The Relationship Between Gold and Stock Markets During the COVID-19 Pandemic

Author(s):  
Rui Teixeira Dias ◽  
Luísa Carvalho

This chapter aims to analyze portfolio diversification in the US, Europe, UK, Hong Kong, China, Japan, and the gold market (XAU) from January 2019 to July 2020. The results indicate that the markets have very significant causalities, which may call into question efficient portfolio diversification strategies. The DFA exponent coefficients suggest that the random walk hypothesis is rejected in certain markets, which has implications for investors, since some returns can be expected, creating opportunities for arbitrage and abnormal profits. These findings also open space for market regulators to take action to ensure better information among international financial markets. In conclusion, the authors believe investors should diversify their portfolios and invest in less risky markets in order to mitigate risk and improve portfolio efficiency.

2015 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 89-107
Author(s):  
Saloni Gupta ◽  
Neha Bothra

We conduct tests of the null hypothesis of a random walk at the aggregate level of market indices and disaggregate level of individual shares to the Indian stock market over various data periods and a comparison of two sub-periods namely the pre liberalization and the post liberalization period. For this, we use the Lo-MacKinlay (1988) variance ratio test. Although the oldest test i.e. the serial correlation coefficient test is also applied to the same data to establish the relationship between the two tests but its results are not elaborated in this paper. The strength of this paper lies in the voluminous data base and a powerful testing tool that it makes use of. It is observed that the market is highly inefficient at daily returns level, thus imbibing high degree of predictability in stock returns, and even the weekly returns show the existence of trend. Monthly returns, however, support the random walk hypothesis across all periods. Thus it is concluded that further refinement of reform measures is required.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rui Dias ◽  
◽  
Paula Heliodoro ◽  
Paulo Alexandre ◽  
Hortense Santos ◽  
...  

This essay aims to analyze the efficiency, in its weak form, in the Exchange Markets IDR/MYR (Indonesia-Malaysia), IDR/PHP (Indonesia-Philippines), IDR/SGD (Indonesia-Singapore), IDR/THB (Indonesia-Thailand), IDR/GBP (Indonesia-UK), IDR/US (Indonesia-USA), IDR/EUR (Indonesia-Euro Zone/Europe). The sample comprises the period from September 3, 2018, to October 20, 2020, and the sample was partitioned into two subperiods: Pre-Covid and Covid. To carry out this analysis, different approaches were undertaken to assess whether: (i) the global pandemic promoted in(efficiency) in the exchange rates of Indonesia vs Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, UK, USA, Eurozone? The results suggest that in the Pre-Covid subperiod we can see that the random walk hypothesis is rejected, IDR/MYR (0.61), IDR/SGD (0.60), IDR/US (0.59), IDR/THB (0.56), IDR/EUR (0.55), IDR/GBP (0.54), except for the IDR/PHP pair (0.45) which evidences anti persistence. Already in the Covid period, we noticed that persistence increased significantly, like followed, IDR/EUR (0.82), IDR/PHP (0.81) IDR/SGD (0.80), IDR/US (0.80), IDR/MYR (0.78), IDR/THB (0.71), IDR/GBP (0.62). These findings show high levels of arbitrage, i.e., investors will be able to obtain abnormal profitability without incurring the additional risk, which could jeopardize the implementation of efficient portfolio diversification strategies due to market imbalance. The authors believe that these findings can help policymakers formulate a comprehensive response to improve the efficiency of the foreign exchange market during a global pandemic event.


Author(s):  
Steven Hurst

The United States, Iran and the Bomb provides the first comprehensive analysis of the US-Iranian nuclear relationship from its origins through to the signing of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) in 2015. Starting with the Nixon administration in the 1970s, it analyses the policies of successive US administrations toward the Iranian nuclear programme. Emphasizing the centrality of domestic politics to decision-making on both sides, it offers both an explanation of the evolution of the relationship and a critique of successive US administrations' efforts to halt the Iranian nuclear programme, with neither coercive measures nor inducements effectively applied. The book further argues that factional politics inside Iran played a crucial role in Iranian nuclear decision-making and that American policy tended to reinforce the position of Iranian hardliners and undermine that of those who were prepared to compromise on the nuclear issue. In the final chapter it demonstrates how President Obama's alterations to American strategy, accompanied by shifts in Iranian domestic politics, finally brought about the signing of the JCPOA in 2015.


Author(s):  
Terence Young ◽  
Alan MacEachern ◽  
Lary Dilsaver

This essay explores the evolving international relationship of the two national park agencies that in 1968 began to offer joint training classes for protected-area managers from around the world. Within the British settler societies that dominated nineteenth century park-making, the United States’ National Park Service (NPS) and Canada’s National Parks Branch were the most closely linked and most frequently cooperative. Contrary to campfire myths and nationalist narratives, however, the relationship was not a one-way flow of information and motivation from the US to Canada. Indeed, the latter boasted a park bureaucracy before the NPS was established. The relationship of the two nations’ park leaders in the half century leading up to 1968 demonstrates the complexity of defining the influences on park management and its diffusion from one country to another.


2012 ◽  
Vol 39 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-51 ◽  
Author(s):  
Robert J. Kirsch

ABSTRACT Utilizing archival materials as well as personal interviews and correspondence with personnel of the Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) and International Accounting Standards Committee/Board (IASC/B), including former Board chairmen and staff members, this paper examines the development of the working relationships between the FASB and the IASC/B from their earliest interactions in 1973 through the transformation of the IASC into the IASB and the Convergence Program rooted in the 2002 Norwalk Agreement up to 2008.


Author(s):  
Frédéric Grare

India’s relationship with the United States remains crucial to its own objectives, but is also ambiguous. The asymmetry of power between the two countries is such that the relationship, if potentially useful, is not necessary for the United States while potentially risky for India. Moreover, the shift of the political centre of gravity of Asia — resulting from the growing rivalry between China and the US — is eroding the foundations of India’s policy in Asia, while prospects for greater economic interaction is limited by India’s slow pace of reforms. The future of India-US relations lies in their capacity to evolve a new quid pro quo in which the US will formulate its expectations in more realistic terms while India would assume a larger share of the burden of Asia’ security.


Author(s):  
David Willetts

Universities have a crucial role in the modern world. In England, entrance to universities is by nation-wide competition which means English universities have an exceptional influence on schools--a striking theme of the book. This important book first investigates the university as an institution and then tracks the individual on their journey to and through university. In A University Education, David Willetts presents a compelling case for the ongoing importance of the university, both as one of the great institutions of modern society and as a transformational experience for the individual. The book also makes illuminating comparisons with higher education in other countries, especially the US and Germany. Drawing on his experience as UK Minister for Universities and Science from 2010 to 2014, the author offers a powerful account of the value of higher education and the case for more expansion. He covers controversial issues in which he was involved from access for disadvantaged students to the introduction of L9,000 fees. The final section addresses some of the big questions for the future, such as the the relationship between universities and business, especially in promoting innovation.. He argues that the two great contemporary trends of globalisation and technological innovation will both change the university significantly. This is an authoritative account of English universities setting them for the first time in their new legal and regulatory framework.


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