scholarly journals Macroeconomic Dynamics of Foreign Direct Investment in India: An Empirical Analysis

2018 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Tom Jacob ◽  
Thomas Paul Kattookaran

For the past few years, Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) has become the indicator for Economic Growth, especially in emerging economies. This paper empirically investigates the determinants of FDI flows in India by employing the Auto Regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model. The result confirm the existence of a long run equilibrium between the FDI and five explanatory variables, namely exchange rate, Wholesale Price Index, Index of Industrial Production, Trade openness and dummy variable (financial crisis). India’s Wholesale Price Index, Exchange Rate volatility and Index of Industrial Production have positively influence the flow of FDI in India and Trade Openness is negatively significant for the flow of FDI in India. The coefficient of the Error Correction Term (ECT) is highly significant with expected sign, which confirm the result of bound test for co-integration. The cumulative sum of recursive residual (CUSUM) test is used for measuring the stability of the model.

2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 22-33
Author(s):  
Muhammad Aslam Javed

The Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) inflows play a very important role in the economic development of the beneficiary country. The objective of this study is to check the impact of the exchange rate (and other variables like Foreign Exchange Rate, Consumer price index, Trade Openness, and Energy Imports) on foreign direct investment in Pakistan by taking annual data from the period 1999-2013 (Monthly Basis).By using Descriptive,Correlation and regression , the effect of Consumer Price Index, exchange rate, trade openness, energy imports on Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) of Pakistan.  The study guide the foreign investor and to categorize the factors, that can affect the Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), while investing in Pakistan.


2017 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 119
Author(s):  
Ryan Hawari ◽  
Fitri Kartiasih

Indonesia is a developing country which adopts an “open economic”. That caused Indonesia economic is strongly influenced by factors that come from outside of Indonesia. External factors in this research is referred to foreign debt, foreign direct investment, trade openness and exchange rate of rupiah with USD. The analytical method in this research used Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) which will focused on Impulse Response Function (IRF) and Forecast Error Variance Decomposition (FEVD). Based on result of IRF, exchange rate had a positive effect to economic growth, while foreign debt, foreign direct investment and trade openness had a negative effect to economic growth. Based on result of FEVD, shock on economic growth in Indonesia affected by economic growth itself (43.21%), followed by foreign debt (26.30%), trade openness (14.16%), foreign direct investment (8.29%) and exchange rate (8.04%) Keywords: economic growth, trade openness, VECM, IRF, FEVD


2020 ◽  
Vol V (III) ◽  
pp. 22-33
Author(s):  
Ghulam Yahya Khan ◽  
Muhammad Masood Anwar ◽  
Aftab Anwar

This study explores the nexus amongst trade openness and economic growth for Pakistan for 1981-2019. Trade-openness is a dependent variable, and it is measured as imports plus exports to GDP ratio. Economic growth, Foreign Direct Investment, Inflation, Exchange rate, and interest rate are taken as explanatory variables. Co-integration approach by Johansen and Juselius (1988, 1991) has been used for long-run relationships. Results indicate that Trade-Openness has significantly affected the economic growth and other control variables of the study for Pakistan. There exist bidirectional Granger Causality in the selected variables.


Author(s):  
Olusegun Akinwale Samson ◽  
Oluwabusayo Temitope Obagunwa

This study examined the effect of globalization on agricultural sector development in Nigeria. The study employed annual time series data from Central Bank of Nigeria Statistical Bulletin between 1986 and 2018 which were analyzed with Autoregressive Distributed Lag technique. The result of the Bound co-integration test indicated that there is long run relationship among agricultural sector output, foreign direct investment, foreign portfolio investment as a percentage of gross domestic product, trade openness and exchange rate. The result of the ARDL revealed that trade openness, foreign portfolio investment and exchange rate stimulate agricultural sector output while foreign direct investment negatively influence agricultural sector output in Nigeria. It was concluded that globalization plays important role in the development and enhancement of agricultural sector output in Nigeria through openness and financial inflow to the sector. Thus, government should formulate policy frameworks that will enhance the trade relationship between the agricultural sector and other developed nations to facilitate the inflow of important raw materials for the sector’s productivity, government should formulate policies that will ease direct investment inflow into the agricultural sector by creating linkage between foreign multi-national companies and agricultural sector in Nigeria. Finally, it was recommended that exchange rate stability should be prioritized by the government and more foreign exchange subsidy should be given to the agricultural sector to facilitate the of importation of raw materials.


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 1641-1653
Author(s):  
Noreen Safdar

This study is intended to find out how and to what extent FDI and trade openness affect the growth of economy in Pakistan for time span 1980-2018. To examine influence of FDI and trade openness, GDP was used by way of dependent variable whereas FDI, trade openness, exchange rate, and inflation are also taken as independent variables. The ARDL technique is employed in following study to estimate short-run and long-run results. This study concludes that TO have a positive momentous influence on GDP in both long and short run. While Foreign Direct Investment has an optimistic but irrelevant influence on GDP in Pakistan which demonstrates that TO has a more progressive influence on GDP of Pakistan than FDI. Other variables labor force and inflation harm economic growth while the exchange rate affects GDP positively. It is suggested by the study to enhance economic growth, govt should focus on liberalization of trade by reducing tariffs, customs duties, and other types of taxes on exports to enhance the economic growth of Pakistan.


2017 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 18
Author(s):  
Hina Ali ◽  
Sadia Sajjad

The present study proposes to analyze the impact of the capital flows on the economic growth. The change in the capital flows affects the money supply in the economy which in return influences the economic growth. The augmented dickey fuller test (ADF), descriptive Analysis, correlation method, and the auto regressive distribution lag are employed in this work. The ADF test is delved to examine the Stationarity of the variables and the correlation between them. The descriptive analysis is used to check the normality of the variable whether the variables is normally distributed or not. The survey bases on time series data ranging from the year 1974 to 2014. The variables as the gross domestic product (GDP), exchange rate (ER), inflation (INF), consumer price index (CPI), money supply (M2), total reserves (TR) and the foreign direct investment (FDI), price indices (PI). The research findings are Foreign direct investment, Exchange rate, Inflation rate, Consumer Price Index has the positive impact on the GDP while the Private Investment, Total reserves, and Money supply have the negative impact on the GDP. The value of the R square is 0.99874 which is very good. It means that the 99 percent variations exist in dependent variable due to independent variables. 


2012 ◽  
Vol 2012 ◽  
pp. 1-10 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bishnu Kumar Adhikary

This paper investigates the impact of foreign direct investment (FDI), trade openness, domestic demand, and exchange rate on the export performance of Bangladesh over the period of 1980–2009 using the vector error correction (VEC) model under the time series framework. The stationarity of the variables is checked both at the intercept and intercept plus trend regression forms under the ADF and PP stationarity tests. The Johansen-Juselius procedure is applied to test the cointegration relationship between variables followed by the VEC regression model. The empirical results trace a long-run equilibrium relationship in the variables. FDI is found to be an important factor in explaining the changes in exports both in the short run and long-run. However, the study does not trace any significant causal relationship for the cases of trade openness, domestic demand, and exchange rate. The study concludes that Bangladesh should formulate FDI-led polices to enhance its exports.


2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (4) ◽  
pp. 45-65
Author(s):  
Oludayo Elijah Adekunle

What determines foreign direct investment inflows has been a subject of controversies among scholars. As a result of the highlighted gap discussed in this study, the short and long run determinants of foreign direct investment and their effects on foreign direct investment inflow in Nigeria was investigated from 1986 to 2018. Data were analyzed with Augmented Dickey-Fuller and Philip Perron unit root test, Autoregressive Distributed Lag and Pairwise Granger Causality techniques. Evidence of long run dynamic equilibrium relationship was established between foreign direct investment and its determinants. The short and long run coefficients revealed that government capital expenditure and inflation impede the inflow of foreign direct investment both in the short and long run while exchange rate serve as bane to foreign direct investment in the long run. However, gross domestic product and trade openness were found to stimulate the inflow of foreign direct investment in the short and long run. The Pairwise causality result revealed that government capital expenditure, exchange rate and trade openness had independent causality with foreign direct investment while gross domestic product and inflation rate had unidirectional causality with foreign direct investment. Thus, government should allocate more funds for the provision of enabling and investment enhancing environment to promote foreign direct investment inflow. The study added value to previous studies by estimating the short and long run determinants of foreign direct investment using more dynamic and robust technique of Autoregressive Distributed Lag developed by Peseran and Shin (1999). JEL Codes: C32, F21.


2020 ◽  
Vol V (IV) ◽  
pp. 24-33
Author(s):  
Ghulam Yahya Khan ◽  
Muhammad Masood Anwar ◽  
Aftab Anwar

This study explores the nexus amongst trade openness and economic growth for Pakistan for 1981-2019. Trade-openness is a dependent variable, and it is measured as imports plus exports to GDP ratio. Economic growth, Foreign Direct Investment, Inflation, Exchange rate, and interest rate are taken as explanatory variables. Co-integration approach by Johansen and Juselius (1988, 1991) has been used for long-run relationships. Results indicate that Trade-Openness has significantly affected the economic growth and other control variables of the study for Pakistan. There exist bidirectional Granger Causality in the selected variables.


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