scholarly journals The Influence of Foreign Direct Investment on the GDP Progression of Pakistan

2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 22-33
Author(s):  
Muhammad Aslam Javed

The Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) inflows play a very important role in the economic development of the beneficiary country. The objective of this study is to check the impact of the exchange rate (and other variables like Foreign Exchange Rate, Consumer price index, Trade Openness, and Energy Imports) on foreign direct investment in Pakistan by taking annual data from the period 1999-2013 (Monthly Basis).By using Descriptive,Correlation and regression , the effect of Consumer Price Index, exchange rate, trade openness, energy imports on Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) of Pakistan.  The study guide the foreign investor and to categorize the factors, that can affect the Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), while investing in Pakistan.

2016 ◽  
Vol 12 (34) ◽  
pp. 384 ◽  
Author(s):  
Muhammad Akram Gilal ◽  
Khadim Hussain ◽  
Muhammad Ajmair ◽  
Sabahat Akram

Objective of this paper was to evaluate the impact of foreign direct investment (FDI) on trade components (exports and imports) of Pakistan using annual data from 1975 to 2013. Engle and Granger two step cointegration method was used for conducting the analysis. This method was adopted because all the variables of interest were non stationary in level and stationary at first difference. Results provide evidence of long run cointegrating relationship as well as short run relationship between FDI and trade components. A rise in FDI causes both exports and imports to increase. Based on these empirical findings, we strongly recommend Government of Pakistan to focus on the strategy of investment liberalization as well as trade openness.


2017 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 18
Author(s):  
Hina Ali ◽  
Sadia Sajjad

The present study proposes to analyze the impact of the capital flows on the economic growth. The change in the capital flows affects the money supply in the economy which in return influences the economic growth. The augmented dickey fuller test (ADF), descriptive Analysis, correlation method, and the auto regressive distribution lag are employed in this work. The ADF test is delved to examine the Stationarity of the variables and the correlation between them. The descriptive analysis is used to check the normality of the variable whether the variables is normally distributed or not. The survey bases on time series data ranging from the year 1974 to 2014. The variables as the gross domestic product (GDP), exchange rate (ER), inflation (INF), consumer price index (CPI), money supply (M2), total reserves (TR) and the foreign direct investment (FDI), price indices (PI). The research findings are Foreign direct investment, Exchange rate, Inflation rate, Consumer Price Index has the positive impact on the GDP while the Private Investment, Total reserves, and Money supply have the negative impact on the GDP. The value of the R square is 0.99874 which is very good. It means that the 99 percent variations exist in dependent variable due to independent variables. 


2012 ◽  
Vol 2012 ◽  
pp. 1-10 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bishnu Kumar Adhikary

This paper investigates the impact of foreign direct investment (FDI), trade openness, domestic demand, and exchange rate on the export performance of Bangladesh over the period of 1980–2009 using the vector error correction (VEC) model under the time series framework. The stationarity of the variables is checked both at the intercept and intercept plus trend regression forms under the ADF and PP stationarity tests. The Johansen-Juselius procedure is applied to test the cointegration relationship between variables followed by the VEC regression model. The empirical results trace a long-run equilibrium relationship in the variables. FDI is found to be an important factor in explaining the changes in exports both in the short run and long-run. However, the study does not trace any significant causal relationship for the cases of trade openness, domestic demand, and exchange rate. The study concludes that Bangladesh should formulate FDI-led polices to enhance its exports.


2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (27) ◽  
pp. 92-103
Author(s):  
Valentina E. Guseva ◽  
Sofya V. Mechik

Foreign investment is of high importance for economic growth in Russia. The problem of enhancing investment flows makes it increasingly relevant to search for effective tools for stimulating investment activity. We attempt to identify the factors affecting the dynamics of foreign direct investment (FDI). The paper analyses the current state of foreign direct investment in the Russian economy. Using empirical data for 2001–2018, we construct an econometric model for Russia which considers such factors as inflation (the Consumer Price Index), the exchange rate and imports. The results of the model’s testing do not confirm the initial assumptions that inflation exerts a more profound effect on FDI than the exchange rate and that there is a correlation between these indicators. For Russia, the dependence of FDI on the exchange rate remains insignificant; in addition, we find a direct relationship between the indicators. According to the model, the impact of inflation (direct relationship) and the volume of imports (inverse relationship) are of greater significance. It is noteworthy that the dynamics of foreign direct investment is partially due to its fluctuations with a time lag. The model forecasts that from 2019 to 2024 Russia is expected to experience a rise in FDI net outflows. The findings indicate that in order to attract foreign direct investment, it is necessary to implement economic transformations that will improve the business environment and lead to the development of healthy competition.


Author(s):  
Irfan Ullah ◽  
Humaira Noreen ◽  
Zia Ur Rehman ◽  
Naveed Shinwari

The aim of this study was to find the impact of Inflation rate, Interest rate, Foreign direct investment, Trade openness and Exchange rate on Return of assets of textile weaving sector of Pakistan during the period of 1997 to 2019. The Dependent variable was Return on Assets while Inflation rate, Interest rate, Foreign direct investment, Trade openness and Exchange rate were independent variables, Data for the study was obtained from secondary sources like World Development Indicator, Pakistan Stock exchange and financial stability review issued by State Bank of Pakistan during 1997 to 2019. ROA were collected from Annual reports of the selected textile businesses (weaving sector). The results of Co-integration indicated the long run relationship among the variables. However, inflation rate, interest rate and exchange rate have positive and significant impact on return on Assets of textile weaving sector of Pakistan, on the other hand Foreign direct investment and Trade openness have insignificant effect on Return on assets of textile weaving sector of Pakistan. This paper is limited to linear framework some results may be sensitive to non-linearities, a non-linear frame work should be included in future research.


Author(s):  
Ibeinmo Friday Cookey ◽  
Francis Ariayefa Eniekezimene

This research paper investigated the determinants of foreign direct investment inflow into the Nigerian economy. This is because Nigeria at present is still characterized by low economic growth, which has created other macro-economic problems like inflation, low export, unemployment, unfavorable exchange rate, balance of payment disequilibrium, etc. The study adopted the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL/Bounds testing) econometric tool to examine the determinants of foreign direct investment (FDI) in the Nigerian economy. Data for the analysis are annual data covering the period 1981-2019, obtained from the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) Statistical Bulletin several issues. The study used inflation rate (INFR), interest rate (INTR), exchange rate (EXR) and trade openness (TOPN) as independent variables. While foreign Direct Investment (FDI) was used as the dependent variable. The result indicates that exchange rate (EXR) and trade openness (TOPN) are all positive determinants of FDI in the Nigerian economy as their corresponding coefficients are positive. The result further shows that for the Nigerian economy to attract FDI significantly by one percent, exchange rate and trade openness will increase by 0.18 and 5.00 percent respectively. On the other hand, inflation rate (INFR), and interest rate (INTR) are negative determinants of foreign direct investment in Nigeria. Meaning that, an attempt to increase either of these variables would result to a decline in foreign direct investment in the country and vice versa. We therefore conclude that both EXR and TOPN had a positive and significant impact on the FDI inflow to the Nigerian economy, and are therefore adjudged positive determinants of FDI inflow into the Nigerian economy within the period 1981-2019. INFR and INTR on the other hand maintained their negative influence on FDI inflow to the Nigerian Economy, hence, are negative determinants of FDI inflow into the Nigerian economy within the period 1981-2019. Finally, we recommend that government should sustain its drive for import substitutions which will encourage export, expand its bilateral trade ties with developed economies so as to woo FDI inflows. Also, government through it monetary authorities should reduce inflation and interest rates. This will help to woo FDI inflow into the Nigerian economy.


2018 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Tom Jacob ◽  
Thomas Paul Kattookaran

For the past few years, Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) has become the indicator for Economic Growth, especially in emerging economies. This paper empirically investigates the determinants of FDI flows in India by employing the Auto Regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model. The result confirm the existence of a long run equilibrium between the FDI and five explanatory variables, namely exchange rate, Wholesale Price Index, Index of Industrial Production, Trade openness and dummy variable (financial crisis). India’s Wholesale Price Index, Exchange Rate volatility and Index of Industrial Production have positively influence the flow of FDI in India and Trade Openness is negatively significant for the flow of FDI in India. The coefficient of the Error Correction Term (ECT) is highly significant with expected sign, which confirm the result of bound test for co-integration. The cumulative sum of recursive residual (CUSUM) test is used for measuring the stability of the model.


2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-8
Author(s):  
Ashamu Sikiru O.

This research work investigated the impact of monetary policy on foreign trade in Nigeria during the period 1981 to 2017. The research made use of secondary data which are collected from the Central Bank of Nigeria, Statistical Bulletin (2017). The model obtained from the result represents a Error Correction Model (ECM) which relates the dependent variable (Net Import) to several predictor variables Money Supply, Interest Rate, Exchange Rate, Foreign Direct Investment and Trade Openness. From the findings of the study, the error correction term (speed of adjustment towards equilibrium) value of -0.53581 is significant at 5% and implies that there is a long run causality running from monetary policy   activities measures of foreign trade. However, only all the variable was used in the study was significant at 5% level of significance. This implies that monetary policy in Nigeria has a positive influence on foreign trade within the period, except for interest rate that has a negative coefficient and not significant. In conclusion, these intermediate variables of monetary, the exchange rate arguably have a huge impact on the economy because of its effect on the value of local currency, domestic inflation, macroeconomic credibility, capital flows and financial stability. Increased exchange rate directly affects the prices of imported commodities and an increase in the price of imported goods and services contributes directly to increase in inflation. Based on the analysis, the study concluded that there is significance relationship between money supply and net import in Nigeria and also that there is relationship between foreign direct investment and net import in Nigeria. The study also shows that there is relationship between trade openness and net import in Nigeria.


2021 ◽  
pp. 001946622110624
Author(s):  
Ishfaq Hamid ◽  
Pabitra Kumar Jena

India has developed a positive attitude towards the foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows during the last five years and made several changes in the market conditions, enhanced civil rights and liberties to attract more FDI inflows. This study examines the impact of democracy on FDI inflows in India by employing an autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model. For the said purpose, the study uses the annual data from 1980–2017. The findings demonstrate that the democratic setup does not induce FDI inflows in the short run, but there is a positive and significant impact of democracy in the long run. Furthermore, it confirms that gross national income per capita; trade openness, political rights, and civil liberties are significant and positive determinants of FDI inflows in India. Based on findings, this study recommends that India nurture democratic values, property rights security, and values of civil liberty & freedom to appeal for more foreign investment inflows into India progressively. JEL Codes: D73, C22, F14


2020 ◽  
Vol V (II) ◽  
pp. 260-272
Author(s):  
Faaeza Atiq ◽  
Mudassir Uddin ◽  
Irfan Hussain Khan

This paper intended to analyze key Macroeconomic factor’s effect on Pakistan’s economic development. The annual time-series data has been taken from 1980 to 2018 on External Debts, Foreign Direct investment. Consumer Price Index and Term of Trade. Variables stationarity is analyzed by ADF and Ng-Perron tests; afterwards, JJ test and Granger Causality test are used for Long-run (LR) & Short-run(SR) associations between variables, respectively. Also, Residuals Diagnostic Test used for checking residuals assumptions and CUSUM and CUSUMSQ are used for checking parameter constancy. The result shows significantly negative and positive long-run effects of External Debts and Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) respectively on the economic growth of Pakistan. Albeit, Consumer Price Index (CPI), Term of Trade (TOT) and, FDI significantly Granger cause economic growth in the short-run. Research suggests that economic policies devised in such a way that deteriorates External Debts and attract foreign investments and strengthen the economic growth of Pakistan in the long-term.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document