HIV Prevalence Estimates: The New Deal in Sub-Saharan Africa Since 2000

Author(s):  
Joseph Larmarange
Author(s):  
Emily Oster

Abstract An estimated 33 million people are infected with the HIV virus, with 67% of them in Sub-Saharan Africa. Despite this, knowledge about HIV prevalence in Africa is limited and imperfect. Although population-based testing in recent years has provided reliable information about current prevalence in the general population, we have little reliable data on prevalence in early years of the epidemic. This paper suggests a new methodology for estimating HIV prevalence and incidence using inference from mortality data. This methodology can be used to generate prevalence estimates from early in the epidemic. This information is valuable for understanding how the epidemic has evolved over time and is also likely to be helpful in analyses that explore how policy affects the epidemic or how HIV affects other country-level outcomes.


2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (0) ◽  
pp. 1-25
Author(s):  
Huck-ju Kwon ◽  
Suyeon Lee ◽  
Ye Eun Ha

It has been ten years since the New Deal for Engagement in Fragile States was endorsed by the global community. The government of South Korea set out development initiatives to put fragile states at the top of its development agenda and substantially increased its bilateral aid to them. This study analyses the policy orientations of South Korea’s aid to fragile states by exploring the determinants of Korea’s official development assistance to forty-eight sub-Saharan African (SSA) countries over the period 2010-2019 with reference to the top ten OECD donors to SSA countries as a group. The study found that South Korea does not give special consideration to the needs of fragile states. Unfortunately, this result is not only for South Korea but for the top ten OECD donors as well. While South Korea’s aid has been responsive to post-natural disaster displacement in SSA countries, the overall results indicate that donors in general have failed to embrace their commitment to state-building and peacebuilding in the New Deal for Fragile States and the 2030 Agenda. Given that pursuing ‘development and peace’ is a collective and enduring process with shared obligations and responsibilities across countries, donors shall prioritise development efforts on countries that need most assistance.


2012 ◽  
Vol 88 (Suppl 2) ◽  
pp. i17-i23 ◽  
Author(s):  
Daniel R Hogan ◽  
Joshua A Salomon ◽  
David Canning ◽  
James K Hammitt ◽  
Alan M Zaslavsky ◽  
...  

2016 ◽  
Vol 16 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Nallely Mora ◽  
William H. Adams ◽  
Stephanie Kliethermes ◽  
Lara Dugas ◽  
Neelam Balasubramanian ◽  
...  

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Reka Maulide Cane ◽  
Dessalegn Melesse ◽  
Nkomba Kayeyi ◽  
Abubakar Manu ◽  
Yohannes Dibaba Wado ◽  
...  

Abstract Background In sub-Saharan Africa HIV transmission is a major challenge in adolescents, especially among girls and those living in urban settings. Major international efforts have aimed at reducing sexual transmission. This analysis aims to assess the trends in HIV prevalence by gender in adolescents, as well as urban-rural disparities. Methods HIV prevalence data were obtained for 30 countries with a national survey since 2010 and for 23 countries with one survey circa 2005 and a recent survey circa 2015. Countries were grouped into 2% or higher and lower than 2% HIV prevalence among girls 15–19 years in the first survey. Country medians and average annual rates of changes were used to summarize the trends. Data on HIV incidence at ages 15–24 and prevalence at 5–9 and 10–14 years were reviewed from 11 recent national surveys. Trends in urban-rural disparities in HIV prevalence and selected indicators of sexual and HIV testing behaviours were assessed for females and males 15–24 years, using the same surveys. Results HIV prevalence among girls 15–19 years declined in the higher HIV prevalence group from 5.7–2.6% during 2005–2015, corresponding with an average annual rate of reduction of 6.5% per year. Among boys, the median HIV prevalence declined from 2.1–1.2% in the higher prevalence group. Smaller changes were observed in the lower prevalence country group where median HIV prevalence among girls decreased from 0.7–0.4% (average annual rate of reduction 5.9%). Girl – boy differences at 10–14 years were small with a country median HIV of 1.0% and 1.3%, respectively. Urban females and males 15–24 had at least 1.5 times higher HIV prevalence than their rural counterparts, and all experienced similar declines during 2005–2015. Condom use and HIV testing increased among adolescents in both higher and lower prevalence countries, but indicators of sexual activity showed little change over time. Conclusions HIV prevalence declined in almost all countries during the last decade, in both urban and rural settings, for both sexes. The urban-rural gap persisted and HIV transmission to girls, but not boys, is still a major challenge in eastern and southern African countries.


The Lancet ◽  
2004 ◽  
Vol 364 (9428) ◽  
pp. 35-40 ◽  
Author(s):  
Emil Asamoah-Odei ◽  
Jesus M Garcia Calleja ◽  
J Ties Boerma

AIDS ◽  
2000 ◽  
Vol 14 (17) ◽  
pp. 2741-2750 ◽  
Author(s):  
Basia W. Zaba ◽  
Lucy M. Carpenter ◽  
J. Ties Boerma ◽  
Simon Gregson ◽  
Jessica Nakiyingi ◽  
...  

PLoS ONE ◽  
2016 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. e0148502 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hanne K. Hegdahl ◽  
Knut M. Fylkesnes ◽  
Ingvild F. Sandøy

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