The Evolution Process of Warm Season Intense Regional Rainfall Events in Yaan

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xuelin Hu
Keyword(s):  
Large Scale ◽  
Warm Season ◽  
Central China ◽  
Evolution Process ◽  
The Tibetan Plateau ◽  
Clockwise Rotation ◽  
Maximum Rainfall ◽  
Rainfall Events ◽  
Intense Precipitation ◽  
Regional Rainfall

<p>Accurate simulation and prediction of intense precipitation events require better understanding of their physical mechanisms. This study uses Yaan—a place with regional maximum rainfall in central China—to investigate the cause and process of intense precipitation. Hourly rain gauge records and the new ERA5 reanalysis are used to characterize the evolution process of warm season intense regional rainfall events (RREs) in Yaan and its associated three-dimensional circulation. Results show that before the start of the Yaan intense RREs, moderate rainfall amount (frequency) appears northeast of the key region. The rainfall then moves southward in the following several hours along the eastern periphery of the Tibetan Plateau where it reaches peak. It then moves to and end up in the south and southeast Sichuan Basin. The progression of the RREs is found to be associated with a counter-clockwise rotation of anomalous surface winds associated with a developing mesoscale surface low-pressure center, which is further associated with the southeastward progression of a large-scale synoptic scale wave. The easterly phase of the winds in the counter-clockwise rotation causes upslope motion perpendicularly toward the terrain that leads to maximum rainfall. The findings illustrate how large-scale circulations, mesoscale systems, and specific topographic features interact to create the RREs evolution in Yaan.</p>

scholarly journals The evolution process of warm season intense regional rainfall events in Yaan

2020 ◽  
Vol 54 (7-8) ◽  
pp. 3245-3258
Author(s):  
Xuelin Hu ◽  
Weihua Yuan ◽  
Rucong Yu ◽  
Minghua Zhang
Keyword(s):  
Warm Season ◽  
Evolution Process ◽  
Rainfall Events ◽  
Regional Rainfall

scholarly journals Runoff reaction from extreme rainfall events on natural hillslopes: A data set from 132 large scale sprinkling experiments in south-west Germany

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fabian Ries ◽  
Lara Kirn ◽  
Markus Weiler
Keyword(s):  
Large Scale ◽  
Subsurface Flow ◽  
West Germany ◽  
Runoff Generation ◽  
Large Variability ◽  
Maximum Rainfall ◽  
Rainfall Events ◽  
Extreme Precipitation Events ◽  
South West ◽  
Precipitation Events

Abstract. Pluvial or flash floods generated by heavy precipitation events cause high economic damages and loss of life worldwide. As discharge observations from such extreme occurrences are rare especially on the scale of small catchments or even hillslopes, data from artificial sprinkling experiments offer valuable information on runoff generation processes, overland and subsurface flow rates and response times. We conducted 132 large-scale sprinkling experiments on natural hillslopes at 23 sites with different soil types and geology on pastures and arable lands within the federal state of Baden-Württemberg in south-west Germany. The experiments were realized between 2016 and 2017. Simulated rainfall events of varying durations were based on a) the site-specific 100-year return periods of rainfall with different durations and b) the maximum rainfall intensity observed locally. The 100 m2 experimental area was divided into three individual plots and overland and subsurface flow, soil moisture and water level dynamics in the temporarily saturated soil zone were measured at 1-minute resolution. Furthermore, soil characteristics were described in detail for each site. The data was carefully processed and corrected for measurement errors and combined to a consistent and easy to use database. The experiments revealed a large variability of possible runoff responses to similar rainfall characteristics. In general, agricultural fields produced more overland flow than grassland. The latter generated hardly any runoff during the first simulated 100-year event on initially dry soils. The dataset provides valuable information on runoff generation variability from natural hillslopes and may be used for the development and evaluation of hydrological models, especially those considering physical processes governing runoff generation during extreme precipitation events. The dataset presented in this paper is freely available from the FreiDok plus data repository (https://doi.org/10.6094/UNIFR/149650, Ries et al., 2019).

scholarly journals Orographically Anchored El Niño Effect on Summer Rainfall in Central China

2017 ◽  
Vol 30 (24) ◽  
pp. 10037-10045 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kaiming Hu ◽  
Shang-Ping Xie ◽  
Gang Huang
Keyword(s):  
El Niño ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
El Nino ◽  
Rainfall Variability ◽  
Eastern China ◽  
Summer Rainfall ◽  
Central China ◽  
Northwest Pacific ◽  
The Tibetan Plateau ◽  
Rainfall Anomalies

Year-to-year variations in summer precipitation have great socioeconomic impacts on China. Historical rainfall variability over China is investigated using a newly released high-resolution dataset. The results reveal summer-mean rainfall anomalies associated with ENSO that are anchored by mountains in central China east of the Tibetan Plateau. These orographically anchored hot spots of ENSO influence are poorly represented in coarse-resolution datasets so far in use. In post–El Niño summers, an anomalous anticyclone forms over the tropical northwest Pacific, and the anomalous southwesterlies on the northwest flank cause rainfall to increase in mountainous central China through orographic lift. At upper levels, the winds induce additional adiabatic updraft by increasing the eastward advection of warm air from Tibet. In post–El Niño summers, large-scale moisture convergence induces rainfall anomalies elsewhere over flat eastern China, which move northward from June to August and amount to little in the seasonal mean.

scholarly journals Intense Rainfall Events Affecting the La Plata Basin

2006 ◽  
Vol 7 (4) ◽  
pp. 769-787 ◽  
Author(s):  
Viviane B. S. Silva ◽  
Ernesto H. Berbery
Keyword(s):  
Large Scale ◽  
Amazon Basin ◽  
Level Structure ◽  
Intense Rainfall ◽  
Rainfall Events ◽  
La Plata ◽  
La Plata Basin ◽  
Intense Precipitation ◽  
Eta Model ◽  
Precipitation Events

Abstract The circulation features associated with intense precipitation events over the La Plata Basin (LPB) during the austral summers of 2001/02 and 2002/03 are investigated using the Eta Model runs generated at the University of Maryland. Based on the main mode of variability over LPB, two regions were selected: (i) the region of Brazil that is at the core of the South American summer monsoon system (SAMS) and (ii) the central region of LPB in southeastern South America (SESA). First, a comparison between the 24-h total precipitation in the Eta Model and the 24-h observed precipitation was made. Results show that the Eta Model captures well the temporal variability of precipitation events in both regions, although a positive bias is noticed over SAMS. Likewise, the model reproduces the distribution of precipitation rate over SESA, but not over SAMS. Nevertheless, the distribution of the moisture flux convergence intensity, which represents the dynamical forcing, is closer in shape to the observed precipitation distribution, suggesting that the model can be a useful tool in identifying the forcing for heavy precipitation events over both regions. Composites of atmospheric and surface variables were constructed for intense precipitation events during austral summer over both regions. Intense rainfall over the central La Plata Basin (SESA) is linked to an amplified upper-tropospheric midlatitude wave pattern in which rainfall occurs just east of an enhanced cyclonic circulation. Accompanying this circulation pattern, an enhanced low-level jet (LLJ) transports warm, moist air from the Amazon toward the region, contributing to an increase in the thermal contrast over SESA. The combined patterns of thermal and dynamical variables suggest that large-scale systems, like frontal systems, are important in producing intense rainfall events. The SAMS region events have a similar upper-level structure as in SESA, but they are longer lived. In this case, the moisture fluxes are determined by an eastward shift of the LLJ, but also directly from the Amazon Basin to the north. As expected, precipitation events produce large increases of simulated runoff. The largest impact is on the SESA region, affecting the streamflow of the Paraná, Paraguay, and Uruguay, the three main rivers of the LPB.

scholarly journals Large-Scale Dynamics of the Meiyu-Baiu Rainband: Environmental Forcing by the Westerly Jet*

2010 ◽  
Vol 23 (1) ◽  
pp. 113-134 ◽  
Author(s):  
Takeaki Sampe ◽  
Shang-Ping Xie
Keyword(s):  
Convective Instability ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Eastern China ◽  
Warm Pool ◽  
Central China ◽  
The Tibetan Plateau ◽  
The South ◽  
Reanalysis Dataset ◽  
Environmental Forcing ◽  
Westerly Jet

Abstract Meiyu-baiu is the major rainy season from central China to Japan brought by a zonally elongated rainband from June to mid-July. Large-scale characteristics and environmental forcing of this important phenomenon are investigated based on a reanalysis dataset. The meiyu-baiu rainband is accompanied by a trough of sea level pressure, horizontal shears, and sharp moisture gradients near the surface, a westerly jet tilted northward with height, and large northeastward moisture transport from the south. The analysis here reveals the westerly jet as an important culprit for meiyu-baiu. Along the rainband, mean ascending motion corresponds well with a band of warm horizontal temperature advection in the midtroposphere throughout summer. This adiabatic induction of upward motion originates from the advection of warm air by the westerlies from the eastern flank of the Tibetan Plateau. The ascending motion both induces convection and is enhanced by the resultant condensational heating. The westerly jet anchors the meiyu-baiu rainband also by steering transient eddies, creating periods conducive to convection through convective instability and adiabatic updrafts. Indeed, in meiyu-baiu, the probability distribution of convective instability shows large spreads and is strongly skewed, with a sharp cutoff on the unstable side resulting from the effective removal of instability by convection. Thus, active weather disturbances in the westerly waveguide explain a paradox that convection is active in the meiyu-baiu rainband while mean convective instability is significantly higher to the south over the subtropical North Pacific warm pool. In addition to the westerly jet, low-level southerly winds over eastern China between the heat low over Asia and the subtropical high pressure belt over the Pacific are another important environmental forcing for meiyu-baiu by supplying moisture. A conceptual model for meiyu-baiu is presented, and its implications for seasonal and interannual variations are discussed.

scholarly journals Multi-century cool- and warm-season rainfall reconstructions for Australia's major climatic regions

2017 ◽  
Vol 13 (12) ◽  
pp. 1751-1770 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mandy Freund ◽  
Benjamin J. Henley ◽  
David J. Karoly ◽  
Kathryn J. Allen ◽  
Patrick J. Baker
Keyword(s):  
World War Ii ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Rainfall Variability ◽  
Warm Season ◽  
Seasonal Rainfall ◽  
Spatial Extent ◽  
The Past ◽  
Millennium Drought ◽  
Australian Continent ◽  
Regional Rainfall

Abstract. Australian seasonal rainfall is strongly affected by large-scale ocean–atmosphere climate influences. In this study, we exploit the links between these precipitation influences, regional rainfall variations, and palaeoclimate proxies in the region to reconstruct Australian regional rainfall between four and eight centuries into the past. We use an extensive network of palaeoclimate records from the Southern Hemisphere to reconstruct cool (April–September) and warm (October–March) season rainfall in eight natural resource management (NRM) regions spanning the Australian continent. Our bi-seasonal rainfall reconstruction aligns well with independent early documentary sources and existing reconstructions. Critically, this reconstruction allows us, for the first time, to place recent observations at a bi-seasonal temporal resolution into a pre-instrumental context, across the entire continent of Australia. We find that recent 30- and 50-year trends towards wetter conditions in tropical northern Australia are highly unusual in the multi-century context of our reconstruction. Recent cool-season drying trends in parts of southern Australia are very unusual, although not unprecedented, across the multi-century context. We also use our reconstruction to investigate the spatial and temporal extent of historical drought events. Our reconstruction reveals that the spatial extent and duration of the Millennium Drought (1997–2009) appears either very much below average or unprecedented in southern Australia over at least the last 400 years. Our reconstruction identifies a number of severe droughts over the past several centuries that vary widely in their spatial footprint, highlighting the high degree of diversity in historical droughts across the Australian continent. We document distinct characteristics of major droughts in terms of their spatial extent, duration, intensity, and seasonality. Compared to the three largest droughts in the instrumental period (Federation Drought, 1895–1903; World War II Drought, 1939–1945; and the Millennium Drought, 1997–2005), we find that the historically documented Settlement Drought (1790–1793), Sturt's Drought (1809–1830) and the Goyder Line Drought (1861–1866) actually had more regionalised patterns and reduced spatial extents. This seasonal rainfall reconstruction provides a new opportunity to understand Australian rainfall variability by contextualising severe droughts and recent trends in Australia.

scholarly journals Detection of future changes in trends and scaling exponents in extreme short-term rainfall at selected stations in Slovakia

2018 ◽  
Vol 48 (3) ◽  
pp. 207-230
Author(s):  
Silvia Kohnová ◽  
Marianna Vasilaki ◽  
Martin Hanel ◽  
Ján Szolgay ◽  
Kamila Hlavčová ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Model ◽  
Warm Season ◽  
Daily Rainfall ◽  
The Other ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Scaling Exponents ◽  
Maximum Rainfall ◽  
Rainfall Events ◽  
Other Hand ◽  
The Future

Abstract This paper analyses projected changes in short-term rainfall events during the warm season (April – October) in an ensemble of 30 regional climate model (RCM) simulations. The analysis of trend changes and changes in scaling exponents was done for the Hurbanovo, Bratislava, Oravská Lesná, and Myjava stations in Slovakia. The characteristics of maximum rainfall events were analysed for two scenario periods, one past and one future (1960–2000 and 2070–2100) and compared to the characteristics of the actual observed events. The main findings from the analysis show that 60-min short-term events for most of the RCM simulations will either increase or remain constant. On the other hand, the depths and intensities of daily events are projected to increase significantly; in some cases they were found to be ten times larger. Trends in future events at the Hurbanovo station were found to be insignificant. In the other stations positive trends in future rainfall events prevail, except for daily rainfall at the Myjava station, which shows a negative trend. Using results from the selected simulations, the scaling exponents estimated are on average lower than the exponents of the data observed. On the other hand, due to the higher daily precipitation amounts in the future seen to all the scenarios, the downscaled values of short-term rainfall at all the stations analysed might be considerably higher in the future horizons, which could subsequently affect future design rainfall values for engineering designs.

Corridors of Warm Season Precipitation in the Central United States

2006 ◽  
Vol 134 (9) ◽  
pp. 2297-2317 ◽  
Author(s):  
John D. Tuttle ◽  
Chris A. Davis
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Environmental Factors ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Warm Season ◽  
Extreme Case ◽  
Maximum Rainfall ◽  
Convective Systems ◽  
Precipitation Forecasting ◽  
Central United States ◽  
Mesoscale Convective

Abstract During the warm season in the central United States there often exists a corridor of precipitation where a succession of mesoscale convective systems (MCSs) follow similar paths lasting several days. The total cumulative rainfall within a corridor can be substantial while precipitation at nearby regions may be below normal. Understanding the nature of the corridors and the environmental factors important for their formation thus has important implications for quantitative precipitation forecasting and hydrological studies. In this study a U.S. national composite radar dataset and model-analyzed fields are used for the 1998–2002 warm seasons (July–August) to understand the properties of corridors and what environmental factors are important for determining when and where they develop. The analysis is restricted to a relatively narrow longitudinal band in the central United States (95°–100°W), a region where convection often intensifies and becomes highly organized. It is found that ∼68% of MCSs were members of a series and that corridors typically persist for 2–7 days with an extreme case lasting 13 days. Cumulative radar-derived maximum rainfall ranges from 8 to 50 cm, underscoring the fact that corridors can experience excessive rainfall. Combining radar with Rapid Update Cycle model kinematic and thermodynamic fields, 5-yr composites are presented and stratified according to the environmental conditions. While the corridors show the expected association with areas of enhanced CAPE and relatively strong northwesterly/westerly shear, the strongest association is with the northern terminus region of the nocturnal low-level jet (LLJ). Furthermore, the relative intensity of the rainfall is positively correlated with the strength of the LLJ. The LLJ is thought to play a role through enhanced convergence and lifting, moisture transport, and frontogenesis. In the five years analyzed, the large-scale environment varied considerably, but the role of the LLJ in the formation of corridors remained persistent.

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