Reliability Analysis and Goodness-of-Fit Test of Pen Cylinder

2012 ◽  
Vol 522 ◽  
pp. 578-581
Author(s):  
Dan Jiang ◽  
Cong Ling Wang ◽  
Ping Yang

According to the durability test results of pen cylinders, including failure modes and fatigue life data, life distribution of pen cylinder is studied. The parameters of Weibull distribution of pen cylinder are estimated by least square method. Using Weibull distribution test, the goodness-of-fit test of the pen cylinder life distribution is carried out. Results of goodness-of-fit test show fatigue life distribution of pen cylinder complies with Weibull distribution with two parameters.

2012 ◽  
Vol 430-432 ◽  
pp. 1645-1649 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gong Chang Ren ◽  
Zhi Wei Yang ◽  
Bo Min Meng

In order to improve the model accuracy of reliability evaluation, the Three-Parameter Weibull Distribution model of time between fault was established by introducing location parameters. The correlation coefficient optimization method based on the adaptive genetic algorithm was firstly applied to estimate the location parameter of the Three-Parameter Weibull Distribution. Shape parameter and scale parameter were obtained by the least square method. The time between failures of these series machining center submitting to three-parameter weibull Distribution was checked by the test hypothesis of goodness-of-fit distribution. Finally, the machining center was carried out reliability evaluation based on the Three-Parameter Weibull Distribution model.


2011 ◽  
Vol 71-78 ◽  
pp. 4545-4548 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lei Sun ◽  
Xian Wu Hao

The bridge health monitoring system can collect large amounts of data, but it lacks the trend analysis of monitoring data. This article introduced the method of Time series analysis into the analysis of bridge monitoring data, and adopted ARIMA model in time series analysis of monitoring data, used the least square method for parameter estimation, established the prediction model for bridge deflection, and conducted the goodness of fit test. Take the actual bridge monitoring data as an example, it was demonstrated that the method is feasible in the prediction of bridge condition trend.


2015 ◽  
Vol 2015 ◽  
pp. 1-10 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marco Carbone ◽  
Michele Turco ◽  
Giuseppe Brunetti ◽  
Patrizia Piro

Design storms are very useful in many hydrological and hydraulic practices and are obtained from statistical analysis of precipitation records. However considering design storms, which are often quite unlike the natural rainstorms, may result in designing oversized or undersized drainage facilities. For these reasons, in this study, a two-parameter double exponential function is proposed to parameterize historical storm events. The proposed function has been assessed against the storms selected from 5-year rainfall time series with a 1-minute resolution, measured by three meteorological stations located in Calabria, Italy. In particular, a nonlinear least square optimization has been used to identify parameters. In previous studies, several evaluation methods to measure the goodness of fit have been used with excellent performances. One parameter is related to the centroid of the rain distribution; the second one is related to high values of the standard deviation of the kurtosis for the selected events. Finally, considering the similarity between the proposed function and the Gumbel function, the two parameters have been computed with the method of moments; in this case, the correlation values were lower than those computed with nonlinear least squares optimization but sufficiently accurate for designing purposes.


2012 ◽  
Vol 600 ◽  
pp. 250-255
Author(s):  
Qiang Cai ◽  
Ji Ming Kong ◽  
Ze Fu Chen

Under cyclic loading of concrete structures, fatigue failure is the main failure modes of fatigue, which has become the fatigue design of concrete structure must be considered, then the concrete fatigue studies must clarify the fatigue life of concrete under different survival curve S-N curve. Based on the statistics of the two parameter Weibull distribution theory, obtain the concrete under different survival rates of fatigue life distribution, namely to improve survival, reduce the fatigue life; stress level is reduced, the fatigue life is increased; and has set up more than 50% under different survival rates of concrete fatigue equation.


2012 ◽  
Vol 517 ◽  
pp. 669-676 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhi Yong Chen ◽  
En Chun Zhu ◽  
Jing Long Pan ◽  
Guo Fang Wu

Yingxian Wood Pagoda, built in 1056, is located in the town of Yingxian County, Shanxi Province, China. It is the oldest and highest standing ancient wood structure in China. The pagoda is octagon-shaped in plan, with a total height of 67.31m and a base diameter of 30.27m. It appears as a five-storeyed structure, but actually consists of nine storeys, with four shorter but stiffer storeys hidden between the five apparent storeys. Yingxian Wood Pagoda was built without any metal connectors like nail, screw, or bolt. Instead, Tenon-Mortise connections and Dou-Gong brackets were used to connect all posts and beams. Tenon-Mortise connections and Dou-Gong brackets have been playing a vital role for the pagoda to resist severe winds, earthquakes and some human-induced disasters for nearly a thousand years. To evaluate the safety of the pagoda, it is, therefore, useful to investigate the structural performance of the beam-column joints, most important for Yingxian Wood Pagoda to resist lateral load. In this study, two models of typical beam-column joints of the pagoda, MBCJ-I and MBCJ-II, were manufactured following a ratio of 3.4 to the prototype of the joints. Non-destructive cyclic loading test of the models under different vertical load and destructive cyclic test of the models under vertical load of 20kN were conducted. The hysteretic stiffness of MBCJ-I was lager than MBCJ-II, and increased linearly with vertical load N. The relationship between and N was obtained by regression of the test results using the least square method. The stiffness of model joint under vertical load was 70.6kN/mm. The failure modes, energy-dissipation performance, moment resistance and bending stiffness of both model joints were derived and discussed.


2016 ◽  
Vol 61 (3) ◽  
pp. 489-496
Author(s):  
Aleksander Cianciara

Abstract The paper presents the results of research aimed at verifying the hypothesis that the Weibull distribution is an appropriate statistical distribution model of microseismicity emission characteristics, namely: energy of phenomena and inter-event time. It is understood that the emission under consideration is induced by the natural rock mass fracturing. Because the recorded emission contain noise, therefore, it is subjected to an appropriate filtering. The study has been conducted using the method of statistical verification of null hypothesis that the Weibull distribution fits the empirical cumulative distribution function. As the model describing the cumulative distribution function is given in an analytical form, its verification may be performed using the Kolmogorov-Smirnov goodness-of-fit test. Interpretations by means of probabilistic methods require specifying the correct model describing the statistical distribution of data. Because in these methods measurement data are not used directly, but their statistical distributions, e.g., in the method based on the hazard analysis, or in that that uses maximum value statistics.


2019 ◽  
Vol 10 (3) ◽  
pp. 56-63
Author(s):  
Muhammad Shoaib ◽  
Imran Siddiqui ◽  
Saif Ur Rehman

04 March, 2019 Accepted: 24 April, 2019Abstract: Wind energy assessment of Ormara, Gwadar and Lasbela wind sites which are located in provinceBaluchistan is presented. The daily averaged wind speed data for the three sites is recorded for a period of four yearsfrom 2010-2013 at mast heights 7 m, 9.6 m and 23 m. Measured wind data are extrapolated to heights 60 m (Ormara),80 m (Gwadar) and 60 m (Lasbela). Yearly averaged wind speeds are modeled using a two parameters Weibullfunction whose shape (k) and scale (c) parameters are computed using seven well known numerical iterative methods.Reliability of the fitting process is assessed by employing three goodness-of-fit test statistics, namely, RMSE, R2 and χ2tests. Tests indicate that MLE, MLM and EPFM outperformed other Weibull parameter estimation methods for a betterfit behavior. Yearly Weibull pdf and cdf are obtained and Weibull wind characteristics are determined. Wind turbinesEcotecnia 60/1.67 MW and Nordex S77 1500 kW are used to extract wind energy on yearly basis. Estimated yearlyWeibull power densities are in the range 623.00 - 700.13 W/m2, 276.04 – 307.55 W/m2 and 66.85 – 75.93 W/m2 forOrmara, Gwadar and Lasbela respectively. Extracted wind energy values for Ormara and Gwadar using wind turbinesare reported as ca. 8623 kWh and ca. 4622 kWh, respectively.


2021 ◽  
Vol 50 (5) ◽  
pp. 77-100
Author(s):  
Aidi khaoula ◽  
Sanku Dey ◽  
Devendra Kumar ◽  
Seddik-Ameur N

In this paper, we try to contribute to the distribution theory literature by incorporating a new bounded distribution, called the unit generalized inverse Weibull distribution (UGIWD) in the (0, 1) intervals by transformation method. The proposed distribution exhibits  increasing and bathtub shaped hazard rate function. We derive some basic statistical properties of the new distribution. Based on complete sample, the model parameters are obtained by the methods of maximum likelihood, least square, weighted least square, percentile, maximum product of spacing and Cram`er-von-Mises and compared them using Monte Carlo simulation study. In addition, bootstrap confidence intervals of the parameters of the model based on aforementioned methods of estimation are also obtained. We illustrate the performance of the proposed distribution by means of one real data set and the data set shows that the new distribution is more appropriate as compared to unit Birnbaum-Saunders, unit gamma, unit Weibull, Kumaraswamy and unit Burr III distributions. Further, we construct chi-squared goodness-of-fit tests for the UGIWD using right censored data based on Nikulin-Rao-Robson (NRR) statistic and its modification. The criterion test used is the modified chi-squared statistic Y^2, developedby Bagdonavi?ius and Nikulin, 2011 for some parametric models when data are censored. The performances of the proposed test are shown by an intensive simulation study and an application to real data set


2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-10
Author(s):  
Yang Liu ◽  
Dan Zeng ◽  
Lei Cao ◽  
Naiwei Lu

In order to improve the stiffness and shear bearing capacity of steel-UHPC composite bridge, an innovative shear connector named arc-shaped reinforcement shear connector was proposed and compared with the stud and perforated bar steel plate shear connector using the static push-out test. Considering shear connector diameter, a total of ten push-out specimens for five groups were designed. The results indicated that the failure modes and failure mechanism of the arc-shaped reinforcement shear connectors were significantly different from stud shear connector and perforated bar steel plate. Obvious failure characteristics such as crack and reinforcement were not observed for the arc-shaped reinforcement specimens except for fine cracks on the top of one specimen, but these were observed for the others two types of shear connector. The relative slip value of arc-shaped reinforcement shear connector at the maximum load was the smallest and less than 1 mm in three types of shear connectors. The stiffness and shear bearing capacity of arc-shaped reinforcement were higher than those of stud and perforated bar steel plate under the same diameter. Increasing arc-shaped reinforcement diameter could improve significantly static behavior of shear connector. When the diameter of arc-shape reinforcement was increased from 8 mm to 12 mm, the ductility factor, stiffness, and shear bearing capacity of arc-shaped reinforcement shear connector were improved by 174.32%, 214.76%, and 54.2%, respectively. A calculation method of shear bearing capacity was proposed by the least square method and multiple regression analysis and agreed well with the test result.


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