scholarly journals Air–sea CO<sub>2</sub> flux in the Pacific Ocean for the period 1990–2009

2014 ◽  
Vol 11 (3) ◽  
pp. 709-734 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Ishii ◽  
R. A. Feely ◽  
K. B. Rodgers ◽  
G.-H. Park ◽  
R. Wanninkhof ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Co2 Flux ◽  
South Pacific ◽  
Tropical Pacific ◽  
The South ◽  
The North ◽  
The Pacific ◽  
Diagnostic Models ◽  
The Pacific Ocean ◽  
The North Pacific ◽  
The Tropical Pacific

Abstract. Air–sea CO2 fluxes over the Pacific Ocean are known to be characterized by coherent large-scale structures that reflect not only ocean subduction and upwelling patterns, but also the combined effects of wind-driven gas exchange and biology. On the largest scales, a large net CO2 influx into the extratropics is associated with a robust seasonal cycle, and a large net CO2 efflux from the tropics is associated with substantial interannual variability. In this work, we have synthesized estimates of the net air–sea CO2 flux from a variety of products, drawing upon a variety of approaches in three sub-basins of the Pacific Ocean, i.e., the North Pacific extratropics (18–66° N), the tropical Pacific (18° S–18° N), and the South Pacific extratropics (44.5–18° S). These approaches include those based on the measurements of CO2 partial pressure in surface seawater (pCO2sw), inversions of ocean-interior CO2 data, forward ocean biogeochemistry models embedded in the ocean general circulation models (OBGCMs), a model with assimilation of pCO2sw data, and inversions of atmospheric CO2 measurements. Long-term means, interannual variations and mean seasonal variations of the regionally integrated fluxes were compared in each of the sub-basins over the last two decades, spanning the period from 1990 through 2009. A simple average of the long-term mean fluxes obtained with surface water pCO2 diagnostics and those obtained with ocean-interior CO2 inversions are −0.47 ± 0.13 Pg C yr−1 in the North Pacific extratropics, +0.44 ± 0.14 Pg C yr−1 in the tropical Pacific, and −0.37 ± 0.08 Pg C yr−1 in the South Pacific extratropics, where positive fluxes are into the atmosphere. This suggests that approximately half of the CO2 taken up over the North and South Pacific extratropics is released back to the atmosphere from the tropical Pacific. These estimates of the regional fluxes are also supported by the estimates from OBGCMs after adding the riverine CO2 flux, i.e., −0.49 ± 0.02 Pg C yr−1 in the North Pacific extratropics, +0.41 ± 0.05 Pg C yr−1 in the tropical Pacific, and −0.39 ± 0.11 Pg C yr−1 in the South Pacific extratropics. The estimates from the atmospheric CO2 inversions show large variations amongst different inversion systems, but their median fluxes are consistent with the estimates from climatological pCO2sw data and pCO2sw diagnostics. In the South Pacific extratropics, where CO2 variations in the surface and ocean interior are severely undersampled, the difference in the air–sea CO2 flux estimates between the diagnostic models and ocean-interior CO2 inversions is larger (0.18 Pg C yr−1). The range of estimates from forward OBGCMs is also large (−0.19 to −0.72 Pg C yr−1). Regarding interannual variability of air–sea CO2 fluxes, positive and negative anomalies are evident in the tropical Pacific during the cold and warm events of the El Niño–Southern Oscillation in the estimates from pCO2sw diagnostic models and from OBGCMs. They are consistent in phase with the Southern Oscillation Index, but the peak-to-peak amplitudes tend to be higher in OBGCMs (0.40 ± 0.09 Pg C yr−1) than in the diagnostic models (0.27 ± 0.07 Pg C yr−1).

scholarly journals Air-sea CO<sub>2</sub> flux in the Pacific Ocean for the period 1990–2009

2013 ◽  
Vol 10 (7) ◽  
pp. 12155-12216 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Ishii ◽  
R. A. Feely ◽  
K. B. Rodgers ◽  
G.-H. Park ◽  
R. Wanninkhof ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
North Pacific ◽  
Co2 Flux ◽  
South Pacific ◽  
Tropical Pacific ◽  
The South ◽  
The North ◽  
The Pacific ◽  
The Pacific Ocean ◽  
The North Pacific ◽  
The Tropical Pacific

Abstract. Air-sea CO2 fluxes over the Pacific Ocean are known to be characterized by coherent large-scale structures that reflect not only ocean subduction and upwelling patterns, but also the combined effects of wind-driven gas exchange and biology. On the largest scales, a large net CO2 influx into the extra-tropics is associated with a robust seasonal cycle, and a large net CO2 efflux from the tropics is associated with substantial inter-annual variability. In this work, we have synthesized estimates of the net air-sea CO2 flux from a variety of products drawing upon a variety of approaches in three sub-basins of the Pacific Ocean, i.e., the North Pacific extra-tropics (18° N–66° N), the tropical Pacific (18° S–18° N), and the South Pacific extra-tropics (44.5° S–18° S). These approaches include those based on the measurements of CO2 partial pressure in surface seawater (pCO2sw), inversions of ocean interior CO2 data, forward ocean biogeochemistry models embedded in the ocean general circulation models (OBGCMs), a model with assimilation of pCO2sw data, and inversions of atmospheric CO2 measurements. Long-term means, inter-annual variations and mean seasonal variations of the regionally-integrated fluxes were compared in each of the sub-basins over the last two decades, spanning the period from 1990 through 2009. A simple average of the long-term mean fluxes obtained with surface water pCO2 diagnostics and those obtained with ocean interior CO2 inversions are –0.47 ± 0.13 Pg C yr–1 in the North Pacific extra-tropics, +0.44 ± 0.14 Pg C yr–1 in the tropical Pacific, and –0.37 ± 0.08 Pg C yr–1 in the South Pacific extra-tropics, where positive fluxes are into the atmosphere. This suggests that approximately half of the CO2 taken up over the North and South Pacific extra-tropics is released back to the atmosphere from the tropical Pacific. These estimates of the regional fluxes are also supported by the estimates from OBGCMs after adding the riverine CO2 flux, i.e., –0.49 ± 0.02 Pg C yr–1 in the North Pacific extra-tropics, +0.41 ± 0.05 Pg C yr–1 in the tropical Pacific, and –0.39 ± 0.11 Pg C yr–1 in the South Pacific extra-tropics. The estimates from the atmospheric CO2 inversions show large variations amongst different inversion systems, but their median fluxes are consistent with the estimates from climatological pCO2sw data and pCO2sw diagnostics. In the South Pacific extra-tropics, where CO2 variations in the surface and ocean interior are severely under-sampled, the difference in the air-sea CO2 flux estimates between the diagnostic models and ocean interior CO2 inversions is larger (0.18 Pg C yr–1). The range of estimates from forward OBGCMs is also large (−0.19 to −0.72 Pg C yr–1). Regarding inter-annual variability of air-sea CO2 fluxes, positive and negative anomalies are evident in the tropical Pacific during the cold and warm events of the El Niño Southern Oscillation in the estimates from pCO2sw diagnostic models and from OBGCMs. They are consistent in phase with the Southern Oscillation Index, but the peak-to-peak amplitudes tend to be higher in OBGCMs (0.40 ± 0.09 Pg C yr–1) than in the diagnostic models (0.27 ± 0.07 Pg C yr–1).

scholarly journals The influence of decadal oscillations on the oxygen and nutrient trends in the Pacific Ocean

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lothar Stramma ◽  
Sunke Schmidtko ◽  
Steven J. Bograd ◽  
Tsuneo Ono ◽  
Tetjana Ross ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Pacific Ocean ◽  
North Pacific ◽  
Tropical Pacific ◽  
Ocean Warming ◽  
The North ◽  
The Pacific ◽  
Major Mode ◽  
The Pacific Ocean ◽  
The North Pacific ◽  
The Tropical Pacific

Abstract. A strong oxygen deficient layer is located in the upper layer of the tropical Pacific Ocean and at deeper depths in the North Pacific. Processes related to climate change (upper ocean warming, reduced ventilation) are expected to change ocean oxygen and nutrient inventories. In most ocean basins, a decrease in oxygen (‘deoxygenation’) and an increase of nutrients has been observed in subsurface layers. Deoxygenation trends are not linear and there could be other influences on oxygen and nutrient trends and variability. Here oxygen and nutrient time series since 1950 in the Pacific Ocean were investigated at 50 to 300 m depth, as this layer provides critical pelagic habitat for biological communities. In addition to trends related to ocean warming the oxygen and nutrient trends show a strong influence of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) in the tropical and the eastern Pacific, and the North Pacific Gyre Oscillation (NPGO) especially in the North Pacific. In the Oyashio Region the PDO, the NPGO, the North Pacific Index (NPI) and a 18.6 year nodal tidal cycle overlay the long-term trend. In most regions oxygen increases and nutrients decrease in the 50 to 300 m layer during the negative PDO phase, with opposite trends during the positive PDO phase. The PDO index encapsulates the major mode of surface temperature variability in the Pacific and oxygen and nutrients trends throughout the basin can be described in the context of the PDO phases. An influence of the subtropical-tropical cell in the tropical Pacific cannot be proven with the available data. El Niño and La Niña years often influence the oxygen and nutrient distribution during the event in the eastern tropical Pacific, but do not have a multi-year influence on the trends.

scholarly journals Oceanic Response to Idealized Net Atmospheric Freshwater in the Pacific at the Decadal Time Scale*

2005 ◽  
Vol 35 (12) ◽  
pp. 2467-2486 ◽  
Author(s):  
Boyin Huang ◽  
Vikram M. Mehta ◽  
Niklas Schneider
Keyword(s):  
Pacific Ocean ◽  
South Pacific ◽  
Tropical Pacific ◽  
Temperature Anomalies ◽  
The Pacific ◽  
Basin Scale ◽  
The Pacific Ocean ◽  
The Tropics ◽  
North And South ◽  
The Tropical Pacific

Abstract In the study of decadal variations of the Pacific Ocean circulations and temperature, the role of anomalous net atmospheric freshwater [evaporation minus precipitation minus river runoff (EmP)] has received scant attention even though ocean salinity anomalies are long lived and can be expected to have more variance at low frequencies than at high frequencies. To explore the magnitude of salinity and temperature anomalies and their generation processes, the authors studied the response of the Pacific Ocean to idealized EmP anomalies in the Tropics and subtropics using an ocean general circulation model developed at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Simulations showed that salinity anomalies generated by the anomalous EmP were spread throughout the Pacific basin by mean flow advection. This redistribution of salinity anomalies caused adjustments of basin-scale ocean currents, which further resulted in basin-scale temperature anomalies due to changes in heat advection caused by anomalous currents. In this study, the response of the Pacific Ocean to magnitudes and locations of anomalous EmP was linear. When forced with a positive EmP anomaly in the subtropical North (South) Pacific, a cooling occurred in the western North (South) Pacific, which extended to the tropical and South (North) Pacific, and a warming occurred in the eastern North (South) Pacific. When forced with a negative EmP anomaly in the tropical Pacific, a warming occurred in the tropical Pacific and western North and South Pacific and a cooling occurred in the eastern North Pacific near 30°N and the South Pacific near 30°S. The temperature changes (0.2°C) in the tropical Pacific were associated with changes in the South Equatorial Current. The temperature changes (0.8°C) in the subtropical North and South Pacific were associated with changes in the subtropical gyres. The temperature anomalies propagated from the tropical Pacific to the subtropical North and South Pacific via equatorial divergent Ekman flows and poleward western boundary currents, and they propagated from the subtropical North and South Pacific to the western tropical Pacific via equatorward-propagating coastal Kelvin waves and to the eastern tropical Pacific via eastward-propagating equatorial Kelvin waves. The time scale of temperature response was typically much longer than that of salinity response because of slow adjustment times of ocean circulations. These results imply that the slow response of ocean temperature due to anomalous EmP in the Tropics and subtropics may play an important role in the Pacific decadal variability.

Origins of Tropical Pacific Decadal Variability: Role of Stochastic Atmospheric Forcing from the South Pacific*

2013 ◽  
Vol 26 (24) ◽  
pp. 9791-9796 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yuko M. Okumura
Keyword(s):  
North Pacific ◽  
Decadal Variability ◽  
South Pacific ◽  
Atmospheric Model ◽  
Tropical Pacific ◽  
Ocean Dynamics ◽  
Atmospheric Forcing ◽  
The South ◽  
The North ◽  
The North Pacific

Abstract Based on the analysis of multicentury–millennium integrations of an atmospheric model coupled to the ocean with varying degrees, it is argued that ENSO-like decadal variability is primarily driven by stochastic atmospheric forcing. In particular, the leading mode of internal atmospheric variability over the South Pacific, which projects onto the Pacific–South American (PSA) pattern, plays an important role in modulating the trade winds and sea surface temperature (SST) in the southeast tropical Pacific. Subsequent ocean–atmosphere interactions organize a basinwide SST anomaly pattern in the tropics, which in turn forces atmospheric Rossby waves into the extratropics, reinforcing the PSA pattern and inducing coherent decadal changes in the North Pacific. In the absence of ocean dynamics, equatorial SST variability is reduced and the North Pacific exhibits decadal variability independent of the tropical–South Pacific. The strong tropical–South Pacific linkage may be attributed to the equatorially asymmetric nature of tropical Pacific climate.

Evaluating the effect of tropical and extratropical Pacific initial errors on two types of El Niño prediction using particle filter approach

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Meiyi Hou ◽  
Xiefei Zhi
Keyword(s):  
North Pacific ◽  
South Pacific ◽  
Tropical Pacific ◽  
Ocean Temperature ◽  
The North ◽  
Initial Errors ◽  
Southeast Pacific ◽  
The North Pacific ◽  
The Tropical Pacific

&lt;p&gt;Different types of El Ni&amp;#241;o-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) predictions are sensitive to the initial errors in different key areas in the Pacific Ocean. And it is known that the prediction can be improved by removing the initial errors by using assimilation methods. However yet, few studies have quantified to what extent can different types of ENSO predictions be improved by assimilating variable in different key areas. In Hou et.al (2019), 4 types of ocean temperature initial error patterns were classified for two types of El Ni&amp;#241;o prediction. It was indicated that initial errors in the north Pacific, covering the Victoria Mode region, along with south Pacific, covering the South Pacific Meridional Mode region, and subsurface layer of western equatorial Pacific have strong influence on the ENSO prediction. Following the data analysis method and the initial error patterns they proposed, we assimilate ocean temperature in these three key areas of Pacific Ocean by using CMIP5 pi-control dataset and particle filter method. Most EP- and CP-El Ni&amp;#241;o predictions in December are improved after assimilating the ocean temperature in southeast Pacific, north Pacific and western equatorial Pacific from January to March. Specially, for the prediction ensemble which contains EP(CP)-type-1 initial errors, the EP(CP)-El Ni&amp;#241;o prediction skill raises the most after assimilating the Tropical Pacific temperature, comparing with the result of assimilating the south Pacific and north Pacific. As for the prediction ensemble which contains EP-type-2 initial errors, which present similar pattern to EP-type-1 but with opposite sign, the EP-El Ni&amp;#241;o prediction skill increases the most by assimilating the north Pacific temperature. The results verify that the initial errors in the north Pacific exert contrary influences on the ENSO prediction with that in the southeast Pacific and western tropical Pacific. In addition, the initial errors in the north Pacific is more of concern for the SST prediction in the central tropical Pacific in December, while those in the southeast Pacific and tropical western Pacific is more related to the SST prediction in the central-eastern tropical Pacific. In conclusion, to better predict the types of El Ni&amp;#241;o, attentions should be paid to the initial ocean temperature accuracy not only in the tropical Pacific but also in the north and south Pacific.&amp;#160;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;div&gt; &lt;div&gt; &lt;div&gt;&amp;#160;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;/div&gt; &lt;div&gt;&amp;#160;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;/div&gt;

scholarly journals South Pacific Decadal Climate Variability and Potential Predictability

2019 ◽  
Vol 32 (18) ◽  
pp. 6051-6069 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jiale Lou ◽  
Neil J. Holbrook ◽  
Terence J. O’Kane
Keyword(s):  
Pacific Decadal Oscillation ◽  
North Pacific ◽  
Decadal Variability ◽  
South Pacific ◽  
The South ◽  
Potential Predictability ◽  
The North ◽  
The Pacific ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
The North Pacific

Abstract The South Pacific decadal oscillation (SPDO) characterizes the Southern Hemisphere contribution to the Pacific-wide interdecadal Pacific oscillation (IPO) and is analogous to the Pacific decadal oscillation (PDO) centered in the North Pacific. In this study, upper ocean variability and potential predictability of the SPDO is examined in HadISST data and an atmosphere-forced ocean general circulation model. The potential predictability of the IPO-related variability is investigated in terms of both the fractional contribution made by the decadal component in the South, tropical and North Pacific Oceans and in terms of a doubly integrated first-order autoregressive (AR1) model. Despite explaining a smaller fraction of the total variance, we find larger potential predictability of the SPDO relative to the PDO. We identify distinct local drivers in the western subtropical South Pacific, where nonlinear baroclinic Rossby wave–topographic interactions act to low-pass filter decadal variability. In particular, we show that the Kermadec Ridge in the southwest Pacific enhances the decadal signature more prominently than anywhere else in the Pacific basin. Applying the doubly integrated AR1 model, we demonstrate that variability associated with the Pacific–South American pattern is a critically important atmospheric driver of the SPDO via a reddening process analogous to the relationship between the Aleutian low and PDO in the North Pacific—albeit that the relationship in the South Pacific appears to be even stronger. Our results point to the largely unrecognized importance of South Pacific processes as a key source of decadal variability and predictability.

scholarly journals The Pacific Decadal Precession and its Relationship to Tropical Pacific Decadal Variability in CMIP6 Models

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Matthew H. Rogers ◽  
Jason Furtado ◽  
Bruce Anderson
Keyword(s):  
North Pacific ◽  
Tropical Pacific ◽  
S Phase ◽  
Atmospheric Circulations ◽  
Enso Events ◽  
The North ◽  
Sst Variability ◽  
The Pacific ◽  
The North Pacific ◽  
The Tropical Pacific

Abstract Persistent, multi-year shifts in atmospheric circulations and their associated influence on regional climates have profound impacts on physical, biological, and socioeconomic systems. The Pacific Decadal Precession (PDP), an atmospheric mode of variability consisting of a lower tropospheric height dipole which rotates counterclockwise over several years in the North Pacific, describes a series of such shifts in atmospheric circulations. One phase of the PDP, the north-south (N-S) phase, is hypothesized to be partially driven by central tropical Pacific (CP) sea surface temperature (SST) variability, but robust assessment of this dynamical connection in climate models remains to be done. In this study, we investigate this hypothesis with analyses in both reanalysis and selected models from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) archive. We show that the emergence of the N-S phase is both related to and influenced by tropical Pacific decadal SST variability, specifically variability associated with CP El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events. When examining the CMIP6 model output, we find that most models cannot recover the characteristic cyclonic precession of the dipoles of the PDP, instead featuring only amplitude and sign changes of the N-S phase, Moreover, the models do not replicate the dynamical connections between the tropical Pacific and this North Pacific mode. Our results suggest that primary reasons for this inconsistency are that models inaccurately simulate both the SST pattern associated with the PDP, shared low-frequency power associated with CP ENSO events, and incorrect Rossby wavetrains emanating from the tropical Pacific into the North Pacific on quasi-decadal timescales. Taken together, our analyses offer another benchmark by which to test the fidelity of the climate model simulations in capturing Pacific decadal climate variability in order to improve decadal-to-centennial climate projections.

Sailing into the Anthropocene

2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Peter Dauvergne
Keyword(s):  
South Pacific ◽  
The Political ◽  
Pacific Island ◽  
The South ◽  
Large Numbers ◽  
The Pacific ◽  
History Of ◽  
The Pacific Ocean ◽  
Starting Date ◽  
History Of The South

Chapters 2–6 survey the political and socioeconomic forces underlying the global sustainability crisis. Understanding the scale and depth of contemporary forces of capitalism and consumerism requires a close look at the consequences of imperialism and colonialism on patterns of violence and exploitation. This chapter begins this process of understanding by sketching the history of ecological imperialism after 1600, seeing this as a reasonable starting date for the beginning of what many scholars are now calling the Anthropocene Epoch (or the age of humans, replacing the geologic epoch of the Holocene beginning 12,000 years ago). It opens with Captain Pedro Fernandes de Queirós’s voyage across the Pacific Ocean in 1605–06 to “discover” modern-day Vanuatu, before turning to look more globally at the devastation of imperialism – and later colonialism – for the South Pacific, the Americas, Africa, and Asia. Over this time conquerors enslaved and murdered large numbers of indigenous people; cataclysmic change came as well, however, from the introduction of European diseases, plants, and animals. This chapter’s survey of imperialism, colonialism, and globalization sets the stage for Chapter 3, which explores the devastating history of the South Pacific island of Nauru after 1798.

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