A leader-followers game of emergency preparedness for aderse events
Natural disasters occur across the globe, resulting in billions of dollars of damage eachyear. Effective preparation before a disaster can help to minimize damages, economic impact, and lossof human life. This paper uses a game theory framework to set up a leader-followers model for resourcedistribution to several geographic zones before an adverse event. The researchers model populationmembers who may choose to prepare in advance of an event by acquiring supplies, whereas othersmay wait until the last minute. Failure to prepare in advance could result in a significant loss dueto the chance that supplies may no longer be available. Numerical simulations are run to determinehow the leader should distribute supplies to maximize the preparedness of the overall population. Itwas found that population size is a significant factor for supply distribution, but the behaviour ofindividuals within a zone is also important. Much of the current resource allocation research focuseson the logistics and economics of supply distribution, but this paper demonstrates that social aspectsshould also be considered.