scholarly journals Karst spring discharge modeling based on deep learning using spatially distributed input data

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Andreas Wunsch ◽  
Tanja Liesch ◽  
Guillaume Cinkus ◽  
Nataša Ravbar ◽  
Zhao Chen ◽  
...  

Abstract. Despite many existing approaches, modeling karst water resources remains challenging and often requires solid system knowledge. Artificial Neural Network approaches offer a convenient solution by establishing a simple input-output relationship on their own. However, in this context, temporal and especially spatial data availability is often an important constraint, as usually no or few climate stations within a karst spring catchment are available. Hence spatial coverage is often unsatisfying and can introduce severe uncertainties. To avoid these problems, we use 2D-Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN) to directly process gridded meteorological data followed by a 1D-CNN to perform karst spring discharge simulation. We investigate three karst spring catchments in the Alpine and Mediterranean region with different meteorologic-hydrological characteristics and hydrodynamic system properties. We compare our 2D-models both to existing modeling studies in these regions and to 1D-models, which use climate station data, as it is common practice. Our results show that our models are excellently suited to model karst spring discharge and rival the simulation results of existing approaches in the respective areas. The 2D-models learn relevant parts of the input data and by performing a spatial input sensitivity analysis we can further show their potential for karst catchment localization and delineation.

Water ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (11) ◽  
pp. 1449
Author(s):  
Alena Gessert ◽  
Imrich Sládek ◽  
Veronika Straková ◽  
Mihály Braun ◽  
Enikő Heim ◽  
...  

Estimation of the catchment area of a karst spring is not possible in all areas for various reasons. The Slovak Karst is protected by the highest degree of protection and karst springs are used as a source of drinking water for the second largest city in Slovakia, Košice. From this reason, no results on ionic runoff or chemical denudation have been published from this area and the most appropriate way to obtain information about the denudation rate is to determine the ionic runoff. This paper provides an overview of ionic runoff results based on sampling and analysis of karst water from six springs in the period November 2013–October 2016 (three hydrological years) and periodic measurements. Springs have significantly fluctuated flow rates from 0 L/s in summer and autumn up to 192 L/s, and episodic events during the snow melting and heavy rain in the spring of 2013 are also known (more than 380 L/s). The total value of ionic runoff for the area of 40,847 m3/y.km2 is comparable with the Vracanska Plateau in Bulgaria, which lies at a similar altitude and with a similar amount of precipitation.


2020 ◽  
Vol 16 (3) ◽  
pp. 1061-1074 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jörg Franke ◽  
Veronika Valler ◽  
Stefan Brönnimann ◽  
Raphael Neukom ◽  
Fernando Jaume-Santero

Abstract. Differences between paleoclimatic reconstructions are caused by two factors: the method and the input data. While many studies compare methods, we will focus in this study on the consequences of the input data choice in a state-of-the-art Kalman-filter paleoclimate data assimilation approach. We evaluate reconstruction quality in the 20th century based on three collections of tree-ring records: (1) 54 of the best temperature-sensitive tree-ring chronologies chosen by experts; (2) 415 temperature-sensitive tree-ring records chosen less strictly by regional working groups and statistical screening; (3) 2287 tree-ring series that are not screened for climate sensitivity. The three data sets cover the range from small sample size, small spatial coverage and strict screening for temperature sensitivity to large sample size and spatial coverage but no screening. Additionally, we explore a combination of these data sets plus screening methods to improve the reconstruction quality. A large, unscreened collection generally leads to a poor reconstruction skill. A small expert selection of extratropical Northern Hemisphere records allows for a skillful high-latitude temperature reconstruction but cannot be expected to provide information for other regions and other variables. We achieve the best reconstruction skill across all variables and regions by combining all available input data but rejecting records with insignificant climatic information (p value of regression model >0.05) and removing duplicate records. It is important to use a tree-ring proxy system model that includes both major growth limitations, temperature and moisture.


Atmosphere ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (12) ◽  
pp. 1596
Author(s):  
Fuhan Zhang ◽  
Xiaodong Wang ◽  
Jiping Guan

Multi-source meteorological data can reflect the development process of single meteorological elements from different angles. Making full use of multi-source meteorological data is an effective method to improve the performance of weather nowcasting. For precipitation nowcasting, this paper proposes a novel multi-input multi-output recurrent neural network model based on multimodal fusion and spatiotemporal prediction, named MFSP-Net. It uses precipitation grid data, radar echo data, and reanalysis data as input data and simultaneously realizes 0–4 h precipitation amount nowcasting and precipitation intensity nowcasting. MFSP-Net can perform the spatiotemporal-scale fusion of the three sources of input data while retaining the spatiotemporal information flow of them. The multi-task learning strategy is used to train the network. We conduct experiments on the dataset of Southeast China, and the results show that MFSP-Net comprehensively improves the performance of the nowcasting of precipitation amounts. For precipitation intensity nowcasting, MFSP-Net has obvious advantages in heavy precipitation nowcasting and the middle and late stages of nowcasting.


Author(s):  
J. Kang ◽  
I. Lee

Sophisticated indoor design and growing development in urban architecture make indoor spaces more complex. And the indoor spaces are easily connected to public transportations such as subway and train stations. These phenomena allow to transfer outdoor activities to the indoor spaces. Constant development of technology has a significant impact on people knowledge about services such as location awareness services in the indoor spaces. Thus, it is required to develop the low-cost system to create the 3D model of the indoor spaces for services based on the indoor models. In this paper, we thus introduce the rotating stereo frame camera system that has two cameras and generate the indoor 3D model using the system. First, select a test site and acquired images eight times during one day with different positions and heights of the system. Measurements were complemented by object control points obtained from a total station. As the data were obtained from the different positions and heights of the system, it was possible to make various combinations of data and choose several suitable combinations for input data. Next, we generated the 3D model of the test site using commercial software with previously chosen input data. The last part of the processes will be to evaluate the accuracy of the generated indoor model from selected input data. In summary, this paper introduces the low-cost system to acquire indoor spatial data and generate the 3D model using images acquired by the system. Through this experiments, we ensure that the introduced system is suitable for generating indoor spatial information. The proposed low-cost system will be applied to indoor services based on the indoor spatial information.


2015 ◽  
Vol 17 (3) ◽  
pp. 149
Author(s):  
Pande Made Udiyani ◽  
Sri Kuntjoro

ABSTRAK PENGARUH KONDISI ATMOSFERIK TERHADAP PERHITUNGAN PROBABILISTIK DAMPAK RADIOLOGI KECELAKAAN PWR 1000-MWe.  Perhitungan dampak kecelakaan radiologi terhadap lepasan produk fisi akibat kecelakaan potensial yang mungkin terjadi di Pressurized Water Reactor (PWR) diperlukan secara probabilistik. Mengingat kondisi atmosfer sangat berperan terhadap dispersi radionuklida di lingkungan, dalam penelitian ini akan dianalisis pengaruh kondisi atmosferik terhadap perhitungan probabilistik dari konsekuensi kecelakaan reaktor.  Tujuan penelitian adalah melakukan analisis terhadap pengaruh kondisi atmosfer berdasarkan model data input meteorologi terhadap dampak radiologi kecelakaan PWR 1000-MWe yang disimulasikan pada tapak yang mempunyai kondisi meteorologi yang berbeda. Simulasi menggunakan program PC-Cosyma dengan moda perhitungan probabilistik, dengan data input meteorologi yang dieksekusi secara cyclic dan stratified, dan disimulasikan di Tapak Semenanjung Muria dan Pesisir Serang. Data meteorologi diambil setiap jam untuk jangka waktu satu tahun. Hasil perhitungan menunjukkan bahwa frekuensi kumulatif  untuk model input yang sama untuk Tapak pesisir Serang lebih tinggi dibandingkan dengan Semenanjung Muria. Untuk tapak yang sama, frekuensi kumulatif model input cyclic lebih tinggi dibandingkan model stratified. Model cyclic memberikan keleluasan dalam menentukan tingkat ketelitian perhitungan dan tidak membutuhkan data acuan dibandingkan dengan model stratified. Penggunaan model cyclic dan stratified melibatkan jumlah data yang besar dan pengulangan perhitungan  akan meningkatkan  ketelitian nilai-nilai statistika perhitungan. Kata kunci: dampak kecelakaan, PWR 1000-MWe,  probabilistik,  atmosferik, PC-Cosyma   ABSTRACT THE INFLUENCE OF ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS TO PROBABILISTIC CALCULATION OF IMPACT OF RADIOLOGY ACCIDENT ON PWR-1000MWe. The calculation of the radiological impact of the fission products releases due to potential accidents that may occur in the PWR (Pressurized Water Reactor) is required in a  probabilistic. The atmospheric conditions greatly contribute to the dispersion of radionuclides in the environment, so that in this study will be analyzed the influence of atmospheric conditions on probabilistic calculation of the reactor accidents consequences. The objective of this study is to conduct an analysis of the influence of atmospheric conditions based on meteorological input data models on the radiological consequences of PWR-1000MWe accidents. Simulations using PC-Cosyma code with probabilistic calculations mode, the meteorological data input executed cyclic and stratified, the meteorological input data are executed in the cyclic and stratified, and simulated in Muria Peninsula and Serang Coastal. Meteorological data were taken every hour for the duration of the year. The result showed that the cumulative frequency for the same input models for Serang coastal is higher than the Muria Peninsula. For the same site, cumulative frequency on cyclic input models is higher than stratified models. The cyclic models provide flexibility in determining the level of accuracy of calculations and do not require reference data compared to stratified models. The use of cyclic and stratified models involving large amounts of data and calculation repetition will improve the accuracy of statistical calculation values. Keywords: accident impact, PWR 1000 MWe, probabilistic, atmospheric, PC-Cosyma


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Christian Zeeden ◽  
Mathias Vinnepand ◽  
Kamila Ryzner ◽  
Christian Rolf ◽  
Christian Laag ◽  
...  

<p>Spatial patterns of precipitation and aridity across Europe are most likely to vary in response to changing temperature. Our knowledge about such responses is, however, still limited as most geoscientific studies provide point data rather than cover wider areas. Such an approach would require reliable proxies, which can be determined in high spatial resolution along with detailed knowledge about how these reflect climate. Classically, we derive (paleo-) precipitation and -temperature for terrestrial areas from climofunctions, which base on magnetic susceptibility (χ) and its frequency dependence (χ<sub>fd</sub>). These parameters reflect the quantity and modification state of magnetic minerals like magnetite, which are dependent on the combined influence of temperature and precipitation. Recently, also the maghemite contribution to the high-temperature dependent susceptibility (χ<sub>td</sub>) has been used to create climofunctions, which are mainly constrained to reconstruction of (palaeo-) precipitation. Yet, such relationships have mostly been reported from Asia.</p><p>In this study, we test if we can qualify and quantify (palaeo-) precipitation, temperature and aridity by room- and high-temperature rock magnetic and colorimetric data of recent topsoils in a narrow precipitation range between ~535 mm/a and 585 mm/a. The data are derived from geographically evenly distributed bulk-samples from the Backa Loess Plateau (Middle Danube Basin). Our results show that we can quantify precipitation by rock magnetic properties (χ, χ<sub>fd</sub>, as well as χ<sub>td</sub>), but colorimetric methods are more challenging to interpret. While we can also reconstruct aridity, temperature is difficult to determine in a meaningful way.</p><p>In this contribution, we show the results of statistical analysis performed on a multivariate rock magnetic and colorimetric dataset, and their relation to geographical differences in prevailing climatic regimes of the Middle Danube Basin. While care needs to be taken not to overfit the data (due to more colorimetric variables than spatial data points), we regard our multivariate approach at least as relevant as trying to fit individual magnetic or colorimetric proxies to climate variables.</p>


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fakhereh Alidoost ◽  
Jerom Aerts ◽  
Bouwe Andela ◽  
Jaro Camphuijsen ◽  
Nick van De Giesen ◽  
...  

<p>Hydrological models exhibit great complexity and diversity in the exact methodologies applied, competing for hypotheses of hydrologic behaviour, technology stacks, and programming languages used in those models. The preprocessing of forcing (meteorological) data is often performed by various sets of scripts that may or may not be included with model source codes, making it hard to reproduce results. Moreover, forcing data can be retrieved from a wide variety of forcing products with discrepant variable names and frequencies, spatial and temporal resolutions, and spatial coverage. Even though there is an infinite amount of preprocessing scripts for different models, these preprocessing scripts use only a limited set of operations, mainly re-gridding, temporal and spatial manipulations, variable derivation, and unit conversion. Also, these exact same preprocessing functions are used in analysis and evaluation of output from Earth system models in climate science.</p><p>Within the context of the eWaterCycle II project (https://www.ewatercycle.org/), a common preprocessing system has been created for hydrological modelling based on ESMValTool (Earth System Model Evaluation Tool). ESMValTool is a community-driven diagnostic and performance metrics tool that supports a broad range of preprocessing functions. Using a YAML script called a recipe, instructions are provided to ESMValTool: the datasets which need to be analyzed, the preprocessors that need to be applied, and the model-specific analysis (i.e. diagnostic script) which need to be run on data. ESMValTool is modular and flexible so all preprocessing functions can also be used directly in a Python script and additional analyses can easily be added.</p><p>The current preprocessing pipeline of the eWaterCycle using ESMValTool consists of hydrological model-specific scripts and supports ERA5 and ERA-Interim data provided by the ECMWF (European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts), as well as CMIP5 and CMIP6 climate model data. The pipeline starts with the downloading and CMORization (Climate Model Output Rewriter) of input data. Then a recipe is prepared to find the data and run the preprocessors. When ESMValTool runs a recipe, it produces preprocessed data that can be passed as input to a hydrological model. It will also store provenance and citation information to ensure transparency and reproducibility. This leads to less time spent on building custom preprocessing, more reproducible and comparable hydrological science.</p><p>In this presentation, we will give an overview of the current preprocessing pipeline of the eWaterCycle, outline ESMValTool preprocessing functions, and introduce available hydrological recipes and diagnostic scripts for the PCRGLOB, WFLOW, HYPE, MARRMOT and LISFLOOD models.</p>


2019 ◽  
Vol 13 (2) ◽  
pp. 675-691 ◽  
Author(s):  
Cătălin Paţilea ◽  
Georg Heygster ◽  
Marcus Huntemann ◽  
Gunnar Spreen

Abstract. The spaceborne passive microwave sensors Soil Moisture Ocean Salinity (SMOS) and Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP) provide brightness temperature data in the L band (1.4 GHz). At this low frequency the atmosphere is close to transparent and in polar regions the thickness of thin sea ice can be derived. SMOS measurements cover a large incidence angle range, whereas SMAP observes at a fixed 40∘ incidence angle. By using brightness temperatures at a fixed incidence angle obtained directly (SMAP), or through interpolation (SMOS), thin sea ice thickness retrieval is more consistent as the incidence angle effects do not have to be taken into account. Here we transfer a retrieval algorithm for the thickness of thin sea ice (up to 50 cm) from SMOS data at 40 to 50∘ incidence angle to the fixed incidence angle of SMAP. The SMOS brightness temperatures (TBs) at a given incidence angle are estimated using empirical fit functions. SMAP TBs are calibrated to SMOS to provide a merged SMOS–SMAP sea ice thickness product. The new merged SMOS–SMAP thin ice thickness product was improved upon in several ways compared to previous thin ice thickness retrievals. (i) The combined product provides a better temporal and spatial coverage of the polar regions due to the usage of two sensors. (ii) The radio frequency interference (RFI) filtering method was improved, which results in higher data availability over both ocean and sea ice areas. (iii) For the intercalibration between SMOS and SMAP brightness temperatures the root mean square difference (RMSD) was reduced by 30 % relative to a prior attempt. (iv) The algorithm presented here allows also for separate retrieval from any of the two sensors, which makes the ice thickness dataset more resistant against failure of one of the sensors. A new way to estimate the uncertainty of ice thickness retrieval was implemented, which is based on the brightness temperature sensitivities.


2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (4) ◽  
pp. 3-78 ◽  
Author(s):  
Christina Leb

AbstractCross-border data and information exchange is one of the most challenging issues for transboundary water management. While the regular exchange of data and information has been identified as one of the general principles of international water law, only a minority of treaties include direct obligations related to mutual data exchange. Technological innovations related to real-time data availability, space technology and earth observation have led to an increase in quality and availability of hydrological, meteorological and geo-spatial data. These innovations open new avenues for access to water related data and transform data and information exchange globally. This monograph is an exploratory assessment of the potential impacts of these disruptive technologies on data and information exchange obligations in international water law.


Author(s):  
Patrick J. Ogao ◽  
Connie A. Blok

Measurements from dynamic environmental phenomena have resulted in the acquisition and generation of an enormous amount of data. This upsurge in data availability can be attributed to the interdisciplinary nature of environmental problem solving and the wide range of acquisition technology involved. In essence, users are dealing with data that is complex in nature, multidimensional and probably of a temporal nature. Also, the frequency by which this data is acquired far exceeds the rate at which it is being explored, a factor that has accelerated the search for innovative approaches and tools in spatial data analysis. These attempts have seen both analytical and visual techniques being used as aids in presentation and scientific data exploration. Examples are seen in techniques as in: data mining, data exploration and visualization.


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