scholarly journals A new approach to mapping permafrost and change incorporating uncertainties in ground conditions and climate projections

2014 ◽  
Vol 8 (6) ◽  
pp. 2177-2194 ◽  
Author(s):  
Y. Zhang ◽  
I. Olthof ◽  
R. Fraser ◽  
S. A. Wolfe
Keyword(s):  
Land Cover ◽  
Land Use Planning ◽  
Computation Time ◽  
Climate Projections ◽  
Field Observations ◽  
Infrastructure Development ◽  
Climate Scenarios ◽  
Large Area ◽  
New Approach ◽  
Ground Conditions

Abstract. Spatially detailed information on permafrost distribution and change with climate is important for land use planning, infrastructure development, and environmental assessments. However, the required soil and surficial geology maps in the North are coarse, and projected climate scenarios vary widely. Considering these uncertainties, we propose a new approach to mapping permafrost distribution and change by integrating remote sensing data, field measurements, and a process-based model. Land cover types from satellite imagery are used to capture the general land conditions and to improve the resolution of existing permafrost maps. For each land cover type, field observations are used to estimate the probabilities of different ground conditions. A process-based model is used to quantify the evolution of permafrost for each ground condition under three representative climate scenarios (low, medium, and high warming). From the model results, the probability of permafrost occurrence and the most likely permafrost conditions are determined. We apply this approach at 20 m resolution to a large area in Northwest Territories, Canada. Mapped permafrost conditions are in agreement with field observations and other studies. The data requirements, model robustness, and computation time are reasonable, and this approach may serve as a practical means to mapping permafrost and changes at high resolution in other regions.

scholarly journals A new approach to mapping permafrost and change incorporating uncertainties in ground conditions and climate projections

2014 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 1895-1935 ◽  
Author(s):  
Y. Zhang ◽  
I. Olthof ◽  
R. Fraser ◽  
S. A. Wolfe
Keyword(s):  
Land Cover ◽  
Land Use Planning ◽  
Computation Time ◽  
Remote Sensing Data ◽  
Climate Projections ◽  
Field Observations ◽  
Climate Scenarios ◽  
Large Area ◽  
New Approach ◽  
Ground Conditions

Abstract. Spatially detailed information on permafrost distribution and change with climate is important for land-use planning and for environmental and ecological assessments. However, the required soil and surficial geology maps in the north are coarse, and projected climate scenarios vary widely. Considering these uncertainties, we propose a new approach to mapping permafrost distribution and change by integrating remote sensing data, field measurements, and a process-based model. Land-cover types from satellite imagery are used to capture the general land conditions and to improve the resolution of existing permafrost maps. For each land-cover type, field observations are used to estimate the probability of different ground conditions. A process-based model is used to quantify the evolution of permafrost for each ground condition under three representative climate scenarios (low, medium and high warming). From the model results, the probability of permafrost occurrence and the most likely permafrost conditions are determined. We apply this approach at 20 m resolution to a large area in Northwest Territories, Canada. Mapped permafrost conditions are in agreement with field observations and other studies. The data requirements, model robustness and computation time are reasonable, and this approach may serve as a practical means to mapping permafrost and changes at high resolution in other regions.

scholarly journals From land use to land cover: restoring the afforestation signal in a coupled integrated assessment – earth system model and the implications for CMIP5 RCP simulations

2014 ◽  
Vol 11 (5) ◽  
pp. 7151-7188 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. V. Di Vittorio ◽  
L. P. Chini ◽  
B. Bond-Lamberty ◽  
J. Mao ◽  
X. Shi ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Land Use ◽  
Land Cover ◽  
Integrated Assessment ◽  
Coupled Model ◽  
Forest Growth ◽  
Assessment Model ◽  
Carbon Gain ◽  
Climate Projections ◽  
Earth System ◽  
Climate Scenarios

Abstract. Climate projections depend on scenarios of fossil fuel emissions and land use change, and the IPCC AR5 parallel process assumes consistent climate scenarios across Integrated Assessment and Earth System Models (IAMs and ESMs). The CMIP5 project used a novel "land use harmonization" based on the Global Land use Model (GLM) to provide ESMs with consistent 1500–2100 land use trajectories generated by historical data and four IAM projections. A direct coupling of the Global Change Assessment Model (GCAM), GLM, and the Community ESM (CESM) has allowed us to characterize and partially address a major gap in the CMIP5 land coupling design: the lack of a corresponding land cover harmonization. The CMIP5 CESM global afforestation is only 22% of GCAM's 2005 to 2100 RCP4.5 afforestation. Likewise, only 17% of GCAM's 2040 RCP4.5 afforestation, and zero pasture loss, were transmitted to CESM within the directly coupled model. This is a problem because afforestation was relied upon to achieve RCP4.5 climate stabilization. GLM modifications within the directly coupled model did not increase CESM afforestation. Modifying the land use translator in addition to GLM, however, enabled CESM to simulate 66% of GCAM's afforestation in 2040, and 94% of GCAM's pasture loss as grassland and shrubland losses. This additional afforestation increases vegetation carbon gain by 19 PgC and decreases atmospheric CO2 gain by 8 ppmv from 2005 to 2040, implying different RCP4.5 climate scenarios between CMIP5 GCAM and CESM. Although the IAMs and ESMs were not expected to have exactly the same climate forcing, due in part to different terrestrial carbon cycles and atmospheric radiation algorithms, the ESMs were expected to project climates representative of the RCP scenarios. Similar land cover inconsistencies exist in other CMIP5 model results, primarily because land cover information is not shared between models. High RCP4.5 afforestation might also contribute to inconsistencies as some ESMs might impose bioclimatic limits to potential forest area and have different rates of forest growth than projected by RCP4.5. Further work to harmonize land cover among models will be required to address this problem.

scholarly journals The Study of urban drainage system based on spatial structure plan

2017 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 118-130
Author(s):  
Rahmat Irawan ◽  
Ellina S. Pandebesie ◽  
Ipung Fitri Purwanti
Keyword(s):  
Land Use ◽  
Land Cover ◽  
Spatial Structure ◽  
Land Use Planning ◽  
Drainage System ◽  
Urban Drainage ◽  
Regional Government ◽  
Infrastructure Development ◽  
Residential Areas ◽  
Urban Drainage System

The whole planning of urban infrastructure development should refer to the Urban Spatial Detail Plan (RDTR) that has been developed by the Regional Government. One of them is drainage system planning which also need to pay attention to land use change plan which have take effect on increasing of coefficient value of run-off which is the result of increasing number of land cover. Based on the land use-planning spatial structure patterns in 2034, there is an increase in land cover a total area of 75 hectares. Therefore, it is necessary to evaluate the urban drainage system in order to avoid problems in future. Calculation of flood discharge using the rational formula with the value of the coefficient value of run-of on spatial structure plan. The analysis of existing drainage system is carried out to find out whether still capable of accommodating the discharge in spatial structure plan in 2034. Based on the drainage channel capacity analysis, 30 channels have to be repaired.The handling is done by widening the channel and increase the number of channels along the 3191.36 m. Another effort to reduce the flood is by making absorption wells in residential areas with the total amount needed as many as 179 units.

Regional Climate Scenarios for use in Nordic Water Resources Studies

2003 ◽  
Vol 34 (5) ◽  
pp. 399-412 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Rummukainen ◽  
J. Räisänen ◽  
D. Bjørge ◽  
J.H. Christensen ◽  
O.B. Christensen ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Water Resources ◽  
Climate Models ◽  
Global Climate ◽  
Regional Climate ◽  
Regional Climate Models ◽  
Climate Projections ◽  
Climate Scenarios ◽  
Soil Frost ◽  
Nordic Region ◽  
Regional Climate Projections

According to global climate projections, a substantial global climate change will occur during the next decades, under the assumption of continuous anthropogenic climate forcing. Global models, although fundamental in simulating the response of the climate system to anthropogenic forcing are typically geographically too coarse to well represent many regional or local features. In the Nordic region, climate studies are conducted in each of the Nordic countries to prepare regional climate projections with more detail than in global ones. Results so far indicate larger temperature changes in the Nordic region than in the global mean, regional increases and decreases in net precipitation, longer growing season, shorter snow season etc. These in turn affect runoff, snowpack, groundwater, soil frost and moisture, and thus hydropower production potential, flooding risks etc. Regional climate models do not yet fully incorporate hydrology. Water resources studies are carried out off-line using hydrological models. This requires archived meteorological output from climate models. This paper discusses Nordic regional climate scenarios for use in regional water resources studies. Potential end-users of water resources scenarios are the hydropower industry, dam safety instances and planners of other lasting infrastructure exposed to precipitation, river flows and flooding.

scholarly journals Key Challenges for Land Use Planning and Its Environmental Assessments in the Abuja City-Region, Nigeria

Land ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (5) ◽  
pp. 443
Author(s):  
Evidence Chinedu Enoguanbhor ◽  
Florian Gollnow ◽  
Blake Byron Walker ◽  
Jonas Ostergaard Nielsen ◽  
Tobia Lakes
Keyword(s):  
Land Use ◽  
Land Cover ◽  
Environmental Assessment ◽  
Land Use Planning ◽  
Environmental Sustainability ◽  
Sub Saharan Africa ◽  
Environmental Assessments ◽  
City Regions ◽  
Sub Saharan ◽  
Land Cover Maps

Land use planning as strategic instruments to guide urban dynamics faces particular challenges in the Global South, including Sub-Saharan Africa, where urgent interventions are required to improve urban and environmental sustainability. This study investigated and identified key challenges of land use planning and its environmental assessments to improve the urban and environmental sustainability of city-regions. In doing so, we combined expert interviews and questionnaires with spatial analyses of urban and regional land use plans, as well as current and future urban land cover maps derived from Geographic Information Systems and remote sensing. By overlaying and contrasting land use plans and land cover maps, we investigated spatial inconsistencies between urban and regional plans and the associated urban land dynamics and used expert surveys to identify the causes of such inconsistencies. We furthermore identified and interrogated key challenges facing land use planning, including its environmental assessment procedures, and explored means for overcoming these barriers to rapid, yet environmentally sound urban growth. The results illuminated multiple inconsistencies (e.g., spatial conflicts) between urban and regional plans, most prominently stemming from conflicts in administrative boundaries and a lack of interdepartmental coordination. Key findings identified a lack of Strategic Environmental Assessment and inadequate implementation of land use plans caused by e.g., insufficient funding, lack of political will, political interference, corruption as challenges facing land use planning strategies for urban and environmental sustainability. The baseline information provided in this study is crucial to improve strategic planning and urban/environmental sustainability of city-regions in Sub-Saharan Africa and across the Global South, where land use planning faces similar challenges to address haphazard urban expansion patterns.

scholarly journals Assessing Urbanization Dynamics in Turkey’s Marmara Region Using CORINE Data between 2006 and 2018

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (4) ◽  
pp. 664
Author(s):  
Özlem Altınkaya Genel ◽  
ChengHe Guan
Keyword(s):  
Land Cover ◽  
Land Use Planning ◽  
Complex Structure ◽  
Spatial Dynamics ◽  
Growth Dynamics ◽  
Theory And Practice ◽  
Marmara Region ◽  
Local Case ◽  
Sustainable Regional Development ◽  
Linking Theory And Practice

This study investigated the urban growth dynamics of urban regions. The study area was the Marmara Region, one of the most densely populated and ecologically diverse areas in Turkey. Using CORINE land cover data for 2006, 2012, and 2018, the study utilized multiple correspondence analyses and cluster analyses, to analyze land cover changes. The resulting maps, visualized in GIS, revealed the rapid urban transformation of the regional structure, formerly comprised of four distinct areas, into a more complex structure, in which densification and sprawl occur simultaneously. Our findings demonstrated a dissonance between the spatial dynamics of the Marmara Region during the study period, and the capacity and scope of the simultaneously initiated regional policies and mega-projects. This uncoordinated approach has endangered the region’s sustainable development. The paper, therefore, discusses the importance of land use planning and transboundary collaboration for sustainable regional development. Beyond the local case, the results contribute to critical theories in regional planning by linking theory and practice.

Vacuum processed large area doped thin-film crystals: A new approach for high-performance organic electronics

2021 ◽  
Vol 17 ◽  
pp. 100352
Author(s):  
S.-J. Wang ◽  
M. Sawatzki ◽  
H. Kleemann ◽  
I. Lashkov ◽  
D. Wolf ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Thin Film ◽  
Organic Electronics ◽  
High Performance ◽  
Large Area ◽  
New Approach

scholarly journals Improving 3-m Resolution Land Cover Mapping through Efficient Learning from an Imperfect 10-m Resolution Map

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (9) ◽  
pp. 1418
Author(s):  
Runmin Dong ◽  
Cong Li ◽  
Haohuan Fu ◽  
Jie Wang ◽  
Weijia Li ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Land Cover ◽  
Training Data ◽  
Training Dataset ◽  
Land Cover Mapping ◽  
Remotely Sensed Data ◽  
Large Area ◽  
National Scale ◽  
Substantial Progress ◽  
Efficient Learning ◽  
Land Cover Maps

Substantial progress has been made in the field of large-area land cover mapping as the spatial resolution of remotely sensed data increases. However, a significant amount of human power is still required to label images for training and testing purposes, especially in high-resolution (e.g., 3-m) land cover mapping. In this research, we propose a solution that can produce 3-m resolution land cover maps on a national scale without human efforts being involved. First, using the public 10-m resolution land cover maps as an imperfect training dataset, we propose a deep learning based approach that can effectively transfer the existing knowledge. Then, we improve the efficiency of our method through a network pruning process for national-scale land cover mapping. Our proposed method can take the state-of-the-art 10-m resolution land cover maps (with an accuracy of 81.24% for China) as the training data, enable a transferred learning process that can produce 3-m resolution land cover maps, and further improve the overall accuracy (OA) to 86.34% for China. We present detailed results obtained over three mega cities in China, to demonstrate the effectiveness of our proposed approach for 3-m resolution large-area land cover mapping.

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