scholarly journals Representation of Water Management in Hydrological and Land Surface Models

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fuad Yassin ◽  
Saman Razavi ◽  
Mohamed Elshamy ◽  
Bruce Davison ◽  
Gonzalo Sapriza-Azuri ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Case Studies ◽  
Land Surface ◽  
Reservoir Operation ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Land Surface Models ◽  
Operation Model ◽  
Reservoir Model ◽  
Simulation Accuracy ◽  
Surface Models

Abstract. Reservoirs significantly affect flow regimes in watershed systems by changing the magnitude and timing of streamflows. Failure to represent these effects limits the performance of hydrological and land surface models (H-LSMs) in the many highly regulated basins across the globe and limits the applicability of such models to investigate the futures of watershed systems through scenario analysis (e.g., scenarios of climate, land use, or reservoir regulation changes). An adequate representation of reservoirs and their operation in an H-LSM is therefore essential for a realistic representation of the downstream flow regime. In this paper, we present a general parametric reservoir operation model based on piecewise linear relationships between reservoir storage, inflow, and release, to approximate actual reservoir operations. For the identification of the model parameters, we propose two strategies: (a) a generalized parameterization that requires a relatively limited amount of data; and (b) direct calibration via multi-objective optimization when more data on historical storage and release are available. We use data from 37 reservoir case studies located in several regions across the globe for developing and testing the model. We further build this reservoir operation model into the MESH modelling system, which is a large-scale H-LSM. Our results across the case studies show that the proposed reservoir model with both of the parameter identification strategies leads to improved simulation accuracy compared with the other widely used approaches for reservoir operation simulation. We further show the significance of enabling MESH with this reservoir model and discuss the interdependent effects of the simulation accuracy of natural processes and that of reservoir operation on the overall model performance. The reservoir operation model is generic and can be integrated into any H-LSM.

scholarly journals Representation and improved parameterization of reservoir operation in hydrological and land-surface models

2019 ◽  
Vol 23 (9) ◽  
pp. 3735-3764 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fuad Yassin ◽  
Saman Razavi ◽  
Mohamed Elshamy ◽  
Bruce Davison ◽  
Gonzalo Sapriza-Azuri ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Case Studies ◽  
Land Surface ◽  
Reservoir Operation ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Land Surface Models ◽  
Operation Model ◽  
Reservoir Model ◽  
Reservoir Operations ◽  
Simulation Accuracy ◽  
Surface Models

Abstract. Reservoirs significantly affect flow regimes in watershed systems by changing the magnitude and timing of streamflows. Failure to represent these effects limits the performance of hydrological and land-surface models (H-LSMs) in the many highly regulated basins across the globe and limits the applicability of such models to investigate the futures of watershed systems through scenario analysis (e.g., scenarios of climate, land use, or reservoir regulation changes). An adequate representation of reservoirs and their operation in an H-LSM is therefore essential for a realistic representation of the downstream flow regime. In this paper, we present a general parametric reservoir operation model based on piecewise-linear relationships between reservoir storage, inflow, and release to approximate actual reservoir operations. For the identification of the model parameters, we propose two strategies: (a) a “generalized” parameterization that requires a relatively limited amount of data and (b) direct calibration via multi-objective optimization when more data on historical storage and release are available. We use data from 37 reservoir case studies located in several regions across the globe for developing and testing the model. We further build this reservoir operation model into the MESH (Modélisation Environmentale-Surface et Hydrologie) modeling system, which is a large-scale H-LSM. Our results across the case studies show that the proposed reservoir model with both parameter-identification strategies leads to improved simulation accuracy compared with the other widely used approaches for reservoir operation simulation. We further show the significance of enabling MESH with this reservoir model and discuss the interdependent effects of the simulation accuracy of natural processes and that of reservoir operations on the overall model performance. The reservoir operation model is generic and can be integrated into any H-LSM.

scholarly journals Evaluating and improving the Community Land Model's sensitivity to land cover

2018 ◽  
Vol 15 (15) ◽  
pp. 4731-4757 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ronny Meier ◽  
Edouard L. Davin ◽  
Quentin Lejeune ◽  
Mathias Hauser ◽  
Yan Li ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Remote Sensing ◽  
Land Cover ◽  
Land Surface ◽  
Soil Column ◽  
Plant Functional Type ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Functional Type ◽  
Land Surface Models ◽  
Surface Models ◽  
Open Land

Abstract. Modeling studies have shown the importance of biogeophysical effects of deforestation on local climate conditions but have also highlighted the lack of agreement across different models. Recently, remote-sensing observations have been used to assess the contrast in albedo, evapotranspiration (ET), and land surface temperature (LST) between forest and nearby open land on a global scale. These observations provide an unprecedented opportunity to evaluate the ability of land surface models to simulate the biogeophysical effects of forests. Here, we evaluate the representation of the difference of forest minus open land (i.e., grassland and cropland) in albedo, ET, and LST in the Community Land Model version 4.5 (CLM4.5) using various remote-sensing and in situ data sources. To extract the local sensitivity to land cover, we analyze plant functional type level output from global CLM4.5 simulations, using a model configuration that attributes a separate soil column to each plant functional type. Using the separated soil column configuration, CLM4.5 is able to realistically reproduce the biogeophysical contrast between forest and open land in terms of albedo, daily mean LST, and daily maximum LST, while the effect on daily minimum LST is not well captured by the model. Furthermore, we identify that the ET contrast between forests and open land is underestimated in CLM4.5 compared to observation-based products and even reversed in sign for some regions, even when considering uncertainties in these products. We then show that these biases can be partly alleviated by modifying several model parameters, such as the root distribution, the formulation of plant water uptake, the light limitation of photosynthesis, and the maximum rate of carboxylation. Furthermore, the ET contrast between forest and open land needs to be better constrained by observations to foster convergence amongst different land surface models on the biogeophysical effects of forests. Overall, this study demonstrates the potential of comparing subgrid model output to local observations to improve current land surface models' ability to simulate land cover change effects, which is a promising approach to reduce uncertainties in future assessments of land use impacts on climate.

scholarly journals Using data assimilation to optimize pedotransfer functions using large-scale in-situ soil moisture observations

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Elizabeth Cooper ◽  
Eleanor Blyth ◽  
Hollie Cooper ◽  
Rich Ellis ◽  
Ewan Pinnington ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Soil Moisture ◽  
Data Assimilation ◽  
Land Surface ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Pedotransfer Functions ◽  
Surface Model ◽  
Climate Projections ◽  
Land Surface Models ◽  
Surface Models

Abstract. Soil moisture predictions from land surface models are important in hydrological, ecological and meteorological applications. In recent years the availability of wide-area soil-moisture measurements has increased, but few studies have combined model-based soil moisture predictions with in-situ observations beyond the point scale. Here we show that we can markedly improve soil moisture estimates from the JULES land surface model using field scale observations and data assimilation techniques. Rather than directly updating soil moisture estimates towards observed values, we optimize constants in the underlying pedotransfer functions, which relate soil texture to JULES soil physics parameters. In this way we generate a single set of newly calibrated pedotransfer functions based on observations from a number of UK sites with different soil textures. We demonstrate that calibrating a pedotransfer function in this way can improve the performance of land surface models, leading to the potential for better flood, drought and climate projections.

scholarly journals Do land surface models need to include differential plant species responses to drought? Examining model predictions across a mesic-xeric gradient in Europe

2015 ◽  
Vol 12 (24) ◽  
pp. 7503-7518 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. G. De Kauwe ◽  
S.-X. Zhou ◽  
B. E. Medlyn ◽  
A. J. Pitman ◽  
Y.-P. Wang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Land Surface ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Climate Models ◽  
Soil Water Potential ◽  
Abrupt Onset ◽  
Future Climate Change ◽  
Land Surface Models ◽  
Drought Sensitivity ◽  
Coupled Climate Models ◽  
Surface Models

Abstract. Future climate change has the potential to increase drought in many regions of the globe, making it essential that land surface models (LSMs) used in coupled climate models realistically capture the drought responses of vegetation. Recent data syntheses show that drought sensitivity varies considerably among plants from different climate zones, but state-of-the-art LSMs currently assume the same drought sensitivity for all vegetation. We tested whether variable drought sensitivities are needed to explain the observed large-scale patterns of drought impact on the carbon, water and energy fluxes. We implemented data-driven drought sensitivities in the Community Atmosphere Biosphere Land Exchange (CABLE) LSM and evaluated alternative sensitivities across a latitudinal gradient in Europe during the 2003 heatwave. The model predicted an overly abrupt onset of drought unless average soil water potential was calculated with dynamic weighting across soil layers. We found that high drought sensitivity at the most mesic sites, and low drought sensitivity at the most xeric sites, was necessary to accurately model responses during drought. Our results indicate that LSMs will over-estimate drought impacts in drier climates unless different sensitivity of vegetation to drought is taken into account.

scholarly journals Do land surface models need to include differential plant species responses to drought? Examining model predictions across a latitudinal gradient in Europe

2015 ◽  
Vol 12 (15) ◽  
pp. 12349-12393 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. G. De Kauwe ◽  
S.-X. Zhou ◽  
B. E. Medlyn ◽  
A. J. Pitman ◽  
Y.-P. Wang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Land Surface ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Latitudinal Gradient ◽  
Climate Models ◽  
Soil Water Potential ◽  
Abrupt Onset ◽  
Future Climate Change ◽  
Land Surface Models ◽  
Drought Sensitivity ◽  
Surface Models

Abstract. Future climate change has the potential to increase drought in many regions of the globe, making it essential that land surface models (LSMs) used in coupled climate models, realistically capture the drought responses of vegetation. Recent data syntheses show that drought sensitivity varies considerably among plants from different climate zones, but state-of-the-art LSMs currently assume the same drought sensitivity for all vegetation. We tested whether variable drought sensitivities are needed to explain the observed large-scale patterns of drought impact. We implemented data-driven drought sensitivities in the Community Atmosphere Biosphere Land Exchange (CABLE) LSM and evaluated alternative sensitivities across a latitudinal gradient in Europe during the 2003 heatwave. The model predicted an overly abrupt onset of drought unless average soil water potential was calculated with dynamic weighting across soil layers. We found that high drought sensitivity at the northernmost sites, and low drought sensitivity at the southernmost sites, was necessary to accurately model responses during drought. Our results indicate that LSMs will over-estimate drought impacts in drier climates unless different sensitivity of vegetation to drought is taken into account.

scholarly journals Evaluation of Drydown Processes in Global Land Surface and Hydrological Models Using Flux Tower Evapotranspiration

Water ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 356 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alberto Martínez-de la Torre ◽  
Eleanor Blyth ◽  
Emma Robinson
Keyword(s):  
Land Surface ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Vegetation Type ◽  
Specific Model ◽  
Rainfall Event ◽  
Rate Of Change ◽  
Hydrological Models ◽  
Land Surface Models ◽  
Flux Tower ◽  
Surface Models

A key aspect of the land surface response to the atmosphere is how quickly it dries after a rainfall event. It is key because it will determine the intensity and speed of the propagation of drought and also affects the atmospheric state through changes in the surface heat exchanges. Here, we test the theory that this response can be studied as an inherent property of the land surface that is unchanging over time unless the above- and below-ground structures change. This is important as a drydown metric can be used to evaluate a landscape and its response to atmospheric drivers in models used in coupled land–atmosphere mode when the forcing is often not commensurate with the actual atmosphere. We explore whether the speed of drying of a land unit can be quantified and how this can be used to evaluate models. We use the most direct observation of drying: the rate of change of evapotranspiration after a rainfall event using eddy-covariance observations, or commonly referred to as flux tower data. We analyse the data and find that the drydown timescale is characteristic of different land cover types, then we use that to evaluate a suite of global hydrological and land surface models. We show that, at the site level, the data suggest that evapotranspiration decay timescales are longer for trees than for grasslands. The studied model’s accuracy to capture the site drydown timescales depends on the specific model, the site, and the vegetation cover representation. A more robust metric is obtained by grouping the modeled data by vegetation type and, using this, we find that land surface models capture the characteristic timescale difference between trees and grasslands, found using flux data, better than large-scale hydrological models. We thus conclude that the drydown metric has value in understanding land–atmosphere interactions and model evaluation.

scholarly journals Benchmarking NLDAS-2 Soil Moisture and Evapotranspiration to Separate Uncertainty Contributions

2016 ◽  
Vol 17 (3) ◽  
pp. 745-759 ◽  
Author(s):  
Grey S. Nearing ◽  
David M. Mocko ◽  
Christa D. Peters-Lidard ◽  
Sujay V. Kumar ◽  
Youlong Xia
Keyword(s):  
Soil Moisture ◽  
Land Surface ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Land Surface Models ◽  
Surface Mass ◽  
The North ◽  
Surface Models ◽  
Moisture State ◽  
Using Data ◽  
Land Data Assimilation System

Abstract Model benchmarking allows us to separate uncertainty in model predictions caused by model inputs from uncertainty due to model structural error. This method is extended with a “large sample” approach (using data from multiple field sites) to measure prediction uncertainty caused by errors in 1) forcing data, 2) model parameters, and 3) model structure, and use it to compare the efficiency of soil moisture state and evapotranspiration flux predictions made by the four land surface models in phase 2 of the North American Land Data Assimilation System (NLDAS-2). Parameters dominated uncertainty in soil moisture estimates and forcing data dominated uncertainty in evapotranspiration estimates; however, the models themselves used only a fraction of the information available to them. This means that there is significant potential to improve all three components of NLDAS-2. In particular, continued work toward refining the parameter maps and lookup tables, the forcing data measurement and processing, and also the land surface models themselves, has potential to result in improved estimates of surface mass and energy balances.

scholarly journals Evaluating and Improving the Community Land Model's Sensitivity to Land Cover

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ronny Meier ◽  
Edouard L. Davin ◽  
Quentin Lejeune ◽  
Mathias Hauser ◽  
Yan Li ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Remote Sensing ◽  
Land Cover ◽  
Land Surface ◽  
Soil Column ◽  
Plant Functional Type ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Functional Type ◽  
Land Surface Models ◽  
Surface Models ◽  
Open Land

Abstract. Modelling studies have shown the importance of biogeophysical effects of deforestation on local climate conditions, but have also highlighted the lack of agreement across different models. Recently, remote sensing observations have been used to assess the contrast in albedo, evapotranspiration (ET), and land surface temperature (LST) between forest and nearby open land on a global scale. These observations provide an unprecedented opportunity to evaluate the ability of land surface models to simulate the biogeophysical effects of forests. Here, we evaluate the representation of the difference of forest minus open land (i.e., grassland and cropland) in albedo, ET, and LST in the Community Land Model version 4.5 (CLM4.5) using various remote sensing and in-situ data sources. To extract the local sensitivity to land cover we analyze plant functional type level output from global CLM4.5 simulations, using a model configuration that attributes a separate soil column to each plant functional type. Using the separated soil column configuration, CLM4.5 is able to realistically reproduce the biogeophysical contrast between forest and open land in terms of albedo, daily mean LST, and daily maximum LST, while the effect on daily minimum LST is not well captured by the model. Furthermore, we identify that the ET contrast between forests and open land is underestimated in CLM4.5 compared to observation-based products and even reversed in sign for some regions, even when considering uncertainties in these products. We then show that these biases can be partly alleviated by modifying several model parameters, such as the root distribution, the formulation of plant water uptake, the light limitation of photosynthesis, and the maximum rate of carboxylation. Furthermore, the ET contrast between forest and open land needs to be better constrained by observations in order to foster convergence amongst different land surface models on the biogeophysical effects of forests. Overall, this study demonstrates the potential of comparing sub-grid model output to local observations to improve current land surface models’ ability to simulate land cover change effects, which is a promising approach to reduce uncertainties in future assessments of land use impacts on climate.

scholarly journals Averaging over spatiotemporal heterogeneity substantially biases evapotranspiration rates in a mechanistic large-scale land evaporation model

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Elham Rouholahnejad Freund ◽  
Massimiliano Zappa ◽  
James W. Kirchner
Keyword(s):  
Land Surface ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Hydrological Cycle ◽  
Land Surface Model ◽  
Aggregation Bias ◽  
Surface Model ◽  
Land Surface Models ◽  
Evaporation Model ◽  
Surface Models ◽  
Large Scale Land

Abstract. Evapotranspiration (ET) influences land-climate interactions, regulates the hydrological cycle, and contributes to the Earth's energy balance. Due to its feedbacks to large-scale hydrological processes and its impact on atmospheric dynamics, ET is a key driver of droughts and heatwaves. Existing land surface models differ substantially, both in their estimates of current ET fluxes and in their projections of how ET will evolve in the future. Any bias in estimated ET fluxes will affect the partitioning between sensible and latent heat, and thus alter model predictions of temperature and precipitation. One potential source of bias is the so-called aggregation bias that arises whenever nonlinear processes, such as those that regulate ET fluxes, are modeled using averages of heterogeneous inputs. Here we demonstrate a general mathematical approach to quantifying and correcting for this aggregation bias, using the GLEAM land evaporation model as a relatively simple example. We demonstrate that this aggregation bias can lead to substantial overestimates in ET fluxes in a typical large-scale land surface model when sub-grid heterogeneities in land surface properties are averaged out. Using Switzerland as a test case, we examine the scale-dependence of this aggregation bias and show that it can lead to overestimation of daily ET fluxes by as much as 21 % averaged over the whole country. We show how our approach can be used to identify the dominant drivers of aggregation bias, and to estimate sub-grid closure relationships that can correct for aggregation biases in ET estimates, without explicitly representing sub-grid heterogeneities in large-scale land surface models.

scholarly journals MPR 1.0: A stand-alone Multiscale Parameter Regionalization Tool for Improved Parameter Estimation of Land Surface Models

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Robert Schweppe ◽  
Stephan Thober ◽  
Matthias Kelbling ◽  
Rohini Kumar ◽  
Sabine Attinger ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Parameter Estimation ◽  
Parameter Space ◽  
Land Surface ◽  
Hydrologic Model ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Land Surface Models ◽  
Continental Scale ◽  
Environmental Models ◽  
Surface Models

Abstract. Distributed environmental models such as land surface models (LSM) require model parameters in each spatial modelling unit (e.g. grid cell), thereby leading to a high-dimensional parameter space. One approach to decrease the dimen- sionality of parameter space in these models is to use regularization techniques. One such highly efficient technique is the Multiscale Parameter Regionalization (MPR) framework that translates high-resolution predictor variables (e.g., soil textural properties) into model parameters (e.g., porosity) via transfer functions (TFs) and upscaling operators that are suitable for every modeled process. This framework yields seamless model parameters at multiple scales and locations in an effective manner. However, integration of MPR into existing modeling workflows has been hindered thus far by hard-coded configurations and non-modular software designs. For these reasons, we redesigned MPR as a model-agnostic, stand-alone tool. It is a useful software for creating graphs of netCDF variables, wherein each node is a variable and the links consist of TFs and/or upscaling operators. In this study, we present and verify our tool against a previous version, which was implemented in the mesoscale hydrologic model mHM (www.ufz.de/mhm). By using this tool for the generation of continental-scale soil hydraulic param- eters applicable to different models (Noah-MP and HTESSEL), we showcase its general functionality and flexibility. Further, using model parameters estimated by the MPR tool leads to significant changes in long-term estimates of evapotranspiration, as compared to their default parameterizations. For example, a change of up to 25 % in long-term evapotranspiration flux is observed in Noah-MP and HTESSEL in the Mississippi River basin. We postulate that use of the stand-alone MPR tool will considerably increase the transparency and reproducibility of the parameter estimation process in distributed (environmental) models. It will also allow a rigorous uncertainty estimation related to the errors of the predictors (e.g., soil texture fields), transfer function and its parameters, and remapping (or upscaling) algorithms.

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