Could the Liquiñe-Ofqui fault zone promote the 2011 Cordon Caulle eruption ?
<p>The 2011-2012 Cordon-Caulle eruption&#160;was the largest subaerial eruption&#160;of&#160;the 21th&#160;century. An&#160;inflation captured from InSAR between 2007 and 2009 was related to a volume of magma injection&#160;too small to have&#160;triggered&#160;this eruption. Here, we benefit from SAR imagery acquired by ALOS-1, ENVISAT and SENTINEL-1 data,&#160;to&#160;analyze the temporal and spatial behavior of ground displacements&#160;before, during and after the eruption. We find that a similar&#160;prolate&#160;spheroidal&#160;source explains the data for the pre-eruptive&#160;and post-eruptive periods.&#160;Then&#160;we explore two tectonically-related hypotheses to explain&#160;the observed&#160;displacements&#160;during the explosive&#160;phase&#160;of the eruption. Therefore, first we model InSAR data using&#160;standard&#160;inversion&#160;models&#160;to evaluate&#160;how&#160;slip motion&#160;along specific structures&#160;explain&#160;surface&#160;observations. Our&#160;results&#160;show&#160;that the explosive phase's&#160;ground displacements&#160;could have been&#160;produced&#160;either&#160;by&#160;the&#160;collapse&#160;of the&#160;caldera and&#160;the&#160;graben&#160;overriding the&#160;reservoir,&#160;or by&#160;slip motion&#160;along a dextral-strike slip&#160;fault&#160;zone&#160;related to the&#160;North-South trending&#160;Liqui&#241;e-Ofqui fault zone. Second,&#160;we&#160;use&#160;3D&#160;numerical&#160;models&#160;and&#160;elasto-plasticity&#160;to&#160;assess&#160;the&#160;failure conditions&#160;along both structures&#160;resulting from&#160;an&#160;overpressure applied at the wall of the&#160;prolate-spheroidal&#160;reservoir. Our results show that a magma injection consistent with the&#160;2007-2009&#160; inflation signal&#160;rather promotes constriction at the roof of the reservoir, which tends to impede fluid flow towards the surface. The presence of a relatively weak graben-caldera structure in our models show that this constrictional area is enhanced. On the other hand, the elasto-plastic pattern resulting from the application of a dextral-slip motion along the LOFZ branch-fault generates a&#160;dilatational plastic zone that connects the reservoir wall to the surface, where it coincides with the location of the 2011 eruption.&#160;Hence we propose that the LOFZ branch-fault, weakened during the pre-eruptive inflation phase, destabilized and slipped&#160;two years later&#160;in a way that&#160;it&#160;served&#160;as&#160;open&#160;channels&#160;for fluid&#160;migration from the&#160;magma&#160;reservoir&#160;up to the surface.</p>