Radiative effects of inter-annually varying versus inter-annually
invariant aerosol emissions from fires
Abstract. Open-burning fires play an important role in the Earth's climate system. In addition to contributing a substantial fraction of global emissions of carbon dioxide, they are also a major source of atmospheric aerosols such as organic carbon, black carbon, and sulphate. These "fire aerosols" can influence the climate via both direct and indirect radiative effects. In this study, we investigate these radiative effects and the hydrological fast response using the Community Atmosphere Model version 5 (CAM5). Emissions of fire aerosols exert a global mean net radiative effect of −1.0 W m−2, dominated by the cloud shortwave response to organic carbon aerosol. The net radiative effect is particularly strong over boreal regions. By comparing simulations using inter-annually varying versus inter-annually invariant emissions, we find that ignoring the inter-annual variability of the emissions can lead to systematic overestimation of the strength of the net radiative effect of the fire aerosols. Globally, the overestimation is +23 % (−0.2 W m−2). Regionally, the overestimation can be substantially larger. For example, over Australia and New Zealand the overestimation is +58 % (−1.2 W m−2), while over Boreal Asia the overestimation is +43 % (−1.9 W m−2). The systematic overestimation of the net radiative effect of the fire aerosols is likely due to the non-linear influence of aerosols on clouds. However, ignoring inter-annual variability in the emissions does not appear to significantly impact the hydrological fast response. In order to improve understanding of the climate system, we need to more accurately quantify the effects of aerosols, taking into account important characteristics such as inter-annual variability.