scholarly journals Three-dimensional variations of atmospheric CO<sub>2</sub>: aircraft measurements and multi-transport model simulations

2011 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. 12805-12848 ◽  
Author(s):  
Y. Niwa ◽  
P. K. Patra ◽  
Y. Sawa ◽  
T. Machida ◽  
H. Matsueda ◽  
...  

Abstract. Numerical simulation and validation of three-dimensional structure of atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) is necessary for quantification of transport model uncertainty and its role on surface flux estimation by inverse modeling. Simulations of atmospheric CO2 were performed using four transport models and two sets of surface fluxes compared with an aircraft measurement dataset of Comprehensive Observation Network for Trace gases by AIrLiner (CONTRAIL), covering various latitudes, longitudes, and heights. Under this transport model intercomparison project, spatiotemporal variations of CO2 concentration for 2006–2007 were analyzed with a three-dimensional perspective. Results show that the models reasonably simulated vertical profiles and seasonal variations not only over northern latitude areas but also over the tropics and southern latitudes. From CONTRAIL measurements and model simulations, intrusion of northern CO2 in to the Southern Hemisphere, through the upper troposphere, was confirmed. Furthermore, models well simulated the vertical propagation of seasonal variation in the northern free-troposphere. However, significant model–observation discrepancies were found in Asian regions, which are attributable to uncertainty of the surface CO2 flux data. The models consistently underestimated the north-tropics mean gradient of CO2 both in the free-troposphere and marine boundary layer during boreal summer. This result suggests that the north-tropics contrast of annual mean net non-fossil CO2 flux should be greater than 2.7 Pg C yr−1 for 2007.

2011 ◽  
Vol 11 (24) ◽  
pp. 13359-13375 ◽  
Author(s):  
Y. Niwa ◽  
P. K. Patra ◽  
Y. Sawa ◽  
T. Machida ◽  
H. Matsueda ◽  
...  

Abstract. Numerical simulation and validation of three-dimensional structure of atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) is necessary for quantification of transport model uncertainty and its role on surface flux estimation by inverse modeling. Simulations of atmospheric CO2 were performed using four transport models and two sets of surface fluxes compared with an aircraft measurement dataset of Comprehensive Observation Network for Trace gases by AIrLiner (CONTRAIL), covering various latitudes, longitudes, and heights. Under this transport model intercomparison project, spatiotemporal variations of CO2 concentration for 2006–2007 were analyzed with a three-dimensional perspective. Results show that the models reasonably simulated vertical profiles and seasonal variations not only over northern latitude areas but also over the tropics and southern latitudes. From CONTRAIL measurements and model simulations, intrusion of northern CO2 in to the Southern Hemisphere, through the upper troposphere, was confirmed. Furthermore, models well simulated the vertical propagation of seasonal variation in the northern free troposphere. However, significant model-observation discrepancies were found in Asian regions, which are attributable to uncertainty of the surface CO2 flux data. In summer season, differences in latitudinal gradients by the fluxes are comparable to or greater than model-model differences even in the free troposphere. This result suggests that active summer vertical transport sufficiently ventilates flux signals up to the free troposphere and the models could use those for inferring surface CO2 fluxes.


2011 ◽  
Vol 11 (10) ◽  
pp. 27833-27860 ◽  
Author(s):  
O. Puentedura ◽  
M. Gil ◽  
A. Saiz-Lopez ◽  
T. Hay ◽  
M. Navarro-Comas ◽  
...  

Abstract. Iodine monoxide (IO) was retrieved using a new multi-axis DOAS instrument deployed at the Izaña subtropical observatory as part of the Network for the Detection of Atmospheric Composition Change (NDACC) programme. The station is located at 2370 m a.s.l., well above the trade wind inversion that limits the top of the marine boundary layer, and is hence representative of the free troposphere. We report daily observations from May to August 2010 at different viewing angles. During this period, the spectral signature of IO was unequivocally detected on every day of measurement. A mean IO differential slant column density (DSCD) of 1.2 × 1013 molecules cm−2 was observed at 5° instrument elevation angle (IEA) on clear days using a single zenith reference for the reported period, with a day-to-day variability of 12% at 1 standard deviation. At an IEA of 0°, the mean DSCD value for clear days is 2.0 × 1013 molecules cm−2, with a day-to-day variability of 14%. Based on simultaneous O4 measurements, the IO mixing ratio is estimated to be 0.18 pptv in the free troposphere at an IEA of 5°. Episodes of Saharan dust outbreaks were also observed, with large increases in the DSCDs at higher elevation angles, suggesting an enhancement of IO inside the dust cloud.


2009 ◽  
Vol 9 (8) ◽  
pp. 2619-2633 ◽  
Author(s):  
L. Feng ◽  
P. I. Palmer ◽  
H. Bösch ◽  
S. Dance

Abstract. We have developed an ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF) to estimate 8-day regional surface fluxes of CO2 from space-borne CO2 dry-air mole fraction observations (XCO2) and evaluate the approach using a series of synthetic experiments, in preparation for data from the NASA Orbiting Carbon Observatory (OCO). The 32-day duty cycle of OCO alternates every 16 days between nadir and glint measurements of backscattered solar radiation at short-wave infrared wavelengths. The EnKF uses an ensemble of states to represent the error covariances to estimate 8-day CO2 surface fluxes over 144 geographical regions. We use a 12×8-day lag window, recognising that XCO2 measurements include surface flux information from prior time windows. The observation operator that relates surface CO2 fluxes to atmospheric distributions of XCO2 includes: a) the GEOS-Chem transport model that relates surface fluxes to global 3-D distributions of CO2 concentrations, which are sampled at the time and location of OCO measurements that are cloud-free and have aerosol optical depths <0.3; and b) scene-dependent averaging kernels that relate the CO2 profiles to XCO2, accounting for differences between nadir and glint measurements, and the associated scene-dependent observation errors. We show that OCO XCO2 measurements significantly reduce the uncertainties of surface CO2 flux estimates. Glint measurements are generally better at constraining ocean CO2 flux estimates. Nadir XCO2 measurements over the terrestrial tropics are sparse throughout the year because of either clouds or smoke. Glint measurements provide the most effective constraint for estimating tropical terrestrial CO2 fluxes by accurately sampling fresh continental outflow over neighbouring oceans. We also present results from sensitivity experiments that investigate how flux estimates change with 1) bias and unbiased errors, 2) alternative duty cycles, 3) measurement density and correlations, 4) the spatial resolution of estimated flux estimates, and 5) reducing the length of the lag window and the size of the ensemble. At the revision stage of this manuscript, the OCO instrument failed to reach its orbit after it was launched on 24 February 2009. The EnKF formulation presented here is also applicable to GOSAT measurements of CO2 and CH4.


Author(s):  
YU ZHANG ◽  
YU PING GUAN ◽  
RUI XIN HUANG

AbstractOcean striations are composed of alternating quasi-zonal band-like flows; this kind of organized structure of currents be found in all world’s oceans and seas. Previous studies have mainly been focused on the mechanisms of their generation and propagation. This study uses the spatial high-pass filtering to obtain the three-dimensional structure of ocean striations in the North Pacific in both the z-coordinate and σ-coordinate based on 10-yr averaged SODA3 data. First, we identify an ideal-fluid potential density domain where the striations are undisturbed by the surface forcing and boundary effects. Second, using the isopycnal layer analysis, we show that on isopycnal surfaces the orientations of striations nearly follow the potential vorticity (PV) contours, while in the meridional-vertical plane the central positions of striations are generally aligned with the latitude of zero gradient of the relative PV. Our analysis provides a simple dynamical interpretation and better understanding for the role of ocean striations.


2004 ◽  
Vol 19 (4) ◽  
pp. 391-399
Author(s):  
C. Giannakopoulos ◽  
M.P. Chipperfield ◽  
K.S. Law ◽  
D.E. Shallcross ◽  
K.-Y. Wang ◽  
...  

2010 ◽  
Vol 10 (21) ◽  
pp. 10223-10236 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. B. Gilman ◽  
J. F. Burkhart ◽  
B. M. Lerner ◽  
E. J. Williams ◽  
W. C. Kuster ◽  
...  

Abstract. The influence of halogen oxidation on the variabilities of ozone (O3) and volatile organic compounds (VOCs) within the Arctic and sub-Arctic atmospheric boundary layer was investigated using field measurements from multiple campaigns conducted in March and April 2008 as part of the POLARCAT project. For the ship-based measurements, a high degree of correlation (r = 0.98 for 544 data points collected north of 68° N) was observed between the acetylene to benzene ratio, used as a marker for chlorine and bromine oxidation, and O3 signifying the vast influence of halogen oxidation throughout the ice-free regions of the North Atlantic. Concurrent airborne and ground-based measurements in the Alaskan Arctic substantiated this correlation and were used to demonstrate that halogen oxidation influenced O3 variability throughout the Arctic boundary layer during these springtime studies. Measurements aboard the R/V Knorr in the North Atlantic and Arctic Oceans provided a unique view of the transport of O3-poor air masses from the Arctic Basin to latitudes as far south as 52° N. FLEXPART, a Lagrangian transport model, was used to quantitatively determine the exposure of air masses encountered by the ship to first-year ice (FYI), multi-year ice (MYI), and total ICE (FYI+MYI). O3 anti-correlated with the modeled total ICE tracer (r = −0.86) indicating that up to 73% of the O3 variability measured in the Arctic marine boundary layer could be related to sea ice exposure.


2013 ◽  
Vol 13 (14) ◽  
pp. 7115-7132 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. Berchet ◽  
I. Pison ◽  
F. Chevallier ◽  
P. Bousquet ◽  
S. Conil ◽  
...  

Abstract. We adapt general statistical methods to estimate the optimal error covariance matrices in a regional inversion system inferring methane surface emissions from atmospheric concentrations. Using a minimal set of physical hypotheses on the patterns of errors, we compute a guess of the error statistics that is optimal in regard to objective statistical criteria for the specific inversion system. With this very general approach applied to a real-data case, we recover sources of errors in the observations and in the prior state of the system that are consistent with expert knowledge while inferred from objective criteria and with affordable computation costs. By not assuming any specific error patterns, our results depict the variability and the inter-dependency of errors induced by complex factors such as the misrepresentation of the observations in the transport model or the inability of the model to reproduce well the situations of steep gradients of concentrations. Situations with probable significant biases (e.g., during the night when vertical mixing is ill-represented by the transport model) can also be diagnosed by our methods in order to point at necessary improvement in a model. By additionally analysing the sensitivity of the inversion to each observation, guidelines to enhance data selection in regional inversions are also proposed. We applied our method to a recent significant accidental methane release from an offshore platform in the North Sea and found methane fluxes of the same magnitude than what was officially declared.


2009 ◽  
Vol 9 (3) ◽  
pp. 11783-11810
Author(s):  
H. Wang ◽  
D. J. Jacob ◽  
M. Kopacz ◽  
D. B. A. Jones ◽  
P. Suntharalingam ◽  
...  

Abstract. Inverse modeling of CO2 satellite observations to better quantify carbon surface fluxes requires a forward model such as a chemical transport model (CTM) to relate the fluxes to the observed column concentrations. Model transport error is an important source of observational error. We investigate the potential of using CO satellite observations as additional constraints in a joint CO2–CO inversion to improve CO2 flux estimates, by exploiting the CTM transport error correlations between CO2 and CO. We estimate the error correlation globally and for different seasons by a paired-model method (comparing CTM simulations of CO2 and CO columns using different assimilated meteorological data sets for the same meteorological year) and a paired-forecast method (comparing 48- vs. 24-h CTM forecasts of CO2 and CO columns for the same forecast time). We find strong positive and negative error correlations (r2>0.5) between CO2 and CO columns over much of the world throughout the year, and strong consistency between different methods to estimate the error correlation. Application of the averaging kernels used in the retrieval for thermal IR CO measurements weakens the correlation coefficients by 15% on average (mostly due to variability in the averaging kernels) but preserves the large-scale correlation structure. Results from a testbed inverse modeling application show that CO2–CO error correlations can indeed significantly reduce uncertainty on surface carbon fluxes in a joint CO2–CO inversion vs. a CO2–only inversion.


2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Saroja M. Polavarapu ◽  
Feng Deng ◽  
Brendan Byrne ◽  
Dylan B. A. Jones ◽  
Micheal Neish

Abstract. The CO2 flux signal is defined as the difference of the four-dimensional CO2 field obtained by integrating an atmospheric transport model with posterior fluxes and that obtained with prior fluxes. It is a function of both the model and the prior fluxes and it can provide insight into how posterior fluxes inform CO2 distributions. Here, we use the GEOS-Chem transport model constrained by either GOSAT or in situ observations to obtain two sets of posterior flux estimates in order to compare the flux signals obtained from the two different observing systems. Flux signals are also computed using two different models. The global flux signal in the troposphere primarily reflects the northern extratropics whereas the global flux signal in the stratosphere mainly reflects tropical contributions. While both observing systems constrain the global budget for 2010 equally well, stronger seasonal variations of the flux signal are obtained with GOSAT. Posterior CO2 distributions obtained with in situ observations better agree with TCCON measurements over an 18-month time period, but GOSAT-informed posterior fluxes better constrain the seasonal cycle at northern extratropical sites. Zonal standard deviations of the flux signal exceed the minimal value (defined by uncertainty in meteorological analyses) through most of the year when GOSAT observations are used, but when in situ observations are used, the minimum value is exceeded only in boreal summer. This indicates a potential for flux estimates constrained by GOSAT data to retrieve spatial structures within a zonal band throughout the year in the tropics and through most of the year in the northern extratropics. Verification of such spatial structures will require a dense network of independent observations.


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