epidemics, COVID-19 has the greatest impact, especially when it grows into a pandemic. The epidemics' impact is uneven across industries. In addition, B-shares and stocks listed on Shanghai Stock Exchange are more negatively influenced by the epidemic than A-shares and those listed on Shenzhen Stock Exchange.Research limitations/implicationsThe results of the study contribute to the limited literature on the effects of disease outbreaks as an economic shock on firm market performance. Given the possibility of other epidemics in the future, the study provides guidance for investors in designing an appropriate investing strategy to cope with the epidemic shocks to the market.Originality/valueThe research is novel in the way it compares and assesses the economic impact of different epidemics on firms and considers their impact at different development stages.


2020 ◽  
Vol 38 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Muhammad Kashif ◽  
Asra Shaikh ◽  
Mobeen Ur Rehman

This paper examines the volatility in stock returns due to mood-swings of financial investors affected by the outcome of one-day international (ODI) cricket matches played by Pakistan against cricketing nations. The impact of matches is analyzed on same-day and for next-day volatility in returns by using Generalized Auto-Regressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH 1,1) and Glosten, Jagannathan & Runkle (GJR 1,1) methodology, supported by Engle (arch), L-Jung Q-stats (auto-correlation) and Jarque-Bera (normality) tests. Empirical time-series results show volatility can be predicted through past volatility and can be generalized. The win or loss position of Pakistan in ODI has a significant influence on next day volatility of stock returns. However, GJR analysis provides strong evidence of asymmetric behavior on next day in Karachi Stock Exchange (KSE)-100 index, states bad-news resulting from ODI matches has a significant negative influence on the next-day volatility of stock returns, due to less trading on the subsequent day of the match.


Author(s):  
Shahbaz Khan ◽  
Razzi Abbas Jafri ◽  
Nida Baig ◽  
Muhammad Shaique ◽  
Muhammad Usman

The purpose of this study is to find out the impact of political general elections of Pakistan on KSE-100 index. We employed Event study methodology on closing prices of KSE-100 index over the time period January, 1998 to May, 2013. During our sample period, 3 events of political general Elections occurred i.e., Event1 in 2002, Event2 in 2008, and recently Event3 in 2013. We construct an Event window of 11 days consisting of 5 pre-event days, 1 on-event day, and 5 post-event days. Results of this study show that Events 1 -and 2 put significant negative impact on stock returns, while Event3 demonstrates a significant positive impact on stock returns. This study also revealed the pre -and post-event comparison for all of the three events and, suggested that as soon as the political situation of the country changes, behavior of investors towards political general election also changes. Manipulation in stock index has always been remained an inconclusive phenomenon for investors and policy makers. So, further evidence on an individual country level might suggest fruitful guidelines to both investors and policy makers.


2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (2) ◽  
pp. 100
Author(s):  
Sufian Radwan Al-Manaseer

This study aims to analyze the relationship between capital structure and stock returns of Jordanian banks listed on the Amman Stock Exchange from 2009 to 2018. The study sample is composed of 13 commercial banks in Jordan. The e-views program is used to conduct the statistical analysis of study variables. Initially, a simple linear regression analysis is conducted to determine the impact of capital structure as measured by financial leverage on stock returns and vice versa. Then, several control variables are added: growth in assets, liquidity, firm size, and profitability. This study has found that growth, capital structure, and profitability have a positive impact on stock returns. By contrast, liquidity and firm size have a negative impact on stock returns. Stock returns and firm size have a positive impact on capital structure, whereas liquidity, growth, and profitability have a negative impact on capital structure.


2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 47-58
Author(s):  
Nurcahyono Nurcahyono ◽  
Ayu Noviani Hanum ◽  
Fatmasari Sukesti

Return is one of the main motivations for investing, the higher the expected return investors will receive, the more they will attract investors. This study analyzes and empirically proves the effect of the COVID 19 outbreak on the Indonesian stock exchange. This study uses daily data from the Covid-19 case, data on the capitalization of the Indonesian stock exchange during the outbreak from March 2 to July 15, 2020, with various Indonesian government policies that began lockdown, regional quarantine and new normal. Panel data regression is used to analyze and empirically prove the impact of Covid 19 on stock returns. The results showed that the daily growth of total confirmed positive cases, the total death cases of Covid 19 had a negative impact on stock returns in the Indonesian stock exchange even though the growth rate of patients who recovered was quite high. In addition, government policies in the form of lockdown of quarantine areas and new normal are not able to strengthen the Jakarta Composite Indeks (JCI), this is because the policy is not able to suppress the number of positive confirmations, but continues to increase. This research contributes to the government making a policy to reduce the number of confirmed cases to be able to strengthen the JCI, and investors can see aspects other than the expected return currently received.


2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Asif Saeed ◽  
Aijaz Mustafa Hashmi ◽  
Attiya Yasmin Javid

This study aims to explore the impact of family ownership on the relationship among corporate social responsibility (CSR) and earning management (EM) in Pakistan. Data is collected from nonfinancial listed firms on Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSE) for the period 2009-2017. Our results of pooled ordinary least square regression indicate that CSR has significant negative impact on EM. Furthermore, results also indicate that association between CSR and EM is moderated by family ownership. Family firms which perform CSR activities are less involved in EM as compare to nonfamily firms perform CSR activities. This variation in behavior of EM in family and non-family firms can possibly be explained by socioemotional wealth theory. Keywords: Corporate Social Responsibility, Earnings Management, Family Ownership


2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Wenmin Wu ◽  
Chien-Chiang Lee ◽  
Wenwu Xing ◽  
Shan-Ju Ho

AbstractThis research explored the effects of the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak on stock price movements of China’s tourism industry by using an event study method. The results showed that the crisis negatively impacted tourism sector stocks. Further quantile regression analyses supported the non-linear relationship between the government’s responses and stock returns. The results present that the resurgence of the virus in Beijing did bring about a short-term negative impact on the tourism industry. The empirical results can be used for future researchers to conduct a comparative study of cultural differences concerning government responses to the COVID-19.


2016 ◽  
Vol 34 (1) ◽  
pp. 3-26 ◽  
Author(s):  
Omokolade Akinsomi ◽  
Katlego Kola ◽  
Thembelihle Ndlovu ◽  
Millicent Motloung

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to examine the impact of Broad-Based Black Economic Empowerment (BBBEE) on the risk and returns of listed and delisted property firms on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE). The study was investigated to understand the impact of Black Economic Empowerment (BEE) property sector charter and effect of government intervention on property listed markets. Design/methodology/approach – The study examines the performance trends of the listed and delisted property firms on the JSE from January 2006 to January 2012. The data were obtained from McGregor BFA database to compute the risk and return measures of the listed and delisted property firms. The study employs a capital asset pricing model (CAPM) to derive the alpha (outperformance) and beta (risk) to examine the trend amongst the BEE and non-BEE firms, Sharpe ratio was also employed as a measurement of performance. A comparative study is employed to analyse the risks and returns between listed property firms that are BEE compliant and BEE non-compliant. Findings – Results show that there exists differences in returns and risk between BEE-compliant firms and non-BEE-compliant firms. The study shows that BEE-compliant firms have higher returns than non-BEE firms and are less risky than non-BEE firms. By establishing this relationship, this possibly affects the investor’s decision to invest in BEE firms rather than non-BBBEE firms. This study can also assist the government in strategically adjusting the policy. Research limitations/implications – This study employs a CAPM which is a single-factor model. Further study could employ a multi-factor model. Practical implications – The results of this investigation, with the effects of BEE on returns, using annualized returns, the Sharpe ratio and alpha (outperformance), results show that BEE firms perform better than non-BEE firms. These results pose several implications for investors particularly when structuring their portfolios, further study would need to examine the role of BEE on stock returns in line with other factors that affect stock returns. The results in this study have several implications for government agencies, there may be the need to monitor the effect of the BEE policies on firm returns and re-calibrate policies accordingly. Originality/value – This study investigates the performance of listed property firms on the JSE which are BEE compliant. This is the first study to investigate listed property firms which are BEE compliant.


2021 ◽  
pp. 097226292110225
Author(s):  
Rakesh Kumar Verma ◽  
Rohit Bansal

Purpose: A green bond is a financial instrument issued by governments, financial institutions and corporations to fund green projects, such as those involving renewable energy, green buildings, low carbon transport, etc. This study analyses the effect of green-bond issue announcement on the issuer’s stock price movement. It shows the reaction of the stock price after the issue of green bonds. Methodology: This study is based on secondary data. Green-bond issue dates have been collected from newspaper articles from different online sources, such as Business Standard, The Economic Times, Moneycontrol, etc. The closing prices of stocks have been taken from the NSE (National Stock Exchange of India Limited) website. An event window of 21 days has been fixed for the study, including the 10 days before and after the issue date. Data analysis is carried out through the event study method using the R software. Calculation of abnormal returns is done using three models: mean-adjusted returns model, market-adjusted returns model and risk-adjusted returns model. Findings: The results show that the issue of green bonds has a significant positive effect on the stock price. Returns increase after the green-bond issue announcement. Although the announcement day shows a negative return for all the samples taken for the study, the 10-day cumulative abnormal return (CAR) is positive. Thus, green-bond issues lead to positive sentiments among investors. Research implications: This research article will help the government issue more green bonds so that the proceeds can be utilized for green projects. The government should motivate corporations and financial institutions to issue more green bonds to help the economy grow. In India, very few organizations have issued a green bond. It will be beneficial if these players issue green bonds, as it will increase the firms’ value and boost returns to the investors. Originality/value: The effect of green-bond issue on stock returns has been analysed in some studies in developed countries. This is the first study to examine the impact of green-bond issue on stock returns in the Indian context, to the best of our knowledge.


Author(s):  
Theresia Julina Rusli ◽  
I Dewa Nyoman Wiratmaja

This  research  aims to find empirical evidence  about the impact  of  workload  and  audit tenure  on  audit quality  and  using audit  committee  as  a  moderating  variable. This  research  focused  on  manufacturing companies  that  listed  on  the  Indonesia Stock Exchange. Sample was collected using   purposive sampling method and resulted 31  companies as a final sample.  The  data are analyzed by using Moderated Regression Analysis (MRA). The results of  this research indicate  that the  workload  has a negative  impact on  audit quality.  Audit tenure has a positive impact on audit quality. Audit committee reduces the negative impact of workload on audit quality. And audit committee reduces the positive impact of audit tenure on audit quality.


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