scholarly journals Firn temperature and meltwater refreezing in the lower accumulation area of the Greenland ice sheet, Pâkitsoq, West Greenland

1993 ◽  
Vol 159 ◽  
pp. 109-114
Author(s):  
R.J Braithwaite

Firn temperatures and meltwater refreezing are studied in the lower accumulation area of the Greenland ice sheet as part of an international project on sea level changes. In the study area, 1440–1620 m a.s.l., meltwater penetrates several metres into the firn and refreezes, warming the firn by 5–7°C compared with annual air temperatures. This firn warming is closely related to surface melt which can be estimated by several methods. A relatively high degree-day factor is needed to account for the melt rates found.

Author(s):  
Patrick J. Applegate ◽  
K. Keller

Engineering the climate through albedo modification (AM) could slow, but probably would not stop, melting of the Greenland Ice Sheet. Albedo modification is a technology that could reduce surface air temperatures through putting reflective particles into the upper atmosphere. AM has never been tested, but it might reduce surface air temperatures faster and more cheaply than reducing greenhouse gas emissions. Some scientists claim that AM would also prevent or reverse sea-level rise. But, are these claims true? The Greenland Ice Sheet will melt faster at higher temperatures, adding to sea-level rise. However, it's not clear that reducing temperatures through AM will stop or reverse sea-level rise due to Greenland Ice Sheet melting. We used a computer model of the Greenland Ice Sheet to examine its contributions to future sea level rise, with and without AM. Our results show that AM would probably reduce the rate of sea-level rise from the Greenland Ice Sheet. However, sea-level rise would likely continue even with AM, and the ice sheet would not regrow quickly. Albedo modification might buy time to prepare for sea-level rise, but problems could arise if policymakers assume that AM will stop sea-level rise completely.


2016 ◽  
Vol 2 (5) ◽  
pp. e1501538 ◽  
Author(s):  
Aurélien Mordret ◽  
T. Dylan Mikesell ◽  
Christopher Harig ◽  
Bradley P. Lipovsky ◽  
Germán A. Prieto

The Greenland ice sheet presently accounts for ~70% of global ice sheet mass loss. Because this mass loss is associated with sea-level rise at a rate of 0.7 mm/year, the development of improved monitoring techniques to observe ongoing changes in ice sheet mass balance is of paramount concern. Spaceborne mass balance techniques are commonly used; however, they are inadequate for many purposes because of their low spatial and/or temporal resolution. We demonstrate that small variations in seismic wave speed in Earth’s crust, as measured with the correlation of seismic noise, may be used to infer seasonal ice sheet mass balance. Seasonal loading and unloading of glacial mass induces strain in the crust, and these strains then result in seismic velocity changes due to poroelastic processes. Our method provides a new and independent way of monitoring (in near real time) ice sheet mass balance, yielding new constraints on ice sheet evolution and its contribution to global sea-level changes. An increased number of seismic stations in the vicinity of ice sheets will enhance our ability to create detailed space-time records of ice mass variations.


1993 ◽  
Vol 159 ◽  
pp. 62-65
Author(s):  
R.J Braithwaite ◽  
M Laternser

Groups from several countries are studying Greenland glaciers in connection with the 'greenhouse effect' (Braithwaite et al., 1992a). In particular, GGU is the Danish partner in a IO-nation two-year project (March 1991 to February 1993) on causes and effects of sea level changes which is funded by the European Community through the European Programme on Climatology and Natural Hazards (EPOCH). As its contribution to EPOCH, GGU is studying the effects of meltwater refreezing in the lower accumulation area of the Greenland ice sheet which may reduce, or at least delay, the expected sea level rise under warmer climate. Work done under EPOCH in 1991 was described by Braithwaite et al. (1992b) while the present note describes the most important results of the 1992 field work.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Martin Horwath ◽  

<p>Studies of the sea-level budget are a means of assessing our ability to quantify and understand sea-level changes and their causes. ESA's Climate Change Initiative (CCI) projects include Sea Level CCI, Greenland Ice Sheet CCI, Antarctic Ice Sheet CCI, Glaciers CCI and the Sea Surface Temperature CCI, all addressing Essential Climate Variables (ECVs) related to sea level. The cross-ECV project CCI Sea Level Budget Closure used different products for the sea level and its components, based on the above CCI projects in conjunction with in situ data for ocean thermal expansion (e.g., Argo), GRACE-based assessments of ocean mass change, land water and land ice mass change, and model-based data for glaciers and land hydrology. The involvement of the authors of the individual data products facilitated consistency and enabled a unified treatment of uncertainties and their propagation to the overall budget closure. </p><p>After conclusion of the project, the developed data products are now available for science users and the public. This poster summarizes the project results with a focus on presenting these data products. They include time series (for the periods 1993-2016 and 2003-2016) of global mean sea level changes and global mean sea level contributions from the steric component, from the ocean mass component and from the individual mass contributions by glaciers, the Greenland Ice Sheet, the Antarctic Ice Sheet and changes in land water storage. They are designed and documented in the consistent framework of ESA SLBC_cci and include uncertainty measures per datum. Additional more comprehensive information, such as geographic grids underlying the global means, are available for some components.</p><p>For the long-term trend, the budget is closed within uncertainties on the order of 0.3 mm/yr (1 sigma). Moreover, the budget is also closed within uncertainties for interannual variations.</p>


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Trine S. Dahl-Jensen ◽  
Shfaqat Abbas Khan ◽  
Simon D.P. Williams ◽  
Ole B. Andersen ◽  
Carsten A. Ludwigsen

<p>Recent studies show that under the right conditions relative sea level can be measured using GNSS interferometric reflectometry (GNSS-IR). We test the possibility of using an existing GNET GPS station in Thule, Greenland, to measure inter annual changes in sea level by comparing sea level measurements from GNSS-IR with tide gauge observations and satellite altimetry data. GNET is a network of 56 permanent GPS stations positioned on the bedrock around the edge fo the Greenland ice sheet with the main purpose of monitoring ice mass changes. Currently, Thule is the only location in Greenland where we have both a tide gauge and a GPS station that is suitable for sea level measurement covering the same time period for more than a couple of years. If successful a number of other GPS stations are also expected to be suitable for GNSS-IR measurements of sea level. However, they lack the tide gauge station for testing.<br>We compare the measured sea level with uplift measured using the GPS and modeled from height changes of the Greenland ice sheet as well as sea surface temperatures and modeled sea level changes from gravimetry, in order to investigate the origin of sea level changes in the region.  <br> </p>


2008 ◽  
Vol 54 (184) ◽  
pp. 81-93 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dorothy K. Hall ◽  
Richard S. Williams ◽  
Scott B. Luthcke ◽  
Nicolo E. Digirolamo

AbstractA daily time series of ‘clear-sky’ surface temperature has been compiled of the Greenland ice sheet (GIS) using 1 km resolution moderate-resolution imaging spectroradiometer (MODIS) land-surface temperature (LST) maps from 2000 to 2006. We also used mass-concentration data from the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) to study mass change in relationship to surface melt from 2003 to 2006. The mean LST of the GIS increased during the study period by ∼0.27°C a−1. The increase was especially notable in the northern half of the ice sheet during the winter months. Melt-season length and timing were also studied in each of the six major drainage basins. Rapid (<15 days) and sustained mass loss below 2000 m elevation was triggered in 2004 and 2005 as recorded by GRACE when surface melt begins. Initiation of large-scale surface melt was followed rapidly by mass loss. This indicates that surface meltwater is flowing rapidly to the base of the ice sheet, causing acceleration of outlet glaciers, thus highlighting the metastability of parts of the GIS and the vulnerability of the ice sheet to air-temperature increases. If air temperatures continue to rise over Greenland, increased surface melt will play a large role in ice-sheet mass loss.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stefan Hofer ◽  
Charlotte Lang ◽  
Charles Amory ◽  
Christoph Kittel ◽  
Alison Delhasse ◽  
...  

&lt;p&gt;Future climate projections show a marked increase in Greenland Ice Sheet (GrIS) runoff&lt;br&gt;during the 21st century, a direct consequence of the Polar Amplification signal. Regional&lt;br&gt;climate models (RCMs) are a widely used tool to downscale ensembles of projections from&lt;br&gt;global climate models (GCMs) to assess the impact of global warming on GrIS melt and&lt;br&gt;sea level rise contribution. Initial results of the CMIP6 GCM model intercomparison&lt;br&gt;project have revealed a greater 21st century temperature rise than in CMIP5 models.&lt;br&gt;However, so far very little is known about the subsequent impacts on the future GrIS&lt;br&gt;surface melt and therefore sea level rise contribution. Here, we show that the total GrIS&lt;br&gt;melt during the 21st century almost doubles when using CMIP6 forcing compared to the&lt;br&gt;previous CMIP5 model ensemble, despite an equal global radiative forcing of +8.5 W/m2&lt;br&gt;in 2100 in both RCP8.5 and SSP58.5 scenarios. The total GrIS sea level rise contribution&lt;br&gt;from surface melt in our high-resolution (15 km) projections is 17.8 cm in SSP58.5, 7.9 cm&lt;br&gt;more than in our RCP8.5 simulations, despite the same radiative forcing. We identify a&lt;br&gt;+1.7&amp;#176;C greater Arctic amplification in the CMIP6 ensemble as the main driver behind the&lt;br&gt;presented doubling of future GrIS sea level rise contribution&lt;/p&gt;


Atmosphere ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (12) ◽  
pp. 1569
Author(s):  
Chao Yue ◽  
Liyun Zhao ◽  
Michael Wolovick ◽  
John C. Moore

Surface runoff from the Greenland ice sheet (GrIS) has dominated recent ice mass loss and is having significant impacts on sea-level rise under global warming. Here, we used two modified degree-day (DD) methods to estimate the runoff of the GrIS during 1950–2200 under the extensions of historical, RCP 4.5, and RCP 8.5 scenarios. Near-surface air temperature and snowfall were obtained from five Earth System Models. We applied new degree-day factors to best match the results of the surface energy and mass balance model, SEMIC, over the whole GrIS in a 21st century simulation. The relative misfits between tuned DD methods and SEMIC during 2050–2089 were 3% (RCP4.5) and 12% (RCP8.5), much smaller than the 30% difference between untuned DD methods and SEMIC. Equilibrium line altitude evolution, runoff-elevation feedback, and ice mask evolution were considered in the future simulations to 2200. The ensemble mean cumulative runoff increasing over the GrIS was equivalent to sea-level rises of 6 ± 2 cm (RCP4.5) and 9 ± 3 cm (RCP8.5) by 2100 relative to the period 1950–2005, and 13 ± 4 cm (RCP4.5) and 40 ± 5 cm (RCP8.5) by 2200. Runoff-elevation feedback produced runoff increases of 5 ± 2% (RCP4.5) and 6 ± 2% (RCP8.5) by 2100, and 12 ± 4% (RCP4.5) and 15 ± 5% (RCP8.5) by 2200. Two sensitivity experiments showed that increases of 150% or 200%, relative to the annual mean amount of snowfall in 2080–2100, in the post-2100 period would lead to 10% or 20% more runoff under RCP4.5 and 5% or 10% under RCP8.5 because faster ice margin retreat and ice sheet loss under RCP8.5 dominate snowfall increases and ice elevation feedbacks.


1996 ◽  
Vol 23 ◽  
pp. 36-45 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. S. W. van de Wal

A degree-day model and an energy-balance model for the Greenland ice sheet are compared. The two models are compared at a grid with 20 km spacing. Input for both models is elevation, latitude and accumulation. The models calculate the annual ablation over the entire ice sheet. Although on the whole the two models yield similar results, depending on the tuning of the models, regional discrepancies of up to 45% occur, especially for northern Greenland. The performance of the two types of model is evaluated by comparing the model results with the sparsely available (long-term) mass-balance measurements. Results show that the energy-balance model tends to predict a more accurate mass-balance gradient with elevation than does the degree-day model. Since so little is known about the present-day climate of the ice sheet, it is more useful to consider the sensitivity of the ablation to various climate elements than to consider the actual present-day ablation. Results show that for a 1 K temperature perturbation, sea-level rise is 0.31 mm year−1 for the energy-balance model and 0.34 mm year−1 for the degree-day model. After tuning the degree-day model to a value of the ablation, equivalent to the ablation calculated by the energy-balance model, sensitivity of the degree-day model increases to 0.37 mm sea-level change per year. This means that the sensitivity of the degree-day model for a 1 K temperature perturbation is about 20% higher than the sensitivity of the energy-balance model. Another set of experiments shows that the sensitivity of the ablation is dependent on the magnitude of the temperature perturbation for the two models. Both models show an increasing sensitivity per degree for larger perturbations. The increase in the sensitivity is larger for the degree-day model than for the energy-balance model. The differences in the sensitivity are mainly concentrated in the southern parts of the ice sheet. Experiments for the Bellagio temperature scenario. 0.3°C increase in temperature per decade, leads to sea-level rise of 4.4 cm over a period of 100 years for the energy-balance model. The degree-day model predicts for the same forcing a 5.8 cm rise which is about 32% higher than the result of the energy-balance model.


2017 ◽  
Vol 30 (6) ◽  
pp. 2011-2028 ◽  
Author(s):  
B. Meyssignac ◽  
X. Fettweis ◽  
R. Chevrier ◽  
G. Spada

Abstract Surface mass balance (SMB) variations of the Greenland ice sheet (GrIS) have been identified as an important contributor to contemporary and projected global mean sea level variations, but their impact on the regional sea level change pattern is still poorly known. This study proposes estimates of GrIS SMB over 1900–2100 based on the output of 32 atmosphere–ocean general circulation models and Earth system models involved in phase 5 of the Climate Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5). It is based on a downscaling technique calibrated against the Modèle Atmosphérique Régional (MAR) regional climate model and it provides an ensemble of 32 Greenland SMB estimates for each Greenland major drainage basin. Because the GrIS SMB does not respond uniformly to greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, the southern part of the GrIS is more sensitive to climate warming. This study shows that this part should be in imbalance in the twenty-first century sooner than the northern part. This regional variability significantly affects the associated relative sea level pattern over the entire ocean and particularly along the U.S. East Coast and the northern coast of Europe. This highlights the necessity of taking into account GrIS regional SMB changes to evaluate accurately relative sea level changes in future projections.


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