scholarly journals Hydrogeomorphological analysis and modelling for a comprehensive understanding of flash-flood damaging processes: The 9th October 2018 event in North-eastern Mallorca

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Joan Estrany ◽  
Maurici Ruiz-Pérez ◽  
Raphael Mutzner ◽  
Josep Fortesa ◽  
Beatriz Nácher-Rodríguez ◽  
...  

Abstract. A flash-flood event hit in the 9th October 2018 the northeastern part of Mallorca Island, causing 13 casualties. This island is prone to catastrophic flash floods acting on a scenario that illustrates the deep landscape transformation of Mediterranean tourist resorts. As global change may exacerbate devastating flash floods, comprehensive analyses of catastrophic events are crucial to support effective prevention and mitigation measures. Field-based, remote-sense and modelling techniques were used in this study to evaluate rainfall-runoff processes at catchment scale linked to hydrological modelling. Continuous streamflow monitoring data revealed a peak discharge 442 m3 s−1 with an unprecedented runoff response (lag time, 15’). This very flashy behaviour triggered the natural disaster as a combination of heavy rainfall (246 mm in 10 h), karstic features and land cover disturbances in the Begura de Saumà River catchment (i.e., 23 km2). Topography-based connectivity index and geomorphic change detection were used as a rapid post-catastrophe decision-making tool, playing a key role during the rescue searching tasks. These hydrogeomorphological precision techniques were also applied in combination with Copernicus EMS and ground-based damage assessment illustrating with high accuracy the damage driving factors in the village of Sant Llorenç des Cardassar. The main challenges in the future are to readapt hydrological modelling to global change scenarios, implement an early flash flood warning system and apply adaptive and resilient measures at catchment scale.

2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (8) ◽  
pp. 2195-2220
Author(s):  
Joan Estrany ◽  
Maurici Ruiz-Pérez ◽  
Raphael Mutzner ◽  
Josep Fortesa ◽  
Beatriz Nácher-Rodríguez ◽  
...  

Abstract. A flash-flood event hit the northeastern part of Mallorca on 9 October 2018, causing 13 casualties. Mallorca is prone to catastrophic flash floods acting on a scenario of deep landscape transformation caused by Mediterranean tourist resorts. As global change may exacerbate devastating flash floods, analyses of catastrophic events are crucial to support effective prevention and mitigation measures. Field-based remote-sensing and modelling techniques were used in this study to evaluate rainfall–runoff processes at the catchment scale linked to hydrological modelling. Continuous streamflow monitoring data revealed a peak discharge of 442 m3 s−1 with an unprecedented runoff response. This exceptional behaviour triggered the natural disaster as a combination of heavy rainfall (249 mm in 10 h), karstic features and land cover disturbances in the Begura de Salma River catchment (23 km2). Topography-based connectivity indices and geomorphic change detection were used as rapid post-catastrophe decision-making tools, playing a key role during the rescue search. These hydrogeomorphological precision techniques were combined with the Copernicus Emergency Management Service and “ground-based” damage assessment, which showed very accurately the damage-driving factors in the village of Sant Llorenç des Cardassar. The main challenges in the future are to readapt hydrological modelling to global change scenarios, implement an early flash-flood warning system and take adaptive and resilient measures on the catchment scale.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Joan Estrany Bertos ◽  
Maurici Ruíz-Pérez ◽  
Raphael Mutzner ◽  
Beatriz Nácher-Rodríguez ◽  
Miquel Tomàs-Burguera ◽  
...  

<p>A flash-flood event hit in the 9th October 2018 the northeastern part of Mallorca Island, causing 13 casualties. As global change may exacerbate devastating flash floods, comprehensive analyses of catastrophic events are crucial to support effective prevention and mitigation measures. Field-based, remote-sense and modelling techniques were used to evaluate rainfall-runoff processes at catchment scale linked to hydrological modelling. Continuous streamflow monitoring data revealed a peak discharge 442 m<sup>3</sup> s<sup>−1</sup> with an unprecedented runoff response (lag time, 15’). This very flashy behaviour triggered the natural disaster as a combination of heavy rainfall (246 mm in 10 h), karstic features and land cover disturbances in the Begura de Saumà River catchment (i.e., 23 km<sup>2</sup>). Topography-based connectivity index and geomorphic change detection were used as a rapid post-catastrophe decision-making tool, playing a key role during the rescue searching tasks. These hydrogeomorphological precision techniques were also applied in combination with Copernicus EMS and ground-based damage assessment illustrating with high accuracy the damage driving factors in the village of Sant Llorenç des Cardassar.  The incorporation of hydrogeomorphological precision tools during Emergency post-catastrophe operational has been revealed as a powerful tool. Then, the simple application of a geomorphometric index from easy-access LiDAR-based topographic data resulted in a rapid identification of deposition zones in the different compartments of a catchment helping in the search and rescue of missing persons. In addition, the evaluation of landforms signature by using UAVs effectively quantified the sediment deposits generated by the flash-flood and/or mobilised by the Emergency operational during the rescue searching tasks.</p><p><em>This work was supported by the research project CGL2017-88200-R “Functional hydrological and sediment connectivity at Mediterranean catchments: global change scenarios –MEDhyCON2” funded by the Spanish Ministry of Science, Innovation and Universities, the Spanish Agency of Research (AEI) and the European Regional Development Funds (ERDF)</em></p>


2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (4) ◽  
pp. 747-762
Author(s):  
Tran Kim Chau ◽  
Nguyen Tien Thanh ◽  
Nguyen The Toan

In recent years, losses and damages from flash floods have been steadily increasing worldwide as well as in Vietnam, due to physical factors, human activities, especially under a changing climate. This is a hotspot issue which requires immediate response from scientists and policy-makers to monitor and mitigate the negative impacts of flash floods. This study presents a way to reduce losses through increasing the accuracy of real-time flash flood warning systems in Vietnam, a case study developed for Ha Giang province where the topography is relatively complex with severe flash floods observed. The objective of this paper is to generate the real-time flash flood system based on bankfull discharge threshold. To do this, HEC-HMS model is applied to calibrate and validate observer inflow to the reservoir with nine automatic rain gauges installed. More importantly, on the basic of measured discharge at 35 locations from the fieldtrips, an empirical equation constructed is to identify the bankful discharge values. It bases on the relationship between basin characteristics of river length, basin area and bankfull discharge. The results indicate an effective approach to determine bankfull threshold with the established-empirical equation. On the scale of a small basin, it depicts the consistency of flood status and warning time with the reality. Doi: 10.28991/cej-2021-03091687 Full Text: PDF


2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (12) ◽  
pp. 55-65
Author(s):  
Anant Patel ◽  
Sanjay Yadav

Most of the natural disasters are unpredictable, but the most frequent occurring catastrophic event over the globe is flood. Developing countries are severely affected by the floods because of the high frequencies of floods. The developing countries do not have good forecasting system compared to the developed country. The metro cities are also settled near the coast or river bank which are the most vulnerable places to floods. This study proposes plan for street level flood monitoring and warning system for the Surat city, India. Waterlogging happens in the low lying area of the Surat city due to heavy storm and heavy releases from the Ukai dam. The high releases from upstream Ukai dam and heavy rainfall resulted into flooding in the low lying area of the Surat city. This research proposed a wireless water level sensor network system for the street water level flood monitoring. The system is proposed to monitor the water levels of different areas of city through the wireless water level sensors as well as to capture live photos using CCTV camera. This will help authority not only to issue flood warning but also to plan flood mitigation measures and evacuation of people.


2018 ◽  
Vol 7 (3.32) ◽  
pp. 47
Author(s):  
Stella N. Mbau ◽  
Vinesh Thiruchelvam

This paper aims to present the need for sub-systems in rural Africa for real-time warning delivery. It has been reported in previous studies, that Sub-Sahara Africa lacks weather radars. This means that there are no real-time early warnings presenting a gap in knowledge that this study aims to address. This is done through the following objective; to examine the relationship between variables in the study and therefore, establish whether sub-systems are a significant variable in flash flood warning systems for rural Africa. The variables to be examined are; the independent variable (existing warning system), the dependent variable (early warnings), the moderator variable (ancillary elements) and the mediator variable (sub-systems). This is investigated through a closed-ended questionnaire that is administered to a sample of meteorologists whose email addresses are available on the World Meteorological Organization’s expert database. The target sample is determined through the G*Power application. The data is analyzed on SPSS. Variables in the study are found to be correlated after conducting a Pearson’s correlation test. Using PROCESS allows for the testing of various models where moderation is confirmed. A moderated mediation model is also confirmed. The results confirm that sub-systems are significant enough to be developed for rural Africa.  


2010 ◽  
Vol 10 (4) ◽  
pp. 805-817 ◽  
Author(s):  
P.-A. Versini ◽  
E. Gaume ◽  
H. Andrieu

Abstract. This paper presents an initial prototype of a distributed hydrological model used to map possible road inundations in a region frequently exposed to severe flash floods: the Gard region (South of France). The prototype has been tested in a pseudo real-time mode on five recent flash flood events for which actual road inundations have been inventoried. The results are promising: close to 100% probability of detection of actual inundations, inundations detected before they were reported by the road management field teams with a false alarm ratios not exceeding 30%. This specific case study differs from the standard applications of rainfall-runoff models to produce flood forecasts, focussed on a single or a limited number of gauged river cross sections. It illustrates that, despite their lack of accuracy, hydro-meteorological forecasts based on rainfall-runoff models, especially distributed models, contain valuable information for flood event management. The possible consequences of landslides, debris flows and local erosion processes, sometimes associated with flash floods, were not considered at this stage of development of the prototype. They are limited in the Gard region but should be taken into account in future developments of the approach to implement it efficiently in other areas more exposed to these phenomena such as the Alpine area.


2018 ◽  
Vol 7 (4.38) ◽  
pp. 1310
Author(s):  
Prof. Dr. Ir Vinesh Thiruchelvam ◽  
Mbau Stella Nyambura

The cost of climate change has increased phenomenally in recent years. Therefore, understanding climate change and its impacts, that are likely to get worse and worse into the future, gives us the ability to predict scenarios and plan for them. Flash floods, which are a common result of climate change, follow increased precipitation which then increases risk and associated vulnerability due to the unpredictable rainfall patterns. Developing countries suffer grave consequences in the event that weather disasters strike because they have the least adaptive capacity. At the equator where the hot days are hotter and winds carrying rainfall move faster, Kenya’s Tana River County is noted for its vulnerability towards flash floods. Additionally, this county and others that are classified as rural areas in Kenya do not receive short term early warnings for floods. This county was therefore selected as the study area for its vulnerability. The aim of the study is therefore to propose a flash flood early warning system framework that delivers short term early warnings. Using questionnaires, information about the existing warning system will be collected and analyzed using SPSS. The results will be used to interpret the relationships between variables of the study, with a particular interest in the moderation effect in order to confirm that the existing system can be modified; that is, if the moderation effect is confirmed.       


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