scholarly journals An Analysis on Impact of Exchange Rate on Nifty and S & P Sensex

In the last two decades, the developments happened in India have led to an interdependency between the stock market and exchange rate markets. The present study focuses on understanding the impact of the foreign exchange rate and the stock market interdependency. The indices NIFTY and SENSEX define major movements in the stock market hence they gain importance in studying. Also, the technical analysis has been done for the Indices to study the performance of stock. The results obtained from the study will facilitate the decision making of the investors

2018 ◽  
Vol 9 (3) ◽  
pp. 247-253 ◽  
Author(s):  
Edward Adedoyin Adebowale ◽  
Akindele Iyiola Akosile

This research investigated the effect of interest rate and foreign exchange rate on stock market development in Nigeria. This research was centered on two research problems. First, it was whether interest rate had a significant effect on stock market development in Nigeria. Second, it was whether foreign exchange rate had a significant impact on stock market development in Nigeria. The scope of the research covered the period from 1981 to 2017. Data for this period were chosen because it covered pre and post-liberalization periods of Nigerian financial system. This research made use of ex post facto research design. Secondary data were sourced from Nigerian Stock Exchange reports, Central Bank of Nigeria statistical bulletins, and National Bureau of Statistics publications. Data were collected on Stock Market Capitalization (SMC), Prime Lending Rate (PLR) and Real Exchange Rate (RER) (Nigerian Naira in relation to American Dollars of the United States). Data analysis was carried out with Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) and Cochrane-Orcutt Iterative techniques. The findings reveal that interest rate has a significant negative effect, and foreign exchange rate has a significant positive effect on Nigerian stock market development during the period covered. It is suggested that monetary authorities should strive to formulate policies that will make interest and foreign exchange rates stable, competitive, and at a level that will stimulate the investment of funds in the stock market.


2009 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
IBM Wiyasha

This study aims at investigating the behavior of foreign exchange rate markets in Indonesia using 1350 daily observations. Another objective of this study is to examine the structural stability due to Bali bombing chapter I and II. The markets being investigated are USD, AUD, SGD, and YEN; all relative to rupiah. The ECM is applied to investigate the behavior of the markets aforementioned. The findings of this study are that the markets are co integrated and there is a long term equilibrium relationship among them. Using the Chow test, this study finds that there is no structural stability in the markets after Bali bombing chapter I and II.


2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (4) ◽  
pp. 4333-4335

This paper tries to investigate the impact of foreign exchange rate and inflation rate on the economic progress of India. In this study the economic progress has been measured by annual GDP ( Gross Domestic Product ) growth in India. Correlation analysis and multiple regression model have been designed to explore the relationship among the mentioned three variables. The annual GDP growth of India has been considered as the dependent variable and the other two macroeconomic variables ( Foreign exchange rate and inflation rate ) have been considered as the independent variables. Secondary sources of data have been gathered to arrive at a logical conclusion. The results show a positive correlation between GDP growth rate and the foreign exchange rate and a negative correlation between the GDP growth rate and the inflation rate. Results from the linear regression analysis show that inflation rate has a strong influence or impact on the GDP growth rate than the foreign exchange rate. It is expected that the present study will help the policy makers and the researchers to understand the impact of foreign exchange rate and inflation rate on the GDP growth in India


2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-12
Author(s):  
Asif Ali ◽  
Muhammad Kamran Khan ◽  
Hamid Ullah

Currently emerging markets are passing through economic turmoil due to considerable increases in the prices of oil and gold with significant variation in the foreign exchange market. All the macroeconomic variables are touching the highest value which was never occurred in the history of Pakistan. Taking advantages of the current situation the study has examined the impact of gold prices, oil prices and exchange rate on stock market performance. For this purpose, the study has used daily data of these macroeconomic variables for the period of 2003 to 2018. By using time series data analysis, it reveals that there is no co-integration or long-term relation among these variables; however, the vector autoregressive model showed significant short-term relation among the securities market performance, foreign exchange rate, prices of oil and gold. The analysis also suggests that significant changes in the prices of oil, foreign exchange rates and the prices of gold have a negative lagged effect on the performance of the stock market.


Author(s):  
Esiaka Chuka ◽  
◽  
Uwaleke Uche ◽  
Nwala Nneka ◽  
◽  
...  

This study investigated the impact of foreign trade on the economic growth of Nigeria for the period 1981–2018. Economists hold two contrasting opinions on the effect of foreign trade on a nation’s economy. While the positive-sum game school of thought holds the view that, when nations engage in foreign trade, there are bound to be mutual gains as each country’s utility is expanded, the negative-sum game school of thought holds the view that trade relations amongst nations of the world benefit one economy at the expense of the other. This study was embarked upon to ascertain which of these two conflicting opinions applies to Nigeria. Accordingly, the objective of the study was to determine the impact of foreign trade proxy by oil revenue, non-oil revenue, and foreign exchange rate on Nigeria’s economic growth proxy by gross domestic product growth rate. The study adopted the ex post facto research design and secondary data were obtained from the Central Bank of Nigeria Statistical Bulletin. The study employed the Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model to evaluate the effect of foreign trade on economic growth in Nigeria. Findings suggest that oil revenue, non-oil revenue, and foreign exchange rate have a significant impact on economic growth in Nigeria. The study recommended that Nigeria’s oil revenue be heavily invested in non-oil revenue-earning productive sectors such as agriculture and mining to create the desired multiplier effect on the economy.


Author(s):  
Tyler T. Yu ◽  
Miranda M. Zhang

The purpose of this paper is to examine the economic impact of the Feds rate cuts on foreign exchange movements. Using secondary data, the paper estimates the lagged effects of the changes in money supply due to the rate cuts on the foreign exchange rates between the US dollar and the Japanese Yen ($/), British Pounds ($/), and the euro ($/), respectively. Since the impact of monetary policy tends to have a time lag, as suggested by Hall and Taylor, the study segments the measurements in six months intervals (6 months form the cut, 12 months from the cut, 18 months from the cut and 24 months from the cut). The relationship between the changes in money supply and potential impact on foreign exchange rate movements will be investigated using the Pearson Product-Moment Correlation coefficients (PPMCC) as well as Spearmans Rank Correlation coefficients (SRCC, the nonparametric alternative to the PPMCC). Then, a hypothesis test will be conducted to determine whether the correlation between the Federal Reserves stimulating monetary policy and foreign exchange rate movements is significant.


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