scholarly journals The Eocene–Oligocene transition: a review of marine and terrestrial proxy data, models and model–data comparisons

2021 ◽  
Vol 17 (1) ◽  
pp. 269-315
Author(s):  
David K. Hutchinson ◽  
Helen K. Coxall ◽  
Daniel J. Lunt ◽  
Margret Steinthorsdottir ◽  
Agatha M. de Boer ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Ocean Circulation ◽  
Ice Sheets ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Cold Climate ◽  
Large Decrease ◽  
Model Ensemble ◽  
Surface Cooling ◽  
Proxy Records ◽  
Global Cooling ◽  
Co2 Forcing

Abstract. The Eocene–Oligocene transition (EOT) was a climate shift from a largely ice-free greenhouse world to an icehouse climate, involving the first major glaciation of Antarctica and global cooling occurring ∼34 million years ago (Ma) and lasting ∼790 kyr. The change is marked by a global shift in deep-sea δ18O representing a combination of deep-ocean cooling and growth in land ice volume. At the same time, multiple independent proxies for ocean temperature indicate sea surface cooling, and major changes in global fauna and flora record a shift toward more cold-climate-adapted species. The two principal suggested explanations of this transition are a decline in atmospheric CO2 and changes to ocean gateways, while orbital forcing likely influenced the precise timing of the glaciation. Here we review and synthesise proxy evidence of palaeogeography, temperature, ice sheets, ocean circulation and CO2 change from the marine and terrestrial realms. Furthermore, we quantitatively compare proxy records of change to an ensemble of climate model simulations of temperature change across the EOT. The simulations compare three forcing mechanisms across the EOT: CO2 decrease, palaeogeographic changes and ice sheet growth. Our model ensemble results demonstrate the need for a global cooling mechanism beyond the imposition of an ice sheet or palaeogeographic changes. We find that CO2 forcing involving a large decrease in CO2 of ca. 40 % (∼325 ppm drop) provides the best fit to the available proxy evidence, with ice sheet and palaeogeographic changes playing a secondary role. While this large decrease is consistent with some CO2 proxy records (the extreme endmember of decrease), the positive feedback mechanisms on ice growth are so strong that a modest CO2 decrease beyond a critical threshold for ice sheet initiation is well capable of triggering rapid ice sheet growth. Thus, the amplitude of CO2 decrease signalled by our data–model comparison should be considered an upper estimate and perhaps artificially large, not least because the current generation of climate models do not include dynamic ice sheets and in some cases may be under-sensitive to CO2 forcing. The model ensemble also cannot exclude the possibility that palaeogeographic changes could have triggered a reduction in CO2.

scholarly journals The Eocene-Oligocene transition: a review of marine and terrestrial proxy data, models and model-data comparisons

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
David K. Hutchinson ◽  
Helen K. Coxall ◽  
Daniel J. Lunt ◽  
Margret Steinthorsdottir ◽  
Agatha M. de Boer ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Temperature Change ◽  
Ocean Circulation ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Deep Ocean ◽  
Cold Climate ◽  
Model Simulations ◽  
Surface Ocean ◽  
Proxy Records ◽  
Climate And Environmental Change ◽  
Forcing Mechanisms

Abstract. The Eocene-Oligocene transition (EOT) from a largely ice-free greenhouse world to an icehouse climate with the first major glaciation of Antarctica was a phase of major climate and environmental change occurring ~34 million years ago (Ma) and lasting ~500 kyr. The change is marked by a global shift in deep sea δ18O representing a combination of deep-ocean cooling and global ice sheet growth. At the same time, multiple independent proxies for sea surface temperature indicate a surface ocean cooling, and major changes in global fauna and flora record a shift toward more cold-climate adapted species. The major explanations of this transition that have been suggested are a decline in atmospheric CO2, and changes to ocean gateways, while orbital forcing likely influenced the precise timing of the glaciation. This work reviews and synthesises proxy evidence of paleogeography, temperature, ice sheets, ocean circulation, and CO2 change from the marine and terrestrial realms. Furthermore, we quantitatively compare proxy records of change to an ensemble of model simulations of temperature change across the EOT. The model simulations compare three forcing mechanisms across the EOT: CO2 decrease, paleogeographic changes, and ice sheet growth. We find that CO2 forcing provides by far the best explanation of the combined proxy evidence, and based on our model ensemble, we estimate that a CO2 decrease of about 1.6× across the EOT (e.g. from 910 to 560  ppmv) achieves the best fit to the temperature change recorded in the proxies. This model-derived CO2 decrease is consistent with proxy estimates of CO2 decline at the EOT.

scholarly journals Does a difference in ice sheets between Marine Isotope Stages 3 and 5a affect the duration of stadials?

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sam Sherriff-Tadano ◽  
Ayako Abe-Ouchi ◽  
Akira Oka ◽  
Takahito Mitsui ◽  
Fuyuki Saito
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Recovery Time ◽  
Ice Sheets ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Meridional Overturning Circulation ◽  
Surface Cooling ◽  
Glacial Ice ◽  
Formation Region ◽  
Background Climate ◽  
The Impact

Abstract. Glacial periods undergo frequent climate shifts between warm interstadials and cold stadials on a millennial time-scale. Recent studies have shown that the duration of these climate modes varies with the background climate; a colder background climate and lower CO2 generally results in a shorter interstadial and a longer stadial through its impact on the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC). However, the duration of stadials was shorter during the Marine Isotope Stage 3 (MIS3) compared with MIS5, despite the colder climate in MIS3, suggesting potential control from other climate factors on the duration of stadials. In this study, we investigated the role of glacial ice sheets. For this purpose, freshwater hosing experiments were conducted with an atmosphere–ocean general circulation model under MIS5a, MIS3 and MIS3 with MIS5a ice sheet conditions. The impact of ice sheet differences on the duration of the stadials was evaluated by comparing recovery times of the AMOC after freshwater forcing was reduced. Hosing experiments showed a slightly shorter recovery time of the AMOC in MIS3 compared with MIS5a, which was consistent with ice core data. We found that larger glacial ice sheets in MIS3 shortened the recovery time. Sensitivity experiments showed that stronger surface winds over the North Atlantic shortened the recovery time by increasing the surface salinity and decreasing the sea ice amount in the deepwater formation region, which set favourable conditions for oceanic convection. In contrast, we also found that surface cooling by larger ice sheets tended to increase the recovery time of the AMOC by increasing the sea ice thickness over the deepwater formation region. Thus, this study suggests that the larger ice sheet in MIS3 compared with MIS5a could have contributed to the shortening of stadials in MIS3, despite the climate being colder than that of MIS5a, when the effect of surface wind played a larger role.

scholarly journals Impact of mid-glacial ice sheets on deep ocean circulation and global climate: Role of surface cooling on the AMOC

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sam Sherriff-Tadano ◽  
Ayako Abe-Ouchi ◽  
Akira Oka
Keyword(s):  
North Atlantic ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Global Climate ◽  
Surface Wind ◽  
Ice Sheets ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Meridional Overturning Circulation ◽  
Strengthening Effect ◽  
Surface Cooling ◽  
Glacial Ice

Abstract. This study explores the effect of southward expansion of mid-glacial ice sheets on the global climate and the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC), as well as the processes by which the ice sheets modify the AMOC. For this purpose, simulations of Marine Isotope Stage (MIS) 3 and 5a are performed with an atmosphere-ocean general circulation model. In the MIS3 and MIS5a simulations, the global average temperature decreases by 5.0 °C and 2.2 °C, respectively, compared with the preindustrial climate simulation. The AMOC weakens by 3 % in MIS3, whereas it is enhanced by 16 % in MIS5a, both of which are consistent with a reconstruction. Sensitivity experiments extracting the effect of the expansion of glacial ice sheets from MIS5a to MIS3 show a global cooling of 1.1 °C, contributing to about 40 % of the total surface cooling from MIS5a to MIS3. These experiments also demonstrate that the ice sheet expansion leads to a surface cooling of 2 °C over the Southern Ocean as a result of colder North Atlantic deep water. We find that the southward expansion of the mid-glacial ice sheet exerts a small impact on the AMOC. Partially coupled experiments reveal that the global surface cooling by the glacial ice sheet tends to reduce the AMOC by increasing the sea ice at both poles, and hence compensates for the strengthening effect of the enhanced surface wind over the North Atlantic. Our results show that the total effect of glacial ice sheets on the AMOC is determined by the two competing effects, surface wind and surface cooling. The relative strength of surface wind and surface cooling depends on the ice sheet configuration, and the strength of the surface cooling can be comparable to that of surface wind when changes in the extent of ice sheet are prominent.

scholarly journals Climate and the Initiation of Maritime Ice Sheets

1990 ◽  
Vol 14 ◽  
pp. 232-237 ◽  
Author(s):  
Antony Payne ◽  
David Sugden
Keyword(s):  
Regional Scale ◽  
Ice Sheets ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Lower Latitude ◽  
Atmospheric Moisture ◽  
Glacial Cycle ◽  
Surface Cooling ◽  
Loch Lomond ◽  
Westerly Winds ◽  
Comparison Of The Results

The lower latitude extension of polar water during Quaternary glaciations has two opposing effects on the mass balances of adjacent maritime ice sheets. Cooler air temperatures reduce ablation and increase the fraction of precipitation falling as snow, but also lead to reduced atmospheric moisture content and reduced precipitation. The effects of these contrasting processes on ice-sheet initiation are investigated using a coupled ice-sheet-atmospheric moisture model of the Loch Lomond ice sheet in Scotland (10 000 a B.P.). There is a delicate balance between the degree of cooling required to initiate ice accumulation and that which restricts the flow of moisture over the area. At the regional scale of Scotland, the combined effects of orographic enhancement and the inherent feedback between the rising ice-surface elevation and increasing mass balance are dominant, and ice-sheet growth accelerates. Comparison of the results from models using different wind directions suggests that south-westerly winds were prevalent during the Loch Lomond glaciation in contrast to the dominant westerly winds of the present day. The modelling experiments demonstrate the sensitivity and complexity of the links between ocean surface cooling and ice-sheet growth, particularly at the early stages of a glacial cycle.

scholarly journals Climate and the Initiation of Maritime Ice Sheets

1990 ◽  
Vol 14 ◽  
pp. 232-237
Author(s):  
Antony Payne ◽  
David Sugden
Keyword(s):  
Regional Scale ◽  
Ice Sheets ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Lower Latitude ◽  
Atmospheric Moisture ◽  
Glacial Cycle ◽  
Surface Cooling ◽  
Loch Lomond ◽  
Westerly Winds ◽  
Comparison Of The Results

The lower latitude extension of polar water during Quaternary glaciations has two opposing effects on the mass balances of adjacent maritime ice sheets. Cooler air temperatures reduce ablation and increase the fraction of precipitation falling as snow, but also lead to reduced atmospheric moisture content and reduced precipitation. The effects of these contrasting processes on ice-sheet initiation are investigated using a coupled ice-sheet-atmospheric moisture model of the Loch Lomond ice sheet in Scotland (10 000 a B.P.). There is a delicate balance between the degree of cooling required to initiate ice accumulation and that which restricts the flow of moisture over the area. At the regional scale of Scotland, the combined effects of orographic enhancement and the inherent feedback between the rising ice-surface elevation and increasing mass balance are dominant, and ice-sheet growth accelerates. Comparison of the results from models using different wind directions suggests that south-westerly winds were prevalent during the Loch Lomond glaciation in contrast to the dominant westerly winds of the present day. The modelling experiments demonstrate the sensitivity and complexity of the links between ocean surface cooling and ice-sheet growth, particularly at the early stages of a glacial cycle.

Impact of mid-glacial ice sheets on deep ocean circulation and global climate

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sam Sherriff-Tadano ◽  
Ayako Abe-Ouchi ◽  
Akira Oka
Keyword(s):  
North Atlantic ◽  
Global Climate ◽  
Surface Wind ◽  
Ice Sheets ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Meridional Overturning Circulation ◽  
Strengthening Effect ◽  
Surface Cooling ◽  
Glacial Ice ◽  
Cooling Effects

<p>This study explores the effect of southward expansion of Northern Hemisphere (American) mid-glacial ice sheets on the global climate and the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC), as well as the processes by which the ice sheets modify the AMOC. For this purpose, simulations of Marine Isotope Stage (MIS) 3 (36ka) and 5a (80ka) are performed with an atmosphere-ocean general circulation model. In the MIS3 and MIS5a simulations, the global average temperature decreases by 5.0 °C and 2.2 °C, respectively, compared with the preindustrial climate simulation. The AMOC weakens by 3% in MIS3, whereas it strengthens by 16% in MIS5a, both of which are consistent with an estimate based on <sup>231</sup>Pa/<sup>230</sup>Th. Sensitivity experiments extracting the effect of the southward expansion of glacial ice sheets from MIS5a to MIS3 show a global cooling of 1.1 °C, contributing to about 40% of the total surface cooling from MIS5a to MIS3. These experiments also demonstrate that the ice sheet expansion leads to a surface cooling of 2 °C over the Southern Ocean as a result of colder North Atlantic deep water. We find that the southward expansion of the mid-glacial ice sheet exerts a small impact on the AMOC. Partially coupled experiments reveal that the global surface cooling by the glacial ice sheet tends to reduce the AMOC by increasing the sea ice at both poles, and hence compensates for the strengthening effect of the enhanced surface wind over the North Atlantic. Our results show that the total effect of glacial ice sheets on the AMOC is determined by the two competing effects, surface wind and surface cooling. The relative strength of surface wind and surface cooling effects depends on the ice sheet configuration, and the strength of the surface cooling can be comparable to that of surface wind when changes in the extent of ice sheet are prominent.</p>

The role of ocean circulation in the propagation of rifts on ice shelves.

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mattia Poinelli ◽  
Eric Larour ◽  
Riccardo Riva
Keyword(s):  
Ocean Circulation ◽  
Regional Climate ◽  
Ice Sheets ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Ice Shelf ◽  
Ice Shelves ◽  
Rift Propagation ◽  
Break Up ◽  
The Stability

<p>The break-up of large ice shelves and the associated loss of ice are thought to play a destabilizing role in the ice sheet dynamics. Although ice shelves are a substantial buttressing source in the stability of continental ice sheets, the propagation of large rifts eventually leads to the break-up of icebergs into the ocean. As consequence, this loss of ice would trigger further glacier acceleration and ice sheets retreat, destabilizing the ice cap. Retreat and collapse of ice sheets are also thought to be related to regional climate warming. Indeed, satellite observations suggest that a warming surrounding would induce the ice sheet to progressive thinning and weakening.</p><p>The prolongation of un-grounded ice into the ocean is often interrupted by the propagation of fractures that eventually separates large icebergs from the ice shelf. These fractures are called rifts and range from dimensions of 10 to 100 km. A recent example of such phenomena is the massive break-up of the Larsen C in July, 2017 which followed the disintegration of Larsen A in 1995 and the partial break-up of Larsen B in 2002. The tabular iceberg formed by Larsen C was limited by the propagation of a large rift that began in summer 2016, although the ice shelf had already been thinning since 1992.</p><p>Rift initiation and propagation are thought to be the result of glaciological and oceanographic sources that trigger ice to break. Nonetheless, exact mechanisms remain elusive. The on-going project focuses on ice-ocean interactions in ice shelves that accommodate rifts by using oceanographic models. The goal is to couple rift propagation and ocean circulation underneath ice cavities in order to infer how basal melting affects the development of rifts. The numerical framework is developed within the capabilities of the MITgcm. We aim to identify the sensitivity of propagation rate and opening rate of rifts to variations in the ocean circulation that have occurred during the separation of part of the ice shelf.</p><p>On a larger scale, we are interested in the role of rifting in the stability of Antarctic shelves. Therefore, we work toward a better understanding of which processes are involved in the triggering of rift propagation.</p>

scholarly journals ISSM-SLPS: geodetically compliant Sea-Level Projection System for the Ice-sheet and Sea-level System Model v4.17

2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (10) ◽  
pp. 4925-4941
Author(s):  
Eric Larour ◽  
Lambert Caron ◽  
Mathieu Morlighem ◽  
Surendra Adhikari ◽  
Thomas Frederikse ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Sea Level Rise ◽  
Sea Level ◽  
Ocean Circulation ◽  
Ice Sheets ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
System Model ◽  
Level System ◽  
Projection System ◽  
Forward Models ◽  
And Sea Level

Abstract. Understanding future impacts of sea-level rise at the local level is important for mitigating its effects. In particular, quantifying the range of sea-level rise outcomes in a probabilistic way enables coastal planners to better adapt strategies, depending on cost, timing and risk tolerance. For a time horizon of 100 years, frameworks have been developed that provide such projections by relying on sea-level fingerprints where contributions from different processes are sampled at each individual time step and summed up to create probability distributions of sea-level rise for each desired location. While advantageous, this method does not readily allow for including new physics developed in forward models of each component. For example, couplings and feedbacks between ice sheets, ocean circulation and solid-Earth uplift cannot easily be represented in such frameworks. Indeed, the main impediment to inclusion of more forward model physics in probabilistic sea-level frameworks is the availability of dynamically computed sea-level fingerprints that can be directly linked to local mass changes. Here, we demonstrate such an approach within the Ice-sheet and Sea-level System Model (ISSM), where we develop a probabilistic framework that can readily be coupled to forward process models such as those for ice sheets, glacial isostatic adjustment, hydrology and ocean circulation, among others. Through large-scale uncertainty quantification, we demonstrate how this approach enables inclusion of incremental improvements in all forward models and provides fidelity to time-correlated processes. The projection system may readily process input and output quantities that are geodetically consistent with space and terrestrial measurement systems. The approach can also account for numerous improvements in our understanding of sea-level processes.

scholarly journals Modelling ice sheet evolution and atmospheric CO<sub>2</sub> during the Late Pliocene

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Constantijn J. Berends ◽  
Bas de Boer ◽  
Aisling M. Dolan ◽  
Daniel J. Hill ◽  
Roderik S. W. van de Wal
Keyword(s):  
Sea Level ◽  
Ice Sheets ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Co2 Concentration ◽  
Atmospheric Co2 ◽  
Mean Sea Level ◽  
Late Pliocene ◽  
Proxy Records ◽  
Global Mean Sea Level ◽  
Global Mean

Abstract. In order to investigate the relation between ice sheets and climate in a warmer-than-present world, recent research has focussed on the Late Pliocene, 3.6 to 2.58 million years ago. It is the most recent period in Earth history when such a climate state existed for a significant duration of time. Marine Isotope Stage (MIS) M2 (~ 3.3 Myr ago) is a strong positive excursion in benthic oxygen records in the middle of the otherwise warm and relatively stable Late Pliocene. However, the relative contributions to the benthic δ18O signal from deep-ocean cooling and growing ice sheets are still uncertain. Here, we present results from simulations of the late Pliocene with a hybrid ice-sheet–climate model, showing a reconstruction of ice sheet geometry, sea-level and atmospheric CO2. Initial experiments simulating the last four glacial cycles indicate that this model yields results which are in good agreement with proxy records in terms of global mean sea level, benthic oxygen isotope abundance, ice core-derived surface temperature and atmospheric CO2 concentration. For the Late Pliocene, our results show an atmospheric CO2 concentration during MIS M2 of 233–249 ppmv, and a drop in global mean sea level of 10 to 25 m. Uncertainties are larger during the warmer periods leading up to and following MIS M2. CO2 concentrations during the warm intervals in the Pliocene, with sea-level high stands of 8–14 m above present-day, varied between 320 and 400 ppmv, lower than indicated by some proxy records but in line with earlier model reconstructions.

scholarly journals Impact of mid-glacial ice sheets on deep ocean circulation and global climate

2021 ◽  
Vol 17 (1) ◽  
pp. 95-110
Author(s):  
Sam Sherriff-Tadano ◽  
Ayako Abe-Ouchi ◽  
Akira Oka
Keyword(s):  
North Atlantic ◽  
Global Climate ◽  
Surface Wind ◽  
Ice Sheets ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Meridional Overturning Circulation ◽  
Strengthening Effect ◽  
Surface Cooling ◽  
Glacial Ice ◽  
Cooling Effects

Abstract. This study explores the effect of southward expansion of Northern Hemisphere (American) mid-glacial ice sheets on the global climate and the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) as well as the processes by which the ice sheets modify the AMOC. For this purpose, simulations of Marine Isotope Stage (MIS) 3 (36 ka) and 5a (80 ka) are performed with an atmosphere–ocean general circulation model. In the MIS3 and MIS5a simulations, the global average temperature decreases by 5.0 and 2.2 ∘C, respectively, compared with the preindustrial climate simulation. The AMOC weakens by 3 % in MIS3, whereas it strengthens by 16 % in MIS5a, both of which are consistent with an estimate based on 231Pa ∕ 230Th. Sensitivity experiments extracting the effect of the southward expansion of glacial ice sheets from MIS5a to MIS3 show a global cooling of 1.1 ∘C, contributing to about 40 % of the total surface cooling from MIS5a to MIS3. These experiments also demonstrate that the ice sheet expansion leads to a surface cooling of 2 ∘C over the Southern Ocean as a result of colder North Atlantic Deep Water. We find that the southward expansion of the mid-glacial ice sheet exerts a small impact on the AMOC. Partially coupled experiments reveal that the global surface cooling by the glacial ice sheet tends to reduce the AMOC by increasing the sea ice at both poles and, hence, compensates for the strengthening effect of the enhanced surface wind over the North Atlantic. Our results show that the total effect of glacial ice sheets on the AMOC is determined by two competing effects: surface wind and surface cooling. The relative strength of surface wind and surface cooling effects depends on the ice sheet configuration, and the strength of the surface cooling can be comparable to that of surface wind when changes in the extent of ice sheet are prominent.

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