scholarly journals Brief communication: A submarine wall protecting the Amundsen Sea intensifies melting of neighboring ice shelves

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Özgür Gürses ◽  
Vanessa Kolatschek ◽  
Qiang Wang ◽  
Christian B. Rodehacke
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Sea Level Rise ◽  
Sea Level ◽  
Ocean Model ◽  
Warm Water ◽  
Ice Shelf ◽  
Ice Streams ◽  
Amundsen Sea ◽  
Ice Shelves

Abstract. Disintegration of ice shelves in the Amundsen Sea has the potential to cause sea level rise by inducing an acceleration of grounded ice streams. Moore et al. (2018) proposed that using a submarine wall to block the penetration of warm water into the ice shelf cavities could reduce this risk. We use a global sea ice-ocean model to show that a wall shielding the Amundsen Sea below 350 m depth successfully suppresses the inflow of warm water and reduces ice shelf melting. However, the warm water gets redirected towards neighboring ice shelves, which reduces the effectiveness of the wall.

scholarly journals Brief communication: A submarine wall protecting the Amundsen Sea intensifies melting of neighboring ice shelves

2019 ◽  
Vol 13 (9) ◽  
pp. 2317-2324 ◽  
Author(s):  
Özgür Gürses ◽  
Vanessa Kolatschek ◽  
Qiang Wang ◽  
Christian Bernd Rodehacke
Keyword(s):  
Ocean Model ◽  
Warm Water ◽  
Ice Shelf ◽  
The West ◽  
Amundsen Sea ◽  
West Antarctic Ice Sheet ◽  
Ice Shelves ◽  
West Antarctic ◽  
Antarctic Continent ◽  
Subsurface Cavities

Abstract. Disintegration of ice shelves in the Amundsen Sea, in front of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet, has the potential to cause sea level rise by inducing an acceleration of ice discharge from upstream grounded ice. Moore et al. (2018) proposed that using a submarine wall to block the penetration of warm water into the subsurface cavities of these ice shelves could reduce this risk. We use a global sea ice–ocean model to show that a wall shielding the Amundsen Sea below 350 m depth successfully suppresses the inflow of warm water and reduces ice shelf melting. However, these warm water masses get redirected towards neighboring ice shelves, which reduces the net effectiveness of the wall. The ice loss is reduced by 10 %, integrated over the entire Antarctic continent.

scholarly journals Ice-shelf basal melting in a global finite-element sea-ice/ice-shelf/ocean model

2012 ◽  
Vol 53 (60) ◽  
pp. 303-314 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. Timmermann ◽  
Q. Wang ◽  
H.H. Hellmer
Keyword(s):  
Finite Element ◽  
Sea Ice ◽  
Cold Water ◽  
Ocean Model ◽  
Weddell Sea ◽  
Global Ocean ◽  
Ice Shelf ◽  
Amundsen Sea ◽  
Vertical Coordinate ◽  
Ice Shelves

AbstractThe Finite Element Sea-ice Ocean Model (FESOM) has been augmented by an ice-shelf component with a three-equation system for diagnostic computation of boundary layer temperature and salinity. Ice-shelf geometry and global ocean bathymetry have been derived from the RTopo-1 dataset. A global domain with a triangular mesh and a hybrid vertical coordinate is used. To evaluate sub-ice-shelf circulation and melt rates for present-day climate, the model is forced with NCEP reanalysis data. Basal mass fluxes are mostly realistic, with maximum melt rates in the deepest parts near the grounding lines and marine ice formation in the northern sectors of the Ross and Filchner–Ronne Ice Shelves, Antarctica. Total basal mass loss for the ten largest ice shelves reflects the importance of the Amundsen Sea ice shelves; the Getz Ice Shelf is shown to be a major meltwater contributor to the Southern Ocean. Despite their modest melt rates, the ‘cold water’ ice shelves in the Weddell Sea are still substantial sinks of continental ice in Antarctica. Discrepancies between the model and observations can partly be attributed to deficiencies in the forcing data or to (sometimes unavoidable) smoothing of ice-shelf and bottom topographies.

Antarctic ice sheet response to upper-bound scenarios

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sainan Sun ◽  
Frank Pattyn
Keyword(s):  
Sea Level Rise ◽  
Sea Level ◽  
Upper Bound ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Climate Forcing ◽  
Ice Shelf ◽  
Antarctic Ice Sheet ◽  
Ice Shelves ◽  
Basal Sliding ◽  
The Antarctic

<p>Mass loss of the Antarctic ice sheet contributes the largest uncertainty of future sea-level rise projections. Ice-sheet model predictions are limited by uncertainties in climate forcing and poor understanding of processes such as ice viscosity. The Antarctic BUttressing Model Intercomparison Project (ABUMIP) has investigated the 'end-member' scenario, i.e., a total and sustained removal of buttressing from all Antarctic ice shelves, which can be regarded as the upper-bound physical possible, but implausible contribution of sea-level rise due to ice-shelf loss. In this study, we add successive layers of ‘realism’ to the ABUMIP scenario by considering sustained regional ice-shelf collapse and by introducing ice-shelf regrowth after collapse with the inclusion of ice-sheet and ice-shelf damage (Sun et al., 2017). Ice shelf regrowth has the ability to stabilize grounding lines, while ice shelf damage may reinforce ice loss. In combination with uncertainties from basal sliding and ice rheology, a more realistic physical upperbound to ice loss is sought. Results are compared in the light of other proposed mechanisms, such as MICI due to ice cliff collapse.</p>

scholarly journals Damage accelerates ice shelf instability and mass loss in Amundsen Sea Embayment

2020 ◽  
Vol 117 (40) ◽  
pp. 24735-24741 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stef Lhermitte ◽  
Sainan Sun ◽  
Christopher Shuman ◽  
Bert Wouters ◽  
Frank Pattyn ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Sea Level ◽  
Rapid Development ◽  
Shear Zones ◽  
West Antarctica ◽  
Ice Shelf ◽  
Damage Development ◽  
Amundsen Sea ◽  
Ice Shelves ◽  
Grounding Line ◽  
Global Sea Level

Pine Island Glacier and Thwaites Glacier in the Amundsen Sea Embayment are among the fastest changing outlet glaciers in West Antarctica with large consequences for global sea level. Yet, assessing how much and how fast both glaciers will weaken if these changes continue remains a major uncertainty as many of the processes that control their ice shelf weakening and grounding line retreat are not well understood. Here, we combine multisource satellite imagery with modeling to uncover the rapid development of damage areas in the shear zones of Pine Island and Thwaites ice shelves. These damage areas consist of highly crevassed areas and open fractures and are first signs that the shear zones of both ice shelves have structurally weakened over the past decade. Idealized model results reveal moreover that the damage initiates a feedback process where initial ice shelf weakening triggers the development of damage in their shear zones, which results in further speedup, shearing, and weakening, hence promoting additional damage development. This damage feedback potentially preconditions these ice shelves for disintegration and enhances grounding line retreat. The results of this study suggest that damage feedback processes are key to future ice shelf stability, grounding line retreat, and sea level contributions from Antarctica. Moreover, they underline the need for incorporating these feedback processes, which are currently not accounted for in most ice sheet models, to improve sea level rise projections.

scholarly journals Contrasting the modelled sensitivity of the Amundsen Sea Embayment ice streams

2016 ◽  
Vol 62 (233) ◽  
pp. 552-562 ◽  
Author(s):  
ISABEL J. NIAS ◽  
STEPHEN L. CORNFORD ◽  
ANTONY J. PAYNE
Keyword(s):  
Sea Level Rise ◽  
Sea Level ◽  
Adaptive Mesh Refinement ◽  
Adaptive Mesh ◽  
Mass Conservation ◽  
Physical Parameters ◽  
Ice Streams ◽  
Amundsen Sea ◽  
West Antarctic ◽  
Grounding Line

AbstractPresent-day mass loss from the West Antarctic ice sheet is centred on the Amundsen Sea Embayment (ASE), primarily through ice streams, including Pine Island, Thwaites and Smith glaciers. To understand the differences in response of these ice streams, we ran a perturbed parameter ensemble, using a vertically-integrated ice flow model with adaptive mesh refinement. We generated 71 sets of three physical parameters (basal traction coefficient, ice viscosity stiffening factor and sub-shelf melt rate), which we used to simulate the ASE for 50 years. We also explored the effects of different bed geometries and basal sliding laws. The mean rate of sea-level rise across the ensemble of simulations is comparable with current observed rates for the ASE. We found evidence that grounding line dynamics are sensitive to features in the bed geometry: simulations using BedMap2 geometry resulted in a higher rate of sea-level rise than simulations using a rougher geometry, created using mass conservation. Modelled grounding-line retreat of all the three ice streams was sensitive to viscosity and basal traction, while the melt rate was more important in Pine Island and Smith glaciers, which flow through more confined ice shelves than Thwaites, which has a relatively unconfined shelf.

The sensitivity of sea ice growth to the choice of ice shelf-ocean coupling algorithms.

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stefan Jendersie ◽  
Alena Malyarenko
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Ocean Model ◽  
Data Sets ◽  
Ice Shelf ◽  
Ice Shelves ◽  
Ice Growth ◽  
Continental Scale ◽  
Complex Models ◽  
Coupling Algorithms ◽  
The Impact

<p>To quantify Antarctic ice mass loss and the subsequent sea level rise the geophysical modelling community is pushing towards frameworks that fully couple increasingly complex models of atmosphere, ocean, sea ice and ice sheets & shelves.  One particular hurdle remains the accurate representation of the vertical ocean-ice interaction at the base of ice shelves.  Parameterizations that are tuned to particular data sets naturally perform best in comparable ice shelf cavity environments. This poses the challenge in continental scale ocean-ice shelf models to chose one melt parameterizaton that performs sufficiently well in diverse cavity environment.  Thus adding uncertainty in ice shelf induced ocean freshening crucially affects modelled sea ice growth.  The impact magnitude of ice shelf supplied melt water on growth rates, thickness and extent of sea ice in the open ocean is currently debated in the literature.  <br>We reviewed and compared 16 commonly utilized melting/freezing parameterizations in coupled ocean-ice shelf models.  Melt rates differ hugely, in identical idealized conditions between 0.1m/yr to 3m/yr.  In this talk we present results of a realistic circum-Antarctic ice shelf and sea ice coupled ocean model (CICE, ROMS), where we look at the effects of the chosen ice shelf melt parameterization on modeled sea surface conditions and sea ice growth, regionally and circum Antarctic.</p>

scholarly journals The Dynamics of Marine Ice Sheets

1979 ◽  
Vol 24 (90) ◽  
pp. 167-177 ◽  
Author(s):  
Robert H. Thomas
Keyword(s):  
Sea Level ◽  
Ice Sheets ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Ice Shelf ◽  
Ice Streams ◽  
Ice Shelves ◽  
The North ◽  
West Antarctic ◽  
Grounding Line ◽  
Ice Sheet Dynamics

AbstractMarine ice sheets rest on land that, for the most part, is below sea-level. Ice that flows across the grounding line, where the ice sheet becomes afloat, either calves into icebergs or forms a floating ice shelf joined to the ice sheet. At the grounding line there is a transition from ice-sheet dynamics to ice-shelf dynamics, and the creep-thinning rate in this region is very sensitive to sea depth; rising sea-level causes increased thinning-rates and grounding-line retreat, falling sea-level has the reverse effect. If the bedrock slopes down towards the centre of the ice sheet there may be only two stable modes: a freely-floating ice shelf or a marine ice sheet that extends to the edge of the continental shelf. Once started, collapse of such an ice sheet to form an ice shelf may take place extremely rapidly. Ice shelves which form in embayments of a marine ice sheet, or which are partially grounded, have a stabilizing influence since ice flowing across the grounding line has to push the ice shelf past its sides. Retreat of the grounding line tends to enlarge the ice shelf, which ultimately may become large enough to prevent excessive outflow from the ice sheet so that a new equilibrium grounding line is established; removal of the ice shelf would allow retreat to continue. During the late-Wisconsin glacial maximum there may have been marine ice sheets in the northern hemisphere but the only current example is the West Antarctic ice sheet. This is buttressed by the Ross and Ronne Ice Shelves, and if climatic warming were to prohibit the existence of these ice shelves then the ice sheet would collapse. Field observations suggest that, at present, the ice sheet may be advancing into parts of the Ross Ice Shelf. Such advance, however, would not ensure the security of the ice sheet since ice streams that drain to the north appear to flow directly into the sea with little or no ice shelf to buttress them. If these ice streams do not flow over a sufficiently high bedrock sill then they provide the most likely avenues for ice-sheet retreat.

scholarly journals On the Disintegration of Ice Shelves: The Role of Fracture

1983 ◽  
Vol 29 (101) ◽  
pp. 98-117 ◽  
Author(s):  
T. Hughes
Keyword(s):  
Sea Level ◽  
Local Strain ◽  
Ice Shelf ◽  
Ice Streams ◽  
West Antarctic Ice Sheet ◽  
Ice Shelves ◽  
West Antarctic ◽  
Shear Rupture ◽  
Fatigue Rupture ◽  
The Stability

AbstractCrevasses can be ignored in studying the dynamics of most glaciers because they are only about 20 m deep, a small fraction of ice thickness. In ice shelves, however, surface crevasses 20 m deep often reach sea-level and bottom crevasses can move upward to sea-level (Clough, 1974; Weertman, 1980). The ice shelf is fractured completely through if surface and basal crevasses meet (Barrett, 1975; Hughes, 1979). This is especially likely if surface melt water fills surface crevasses (Weertman, 1973; Pfeffer, 1982; Fastook and Schmidt, 1982). Fracture may therefore play an important role in the disintegration of ice shelves. Two fracture criteria which can be evaluated experimentally and applied to ice shelves, are presented. Fracture is then examined for the general strain field of an ice shelf and for local strain fields caused by shear rupture alongside ice streams entering the ice shelf, fatigue rupture along ice shelf grounding lines, and buckling up-stream from ice rises. The effect of these fracture patterns on the stability of Antarctic ice shelves and the West Antarctic ice sheet is then discussed.

scholarly journals Simulated melt rates for the Totten and Dalton ice shelves

Ocean Science ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 10 (3) ◽  
pp. 267-279 ◽  
Author(s):  
D. E. Gwyther ◽  
B. K. Galton-Fenzi ◽  
J. R. Hunter ◽  
J. L. Roberts
Keyword(s):  
Mass Loss ◽  
Current Flow ◽  
Ocean Model ◽  
Warm Water ◽  
Coastal Current ◽  
Ice Shelf ◽  
Ice Shelves ◽  
Oceanic Forcing ◽  
Basal Melting ◽  
Continental Shelf Break

Abstract. The Totten Glacier is rapidly losing mass. It has been suggested that this mass loss is driven by changes in oceanic forcing; however, the details of the ice–ocean interaction are unknown. Here we present results from an ice shelf–ocean model of the region that includes the Totten, Dalton and Moscow University ice shelves, based on the Regional Oceanic Modeling System for the period 1992–2007. Simulated area-averaged basal melt rates (net basal mass loss) for the Totten and Dalton ice shelves are 9.1 m ice yr−1 (44.5 Gt ice yr−1) and 10.1 m ice yr−1 (46.6 Gt ice yr−1), respectively. The melting of the ice shelves varies strongly on seasonal and interannual timescales. Basal melting (mass loss) from the Totten ice shelf spans a range of 5.7 m ice yr−1 (28 Gt ice yr−1) on interannual timescales and 3.4 m ice yr−1 (17 Gt ice yr−1) on seasonal timescales. This study links basal melt of the Totten and Dalton ice shelves to warm water intrusions across the continental shelf break and atmosphere–ocean heat exchange. Totten ice shelf melting is high when the nearby Dalton polynya interannual strength is below average, and vice versa. Melting of the Dalton ice shelf is primarily controlled by the strength of warm water intrusions across the Dalton rise and into the ice shelf cavity. During periods of strong westward coastal current flow, Dalton melt water flows directly under the Totten ice shelf further reducing melting. This is the first such modelling study of this region to provide a valuable framework for directing future observational and modelling efforts.

scholarly journals Antarctic ice sheet response to sudden and sustained ice-shelf collapse (ABUMIP)

2020 ◽  
Vol 66 (260) ◽  
pp. 891-904 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sainan Sun ◽  
Frank Pattyn ◽  
Erika G. Simon ◽  
Torsten Albrecht ◽  
Stephen Cornford ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Sea Level Rise ◽  
Sea Level ◽  
Sliding Friction ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Full Potential ◽  
Ice Shelf ◽  
Antarctic Ice Sheet ◽  
West Antarctic Ice Sheet ◽  
Ice Shelves ◽  
West Antarctic

AbstractAntarctica's ice shelves modulate the grounded ice flow, and weakening of ice shelves due to climate forcing will decrease their ‘buttressing’ effect, causing a response in the grounded ice. While the processes governing ice-shelf weakening are complex, uncertainties in the response of the grounded ice sheet are also difficult to assess. The Antarctic BUttressing Model Intercomparison Project (ABUMIP) compares ice-sheet model responses to decrease in buttressing by investigating the ‘end-member’ scenario of total and sustained loss of ice shelves. Although unrealistic, this scenario enables gauging the sensitivity of an ensemble of 15 ice-sheet models to a total loss of buttressing, hence exhibiting the full potential of marine ice-sheet instability. All models predict that this scenario leads to multi-metre (1–12 m) sea-level rise over 500 years from present day. West Antarctic ice sheet collapse alone leads to a 1.91–5.08 m sea-level rise due to the marine ice-sheet instability. Mass loss rates are a strong function of the sliding/friction law, with plastic laws cause a further destabilization of the Aurora and Wilkes Subglacial Basins, East Antarctica. Improvements to marine ice-sheet models have greatly reduced variability between modelled ice-sheet responses to extreme ice-shelf loss, e.g. compared to the SeaRISE assessments.

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