scholarly journals Drought assessment in the Dongliao River basin: traditional approaches vs. generalized drought assessment index based on water resources systems

2015 ◽  
Vol 15 (8) ◽  
pp. 1889-1906 ◽  
Author(s):  
B. S. Weng ◽  
D. H. Yan ◽  
H. Wang ◽  
J. H. Liu ◽  
Z. Y. Yang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Water Resources ◽  
River Basin ◽  
Drought Severity ◽  
Severe Drought ◽  
Drought Duration ◽  
Assessment Index ◽  
Drought Assessment ◽  
Water Resources Systems ◽  
Traditional Approaches ◽  
The Impact

Abstract. Drought is firstly a resource issue, and with its development it evolves into a disaster issue. Drought events usually occur in a determinate but a random manner. Drought has become one of the major factors to affect sustainable socioeconomic development. In this paper, we propose the generalized drought assessment index (GDAI) based on water resources systems for assessing drought events. The GDAI considers water supply and water demand using a distributed hydrological model. We demonstrate the use of the proposed index in the Dongliao River basin in northeastern China. The results simulated by the GDAI are compared to observed drought disaster records in the Dongliao River basin. In addition, the temporal distribution of drought events and the spatial distribution of drought frequency from the GDAI are compared with the traditional approaches in general (i.e., standard precipitation index, Palmer drought severity index and rate of water deficit index). Then, generalized drought times, generalized drought duration, and generalized drought severity were calculated by theory of runs. Application of said runs at various drought levels (i.e., mild drought, moderate drought, severe drought, and extreme drought) during the period 1960–2010 shows that the centers of gravity of them all distribute in the middle reaches of Dongliao River basin, and change with time. The proposed methodology may help water managers in water-stressed regions to quantify the impact of drought, and consequently, to make decisions for coping with drought.

scholarly journals Generalized drought assessment in Dongliao river basin based on water resources system

2014 ◽  
Vol 2 (11) ◽  
pp. 6703-6746 ◽  
Author(s):  
B. S. Weng ◽  
D. H. Yan ◽  
H. Wang ◽  
T. L. Qin ◽  
J. Yin
Keyword(s):  
Water Resources ◽  
River Basin ◽  
Traditional Approach ◽  
Drought Severity ◽  
Severe Drought ◽  
Distributed Hydrological Model ◽  
Drought Duration ◽  
Water Resources System ◽  
Drought Assessment ◽  
The Impact

Abstract. Drought is firstly a resource issue, and with its development it transforms into a disaster issue. The occurrences of drought events usually feature determinacy and randomness. Drought issue has become one of the major factors to affect sustainable economic and social development. In this paper, we propose the generalized drought assessment index (GDAI) based on water resources system for assessing drought events. The GDAI considers water supply and water demand using a distributed hydrological model. We demonstrate the use of the proposed index in the Dongliao river basin (DRB) in the northeast China. The results simulated by the GDAI are then compared to observed drought disaster records in DRB. As second, the temporal distribution of drought events and the spatial distribution of drought frequency from the GDAI are compared with the traditional approach (i.e. the SPI, the PDSI, and the RWD). Then, generalized drought times (GDT), generalized drought duration (GDD), and generalized drought severity (GDS) were calculated by theory of runs. Application of the GDT, the GDD, and the GDS of various drought levels (i.e. mild drought, moderate drought, severe drought, and extreme drought) to the period 1960–2010 shows that the centers of gravity of them are all distributed in the middle reached of DRB, and change with time. The proposed methodology helps water managers in water-stressed regions to quantify the impact of drought, consequently, to make decisions regarding coping with drought issue.

scholarly journals Hydrological Drought Regimes of the Huai River Basin, China: Probabilistic Behavior, Causes and Implications

Water ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (11) ◽  
pp. 2390 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sun ◽  
Zhang ◽  
Yao ◽  
Wen
Keyword(s):  
River Basin ◽  
Hydrological Drought ◽  
Drought Severity ◽  
Copula Functions ◽  
Drought Duration ◽  
Huai River Basin ◽  
Huai River ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Hydrological Droughts ◽  
The Huai River Basin

: Hydrological droughts were characterized using the run-length theory and the AIC (Akaike information criterion) techniques were accepted to evaluate the modeling performance of nine probability functions. In addition, the copula functions were used to describe joint probability behaviors of drought duration and drought severity for the major tributaries of the Huai River Basin (HRB) which is located in the transitional zone between humid and semi-humid climates. The results indicated that: (1) the frequency of hydrological droughts in the upper HRB is higher than that in the central HRB, while the duration of the hydrological drought is in reverse spatial pattern. The drought frequency across the Shiguan River along the south bank of the HRB is higher than the other two tributaries; (2) generalized Pareto distribution is the appropriate distribution function with the best performance in modelling the drought duration over the HRB; while the Generalized Extreme Value (GEV) distribution can effectively describe the probabilistic properties of the drought severity. Joe copula and Tawn copula functions are the best choices and were used in this study. Given return periods of droughts of <30 years, the droughts in the upper HRB are the longest, and the shortest are in the central HRB; (3) the frequency of droughts along the mainstream of the HRB is higher than tributaries of the HRB. However, concurrence probability of droughts along the mainstream of the HRB is lower than the tributaries of the HRB. The drought resistance capacity of HRB has been significantly improved, effectively reducing the impact of hydrological drought on crops after 2010.

scholarly journals Attribution Analysis of Hydrological Drought Risk Under Climate Change and Human Activities: A Case Study on Kuye River Basin in China

Water ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (10) ◽  
pp. 1958 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhang ◽  
Wang ◽  
Zhou
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
River Basin ◽  
Human Activities ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Research Area ◽  
Drought Severity ◽  
Drought Risk ◽  
Drought Duration ◽  
Recurrence Period ◽  
The Impact

This study conducted quantitative diagnosis on the impact of climate change and human activities on drought risk. Taking the Kuye river basin (KRB) in China as the research area, we used variation point diagnosis, simulation of precipitation and runoff, drought risk assessment, and attribution quantification. The results show that: (1) the annual runoff sequence of KRB changed significantly after 1979, which was consistent with the introduction of large-scale coal mining; (2) under the same drought recurrence period, the drought duration and severity in the human activity stage were significantly worse than in the natural and simulation stages, indicating that human activities changed the drought risk in this area; and (3) human activities had little impact on drought severity in the short duration and low recurrence period, but had a greater impact in the long duration and high recurrence period. These results provide scientific guidance for the management, prevention, and resistance of drought; and guarantee sustainable economic and social development in the KRB.

scholarly journals Standardized Drought Indices for Pre-Summer Drought Assessment in Tropical Areas

Atmosphere ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (11) ◽  
pp. 1209
Author(s):  
David Romero ◽  
Eric Alfaro ◽  
Roger Orellana ◽  
Maria-Engracia Hernandez Cerda
Keyword(s):  
Vegetation Index ◽  
Temporal Variations ◽  
Climatic Conditions ◽  
Drought Indices ◽  
Drought Severity ◽  
Severe Drought ◽  
Summer Drought ◽  
Tropical Zone ◽  
Drought Assessment ◽  
The Impact

The main climatic indices used for the determination of pre-summer drought severity were developed for temperate zones with very different climatic conditions from those found in the tropical climate zones, particularly with respect to seasonal rainfall variations. The temporal evolution of pre-summer drought leads the authors to compute the indices for each year over a defined period according to the climatic normals of each meteorological station and to consider the months inside the dry episode differently, according to the law of emptying the water reserves. As a function of this, standardized drought indices are proposed for the evaluation of the pre-summer drought in tropical zone. Two new indices were tested: one developed from precipitation and the other also considering temperature. These indices were validated by correlation with Advanced very-high-resolution radiometer (AVHRR) normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) time series and used to identify the most severe drought conditions in the Yucatan Peninsula. The comparison between the indices and their temporal variations highlighted the importance of temperature in the most critical events and left indications of the impact of global warming on the phenomenon.

scholarly journals Groundwater Drought in the Nitra River Basin - Identification and Classification

2012 ◽  
Vol 60 (3) ◽  
pp. 185-193 ◽  
Author(s):  
Miriam Fendeková ◽  
Marián Fendek
Keyword(s):  
River Basin ◽  
Severity Index ◽  
Base Flow ◽  
Natural Phenomenon ◽  
Drought Indices ◽  
Drought Severity ◽  
Drought Duration ◽  
Drought Assessment ◽  
Groundwater Drought ◽  
Drought Severity Index

Groundwater Drought in the Nitra River Basin - Identification and Classification Drought as a natural phenomenon becomes more often the subject of the research. It is because of the increasing frequency of extreme climatic events also in mild climate conditions. Groundwater drought indices could be derived for different groundwater parameters, among them for base flow, groundwater head stage, spring yield, or groundwater recharge. Base flow drought assessment methods were proposed in the paper. Base flow values were separated from the discharge hydrograms using the new HydroOffice 2010 program package, lately developed by Gregor. The base flow drought severity index was applied, calculated as the value of the base flow drought deficit volume divided by the drought duration. After that, the standardized base flow drought severity index was proposed as the ratio of the base flow drought index and the average long-term annual base flow. Proposed methods were applied in the Nitra River basin. Base flow drought occurrence was characterized also from the seasonality point of view.

scholarly journals Uncertainties in runoff projection and hydrological drought assessment over Gharesu basin under CMIP5 RCP scenarios

2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (S1) ◽  
pp. 145-163 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. M. Ashrafi ◽  
H. Gholami ◽  
M. R. Najafi
Keyword(s):  
River Basin ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
General Circulation Models ◽  
Hydrological Drought ◽  
Drought Severity ◽  
Historical Period ◽  
Drought Duration ◽  
Rcp Scenarios ◽  
Drought Assessment ◽  
Drought Characteristics

Abstract Hydrological drought plays an important role in planning and managing water resources systems to meet increasing water demands due to population growth. In this study, the effects of climate change on the hydrological drought characteristics of the Gharasu basin, as one of the major sub-basins of the Karkheh river basin, are investigated. This river basin has experienced severe droughts, and floods, in recent years. The uncertainties in projected drought conditions are characterized based on a suite of 34 general circulation models (GCMs). Based on hydrological simulations over the historical period, 12 GCMs are selected to estimate projected runoff values and the corresponding streamflow drought index (SDI) in the future period. The ‘run theory’ is applied to evaluate the drought characteristics under Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) 4.5 and 8.5 emission scenarios. Results show that uncertainties of drought projection under RCP8.5 are higher than under RCP4.5, where among different drought characteristics, the maximum uncertainty is detected for drought severity and maximum drought duration. Moreover, the uncertainty of drought projection in wet periods is greater than that in dry periods.

scholarly journals Comprehensive evaluation of hydrological drought and the effects of large reservoir on drought resistance in the Hun River basin, NE China

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fengtian Yang ◽  
Shupeng Yue ◽  
Xiaodan Sheng
Keyword(s):  
River Basin ◽  
Drought Resistance ◽  
Hydrological Drought ◽  
Propagation Time ◽  
Severe Drought ◽  
Drought Duration ◽  
Large Reservoir ◽  
Evolution Characteristics ◽  
Hun River ◽  
The Impact

Abstract. Evolution of drought under changing climate and the operation of large reservoir play an important role in drought warning and control. Thus, the evolution characteristics of hydrological drought and the effects of large reservoir on drought resistance are explored in the Hun river basin (HRB). Firstly, Standardized runoff Index (SRI) was adopted to evaluate the evolution characteristics of hydrological drought. Meanwhile, based on drought duration and severity identified by the run theory, the copula function with the highest goodness of fit was selected to calculate the return period of hydrological drought. Furthermore, the propagation time from meteorological to hydrological drought were determined by calculating the Pearson correlation coefficients between 1-month SRI and multi-time scale Standardized precipitation index (SPI). Finally, based on the cumulative precipitation deficit thresholds for triggering hydrological drought, the impact of large reservoir on drought resistance of the basin was revealed. The results show that: (1) hydrological drought showed a slight strengthening trend in the eastern, while presented alternate characteristics of drought and flood in the western and center of the HRB from 1967 to 2019; (2) the western and center of the HRB were vulnerable districts to hydrological drought with longer drought duration and higher severity; (3) the most severe drought with drought duration of 23 months, severity of 28.7, and corresponding return periods that both exceed the thresholds of duration and severity and exceed the threshold of duration or severity were 371 years and 89 years, respectively; (4) the propagation time from meteorological to hydrological drought of the lower reaches of large reservoir has been significantly prolonged owing to the operation of large reservoir; and (5) the operation of large reservoir strengthened the drought resistance in the lower reaches while lightly weaken in the upper reaches of large reservoir.

scholarly journals Modeling regional impacts and resilience to water service disruptions in urban economies

2021 ◽  
pp. 239980832199870
Author(s):  
Sheree A Pagsuyoin ◽  
Joost R Santos
Keyword(s):  
Case Studies ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Urban Region ◽  
Economic Losses ◽  
Drought Severity ◽  
Severe Drought ◽  
Time Varying ◽  
National Capital Region ◽  
Economic Sectors ◽  
The Impact

Water is a critical natural resource that sustains the productivity of many economic sectors, whether directly or indirectly. Climate change alongside rapid growth and development are a threat to water sustainability and regional productivity. In this paper, we develop an extension to the economic input-output model to assess the impact of water supply disruptions to regional economies. The model utilizes the inoperability variable, which measures the extent to which an infrastructure system or economic sector is unable to deliver its intended output. While the inoperability concept has been utilized in previous applications, this paper offers extensions that capture the time-varying nature of inoperability as the sectors recover from a disruptive event, such as drought. The model extension is capable of inserting inoperability adjustments within the drought timeline to capture time-varying likelihoods and severities, as well as the dependencies of various economic sectors on water. The model was applied to case studies of severe drought in two regions: (1) the state of Massachusetts (MA) and (2) the US National Capital Region (NCR). These regions were selected to contrast drought resilience between a mixed urban–rural region (MA) and a highly urban region (NCR). These regions also have comparable overall gross domestic products despite significant differences in the distribution and share of the economic sectors comprising each region. The results of the case studies indicate that in both regions, the utility and real estate sectors suffer the largest economic loss; nonetheless, results also identify region-specific sectors that incur significant losses. For the NCR, three sectors in the top 10 ranking of highest economic losses are government-related, whereas in the MA, four sectors in the top 10 are manufacturing sectors. Furthermore, the accommodation sector has also been included in the NCR case intuitively because of the high concentration of museums and famous landmarks. In contrast, the Wholesale Trade sector was among the sectors with the highest economic losses in the MA case study because of its large geographic size conducive for warehouses used as nodes for large-scale supply chain networks. Future modeling extensions could potentially include analysis of water demand and supply management strategies that can enhance regional resilience against droughts. Other regional case studies can also be pursued in future efforts to analyze various categories of drought severity beyond the case studies featured in this paper.

scholarly journals Optimal Water Allocation Based on Water Rights Transaction Models with Administered and Market-Based Systems: A Case Study of Shiyang River Basin, China

Water ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (3) ◽  
pp. 577 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lizhen Wang ◽  
Yong Zhao ◽  
Yuefei Huang ◽  
Jianhua Wang ◽  
Haihong Li ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Water Resources ◽  
River Basin ◽  
Water Allocation ◽  
Water Rights ◽  
Water Saving ◽  
Allocation Model ◽  
Transaction Model ◽  
Shiyang River Basin ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Optimal Water Allocation

Water-rights trade has proved to be an effective method for coping with water shortages through the transfer of water resources between users. The water allocation system is classified into two categories based on information transparency and water rights transaction goals: administered system (AS) and market-based system (MS). A multi-agent and multi-objective optimal allocation model, built on a complex adaptive system, was introduced to direct the distribution of water resources under an AS in the Shiyang River Basin; it was compared with a market-based water rights transaction model using the bulletin-board approach. Ideal economic agent equations played a dominant role in both models. The government and different water users were conceptualized as agents with different behaviors and goals in water allocation. The impact of water-saving cost on optimal water allocation was also considered. The results showed that an agent’s water-saving behavior was incentivized by high transaction prices in the water market. Under the MS, the highest bid in the quotation set had a dominant influence on how trade was conducted. A higher transaction price will, thus, result in a better benefit ratio, and a lower one will result in inactivity in terms of water rights trade. This will significantly impact the economic benefit to the basin.

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