Data products from the ESA CCI Sea Level Budget Closure project

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Martin Horwath ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Sea Level ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Greenland Ice Sheet ◽  
Sea Level Changes ◽  
Ocean Mass ◽  
Data Products ◽  
Global Mean Sea Level ◽  
The Individual ◽  
Land Water ◽  
Global Mean

<p>Studies of the sea-level budget are a means of assessing our ability to quantify and understand sea-level changes and their causes. ESA's Climate Change Initiative (CCI) projects include Sea Level CCI, Greenland Ice Sheet CCI, Antarctic Ice Sheet CCI, Glaciers CCI and the Sea Surface Temperature CCI, all addressing Essential Climate Variables (ECVs) related to sea level. The cross-ECV project CCI Sea Level Budget Closure used different products for the sea level and its components, based on the above CCI projects in conjunction with in situ data for ocean thermal expansion (e.g., Argo), GRACE-based assessments of ocean mass change, land water and land ice mass change, and model-based data for glaciers and land hydrology. The involvement of the authors of the individual data products facilitated consistency and enabled a unified treatment of uncertainties and their propagation to the overall budget closure. </p><p>After conclusion of the project, the developed data products are now available for science users and the public. This poster summarizes the project results with a focus on presenting these data products. They include time series (for the periods 1993-2016 and 2003-2016) of global mean sea level changes and global mean sea level contributions from the steric component, from the ocean mass component and from the individual mass contributions by glaciers, the Greenland Ice Sheet, the Antarctic Ice Sheet and changes in land water storage. They are designed and documented in the consistent framework of ESA SLBC_cci and include uncertainty measures per datum. Additional more comprehensive information, such as geographic grids underlying the global means, are available for some components.</p><p>For the long-term trend, the budget is closed within uncertainties on the order of 0.3 mm/yr (1 sigma). Moreover, the budget is also closed within uncertainties for interannual variations.</p>

Global Mean Sea-level Changes in the Last Two Millennia

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nidheesh Gangadharan ◽  
Hugues Goosse ◽  
David Parkes ◽  
Heiko Goelzer
Keyword(s):  
Thermal Expansion ◽  
Sea Level ◽  
Ice Sheets ◽  
Sea Level Changes ◽  
Contributing Factors ◽  
Mean Sea Level ◽  
Global Mean Sea Level ◽  
The Individual ◽  
Instrumental Records ◽  
Global Mean

<p>Instrumental records show that global mean sea level (GMSL) rose by approximately 15 cm in the 20<sup>th</sup> Century, with estimates of contributing factors suggesting the major components are ocean thermal expansion and melting of continental ice sheets and glaciers. However, little is known about the individual contributions to GMSL changes over the preindustrial common era (PCE) and the potential differences in the mechanisms controlling those changes between different time periods. Here, we describe the GMSL changes in the PCE by comparing proxy-based reconstructions with estimates derived from model experiments. The ocean thermal expansion is estimated on the basis of Coupled (Paleoclimate) Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP/PMIP) experiments. The contributions of ice sheets and glaciers are based on simulations with an ice-sheet model (IMAU-ICE) and a global glacier model (The Open Global Glacier Model), respectively. We also describe the thermal expansion response in the different ocean basins over the last millennium. The findings provide new insights on the current anthropogenic warming and sea-level rise in a wider context.</p>

scholarly journals Global sea-level budget and ocean-mass budget, with focus on advanced data products and uncertainty characterisation

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Martin Horwath ◽  
Benjamin D. Gutknecht ◽  
Anny Cazenave ◽  
Hindumathi Kulaiappan Palanisamy ◽  
Florence Marti ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Sea Level ◽  
Satellite Altimetry ◽  
Water Storage ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Mass Budget ◽  
Ocean Mass ◽  
Global Sea Level ◽  
Land Water ◽  
Global Mean ◽  
Mass Component

Abstract. Studies of the global sea-level budget (SLB) and the global ocean-mass budget (OMB) are essential to assess the reliability of our knowledge of sea-level change and its contributions. Here we present datasets for times series of the SLB and OMB elements developed in the framework of ESA's Climate Change Initiative. We use these datasets to assess the SLB and the OMB simultaneously, utilising a consistent framework of uncertainty characterisation. The time series, given at monthly sampling, include global mean sea-level (GMSL) anomalies from satellite altimetry; the global mean steric component from Argo drifter data with incorporation of sea surface temperature data; the ocean mass component from Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) satellite gravimetry; the contribution from global glacier mass changes assessed by a global glacier model; the contribution from Greenland Ice Sheet and Antarctic Ice Sheet mass changes, assessed from satellite radar altimetry and from GRACE; and the contribution from land water storage anomalies assessed by the WaterGAP global hydrological model. Over the period Jan 1993–Dec 2016 (P1, covered by the satellite altimetry records), the mean rate (linear trend) of GMSL is 3.05 ± 0.24 mm yr−1. The steric component is 1.15 ± 0.12 mm yr−1 (38 % of the GMSL trend) and the mass component is 1.75 ± 0.12 mm yr−1 (57 %). The mass component includes 0.64 ± 0.03 mm yr−1 (21 % of the GMSL trend) from glaciers outside Greenland and Antarctica, 0.60 ± 0.04 mm yr−1 (20 %) from Greenland, 0.19 ± 0.04 mm yr−1 (6 %) from Antarctica, and 0.32 ± 0.10 mm yr−1 (10 %) from changes of land water storage. In the period Jan 2003–Aug 2016 (P2, covered by GRACE and the Argo drifter system), GMSL rise is higher than in P1 at 3.64 ± 0.26 mm yr−1. This is due to an increase of the mass contributions (now about 2.22 ± 0.15 mm yr−1, 61 % of the GMSL trend), with the largest increase contributed from Greenland. The SLB of linear trends is closed for P1 and P2, that is, the GMSL trend agrees with the sum of the steric and mass components within their combined uncertainties. The OMB budget, which can be evaluated only for P2, is also closed, that is, the GRACE-based ocean-mass trend agrees with the sum of assessed mass contributions within uncertainties. Combined uncertainties (1-sigma) of the elements involved in the budgets are between 0.26 and 0.40 mm yr−1, about 10 % of GMSL rise. Interannual variations that overlie the long-term trends are coherently represented by the elements of the SLB and the OMB. Even at the level of monthly anomalies the budgets are closed within uncertainties, while also indicating possible origins of remaining misclosures.

Coupled ice-climate simulation of future Greenland ice sheet evolution: mechanisms, thresholds and feedbacks for accelerated mass loss

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Miren Vizcaino ◽  
Laura Muntjewerf ◽  
Raymond Sellevold ◽  
Carolina Ernani da Silva ◽  
Michele Petrini ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Global Warming ◽  
Mass Loss ◽  
Sea Level Rise ◽  
Sea Level ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Greenland Ice Sheet ◽  
Mean Sea Level ◽  
Model Version ◽  
Global Mean Sea Level ◽  
Global Mean

<p>The Greenland ice sheet (GrIS) has been losing mass in the last several decades, with a current contributing of around 0.7 mm per year to global mean sea level rise (SLR). Projections of future melt rates are often derived from standalone ice sheet models, forced by data from global or regional climate models. In many cases, the surface mass balance parameterization relies on simplified schemes that relate melt with surface temperature.</p><p>In this study, we present a mass and energy conserving, 350-year simulation with the Community Earth System Model version 2.1 (CESM2.1) bidirectionally coupled to the Community Ice Sheet Model version 2.1 (CISM2.1). In this simulation, the carbon dioxide concentration is initially increasing by 1% per year  from pre-industrial levels (287 ppmv), to a quadrupling (1140 ppmv) and stabilization after year 140. The model simulates a global warming of 5.3 K and 8.5 K with respect to preindustrial by years 131-150 and 331-150, respectively, and a strong decline in the North Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation that is initiated before GrIS runoff substantially increases. 91% of the total GrIS contribution to global mean sea level rise (SLR, 1140 mm) is simulated in the two centuries following CO2 stabilization, as the mass loss increases from 2.2 mm SLR per year in 131-150 to 6.6 mm SLR per year in 331-351. This increase is caused by melt acceleration as the ablation areas expand, and Greenland summer surface temperatures predominantly approach melt conditions when the global warming exceeds a certain threshold (around 4.2 K).  This enhances the albedo and turbulent heat fluxes contribution to total melt energy.  </p>

Sea level fingerprints due to ongoing land ice melt in altimetry data

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lorena Moreira ◽  
Anny Cazenave
Keyword(s):  
Sea Level ◽  
Regional Scale ◽  
Water Storage ◽  
Altimetry Data ◽  
Ice Melt ◽  
Atmospheric Loading ◽  
Ocean Mass ◽  
Global Mean Sea Level ◽  
Land Water ◽  
Global Mean

<p>The Global Mean Sea Level (GMSL) is rising at a rate of 3.3 mm/year over the altimetry era but at regional scale the behaviour is quite different. In some regions, the sea level rates are up to 2-3 times the global mean rate. The mechanisms behind these discrepancies are explained through the differences in the processes that affect the sea level at different scales. The concept of budget is used to express the superposition of signals that contribute to the change in sea level. At regional scale, apart from the contributions from steric and ocean mass components which are also present in the GMSL budget, the budget is also affected by atmospheric loading component and the static factors component. The static terms (also called fingerprints) include solid Earth’s deformations and gravitational changes in response to mass redistributions caused by land ice melt and land water storage changes. The goal of this study is to detect the fingerprints of the static factors using satellite altimetry-based sea level grids corrected for steric and ocean mass effects. Our preliminary results show a statistically significant correlation between observed and modelled fingerprints in some regions of the oceanic basins.</p>

scholarly journals Monitoring southwest Greenland’s ice sheet melt with ambient seismic noise

2016 ◽  
Vol 2 (5) ◽  
pp. e1501538 ◽  
Author(s):  
Aurélien Mordret ◽  
T. Dylan Mikesell ◽  
Christopher Harig ◽  
Bradley P. Lipovsky ◽  
Germán A. Prieto
Keyword(s):  
Mass Loss ◽  
Mass Balance ◽  
Sea Level ◽  
Seismic Noise ◽  
Seismic Velocity ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Greenland Ice Sheet ◽  
Sea Level Changes ◽  
Ice Sheet Mass Balance ◽  
Velocity Changes

The Greenland ice sheet presently accounts for ~70% of global ice sheet mass loss. Because this mass loss is associated with sea-level rise at a rate of 0.7 mm/year, the development of improved monitoring techniques to observe ongoing changes in ice sheet mass balance is of paramount concern. Spaceborne mass balance techniques are commonly used; however, they are inadequate for many purposes because of their low spatial and/or temporal resolution. We demonstrate that small variations in seismic wave speed in Earth’s crust, as measured with the correlation of seismic noise, may be used to infer seasonal ice sheet mass balance. Seasonal loading and unloading of glacial mass induces strain in the crust, and these strains then result in seismic velocity changes due to poroelastic processes. Our method provides a new and independent way of monitoring (in near real time) ice sheet mass balance, yielding new constraints on ice sheet evolution and its contribution to global sea-level changes. An increased number of seismic stations in the vicinity of ice sheets will enhance our ability to create detailed space-time records of ice mass variations.

scholarly journals Measurements of firn density in the lower accumulation area of the Greenland ice sheet: EPOCH 1992

1993 ◽  
Vol 159 ◽  
pp. 62-65
Author(s):  
R.J Braithwaite ◽  
M Laternser
Keyword(s):  
Sea Level ◽  
Natural Hazards ◽  
European Community ◽  
Present Note ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Greenland Ice Sheet ◽  
Field Work ◽  
Sea Level Changes ◽  
Work Done ◽  
European Programme

Groups from several countries are studying Greenland glaciers in connection with the 'greenhouse effect' (Braithwaite et al., 1992a). In particular, GGU is the Danish partner in a IO-nation two-year project (March 1991 to February 1993) on causes and effects of sea level changes which is funded by the European Community through the European Programme on Climatology and Natural Hazards (EPOCH). As its contribution to EPOCH, GGU is studying the effects of meltwater refreezing in the lower accumulation area of the Greenland ice sheet which may reduce, or at least delay, the expected sea level rise under warmer climate. Work done under EPOCH in 1991 was described by Braithwaite et al. (1992b) while the present note describes the most important results of the 1992 field work.

scholarly journals Firn temperature and meltwater refreezing in the lower accumulation area of the Greenland ice sheet, Pâkitsoq, West Greenland

1993 ◽  
Vol 159 ◽  
pp. 109-114
Author(s):  
R.J Braithwaite
Keyword(s):  
Sea Level ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Greenland Ice Sheet ◽  
International Project ◽  
Sea Level Changes ◽  
West Greenland ◽  
Degree Day ◽  
Air Temperatures ◽  
Surface Melt ◽  
High Degree

Firn temperatures and meltwater refreezing are studied in the lower accumulation area of the Greenland ice sheet as part of an international project on sea level changes. In the study area, 1440–1620 m a.s.l., meltwater penetrates several metres into the firn and refreezes, warming the firn by 5–7°C compared with annual air temperatures. This firn warming is closely related to surface melt which can be estimated by several methods. A relatively high degree-day factor is needed to account for the melt rates found.

scholarly journals Effect of La Niña on The Global Mean Sea Level And North Pacifc Ocean Mass Over 2005-2011

2014 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Habib B. Dieng ◽  
Anny Cazenave ◽  
Benoit Meyssignac ◽  
Olivier Henry ◽  
Karina von Schuckmann ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Sea Level ◽  
El Niño ◽  
El Nino ◽  
La Niña ◽  
Mean Sea Level ◽  
The North ◽  
Ocean Mass ◽  
La Nina ◽  
Global Mean Sea Level ◽  
Global Mean

AbstractInterannual fluctuations of the global mean sea level are highly correlated with El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events, with positive/negative anomalies during El Niño/La Niña. In a previous study we showed that during the 1997 - 1998 El Niño, a positive anomaly observed in the global mean sea level was mostly caused by an increase of the ocean mass component rather than by steric (thermal) effects. This result was related to an increase of precipitation over the tropical ocean and a deficit in land water storage. In the present study, we investigate the effect of the recent 2008 and 2011 La Niña events on the satellite altimetry-based global mean sea level. We find that the large global mean sea level drop associated with the 2011 La Niña results from the combined decrease of the steric and ocean mass components, with a slightly dominant contribution from the latter. We show that the ocean mass contribution to the global mean sea level drop is spatially confined over the north eastern tropical Pacific (just as was found previously for the 1997 - 1998 El Niño, but with opposite sign). Corresponding ocean mass spatial pattern is closely correlated to observed sea level and steric spatial patterns over the duration of the La Niña event. This is also observed for previous El Niño and La Niña events. Such a drop in ocean mass during ENSO in the eastern part of the tropical Pacific has not been reported before. It is possibly related to a temporary decrease in the net precipitation over the north eastern Pacific (opposite situation was found during the 1997 - 1998 El Niño).

The contribution of the East Antarctic Ice Sheet to future sea level rise

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jim Jordan ◽  
Hilmar Gudmundsson ◽  
Adrian Jenkins ◽  
Chris Stokes ◽  
Stewart Jamieson ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Sea Level Rise ◽  
Sea Level ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Ice Shelf ◽  
Antarctic Ice Sheet ◽  
Mean Sea Level ◽  
Potential Contributor ◽  
Global Mean Sea Level ◽  
Global Mean ◽  
East Antarctic Ice Sheet

<p>The East Antarctic Ice Sheet (EAIS) is the single largest potential contributor to future global mean sea level rise, containing a water mass equivalent of 53 m. Recent work has found the overall mass balance of the EAIS to be approximately in equilibrium, albeit with large uncertainties. However, changes in oceanic conditions have the potential to upset this balance. This could happen by both a general warming of the ocean and also by shifts in oceanic conditions allowing warmer water masses to intrude into ice shelf cavities.</p><p>We use the Úa numerical ice-flow model, combined with ocean-melt rates parameterized by the PICO box mode, to predict the future contribution to global-mean sea level of the EAIS. Results are shown for the next 100 years under a range of emission scenarios and oceanic conditions on a region by region basis, as well as for the whole of the EAIS. </p>

Sea level in Thule measured with tide gauge, GNSS-IR and Satellite Altimetry

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Trine S. Dahl-Jensen ◽  
Shfaqat Abbas Khan ◽  
Simon D.P. Williams ◽  
Ole B. Andersen ◽  
Carsten A. Ludwigsen
Keyword(s):  
Sea Level ◽  
Satellite Altimetry ◽  
Tide Gauge ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Greenland Ice Sheet ◽  
Sea Level Changes ◽  
Level Measurement ◽  
Time Period ◽  
The Right ◽  
Gps Station

<p>Recent studies show that under the right conditions relative sea level can be measured using GNSS interferometric reflectometry (GNSS-IR). We test the possibility of using an existing GNET GPS station in Thule, Greenland, to measure inter annual changes in sea level by comparing sea level measurements from GNSS-IR with tide gauge observations and satellite altimetry data. GNET is a network of 56 permanent GPS stations positioned on the bedrock around the edge fo the Greenland ice sheet with the main purpose of monitoring ice mass changes. Currently, Thule is the only location in Greenland where we have both a tide gauge and a GPS station that is suitable for sea level measurement covering the same time period for more than a couple of years. If successful a number of other GPS stations are also expected to be suitable for GNSS-IR measurements of sea level. However, they lack the tide gauge station for testing.<br>We compare the measured sea level with uplift measured using the GPS and modeled from height changes of the Greenland ice sheet as well as sea surface temperatures and modeled sea level changes from gravimetry, in order to investigate the origin of sea level changes in the region.  <br> </p>

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