scholarly journals TRADE AND GROWTH IN A NON‐RECOGNIZED SMALL ISLAND STATE: EVIDENCE FROM THE TURKISH REPUBLIC OF NORTHERN CYPRUS

2010 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 112-130
Author(s):  
Salih Katircioglu
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
International Trade ◽  
Small Island ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Equilibrium Relationship ◽  
Island State ◽  
Northern Cyprus ◽  
Small Island State ◽  
Growth Hypothesis ◽  
Long Run Equilibrium

This paper empirically investigates long‐run equilibrium relationship and causality between international trade and economic growth in North Cyprus, which has a non‐recognized state and suffers from the Cyprus problem for more than 40 years. Results reveal that long‐run equilibrium relationship exists between international trade variables (exports and imports of goods and services) and economic growth in this small island state. The present study also validates the existence of export‐led growth hypothesis in Northern Cyprus while it rejects the validity of import‐led growth hypothesis. Finally, this study has shown that Turkish Cypriots should improve not only services exports but also merchandise exports in to contribute to its economy further. Santrauka Straipsnyje, remiantis empiriniais duomenimis, tyrinejama ilgalaike pusiausvyra bei priežastinis ryšys tarp tarptautines prekybos ir ekonominio augimo Šiaures Kipre, kuris yra nepripažintas ir kenčia del šios politines problemos daugiau negu 40 metu. Empirinio tyrimo rezultatai leidžia teigti, kad tarp tarptautines prekybos rodikliu (prekiu ir paslaugu eksporto bei importo) bei ekonominio augimo šioje mažoje saloje vyrauja ilgalaike pusiausvyra. Tyrimas patvirtina hipoteze apie eksporto kaip ekonominio augimo veiksnio svarba, bet paneigia importo itaka nagrinejamos mažos šalies pletrai. Autorius ragina skatinti ne tik paslaugu, bet ir produkcijos eksporta norint pasiekti spartesni ekonomikos augimo masta Šiaures Kipre.

scholarly journals TRADE AND GROWTH IN A NON‐RECOGNIZED SMALL ISLAND STATE: EVIDENCE FROM THE TURKISH REPUBLIC OF NORTHERN CYPRUS

2010 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 112-130 ◽  
Author(s):  
Salih Katircioglu
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
International Trade ◽  
Small Island ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Equilibrium Relationship ◽  
Island State ◽  
Northern Cyprus ◽  
Small Island State ◽  
Growth Hypothesis ◽  
Long Run Equilibrium

This paper empirically investigates long‐run equilibrium relationship and causality between international trade and economic growth in North Cyprus, which has a non‐recognized state and suffers from the Cyprus problem for more than 40 years. Results reveal that long‐run equilibrium relationship exists between international trade variables (exports and imports of goods and services) and economic growth in this small island state. The present study also validates the existence of export‐led growth hypothesis in Northern Cyprus while it rejects the validity of import‐led growth hypothesis. Finally, this study has shown that Turkish Cypriots should improve not only services exports but also merchandise exports in to contribute to its economy further. Santrauka Straipsnyje, remiantis empiriniais duomenimis, tyrinejama ilgalaike pusiausvyra bei priežastinis ryšys tarp tarptautines prekybos ir ekonominio augimo Šiaures Kipre, kuris yra nepripažintas ir kenčia del šios politines problemos daugiau negu 40 metu. Empirinio tyrimo rezultatai leidžia teigti, kad tarp tarptautines prekybos rodikliu (prekiu ir paslaugu eksporto bei importo) bei ekonominio augimo šioje mažoje saloje vyrauja ilgalaike pusiausvyra. Tyrimas patvirtina hipoteze apie eksporto kaip ekonominio augimo veiksnio svarba, bet paneigia importo itaka nagrinejamos mažos šalies pletrai. Autorius ragina skatinti ne tik paslaugu, bet ir produkcijos eksporta norint pasiekti spartesni ekonomikos augimo masta Šiaures Kipre.

scholarly journals Does Export Led Growth Hypothesis Hold Under World Crisis Recovery Regime in Malaysia?

2019 ◽  
Vol 10 (5) ◽  
pp. 9
Author(s):  
Asmawi Hashim ◽  
Norimah Rambeli ◽  
Norasibah Abdul Jalil ◽  
Normala Zulkifli ◽  
Emilda Hashim ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
International Trade ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Data Series ◽  
World Crisis ◽  
Long Run ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Growth Hypothesis

This paper examines empirically the nature of the impact of the exchange rate on import, export and economic growth in Malaysia from 2009 until 2018. The objective of this study is to investigate the long-term and short-term relationship between endogenous and exogenous variables and also to identify the effects of exchange rates on dependent variables including imports, exports and the Gross Domestic Product (DGP) that represent the productivity of the country. This study further focuses on investigating the impact or the role of export in drive the county economic growth. In achieving these objectives, the Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) testing procedure is used to test the presence of unit root. In order to investigate the incidence of long run relationship between the data series, the Johansen Juselius Cointegration Vector is utilized. The Granger Causality in Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) framework is employed to differentiate between short run and long run causal effects in examining the led growth determinants. The result shows that there is causality between exchange rate, import, export and GDP. Moreover, this study shows that exchange rates responded positively to import and export and negatively to GDP. The result further support for export led growth hypothesis in this study. Thus, confirm for the role of export in motivating the economic growth productivity in after World Crisis regime in year 2008. However, Malaysia must not only relay on international trade to generate income for the country. This is because Malaysia is fortunate to have survived the negative effects of the global crisis; the international trade is exposed to exchange rate instability. If Malaysia wants to succeed in international trade, it may be able to focus on food and services trade. As alternative Malaysia may focuses on agriculture sector by improving the research and development and be a champion on food supply for the world.

scholarly journals Tourism-Related Loans as a Driver of a Small Island Economy: A Case of Northern Cyprus

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (17) ◽  
pp. 9508
Author(s):  
Setareh Shirkhani ◽  
Sami Fethi ◽  
Andrew Adewale Alola
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Banking System ◽  
Bank Loan ◽  
Small Island ◽  
Limited Attention ◽  
Technological Advancement ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Tourism Sector ◽  
Northern Cyprus ◽  
Tourism Enterprises

Although the literature on the contribution of tourism to economic expansion vis-à-vis the tourism-led growth hypothesis has been widely explored, so far, limited attention has been paid to the specificity of the role of tourism-related loans or financial inducement in economic growth. This paper examines the short-run and long-run relationships between bank loan disbursements to the tourism sector and economic growth in Northern Cyprus. We structurally derive empirical equations for co-integration and error-correction models by extending the original Solow growth model, applying a cointegration approach that is strengthened by the autoregressive distributed lag and Granger causality approaches to reveal important findings. The empirical findings suggest unidirectional causality from loans disbursed to the tourism sector to economic growth in Northern Cyprus for the period under study. Additionally, we show that tourism-related loans and human and technological advancement all spur economic growth in the short- and long-run. These findings’ main policy implication is that long-term complementary policies in the domestic banking system can increase the access to financial sources for tourism enterprises and, consequently, promote tourism-led economic growth, especially in small tourism-dependent economies where capital sources are scarce.

An econometric study of energy consumption, carbon emissions and economic growth in South Asia: 1972-2009

2014 ◽  
Vol 11 (3) ◽  
pp. 182-195 ◽  
Author(s):  
Harishankar Vidyarthi
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Energy Consumption ◽  
South Asia ◽  
Carbon Emissions ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Energy Mix ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Equilibrium Relationship ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Long Run Equilibrium

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to empirically examine the relationship between energy consumption, carbon emissions and economic growth for a panel of five South Asian economies namely India, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Sri Lanka and Nepal over the period 1972-2009 within multivariate framework. Design/methodology/approach – The study uses Pedroni cointegration and Granger causality test based on panel vector error correction model to examine long-run equilibrium relationship and direction of causation in short run and long run between energy consumption, carbon emissions and economic growth in South Asia. Findings – Cointegration result indicates the long-run equilibrium relationship between economic growth, energy consumption and carbon emissions for panel. Causality results suggest that bidirectional causality exist between energy consumption-GDP, and unidirectional causality from carbon emissions to GDP and energy consumption in long run. However, energy consumption causes carbon emissions in short run. Practical implications – Implementing energy efficiency measures and reducing dependence on fossils fuels by scaling up carbon free energy resources like nuclear, renewables including hydropower in energy mix is necessary for sustainable and inclusive growth in the region. Originality/value – South Asia economies need to sacrifice economic growth for reducing the carbon emissions in long run if the region dependence on fossils fuels including coal, oil and natural gas in energy mix continues at same pace.

Modifying Culture to Advance Economic Growth

2015 ◽  
pp. 52-65
Author(s):  
Balbir Bhasin ◽  
Sivakumar Venkataramany ◽  
Lee Keng Ng
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Economic Development ◽  
Cultural Values ◽  
Political Stability ◽  
Entrepreneurial Activity ◽  
Small Island ◽  
Developmental Models ◽  
Island State ◽  
Social Controls ◽  
Small Island State

In furthering the discussion on the linkage between economic development and culture, this chapter attempts to answer the question, “Can culture be modified to advance economic growth?” and uses Singapore as a case in point. It traces the country's restructuring of cultural values to foster economic growth and development, which allowed Singapore to grow from a small island state with a sagging economy and no natural resources to one of the most respected and widely recognized developmental models of the modern era. This study shows that social controls can help newly developing countries in creating political stability and social cohesion that allows for rapid economic development. However, the side effects of such measures lead to the creation of a compliant society that lacks creativity and innovation, is risk averse in entrepreneurial activity, and is prone to talent depletion.

Structural change and economic growth in selected emerging economies

2015 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 98-116 ◽  
Author(s):  
Muhamed Zulkhibri ◽  
Ismaeel Naiya ◽  
Reza Ghazal
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Structural Change ◽  
Panel Cointegration ◽  
Growth Equation ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Equilibrium Relationship ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Long Run Equilibrium

Purpose – This paper aims to investigate the relationship between structural change and economic growth for a panel of four developing countries, namely, Malaysia, Nigeria, Turkey and Indonesia over 1960-2010. Design/methodology/approach – The study extent the growth equation by incorporating degree of openness, labour and investment and construct structural change indices – modified Lilien index and the norm of absolute values. It utilizes the recently developed panel cointegration techniques to test and estimate the long-run equilibrium of the growth equation. Findings – The results confirm that structural change and economic growth are cointegrated at the panel level, indicating the presence of long-run equilibrium relationship. However, the impact of structural change on economic growth seems to be small and evolve slowly. Originality/value – The findings indicate the need for policymakers to identify the binding constraints that impede growth and the importance of institutionalize policy to encourage investment in productive sectors.

GLOBALIZATION AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN CAMBODIA

2017 ◽  
Vol 62 (02) ◽  
pp. 363-375 ◽  
Author(s):  
JAI S. MAH
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
International Trade ◽  
Error Correction ◽  
Small Sample ◽  
Error Correction Models ◽  
Fdi Inflows ◽  
Rapid Economic Growth ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Equilibrium Relationship ◽  
Cointegration Tests

For the past two decades, since the political situation became stable, Cambodia has recorded a very rapid economic growth rate. In the meantime, globalization has progressed both in terms of the expansion of international trade and foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows. This paper applies small sample cointegration tests and error correction models to reveal the determinants of Cambodia’s rapid economic growth. The cointegration test results support the existence of a long-run equilibrium relationship among the variables concerned. The error-correction models show that expansion of international trade values has caused the rapid economic growth in Cambodia, regardless of the measure of international trade used.

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