Investigating the sensitivity of soil respiration to recent snow cover changes in Alaska using a satellite-based permafrost carbon model
Abstract. The contribution of soil heterotrophic respiration to the boreal-Arctic carbon (CO2) cycle and its potential feedback to climate change remain poorly quantified. We developed a remote sensing driven permafrost carbon model at intermediate scale (~ 1 km) to investigate how environmental factors affect the magnitude and seasonality of soil heterotrophic respiration in Alaska. The permafrost carbon model simulates snow and soil thermal dynamics, and accounts for vertical soil carbon transport and decomposition at depths up to 3 m below surface. Model outputs include soil temperature profiles and carbon fluxes at 1-km resolution spanning the recent satellite era (2001–2017) across Alaska. Comparisons with eddy covariance tower measurements show that the model captures the seasonality of carbon fluxes, with favorable accuracy in predicting net ecosystem CO2 exchange (NEE) in both tundra (R > 0.8, RMSE = 0.34 g C m−2 d−1) and boreal forest (R > 0.73, RMSE = 0.51 g C m−2 d−1). Benchmark assessments using two regional in-situ datasets indicate that the model captures the complex influence of snow insulation on soil temperature, and the temperature sensitivity of cold-season soil respiration. Across Alaska, we find that seasonal snow cover imposes strong controls on the contribution from different soil depths to total soil carbon emissions. Earlier snow melt in spring promotes deeper soil warming and enhances the contribution of deeper soils to total soil respiration during the later growing season, thereby reducing net ecosystem carbon uptake. Early cold-season soil respiration is closely linked to the number of snow-free days after land surface freezes (R = −0.48, p