scholarly journals Stock Market Value Prediction using Machine Learning Concept

Stock market consists of various buyers and sellers. The stock market value is dynamic. It means the stock market value is changed day by day. Actually stock has been represented as shares. The owner of the share may be an individual or group of peoples. In this current economic condition stock market value prediction is the critical task because the data is dynamic. Stock market prediction means to find the future value of the stock on a financial exchange. The expected prediction output to be accurate, efficient and robust value. Traditionally the stock values are predicted by using stock related news. But it does not provide a better result. Wrong prediction of stock value leads to heavy loss. Machine learning concepts play a very important role in various domains. It is also used to predict the stock market value with the help of collected data. This paper describes about stock market value prediction using machine learning SVM (Support Vector Machine) technique. This proposed concept is implemented by python programming language. This machine learning concept produces better prediction result compared with other machine learning techniques.

Algorithms ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 11 (11) ◽  
pp. 170 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhixi Li ◽  
Vincent Tam

Momentum and reversal effects are important phenomena in stock markets. In academia, relevant studies have been conducted for years. Researchers have attempted to analyze these phenomena using statistical methods and to give some plausible explanations. However, those explanations are sometimes unconvincing. Furthermore, it is very difficult to transfer the findings of these studies to real-world investment trading strategies due to the lack of predictive ability. This paper represents the first attempt to adopt machine learning techniques for investigating the momentum and reversal effects occurring in any stock market. In the study, various machine learning techniques, including the Decision Tree (DT), Support Vector Machine (SVM), Multilayer Perceptron Neural Network (MLP), and Long Short-Term Memory Neural Network (LSTM) were explored and compared carefully. Several models built on these machine learning approaches were used to predict the momentum or reversal effect on the stock market of mainland China, thus allowing investors to build corresponding trading strategies. The experimental results demonstrated that these machine learning approaches, especially the SVM, are beneficial for capturing the relevant momentum and reversal effects, and possibly building profitable trading strategies. Moreover, we propose the corresponding trading strategies in terms of market states to acquire the best investment returns.


2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
pp. 130-149
Author(s):  
Puneet Misra ◽  
Siddharth Chaurasia

Stock market movements are affected by numerous factors making it one of the most challenging problems for forecasting. This article attempts to predict the direction of movement of stock and stock indices. The study uses three classifiers - Artificial Neural Network, Random Forest and Support Vector Machine with four different representation of inputs. First representation uses raw data (open, high, low, close and volume), The second uses ten features in the form of technical indicators generated by use of technical analysis. The third and fourth portrayal presents two different ways of converting the indicator data into discrete trend data. Experimental results suggest that for raw data support vector machine provides the best results. For other representations, there is no clear winner regarding models applied, but portrayal of data by the proposed approach gave best overall results for all the models and financial series. Consistency of the results highlight the importance of feature generation and right representation of dataset to machine learning techniques.


Author(s):  
Vignesh CK

This paper deals with the techniques of attempting to calculate the future value of a company stock or any other financial instrument which is being traded in a stock exchange. This prediction plays a great role in many financing and investing decisions. This calculation can be done by Machine learning by training a model to identify the trend from past data in order to predict the future. The main topic of study here will be the comparative analysis of the SVM and LTSM algorithms. KEYWORDS: Machine learning, Stock price, Stock market, Support vector machine, neural network, long short term memory.


The stock market price trend is one of the brightest areas in the field of computer science, economics, finance, administration, etc. The stock market forecast is an attempt to determine the future value of the equity traded on a financial transaction with another financial system. The current work clearly describes the prediction of a stock using Machine Learning. The adoption of machine learning and artificial intelligence techniques to predict the prices of the stock is a growing trend. More and more researchers invest their time every day in coming up with ways to arrive at techniques that can further improve the accuracy of the stock prediction model. This paper is mainly concerned with the best model to predict the stock market value. During the mechanism of contemplating the various techniques and variables that can be taken into consideration, we discovered five models Which are based on supervised learning techniques i.e.., Support Vector Machine (SVM), Random Forest, K-Nearest Neighbor (KNN), Bernoulli Naïve Bayes.The empirical results show that SVC performs the best for large datasets and Random Forest, Naïve Bayes is the best for small datasets. The successful prediction for the stock will be a great asset for the stock The stock market price trend is one of the brightest areas in the field of computer science, economics, finance, administration, etc. The stock market forecast is an attempt to determine the future value of the equity traded on a financial transaction with another financial system. The current work clearly describes the prediction of a stock using Machine Learning. The adoption of machine learning and artificial intelligence techniques to predict the prices of the stock is a growing trend. More and more researchers invest their time every day in coming up with ways to arrive at techniques that can further improve the accuracy of the stock prediction model. This paper is mainly concerned with the best model to predict the stock market value. During the mechanism of contemplating the various techniques and variables that can be taken into consideration, we discovered five models Which are based on supervised learning techniques i.e.., Support Vector Machine (SVM), Random Forest, K-Nearest Neighbor (KNN), Bernoulli Naïve Bayes.The empirical results show that SVC performs the best for large datasets and Random Forest, Naïve Bayes is the best for small datasets. The successful prediction for the stock will be a great asset for the stock market institutions and will provide real-life solutions to the problems that stock investors face.market institutions and will provide real-life solutions to the problems that stock investors face.


2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (1) ◽  
pp. 453-463
Author(s):  
Abdul Syukur ◽  
◽  
Deden Istiawan ◽  

LQ45 is an Indonesia Stock Exchange Index (ISX) incorporate of 45 companies that meet certain criteria to target investors for selecting certain stocks. The prediction of stock price direction in the financial world is a major issue. The implementation of machine learning and other algorithms for market price analysis and forecasting is a very promising field. Different types of classification algorithms were used to predict the stock market. However, when individual studies are considered separately there is no clear consensus that algorithms work best. In this research, a comparison framework is proposed, which aims to benchmark the performance of a wide range of classification models and use them to predict the LQ45 index. The data in this research contains the transaction level and capitalization size are obtained from the Indonesian Stock Exchange (ISX). For analysis purposes, we set out 10 classifiers that can be used to build classification models and test their performance in the LQ45 dataset. The performance criterion chosen to measure this effect is accuracy, recall, and precision. The results showed that the random forest algorithm had the best performance for predicting the LQ45 index. Whilst the classification and regression trees, C4.5, support vector machine, and logistic regression algorithms also perform well. Besides, the models based on traditional statisticalbased learners that are Naïve Bayes and linear discriminant analysis seem to underperform for predicting the LQ45 index. These results are not only beneficial to enrichment the machine learning techniques literature but also have a significant influence on the stock market prediction in terms of the ability to predict the LQ45 index.


2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 153-163
Author(s):  
Isaac Kofi Nti ◽  
Adebayo Felix Adekoya ◽  
Benjamin Asubam Weyori

AbstractPredicting stock-price remains an important subject of discussion among financial analysts and researchers. However, the advancement in technologies such as artificial intelligence and machine learning techniques has paved the way for better and accurate prediction of stock-price in recent years. Of late, Support Vector Machines (SVM) have earned popularity among Machine Learning (ML) algorithms used for predicting stock price. However, a high percentage of studies in algorithmic investments based on SVM overlooked the overfitting nature of SVM when the input dataset is of high-noise and high-dimension. Therefore, this study proposes a novel homogeneous ensemble classifier called GASVM based on support vector machine enhanced with Genetic Algorithm (GA) for feature-selection and SVM kernel parameter optimisation for predicting the stock market. The GA was introduced in this study to achieve a simultaneous optimal of the diverse design factors of the SVM. Experiments carried out with over eleven (11) years’ stock data from the Ghana Stock Exchange (GSE) yielded compelling results. The outcome shows that the proposed model (named GASVM) outperformed other classical ML algorithms (Decision Tree (DT), Random Forest (RF) and Neural Network (NN)) in predicting a 10-day-ahead stock price movement. The proposed (GASVM) showed a better prediction accuracy of 93.7% compared with 82.3% (RF), 75.3% (DT), and 80.1% (NN). It can, therefore, be deduced from the fallouts that the proposed (GASVM) technique puts-up a practical approach feature-selection and parameter optimisation of the different design features of the SVM and thus remove the need for the labour-intensive parameter optimisation.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Reshma R ◽  
Usha Naidu S ◽  
Sathiyavathi V ◽  
SaiRamesh L

Predicting the future in all the areas using machine learning techniques was the recent research in the current scenario. Stock market is one among them which needs the prediction future market to invest in the new enterprise or to sell their existing shares to get profit. This need the efficient prediction technique which studies the previous exchanges of stock market and gives the future prediction based on that. This article proposed the prediction system of stock market price based on the exchange takes place in previous scenario. The system studies the diversing effect of market price of product in a particular time gap and analyze its future trend whether it’s loss or gain. During the system of thinking about diverse strategies and variables that should be taken into account, we observed out that strategies like random forest, Support vector machine and regression algorithm. Support vector regression is a beneficial and effective gadget gaining knowledge of approach to apprehend sample of time collection dataset. The data collected for the four years duration which was accumulated to get the expecting prices of the share of the firm. It can produce true prediction end result if the fee of essential parameters may be decided properly. It has been located that the guide vector regression version with RBF kernel indicates higher overall performance while in comparison with different models.


2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 84-99
Author(s):  
Li-Pang Chen

In this paper, we investigate analysis and prediction of the time-dependent data. We focus our attention on four different stocks are selected from Yahoo Finance historical database. To build up models and predict the future stock price, we consider three different machine learning techniques including Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN) and Support Vector Regression (SVR). By treating close price, open price, daily low, daily high, adjusted close price, and volume of trades as predictors in machine learning methods, it can be shown that the prediction accuracy is improved.


Author(s):  
Anantvir Singh Romana

Accurate diagnostic detection of the disease in a patient is critical and may alter the subsequent treatment and increase the chances of survival rate. Machine learning techniques have been instrumental in disease detection and are currently being used in various classification problems due to their accurate prediction performance. Various techniques may provide different desired accuracies and it is therefore imperative to use the most suitable method which provides the best desired results. This research seeks to provide comparative analysis of Support Vector Machine, Naïve bayes, J48 Decision Tree and neural network classifiers breast cancer and diabetes datsets.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Azhagiya Singam Ettayapuram Ramaprasad ◽  
Phum Tachachartvanich ◽  
Denis Fourches ◽  
Anatoly Soshilov ◽  
Jennifer C.Y. Hsieh ◽  
...  

Perfluoroalkyl and Polyfluoroalkyl Substances (PFASs) pose a substantial threat as endocrine disruptors, and thus early identification of those that may interact with steroid hormone receptors, such as the androgen receptor (AR), is critical. In this study we screened 5,206 PFASs from the CompTox database against the different binding sites on the AR using both molecular docking and machine learning techniques. We developed support vector machine models trained on Tox21 data to classify the active and inactive PFASs for AR using different chemical fingerprints as features. The maximum accuracy was 95.01% and Matthew’s correlation coefficient (MCC) was 0.76 respectively, based on MACCS fingerprints (MACCSFP). The combination of docking-based screening and machine learning models identified 29 PFASs that have strong potential for activity against the AR and should be considered priority chemicals for biological toxicity testing.


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