As one of the core systems of a city, urban rail transit plays a pivotal role in ensuring the safe, rational, and efficient operation of the city. Therefore, it is of great significance to ensure the safe operation of urban rail transit network to improve the operation efficiency and economic level of the city. The prerequisite to ensure the safety of urban rail transit network is whether the risk situation of urban rail transit network can be reasonably and accurately evaluated. In order to evaluate the risk level of urban rail transit network reasonably and accurately, firstly, with full consideration of the characteristics of urban rail transit, the risk evaluation system of urban rail transit network was established in this paper based on the three levels of regional economy, social resources, and rail transit. Secondly, based on the entropy-TOPSIS-coupling coordination model, the single-factor influence and multifactor coupling influence in the index system are calculated and analyzed, respectively; thus the coupling coordination degree of urban rail transit system is obtained, so as to quantitatively evaluate and analyze the risk situation in urban rail transit network. Finally, based on the actual data of Shanghai from 2000 to 2016, the case simulation and analysis are carried out. The results show that the two indicators of regional economy and social resources are more likely to affect the safety state of urban rail transit. At the same time, the safety factor of urban rail transit coupling system is increasing year by year and gradually develops from disorder to order. This is more in line with current urban rail transit condition, demonstrating the rationality and accuracy of the entropy-TOPSIS-coupling coordination model proposed in this study.
Urban Rail Transit Risk Evaluation with Incomplete Information
