scholarly journals Implementation of Markov Chain in Detecting Opportunities for Natural Disasters in Klaten (Case Study: Number of Floods, Landslides, and Hurricanes 2019-2020)

2021 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 58-67
Author(s):  
Afdelia Novianti ◽  
Dina Tri Utari
Keyword(s):  
Markov Chain ◽  
Natural Disasters ◽  
Human Life ◽  
The Other ◽  
Future Period ◽  
The Past ◽  
Current Period ◽  
Markov Chain Method ◽  
The Government

Java Island is one of the areas that is very fertile and densely populated, but on the other hand, Java Island is also one of the areas that is most frequently hit by natural disasters, one of which is Klaten Regency. Natural disaster itself is an event that threatens and disrupts human life caused by nature. Some of the natural disasters that often occur simultaneously in Klaten Regency are floods, landslides, and hurricanes. These three disasters usually occur during the rainy season. This of course makes the government need to take action by seeing the large chance of a disaster occurring in order to optimize disaster management. Then research will be carried out that aims to determine the chances of natural disasters occurring in the next few years. Forecasting will be carried out using the Markov chain method, with this method the probability value of the future period can be estimated using the current period probability value based on the characteristics of the past period. So that the value of the steady state chance of floods and landslides in period 36 (December 2023) and hurricanes in period 15 (March 2022) with the chances of a disaster are 34.21%, 15.38%, and 73.53%, respectively.Received August 31, 2021Revised October 27, 2021Accepted November 11, 2021

scholarly journals Control-Oriented Inventory Production and Sales Activities in Chinese Manufacturing Firms

2018 ◽  
Vol 7 (2) ◽  
pp. 134
Author(s):  
Haihong He
Keyword(s):  
Manufacturing Firms ◽  
Production Costs ◽  
The Other ◽  
Return On Assets ◽  
Future Period ◽  
The Past ◽  
Current Period ◽  
Perception Of Control ◽  
High Return ◽  
The Future

This study uses a sample of Chinese manufacturing firms to examine the association between current period inventory production costs and sales changes in adjacent past and future periods. The results find an overall significant association between inventory production and the past period sales changes, but no association between inventory production and the future period sales changes. Further, we find that in firms with high return on assets, inventory production is only associated with the past period sales changes, but not with the future period sales changes; in contrast, in firms with low return on assets, inventory production is only associated with the future period sales changes, but not with the past period sales changes. The results, on one hand confirm our perception of control oriented management accounting practices in China, on the other hand suggest that firm performance is associated with such management emphasis in China.

The Local Government of Kulon Progo Regency Innovation in Subduing Capitalism through Community Empowerment

2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 229
Author(s):  
Muhammad Eko Atmojo ◽  
Helen Dian Fridayani
Keyword(s):  
Qualitative Method ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Community Empowerment ◽  
Case Study Approach ◽  
Study Approach ◽  
The Past ◽  
The People ◽  
District Government ◽  
The Government

Kulon Progo Regency is one of the districts that has many innovations, one of which is community empowerment in collaboration with a modern shop abbreviated as the shop name owned by the people (tomira). This research was motivated by the achievements of the Kulon Progo district government in carrying out development and innovation in the development of the Kulon Progo region by fully involving the Kulon Progo district community through community empowerment. This initiative was taken by the government of Kulon Progo Regency to improve community empowerment and protect the people of Kulon Progo Regency from various economic threats. Considering that in the past few years many modern shops have mushroomed in each district/city, so this is what makes Kulon Progo Regency move quickly to empower the community by collaborating between MSMEs or cooperative with modern shops. This study uses a qualitative method which case study approach. With the empowerment that has been done, the original products of Kulon Progo Regency or local products can be traded in modern stores so that local products in Kulon Progo Regency can compete with national products in these modern stores. The existence of such cooperation will indirectly improve the image of Kulon Progo Regency and lift the original products of Kulon Progo Regency. The lifting of the original products of Kulon Progo Regency will have a positive impact on the community, where indirectly the economy of the community will increase so that there will be prosperity for the community. Kabupaten Kulon Progo adalah salah satu kabupaten yang memiliki banyak inovasi, salah satunya adalah pemberdayaan masyarakat bekerja sama dengan toko modern disingkat nama toko yang dimiliki oleh masyarakat (tomira). Penelitian ini dilatarbelakangi oleh pencapaian pemerintah kabupaten Kulon Progo dalam melakukan pengembangan dan inovasi dalam pengembangan wilayah Kulon Progo dengan melibatkan sepenuhnya masyarakat kabupaten Kulon Progo melalui pemberdayaan masyarakat. Inisiatif ini diambil oleh pemerintah Kabupaten Kulon Progo untuk meningkatkan pemberdayaan masyarakat dan melindungi masyarakat Kabupaten Kulon Progo dari berbagai ancaman ekonomi. Menimbang bahwa dalam beberapa tahun terakhir banyak toko-toko modern telah menjamur di setiap kabupaten/kota, jadi inilah yang membuat Kabupaten Kulon Progo bergerak cepat untuk memberdayakan masyarakat dengan berkolaborasi antara UMKM atau bekerjasama dengan toko-toko modern. Penelitian ini menggunakan metode penelitian kualitatif dengan pendekatan studi kasus, dengan metode yang digunakan adalah dokumentasi. Dengan pemberdayaan yang telah dilakukan, produk asli Kabupaten Kulon Progo atau produk lokal dapat diperdagangkan di toko modern sehingga produk lokal di Kabupaten Kulon Progo dapat bersaing dengan produk nasional di toko modern ini. Adanya kerjasama tersebut secara tidak langsung akan meningkatkan citra Kabupaten Kulon Progo dan mengangkat produk asli Kabupaten Kulon Progo. Pencabutan produk asli Kabupaten Kulon Progo akan berdampak positif bagi masyarakat, di mana secara tidak langsung perekonomian masyarakat akan meningkat sehingga akan ada kesejahteraan bagi masyarakat.

scholarly journals Citizen Participation in Responding to Natural Disasters Through Twitter Messages

2020 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 123
Author(s):  
Rizky Pamuji ◽  
Ismiarta Aknuranda ◽  
Fatwa Ramdani
Keyword(s):  
Social Media ◽  
Natural Disasters ◽  
Citizen Science ◽  
Citizen Participation ◽  
Disaster Relief ◽  
Local Communities ◽  
Citizen Involvement ◽  
The Government

Citizen participation in collect and distribute information increase the role of the citizen involvement in local issues and increasing the benefits of society for the government and the environment. The contribution of citizens can be useful in helping to deal with environment problems and assist certain parties in meeting data needs, this is commonly referred to as citizen science. In its development, citizen science involvement in providing information began to involve social media as a platform for sharing information. In this study we try to explore citizen science of Indonesia, we conduct case study exploring how citizen in Indonesia used social media such as Twitter in response to one of the country’s worst disaster in 2018 namely Lombok Earthquake. By analyzing these user generate message we may know what the response of Indonesian citizen during event and understand more about citizen science in Indonesia through social media including its role and contribution. The information also may assist local communities in obtaining up-to-date information, providing assistance according to needs of the populace and use to manage and plan disaster relief both during and after the event.

Grand Coalition Government: The Case of Lebanon

2020 ◽  
pp. 1-28 ◽  
Author(s):  
Simon Badran
Keyword(s):  
Political Participation ◽  
Political Stability ◽  
Grand Coalition ◽  
Power Sharing ◽  
The Other ◽  
The Political ◽  
Coalition Government ◽  
The Past ◽  
The Government ◽  
Council Of Ministers

AbstractTo maintain political stability and to preserve the plurality and the diversity that characterise its societies, consociational democracies require, more than other states, a grand coalition government. In this type of democracy, the grand coalition is not a model that is used in exceptional cases, as in majoritarian democracies. It is a deliberate and permanent political choice. In Lebanon, following the modifications implemented by the 1989 Ṭā’if Accord, the Constitution instituted a collegial power-sharing within the executive that implies the establishment of a grand coalition which enables the political participation of the main Lebanese religious confessions in the government. On the other hand, the formation of the Lebanese Council of ministers since the spring of 2005 has become increasingly difficult and coalitions are often less stable than in the past. These laborious negotiations for unstable governmental coalitions are especially problematic in what may be called the perversion of the constitutional procedure by leaders of the parliamentary blocs.

scholarly journals Error Analysis On The Use Of Past Tense In Writing Recount Text A Case Study At The Second Year Students Of Madrasah Tsanawiyah Darul Ishlah Ireng Lauq At The Academic Year 2013/2014

2019 ◽  
Vol 4 (4) ◽  
Author(s):  
Suparlan Suparlan
Keyword(s):  
Error Analysis ◽  
Quantitative Method ◽  
The Other ◽  
Past Tense ◽  
The Past ◽  
Specific Objective ◽  
Second Year ◽  
Academic Year ◽  
Year 2013

The writer is interested in investigating the error analysis in using past tense in writing recount text a case study at the second year students of Madrasah Tsanawiyah Darul Ishlah Ireng Lauq at the academic year 2013/2014. The problem of the present study is limited in on the use of past tense in writing recount text. On the other hand, the general objective of the writing is to analyze the use of past tense in writing recount text. The specific objective is to know the students ability in using the past tense especially in writing recount text.The population of the study includes all students who have been studying at the second year of Madrasah Tsanawiyah Darul Ishlah Ireng Lauq at the academic year 2013/2014.The instrument of data collection is only one test. The test type/ part namely slot test. The test is confined to use the simple past tense. The data is analyzed by descriptive quantitative method. From the result of this analyze, the writer concludes the second year of the students of Madrasah Tsanawiyah Darul Ishlah Ireng Lauq at the academic year 2013/ 2014 has difficulty in identifying the past tense. This analyze shown that they make errors in using auxiliary did, errors in using verbs and other errors. Finally not only auxiliary did or verb as the specific study had most errors but also another errors appear without they realize, it happened because the lack of mastery in structure of past tense one of the tense in English.

scholarly journals Study of the Transformation of Industrial Heritage from the Perspective of Holistic Governance

2021 ◽  
pp. 81-93
Author(s):  
Zhang HUA ◽  
Liu YANING ◽  
Jilong WANG
Keyword(s):  
Main Role ◽  
Industrial Upgrading ◽  
Industrial Heritage ◽  
The Past ◽  
Top Managers ◽  
Complex Process ◽  
Major Transition ◽  
The Government

In the past few years, with the development of technology and industrial upgrading, a growing number of countries are facing the problem of how to transform their industrial heritages, especially if they are in downtowns. Public administration top managers have a main role in this complex process of purpose and ownership changes. By examining the transformation of industrial heritage in Shanghai – a case-study examined through interviews, chronology of events and content analyses –, this paper explores how the government has used the idea of holistic governance in creating an exhaustive plan and implementing it. The study also explores the government’s attempt to build social consensus regarding that major transition, including the role of communication with citizens.

scholarly journals Disaster Forecasting Approach In Indonesia: A Fuzzy Time Series - Markov Chain Model

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rahmad Syah
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Markov Chain ◽  
Natural Disasters ◽  
Markov Chain Model ◽  
Volcanic Eruptions ◽  
Fuzzy Time Series ◽  
Chain Model ◽  
The Past ◽  
The Future ◽  
Transport Accidents

The concept of Fuzzy Time Series to predict things that will happen based on the data in the past, while Markov Chain assist in estimating the changes that may occur in the future. With methods are used to predict the incidence of natural disasters in the future. From the research that has been done, it appears the change, an increase of each disaster, like a tornado reaches 3%, floods reaches 16%, landslides reaches 7%, transport accidents reached 25% and volcanic eruptions as high as 50%.

scholarly journals Does spirituality correlate with students’ empathy during covid-19 pandemic? the case study of Indonesian students

2020 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Fifi Khoirul Fitriyah ◽  
Nopriadi Saputra ◽  
Maretha Dellarosa ◽  
Wiwik Afridah
Keyword(s):  
Structural Model ◽  
Statistical Data ◽  
Human Life ◽  
Measurement Model ◽  
Reciprocal Relationship ◽  
The Other ◽  
Reactivity Index ◽  
Path Coefficient ◽  
Spiritual Assessment

Covid-19 pandemic has affected all parts of human life. It affects health, as well as socio and economic aspects. In this situation, high empathy should follow the implementation of physical distancing to reduce the spread of the virus. However, anti-social behavior has mostly materialized. This study aims to explore the spiritual effect on students' empathy during the Covid-19 pandemic. It observes if spirituality predicts empathy and the other way around. 1004 university students from 65 universities in East Java, Indonesia, were recruited to give responses from a set of questionnaires. Smart-PLS application was used to analyze the statistical data. Findings uncovered that this measurement model is valid and reliable for spirituality (Spiritual Assessment Scale=SAS) and empathy (Interpersonal Reactivity Index=IRI) construct. Through a structural model, our study also found that spirituality and empathy have a significant reciprocal relationship (with a path coefficient of 0.564). Spirituality predicts empathy and the other way around. Our findings suggest that universities' counseling units apply spiritual strategies in counseling activities to accelerate students' empathy during the Covid-19 pandemic and to anticipate the future crisis.

The Power to Alter Personal Provisions in Collective Agreements

1978 ◽  
Vol 13 (3) ◽  
pp. 326-358 ◽  
Author(s):  
Frances Raday
Keyword(s):  
Collective Bargaining ◽  
Tax Reform ◽  
The Other ◽  
Collective Agreement ◽  
Individual Level ◽  
Collective Agreements ◽  
The Past ◽  
Important Quality ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Individual

On two notable occasions in the past two years, it was found necessary to use legislation in order to buttress the potency of general collective agreements. The first of these occasions was when legislation was used to give overriding legal force to a general collective agreement between the Histadrut and the Government incorporating the tax reform recommendations of the Ben Shachar Committee. The second was a similar use of legislation with regard to the general collective agreement between the Histadrut and the Government incorporating the special increments recommendations of the Barkai Committee. The two collective agreements concerned shared one important quality: They both purported to derogate from rights previously enjoyed by employees under existing collective agreements. One of the reasons for legislative intervention to support these agreements was the existence of doubt as to the legal effectiveness of their attempt to derogate from the individual employees' rights.The source of the doubt as to the legal effectiveness of such agreements lies in the existence of two distinct levels at which a collective agreement functions: the collective and the individual levels. At the collective level, conditions are determined by the collective bargaining parties, the employer or employers' organisation on one hand and the employees' organisation on the other; at this level, the collective agreement is a consensual arrangement between the parties to it, the parties fix the terms and have a contractual right to demand their enforcement. The terms fixed at the collective level take effect, however, also at the individual level; the individual employees of an employer bound by the agreement are both bound by the agreement and entitled to enjoy the rights bestowed by the agreement. The Collective Agreements Law gives forceful expression to the effect of the collective agreement's personal provisions at the individual level, giving them immediate and mandatory effect as part of each individual employee's employment contract.

scholarly journals Creating a Place of Prayer for the ‘Other’: A Comparative Case Study in Wales Exploring the Effects of Re-shaping Congregational Space in an Anglican Cathedral

2017 ◽  
Vol 30 (2) ◽  
pp. 218-235 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tania ap Siôn
Keyword(s):  
Physical Environment ◽  
The Other ◽  
Comparative Case Study ◽  
Intercessory Prayer ◽  
Common Phenomenon ◽  
Analytic Framework ◽  
The Past ◽  
Similarities And Differences ◽  
Personal Prayer

Abstract Provision of spaces for personal prayer and reflection has become a common phenomenon within historic churches and cathedrals in England and Wales, offering an example of devotional activity that operates largely outside that of traditional gathered congregations, but also in relationship with them. Over the past decade, the apSAFIP (the ap Siôn Analytic Framework for Intercessory Prayer) has been employed to examine the content of personal prayer requests left in various church-related locations, mapping similarities and differences in pray-ers’ concerns. Building on this research tradition, the present study examines whether changes to physical environment in an Anglican cathedral in Wales has an effect on the personal prayer activity occurring within it, with a particular focus on intercessory prayer requests.

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