The Research for Uncertainty Heat Transfer Process of Phase Change Thermal Storage Based on Monte Carlo Method

Because of phase change materials (PCMs)’ composition, machining error, measuring error and other factors, the PCMs’ thermal physical properties, geometric properties, etc are usually uncertain. Phase change heat transfer process is an uncertainty heat transfer process. In this paper, it is considered factors’ uncertainty influencing phase change thermal storage heat transfer process. Heat transfer model of phase change thermal storage is established. And the uncertainty phase change heat transfer process is analysis based on Monte Carlo method. The experiment shows that the temperature of PCMs varied between the upper bound and lower bound of calculations. Comparison between simulation results of the model and experimental data implies that it is necessary to consider influencing factor’s uncertainty in phase change thermal storage heat transfer analysis.