scholarly journals Examining Overreaction in Indian Stock Market for Quarterly News

2014 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-16
Author(s):  
Sitangshu Khatua ◽  
Hemant Kumar Pradhan

Market Overreaction is a very familiar and age-old craze amongst traders. Pigou (1929) defined it as a ‘conducting rod along which an error of optimism or pessimism, once generated, propagates itself about the business world.’ The question of whether or not Indian stock prices market is overreacted during any stock-specific news is best answered by a comprehensive and concurrent analysis of the various tests and data available while using the event study. This study wants to address the impact of size, volatility and asymmetry in the terms of investors’ overreaction to the firm-specific news not only individually but also jointly. The outcome of this study helps to solve the problem concerning the extent to which quarterly announcements have informational content, and whether the investors are affected by the signals. The present study substantiates the policy recommendation for the market players as well as for the analysts in estimating earning announcement events under different market condition and different market capitalization value of the firm.

Demonetization is the withdrawal of a particular form of currency from circulation. In other words, the notes lose their value as a currency. It is an instrument that is used to manage various economic problems such as inflation, corruption, tax evasion, etc. The Indian government on November 8, 2016, decided to demonetize high denomination currencies. This announcement had an impact on several sectors of the Indian economy. This study is an investigation to measure the impact of demonetization announcements on the Indian banking sector. This study employs cumulative abnormal return (CAR) and an event study methodology to measure the impact of the decision on the selected banking stocks. The study shows that demonetization had a significant impact on the stock prices of selected banks. The findings of the study suggest that on the event day, none of the selected stock has shown significant positive abnormal returns. Further on the event day and followed by the event day positive significant ARR is observed indicating demonetization had a significant impact on the stock prices of selected banks. Also, CAR on the event day is not equal to zero indicating the Indian stock market was not efficient for demonetization announcement.


2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Claudia Araceli Hernández González

PurposeThis study aims to provide evidence of market reactions to organizations' inclusion of people with disabilities. Cases from financial journals in 1989–2014 were used to analyze the impact of actions taken by organizations to include or discriminate people with disabilities in terms of the companies' stock prices.Design/methodology/approachThis research is conducted as an event study where the disclosure of information on an organization's actions toward people with disabilities is expected to impact the organization's stock price. The window of the event was set as (−1, +1) days. Stock prices were analyzed to detect abnormal returns during this period.FindingsResults support the hypotheses that investors value inclusion and reject discrimination. Furthermore, the impact of negative actions is immediate, whereas the impact of positive actions requires at least an additional day to influence the firm's stock price. Some differences among the categories were found; for instance, employment and customer events were significantly more important to a firm's stock price than philanthropic actions. It was observed that philanthropic events produce negative abnormal returns on average.Originality/valueThe event study methodology provides a different perspective to practices in organizations regarding people with disabilities. Moreover, the findings in this research advance the literature by highlighting that organizations should consider policies and practices that include people with disabilities.


2018 ◽  
Vol 15 (3) ◽  
pp. 23-31 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marina Brogi ◽  
Valentina Lagasio

Are press releases on Corporate Governance price sensitive? What is the impact of Corporate Governance information on stock prices of banks? This paper addresses these questions by applying an event study methodology on 70 press releases published by the Euro area banks listed on the Eurostoxx banks Index, from 2007 to 2016. Systemic shocks are explored as well idiosyncratic ones. Our results show that investment decisions are significantly but negatively influenced by the disclosure of a press release on corporate governance as if this kind of news leads investors to perceive the banks’ prospects negatively. The best of our knowledge this is the first paper that investigates European banks press releases on corporate governance. Findings are relevant for banks’ management and their disclosure policy. Nonetheless, further research is needed to investigate differences and similarities between an area of governance disclosure and another.


2017 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
Aulia Hatmanti ◽  
Bambang Sudibyo

Abstrak: Pengaruh Pelantikan Kabinet Kerja Hasil Reshuffle Jilid II terhadap Harga Saham LQ-45. Tujuan dari penelitian ini adalah untuk melihat pengaruh peristiwa politik-pelantikan Kabinet Kerja hasil reshuffle jilid II-terhadap harga saham yang terdaftar dalam kelompok saham LQ-45. Penelitian ini menggunakan metode studi peristiwa untuk melihat adanya reaksi pasar yang dapat dilihat dari adanya abnormal return pada saham. Abnormal return pada penelitian ini dihitung menggunakan mean-adjusted model. Berdasarkan hasil uji beda t-test satu sisi, terdapat abnormal return positif yang signifikan pada event day (t) dan t+3. Uji beda rata-rata menggunakan paired sample t-test yang dilakukan untuk melihat perbedaan rata-rata abnormal return pada 5 hari sebelum dan 5 hari sesudah peristiwa tidak menunjukkan adanya hasil yang signifikan. Berdasarkan hasil tersebut, dapat disimpulkan bahwa peristiwa politik berupa pelantikan Kabinet Kerja hasil reshuffle jilid II merupakan good news bagi investor. Kata kunci: studi peristiwa, abnormal return, LQ-45, peristiwa politik Abstract: The Impact of the Inauguration of 2nd Reshuffled Cabinet on LQ-45 Stock Prices. The purpose of this research is to observe the impact of the political event the inauguration of 2nd reshuffled cabinet-to LQ-45 group’s stock prices. This study used event study method to identify the market reaction that can be seen from the abnormal return on the stock prices. The abnormal return is calculated using mean-adjusted model. T-test indicates that there is a significant positive abnormal return on event day (t) and t+3. Besides, paired sample t-test was conducted to see the difference in the average abnormal return in 5 days before and five days after the events didn’t show any significant results. Based on these results, it can be concluded that the inauguration of 2nd reshuffled cabinet is good news for investors. Keywords: event study, abnormal return, LQ-45, political events


2012 ◽  
Vol 29 (1) ◽  
pp. 79 ◽  
Author(s):  
Taoufik Bouraoui ◽  
Mohamed Mehanaoui ◽  
Bouchaib Bahli

<span style="font-family: Times New Roman; font-size: small;"> </span><p style="margin: 0in 0.5in 0pt; text-align: justify;" class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: Times New Roman;"><span lang="EN-GB" style="color: black; font-size: 10pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-GB;">This research investigates the market reaction to an information-based manipulation called stock spams. The impact is focused on the liquidity variable which is measured by </span><span lang="EN-GB" style="font-size: 10pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-GB;">Amivest ratio. Using the event study methodology on a sample of penny stocks for the period February 2006 through October 2008, our findings suggest <span style="color: black;">positive and significant abnormal liquidities for stocks targeted by manipulators during the event window. Robustness checks were performed using a non-parametric test. These results support the thesis that this kind of manipulation is a very flourishing business that manipulators exploit by simply purchasing stocks at low prices and selling them at higher prices. </span></span></span></p><span style="font-family: Times New Roman; font-size: small;"> </span>


2014 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
pp. 128-154 ◽  
Author(s):  
Santu Das ◽  
Jamini Kanta Pattanayak ◽  
Pramod Pathak

Purpose – The main purpose of this research study is to investigate the impact of quarterly earnings announcements on stock price movement of the firms constituting the SENSEX under two different market conditions – booming followed by recessionary. Analysis of price effect of quarterly earnings announcements during the five-year period prior to trading suspension, which is also characterized by a booming market condition have been made. Similar analysis during the five-year period following the trading suspension and marked by recessionary market condition has also been carried out side by side. Design/methodology/approach – Event study methodology using daily returns and market model has been used for the purpose of analyzing the quarterly earnings announcement effects on the security prices of the firms. A sign test has also been used along with the event study. Findings – The study reveals that quarterly earnings announcement does not have statistically significant effect on stock returns during the booming as well as the recessionary market conditions. The impact of quarterly earnings announcements on stock price movement of firms constituting the SENSEX has been similar for both periods undertaken in the study. Research limitations/implications – The study has been undertaken using the firms listed in BSE SENSEX. The effect of the quarterly earnings announcement with reference to firms listed in other indices, if covered, may provide different sets of results. Originality/value – The paper identifies the informational value of quarterly earnings announcement of BSE-SENSEX.


2019 ◽  
Vol 45 (7) ◽  
pp. 950-965 ◽  
Author(s):  
Praveen Kumar ◽  
Mohammad Firoz

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to analyze the relationship between Certified Emission Reductions (CERs) information and a firm’s stock prices. Design/methodology/approach The present study is based on 193 CERs announcements by Indian firms over a 13-year period 2005–2017. The event study methodology is used to examine the impact of CERs announcements on a firm’s share prices. Findings The study suggests that the issuance of CERs did not produce any significant abnormal return. More specifically, the outcomes of event study shows that over a two-day event window from the event day to the day after the event (i.e. days 0 to 1), the mean and median of AARs are −0.25 and −0.34 percent, respectively. The abnormal returns on day 1 are not statistically significant as per the t-test. Moreover, the mean and median of abnormal returns after one day (−1) are negative, indicating that investors react negatively to CERs announcements. However, the mean and median of CAARs over both the two-day (i.e. days −1 to 0 and days 0 to +1) and three-day (i.e. days −1 to +1) event windows are positive, but not statistically significant based on the t-test. Research limitations/implications The findings of the study are quite comprehensive, relatively used only market-based criteria of a firm’s financial performance, e.g., share price, at times, inhibits generalizing the results. Originality/value To the best of the author’s knowledge, the present study is a first of its kind to investigate the relationship between the CERs information and a firm’s stock prices.


Author(s):  
Masaki Kudo ◽  
Yong Jae Ko ◽  
Matthew Walker ◽  
Daniel P Connaughton

The purpose of this study was to examine stock price abnormal returns following title sponsorship announcement and event date of NASCAR, the PGA Tour, and the LPGA Tour. For this purpose, the authors used event study analysis where the analysis measures the impact that a specific event has on stock prices by comparing actual stock returns to estimated returns (Spais & Filis, 2008). An event study analysis demonstrated that title sponsors for the LPGA Tour and NASCAR garnered significant stock price increases on both the announcement date and the event date. The moderator tests suggested that high image congruence and high-technology related sponsorships assumed a key role in stock price increases.


2012 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
pp. 39-50 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Selvam ◽  
G. Indhumathi ◽  
J. Lydia

Changes in an index are a regular phenomenon and they take place due to the inclusion and exclusion of stocks from the index. The inclusion or exclusion of stocks creates great impact on the value of the firm. However, these changes are simply a short-lived event with no permanent valuation effect. The present research study analyzed the impact of the inclusion into and exclusion of certain stocks from National Stock Exchange (NSE) S&P CNX Nifty index with Indian perspective. The study provides evidence on whether the announcements of Nifty index maintenance committee have any information content. This will also demonstrate the efficiency of Indian stock market with particular reference to NSE. The study revealed that on an average, no permanent effects were observed on stock prices. It is also found from the study that the NSE reacted unfavourably to the inclusion and exclusion of stocks and it is impossible to earn any excess returns where the particular stocks are included or excluded from the index.


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