Preliminary Volcanic Seismic Hazard Analysis for Tatun Volcano Group in Northern Taiwan

2013 ◽  
Vol 479-480 ◽  
pp. 1061-1065
Author(s):  
Cheng Yu Pan ◽  
Yuan Cheih Wu ◽  
Chih Wei Chang

Tatun volcano group is located in north Taiwan and near Taipei Basin where several million people live there. Although it provides hot spring and landscape for citizens and keeps calm most of time, the threat remains, particularly for the two nearby nuclear power plants. This paper discusses the seismic hazard of volcanic seismic source including source characterization of Tatun volcano group, probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA), and its preliminary seismic hazard result. Based on nuclear regulatory requirement for PSHA, the uncertainties of source parameters are vital, such as geometry, maximum earthquake, and activity relating earthquake catalog selection, so the first-time seismic source characterization workshop for volcano is held to let domestic experts discuss their hypotheses and investigation result. Hence, the renewed source parameters can represent current geo-science for Tatun volcanic seismic source, and the process of PSHA can lead the better way to combine the result of different research projects for Tatun volcano.

2015 ◽  
Vol 19 (2) ◽  
pp. 129-134 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ercan Işık ◽  
Mustafa Kutanis

<p>In this study, site-specific earthquake spectra for Bitlis province in Lake Van Basin has been obtained. It is noteworthy that, in probabilistic seismic hazard assessment, as a first stage data from geological studies and records from the instrumental period were compiled to make a seismic source characterization for the study region.The probabilistic seismic hazard curves for Bitlis were developed based on selected appropriate attenuation relationships, at rock sites, with a probability of exceedance 2%, 10% and 50% in 50 year periods. The obtained results were compared with the spectral responses proposed for seismic evaluation and retrofit of the building structure in Turkish Earthquake Code, Section 2. At the end of this study, it is apprehended that the Code proposed earthquake response spectra are not sufficient for the performance evaluation of the existing structures and the current estimations show that the potential seismic hazard research of the Turkey is underestimated in the code.Therefore, site- specific design spectra for the region should be developed, which reflect the characteristics of local sites.</p><p> </p><p><strong>Determinación de espectros de sitio específico locales a través del análisis probabilístico de amenazas sísmicaspara la provincia de Bitlis, Turquía</strong></p><p> </p><p><strong>Resumen</strong></p>En este estudio se obtuvieron espectros de terremoto de sitio específico para la cuenca del Lago de Van, en la provincia de Bitlis, al este de Turquía. La primera fase del trabajo consistió en una evaluación probabilística de riesgo sísmico donde se compilaron los estudios geológicos y registros del período instrumental para hacer una caracterización de fuente sísmica en la región de estudio. Las curvas de amenaza sísmica para la provincia de Bitlis se desarrollaron con base en las relaciones de atenuación apropiada seleccionadas en los sitios rocosos, con una probabilidad de exceso de 2 %, 10 % y 50 % durante 50 años. Los resultados obtenidos se compararon con las respuestas de espectro propuestas para la evaluación sísmica y modernización de estructuras contempladas en el Código de Terremoto de Turquía, en la sección 2. En la parte final de este trabajo se comprende que las respuestas de espectros de terremoto propuestos en el código no son suficientes para la evaluación de desempeño de las estructuras existentes y que las estimaciones actuales muestran que la investigación de amenazas potenciales sísmicas en Turquía está subestimada en el código. Por lo tanto, el diseño de espectros de sitio específico para la región se debe desarrollar, ya que permitiría conocer las singularidades locales.</p>


2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (6) ◽  
pp. 1639-1661
Author(s):  
Khalid Mahmood ◽  
Naveed Ahmad ◽  
Usman Khan ◽  
Qaiser Iqbal

Abstract. Probabilistic seismic hazard analysis of Peshawar District has been performed for a grid size of 0.01∘. The seismic sources for the target location are defined as the area polygon with uniform seismicity. The earthquake catalogue was developed based on the earthquake data obtained from different worldwide seismological networks and historical records. The earthquake events obtained at different magnitude scales were converted into moment magnitude using indigenous catalogue-specific regression relationships. The homogenized catalogue was subdivided into shallow crustal and deep-subduction-zone earthquake events. The seismic source parameters were obtained using the bounded Gutenberg–Richter recurrence law. Seismic hazard maps were prepared for peak horizontal acceleration at bedrock level using different ground motion attenuation relationships. The study revealed the selection of an appropriate ground motion prediction equation is crucial for defining the seismic hazard of Peshawar District. The inclusion of deep subduction earthquakes does not add significantly to the seismic hazard for design base ground motions. The seismic hazard map developed for shallow crustal earthquakes, including also the epistemic uncertainty, was in close agreement with the map given in the Building Code of Pakistan Seismic Provisions (2007) for a return period of 475 years on bedrock. The seismic hazard maps for other return periods i.e., 50, 100, 250, 475 and 2500 years, are also presented.


2013 ◽  
Vol 690-693 ◽  
pp. 1158-1167
Author(s):  
Li Fang Zhang ◽  
Yan Ju Peng ◽  
Zhen Ming Wang

In this study, we chose East China offshore areas as study region(N25°~41°,E117°~126°).According to the tectonic environments and characteristics of earthquake the seismotectonic units were established, taking Gaussian spatially smoothing only based on the input earthquake catalog, and fault-rupture-oriented elliptical smoothing to calculate the seismic activity rate in each cells. The maps for the distribution of horizontal peak ground acceleration with 10% probability of exceedance in 50 years were obtained through using the method of seismic hazard analysis based on cell source. While the total number of earthquakes unchanged, two-stage smoothing procedure deals with the error of epicenter location, contains the seismotectonic information in elliptical smoothing seismicity model. This method build up a simple and easy methodology of probabilistic seismic hazard analysis, especially for those place where not yet been clearly master the seismic tectonic information and with distributed Seismic activity.


2020 ◽  
Vol 30 (2) ◽  
pp. 215
Author(s):  
Anggun Mayang Sari ◽  
Afnindar Fakhrurrozi

The geological and seismic-tectonic setting in the Bandung Basin area proliferates the seismicity risk. Thus, it is necessary to investigate the seismic hazards caused by the foremost seismic source that affects the ground motions in the bedrock. This research employed Probability Seismic Hazard Analysis (PSHA) method to determine the peak ground acceleration value. It considers the source of the earthquakes in the radius of 500 km with a return period of 2500 years. The analysis results showed that the Peak Ground Acceleration (PGA) in this region varies from 0.46 g to 0.70 g. It correlates with the magnitude and hypocentre of the dominant earthquake source of the study locations. The PGA value on the bedrock was used as an input to develop the seismic hazard microzonation map. It was composed using the Geographic Information System (GIS) to visualise the result. This research provides a scientific foundation for constructing residential buildings and infrastructure, particularly as earthquake loads in the building structure design calculations. ABSTRACT - Mikrozonasi Bahaya Seismik Berdasarkan Probability Seismic Hazard Analysis di Cekungan Bandung. Kondisi geologi dan seismik-tektonik di Cekungan Bandung meningkatkan risiko kegempaan di wilayah tersebut. Oleh karena itu, perlu dilakukan penelitian tentang bahaya seismik yang disebabkan oleh sumber-sumber gempa di sekitarnya yang mempengaruhi gelombang gempa di batuan dasar. Penelitian ini menggunakan metode Probability Seismic Hazard Analysis (PSHA) untuk menentukan nilai percepatan gelombang gempa di batuan dasar. Lebih lanjut penelitian ini menggunakan sumber gempa dalam radius 500 km dengan periode perulangan 2500 tahun. Hasil analisis menunjukkan bahwa Peak Ground Acceleration (PGA) di wilayah ini bervariasi dari 0,46 g hingga 0,70 g. Hal ini berkorelasi dengan magnitudo dan jarak hiposenter sumber gempa dominan terhadap lokasi penelitian. Nilai PGA di batuan dasar digunakan sebagai input data dalam pembuatan peta mikrozonasi bahaya seismik. Peta mikrozonasi bahaya seismik disusun dan divisualisasikan menggunakan Sistem Informasi Geografis (SIG). Luaran penelitian ini menghasilkan landasan ilmiah pada konstruksi bangunan tempat tinggal dan infrastruktur, khususnya sebagai pembebanan gempa dalam perhitungan desain struktur bangunan.


2013 ◽  
Vol 671-674 ◽  
pp. 1346-1350
Author(s):  
Zhao Lu ◽  
Ren Yu Zuo ◽  
Xiang Ruan

It is important for tall building to infer seismic hazard analysis. Recently, researchers paid great efforts to study the seismic hazard analysis using the method of probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA), and PSHA has been proved to be sound and popular. The PSHA method is not new. However, the use of PSHA in China is not extensive. The purpose of this paper is to explore the use of ground motion distribution analysis about one typical tall building Taipei-101. Based on the earthquake catalog around Taiwan with more than 50,000 events over 100-years of recording, the author takes Taipei-101’s geographic coordination as object to do ground motion distribution analysis. The research shows that ground motion is affected significantly by service year, and the chi-square test applied in testing Annual ground motion distribution better than K-S test, In addition, Bernoulli distribution is verified reasonable in evaluating the entire service year ground motion distribution.


2021 ◽  
pp. 875529302110075
Author(s):  
Robert R Youngs ◽  
Christine A Goulet ◽  
Yousef Bozorgnia ◽  
Nicolas Kuehn ◽  
Linda Al Atik ◽  
...  

As a companion article to Goulet et al., we describe implementation of the NGA-East ground motion characterization (GMC) model in probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA) for sites in the Central and Eastern United States (CEUS). We present extensions to the EPRI/DOE/NRC seismic source characterization (SSC) model for the CEUS needed for full implementation of NGA-East. Comparisons are presented to the EPRI GMC, the currently accepted model by the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission for hazard assessment at nuclear facilities. Comparisons are presented both in terms of GMC model components and in the resulting seismic hazard assessments for a range of site locations in the CEUS. Illustrations of the effect of various components of the NGA-East GMC on seismic hazard results are also presented. Finally, we present recommendations for application of the NGA-East GMC in PSHA.


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