scholarly journals On the utility of land surface models for agricultural drought monitoring

2012 ◽  
Vol 16 (9) ◽  
pp. 3451-3460 ◽  
Author(s):  
W. T. Crow ◽  
S. V. Kumar ◽  
J. D. Bolten
Keyword(s):  
Soil Moisture ◽  
Land Surface ◽  
Cross Correlation ◽  
Root Zone ◽  
Vegetation Indices ◽  
Agricultural Drought ◽  
Drought Monitoring ◽  
Global Evaluation ◽  
Land Surface Models ◽  
Surface Models

Abstract. The lagged rank cross-correlation between model-derived root-zone soil moisture estimates and remotely sensed vegetation indices (VI) is examined between January 2000 and December 2010 to quantify the skill of various soil moisture models for agricultural drought monitoring. Examined modeling strategies range from a simple antecedent precipitation index to the application of modern land surface models (LSMs) based on complex water and energy balance formulations. A quasi-global evaluation of lagged VI/soil moisture cross-correlation suggests, when globally averaged across the entire annual cycle, soil moisture estimates obtained from complex LSMs provide little added skill (< 5% in relative terms) in anticipating variations in vegetation condition relative to a simplified water accounting procedure based solely on observed precipitation. However, larger amounts of added skill (5–15% in relative terms) can be identified when focusing exclusively on the extra-tropical growing season and/or utilizing soil moisture values acquired by averaging across a multi-model ensemble.

scholarly journals On the utility of land surface models for agricultural drought monitoring

2012 ◽  
Vol 9 (4) ◽  
pp. 5167-5193 ◽  
Author(s):  
W. T. Crow ◽  
S. V. Kumar ◽  
J. D. Bolten
Keyword(s):  
Soil Moisture ◽  
Land Surface ◽  
Cross Correlation ◽  
Root Zone ◽  
Vegetation Indices ◽  
Agricultural Drought ◽  
Drought Monitoring ◽  
Global Evaluation ◽  
Land Surface Models ◽  
Surface Models

Abstract. The lagged rank cross-correlation between model-derived root-zone soil moisture estimates and remotely-sensed vegetation indices (VI) is examined between January 2000 and December 2010 to quantify the skill of various soil moisture models for agricultural drought monitoring. Examined modeling strategies range from a simple antecedent precipitation index to the application of modern land surface models (LSMs) based on complex water and energy balance formations. A quasi-global evaluation of lagged VI/soil moisture cross-correlation suggests, when averaged in bulk across the annual cycle, little or no added skill (<5% in relative terms) is associated with applying modern LSMs to off-line agricultural drought monitoring relative to simple accounting procedures based solely on observed precipitation accumulations. However, slightly larger amounts of added skill (5–15% in relative terms) are identified when focusing exclusively on the extra-tropical growing season and/or utilizing soil moisture values acquired by averaging across a multi-model ensemble.

scholarly journals Comparing soil moisture anomalies from multiple independent sources over different regions across the globe

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Carmelo Cammalleri ◽  
Jürgen V. Vogt ◽  
Bernard Bisselink ◽  
Ad de Roo
Keyword(s):  
Soil Moisture ◽  
North America ◽  
Southern Africa ◽  
Land Surface ◽  
Root Zone ◽  
Agricultural Drought ◽  
Drought Monitoring ◽  
Distributed Hydrological Model ◽  
Ground Station ◽  
Insight Into

Abstract. Agricultural drought events can affect large regions across the World, implying the urge for a suitable global tool for an accurate monitoring of this phenomenon. Soil moisture anomalies are considered a good metric to capture the occurrence of agricultural drought events, and they have become an important component of several operational drought monitoring systems. In the framework of the JRC Global Drought Observatory (GDO, http://edo.jrc.ec.europa.eu/gdo/) the suitability of modelled and/or satellite-derived proxy of soil moisture anomalies was investigated. In this study, three datasets have been evaluated as possible proxies of root zone soil moisture anomalies: (1) soil moisture from the Lisflood distributed hydrological model (LIS), (2) remotely sensed land surface temperature data from the MODIS satellite (LST), and (3) the combined passive/active microwave skin soil moisture dataset developed by ESA (CCI). Due to the independency of these three datasets, the Triple Collocation (TC) technique has been applied, aiming at quantifying the likely error associated to each dataset in comparison to the unknown true status of the system. TC analysis was performed on five macro-regions (namely North America, Europe, India, Southern Africa and Australia) detected as suitable for the experiment, providing insight into the mutual relationship between these datasets as well as assessment of the accuracy of each method. A clear outcome of the TC analysis is the good performance of remote sensing datasets, especially CCI, over dry regions such as Australia and Southern Africa, whereas the outputs of LIS seem to be more reliable over areas that are well monitored through meteorological ground station networks, such as North America and Europe. In a global drought monitoring system, these results can be used to design an ensemble system that exploits the advantages of each dataset.

scholarly journals Comparing soil moisture anomalies from multiple independent sources over different regions across the globe

2017 ◽  
Vol 21 (12) ◽  
pp. 6329-6343 ◽  
Author(s):  
Carmelo Cammalleri ◽  
Jürgen V. Vogt ◽  
Bernard Bisselink ◽  
Ad de Roo
Keyword(s):  
Soil Moisture ◽  
North America ◽  
Southern Africa ◽  
Land Surface ◽  
Root Zone ◽  
Weighted Average ◽  
Agricultural Drought ◽  
Drought Monitoring ◽  
Distributed Hydrological Model ◽  
Ground Station

Abstract. Agricultural drought events can affect large regions across the world, implying the need for a suitable global tool for an accurate monitoring of this phenomenon. Soil moisture anomalies are considered a good metric to capture the occurrence of agricultural drought events, and they have become an important component of several operational drought monitoring systems. In the framework of the JRC Global Drought Observatory (GDO, http://edo.jrc.ec.europa.eu/gdo/), the suitability of three datasets as possible representations of root zone soil moisture anomalies has been evaluated: (1) the soil moisture from the Lisflood distributed hydrological model (namely LIS), (2) the remotely sensed Land Surface Temperature data from the MODIS satellite (namely LST), and (3) the ESA Climate Change Initiative combined passive/active microwave skin soil moisture dataset (namely CCI). Due to the independency of these three datasets, the triple collocation (TC) technique has been applied, aiming at quantifying the likely error associated with each dataset in comparison to the unknown true status of the system. TC analysis was performed on five macro-regions (namely North America, Europe, India, southern Africa and Australia) detected as suitable for the experiment, providing insight into the mutual relationship between these datasets as well as an assessment of the accuracy of each method. Even if no definitive statement on the spatial distribution of errors can be provided, a clear outcome of the TC analysis is the good performance of the remote sensing datasets, especially CCI, over dry regions such as Australia and southern Africa, whereas the outputs of LIS seem to be more reliable over areas that are well monitored through meteorological ground station networks, such as North America and Europe. In a global drought monitoring system, the results of the error analysis are used to design a weighted-average ensemble system that exploits the advantages of each dataset.

scholarly journals The effect of climate type on timescales of drought propagation in an ensemble of global hydrological models

2018 ◽  
Vol 22 (9) ◽  
pp. 4649-4665 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anouk I. Gevaert ◽  
Ted I. E. Veldkamp ◽  
Philip J. Ward
Keyword(s):  
Soil Moisture ◽  
Land Surface ◽  
Spatial Scales ◽  
Standardized Precipitation Index ◽  
Meteorological Drought ◽  
Hydrological Drought ◽  
Propagation Time ◽  
Hydrological Models ◽  
Land Surface Models ◽  
Surface Models

Abstract. Drought is a natural hazard that occurs at many temporal and spatial scales and has severe environmental and socioeconomic impacts across the globe. The impacts of drought change as drought evolves from precipitation deficits to deficits in soil moisture or streamflow. Here, we quantified the time taken for drought to propagate from meteorological drought to soil moisture drought and from meteorological drought to hydrological drought. We did this by cross-correlating the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) against standardized indices (SIs) of soil moisture, runoff, and streamflow from an ensemble of global hydrological models (GHMs) forced by a consistent meteorological dataset. Drought propagation is strongly related to climate types, occurring at sub-seasonal timescales in tropical climates and at up to multi-annual timescales in continental and arid climates. Winter droughts are usually related to longer SPI accumulation periods than summer droughts, especially in continental and tropical savanna climates. The difference between the seasons is likely due to winter snow cover in the former and distinct wet and dry seasons in the latter. Model structure appears to play an important role in model variability, as drought propagation to soil moisture drought is slower in land surface models (LSMs) than in global hydrological models, but propagation to hydrological drought is faster in land surface models than in global hydrological models. The propagation time from SPI to hydrological drought in the models was evaluated against observed data at 127 in situ streamflow stations. On average, errors between observed and modeled drought propagation timescales are small and the model ensemble mean is preferred over the use of a single model. Nevertheless, there is ample opportunity for improvement as substantial differences in drought propagation are found at 10 % of the study sites. A better understanding and representation of drought propagation in models may help improve seasonal drought forecasting as well as constrain drought variability under future climate scenarios.

scholarly journals Using Cosmic-Ray Neutron Probes in Validating Satellite Soil Moisture Products and Land Surface Models

Water ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (7) ◽  
pp. 1362 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mustafa Berk Duygu ◽  
Zuhal Akyürek
Keyword(s):  
Soil Moisture ◽  
Land Surface ◽  
Land Surface Model ◽  
Cosmic Ray ◽  
Surface Model ◽  
High Temporal Resolution ◽  
Land Surface Models ◽  
Statistical Measures ◽  
Surface Models ◽  
Global Land

Soil moisture content is one of the most important parameters of hydrological studies. Cosmic-ray neutron sensing is a promising proximal soil moisture sensing technique at intermediate scale and high temporal resolution. In this study, we validate satellite soil moisture products for the period of March 2015 and December 2018 by using several existing Cosmic Ray Neutron Probe (CRNP) stations of the COSMOS database and a CRNP station that was installed in the south part of Turkey in October 2016. Soil moisture values, which were inferred from the CRNP station in Turkey, are also validated using a time domain reflectometer (TDR) installed at the same location and soil water content values obtained from a land surface model (Noah LSM) at various depths (0.1 m, 0.3 m, 0.6 m and 1.0 m). The CRNP has a very good correlation with TDR where both measurements show consistent changes in soil moisture due to storm events. Satellite soil moisture products obtained from the Soil Moisture and Ocean Salinity (SMOS), the METOP-A/B Advanced Scatterometer (ASCAT), Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP), Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer 2 (AMSR2), Climate Change Initiative (CCI) and a global land surface model Global Land Data Assimilation System (GLDAS) are compared with the soil moisture values obtained from CRNP stations. Coefficient of determination ( r 2 ) and unbiased root mean square error (ubRMSE) are used as the statistical measures. Triple Collocation (TC) was also performed by considering soil moisture values obtained from different soil moisture products and the CRNPs. The validation results are mainly influenced by the location of the sensor and the soil moisture retrieval algorithm of satellite products. The SMAP surface product produces the highest correlations and lowest errors especially in semi-arid areas whereas the ASCAT product provides better results in vegetated areas. Both global and local land surface models’ outputs are highly compatible with the CRNP soil moisture values.

scholarly journals Using data assimilation to optimize pedotransfer functions using large-scale in-situ soil moisture observations

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Elizabeth Cooper ◽  
Eleanor Blyth ◽  
Hollie Cooper ◽  
Rich Ellis ◽  
Ewan Pinnington ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Soil Moisture ◽  
Data Assimilation ◽  
Land Surface ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Pedotransfer Functions ◽  
Surface Model ◽  
Climate Projections ◽  
Land Surface Models ◽  
Surface Models

Abstract. Soil moisture predictions from land surface models are important in hydrological, ecological and meteorological applications. In recent years the availability of wide-area soil-moisture measurements has increased, but few studies have combined model-based soil moisture predictions with in-situ observations beyond the point scale. Here we show that we can markedly improve soil moisture estimates from the JULES land surface model using field scale observations and data assimilation techniques. Rather than directly updating soil moisture estimates towards observed values, we optimize constants in the underlying pedotransfer functions, which relate soil texture to JULES soil physics parameters. In this way we generate a single set of newly calibrated pedotransfer functions based on observations from a number of UK sites with different soil textures. We demonstrate that calibrating a pedotransfer function in this way can improve the performance of land surface models, leading to the potential for better flood, drought and climate projections.

scholarly journals Evaluating a land surface model at a water-limited site: implications for land surface contributions to droughts and heatwaves

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mengyuan Mu ◽  
Martin De Kauwe ◽  
Anna Ukkola ◽  
Andy Pitman ◽  
Teresa Gimeno ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Soil Moisture ◽  
Land Surface ◽  
Land Surface Model ◽  
Heat Fluxes ◽  
Surface Model ◽  
Strong Impact ◽  
Water Fluxes ◽  
Land Surface Models ◽  
Groundwater Aquifer ◽  
Surface Models

&lt;p&gt;Land surface models underpin coupled climate model projections of droughts and heatwaves. However, the lack of simultaneous observations of individual components of evapotranspiration, concurrent with root-zone soil moisture, has limited previous model evaluations. Here, we use a comprehensive set of observations from a water-limited site in southeastern Australia including both evapotranspiration and soil moisture to a depth of 4.5 m to evaluate the Community Atmosphere-Biosphere Land Exchange (CABLE) land surface model. We demonstrate that alternative process representations within CABLE had the capacity to improve simulated evapotranspiration, but not necessarily soil moisture dynamics - highlighting problems of model evaluations against water fluxes alone. Our best simulation was achieved by resolving a soil evaporation bias; a more realistic initialisation of the groundwater aquifer state; higher vertical soil resolution informed by observed soil properties; and further calibrating soil hydraulic conductivity. Despite these improvements, the role of the empirical soil moisture stress function in influencing the simulated water fluxes remained important: using a site calibrated function reduced the soil water stress on plants by 36 % during drought and 23 % at other times. These changes in CABLE not only improve the seasonal cycle of evapotranspiration, but also affect the latent and sensible heat fluxes during droughts and heatwaves. The range of parameterisations tested led to differences of ~150 W m&lt;sup&gt;-2&lt;/sup&gt; in the simulated latent heat flux during a heatwave, implying a strong impact of parameterisations on the capacity for evaporative cooling and feedbacks to the boundary layer (when coupled). Overall, our results highlight the opportunity to advance the capability of land surface models to capture water cycle processes, particularly during meteorological extremes, when sufficient observations of both evapotranspiration fluxes and soil moisture profiles are available.&lt;/p&gt;

Climate controlled root zone parameters show potential to improve water flux simulations by land surface models

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fransje van Oorschot ◽  
Ruud van der Ent ◽  
Andrea Alessandri ◽  
Markus Hrachowitz
Keyword(s):  
Land Surface ◽  
Root Zone ◽  
Surface Model ◽  
Water Fluxes ◽  
Land Surface Models ◽  
Climate Control ◽  
Local Climate ◽  
Climate Conditions ◽  
Surface Models ◽  
Zone Parameters

&lt;p&gt;The root zone storage capacity (S&lt;sub&gt;r&lt;/sub&gt; ) is the maximum volume of water in the subsurface that can potentially be accessed by vegetation for transpiration. It influences the seasonality of transpiration as well as fast and slow runoff processes. Many studies have shown that S&lt;sub&gt;r&lt;/sub&gt; is heterogeneous as controlled by local climate conditions, which affect vegetation strategies in sizing their root system able to support plant growth and to prevent water shortages. Root zone parameterization in most land surface models does not account for this climate control on root development, being based on look-up tables that prescribe worldwide the same root zone parameters for each vegetation class. These look-up tables are obtained from measurements of rooting structure that are scarce and hardly representative of the ecosystem scale. The objective of this research was to quantify and evaluate the effects of a climate-controlled representation of S&lt;sub&gt;r&lt;/sub&gt; on the&amp;#160; water fluxes modeled by the HTESSEL land surface model. Climate controlled S&lt;sub&gt;r&lt;/sub&gt; was here estimated with the &quot;memory method&quot; (hereinafter MM) in which S&lt;sub&gt;r&lt;/sub&gt; is derived from the vegetation's memory of past root zone water storage deficits. S&lt;sub&gt;r,MM&lt;/sub&gt; was estimated for 15 river catchments over Australia across three contrasting climate regions: tropical, temperate and Mediterranean. Suitable representations of S&lt;sub&gt;r,MM&lt;/sub&gt; were then implemented in HTESSEL (hereinafter MD) by accordingly modifying the soil depths to obtain a model S&lt;sub&gt;r,MD &lt;/sub&gt;that matches S&lt;sub&gt;r,MM&lt;/sub&gt; in the 15 catchments. In the control version of HTESSEL (hereinafter CTR), S&lt;sub&gt;r,CTR&lt;/sub&gt; was larger than S&lt;sub&gt;r,MM&lt;/sub&gt; in 14 out of 15 catchments. Furthermore, the variability among the individual catchments of S&lt;sub&gt;r,MM&lt;/sub&gt; (117&amp;#8212;722 mm) was considerably larger than of S&lt;sub&gt;r,CTR&lt;/sub&gt; (491&amp;#8212;725 mm). The HTESSEL MD version resulted in a significant and consistent improvement version of the modeled monthly seasonal climatology (1975--2010) and inter-annual anomalies of river discharge compared with observations. However, the effects on biases in long-term annual mean fluxes were small and mixed. The modeled monthly seasonal climatology of the catchment discharge improved in MD compared to CTR: the correlation with observations increased significantly from 0.84 to 0.90 in tropical catchments, from 0.74 to 0.86 in temperate catchments and from 0.86 to 0.96 in Mediterranean catchments. Correspondingly, the correlations of the inter-annual discharge anomalies improved significantly in MD from 0.74 to 0.78 in tropical catchments, from 0.80 to 0.85 in temperate catchments and from 0.71 to 0.79 in Mediterranean catchments. Based on these results, we believe that a global application of climate controlled root zone parameters has the potential to improve the timing of modeled water fluxes by land surface models, but a significant reduction of biases is not expected.&amp;#160;&lt;/p&gt;

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