RURAL INFRASTRUCTURAL DEVELOPMENT AND ECONOMIC GROWTH: A TIME-SERIES EVIDENCE FROM PAKISTAN (1981-2010)

2012 ◽  
Vol 02 (01) ◽  
pp. 51-57
Author(s):  
Rao Ishtiaq Ahmad ◽  
Shahnawaz Malik
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Rural Areas ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Positive Role ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Infrastructural Development ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Determinants Of Economic Growth

Main purpose of this study is to find out the role of rural infrastructural development on economic growth of Pakistan. It has been hypothesized that rural infrastructural development has significant positive role for enhancement of economic growth. For the purpose of investigation we utilize such a model which may reflect the steady-state equilibrium differences in a Barro-type framework consisting of Solow type sets of variables and allow conditional convergence. On the basis of time series data set of Pakistan from 1981 to 2010, we employ OLS methodology so as to measure the impact of rural infrastructural development on economic growth of Pakistan. In view of limitations regarding categorization of data on regional basis, we use developmental public expenditures in rural areas as a proxy for rural infrastructural development. After analysis, we are of the view that rural infrastructural development has a positive role for economic growth of Pakistan, however, its role has found to be less significant in comparison to capital and labour as determinants of economic growth.

scholarly journals Financial Sector Innovation and Economic Growth in the Context of Botswana

2016 ◽  
Vol 8 (6) ◽  
pp. 291 ◽  
Author(s):  
Johane Moilwa Motsatsi
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Rural Areas ◽  
Work Experience ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Financial Sector ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Business Innovation ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Determinants Of Economic Growth

The objective of this study is to examine the role of financial sector development on economic growth using quarterly time series data for the period 2006-2014. We used Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model to estimate the impact of technological innovation (Automated Teller Machines {ATMs} and Electronic Funds Transfer at Point of Sale{EFTPOS}), business innovation (bank deposits and credit to private sector) and other determinants of economic growth (inflation, trade and interest rate) on economic growth. The results show that both the technological and business innovation variables have a positive impact on economic growth. Therefore, policies aimed at promoting more distribution and nationwide spread of ATMs and EFTPOS more particularly in rural areas where they are scarce would boost the growth of the economy. In addition, The Global Competitiveness Report (GCR) asserted that Botswana’s financial market is still undeveloped and fall short to the development level of middle income countries. GCR identified the quality of the education system as the main factor dragging the development of the financial sector down. It is focused more on academic achievement rather than equipping learners with practical skills and work experience that can support the national innovative initiatives.

scholarly journals Political Stability and its Impact on Economic Growth of Pakistan (1988-2018): A Time Series Analysis

2020 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 273-282
Author(s):  
Majid Hussain Phul ◽  
Muhammad Saleem Rahpoto ◽  
Ghulam Muhammad Mangnejo
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Political Stability ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Explanatory Variables ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Positive Effect

This research paper empirically investigates the outcome of Political stability on economic growth (EG) of Pakistan for the period of 1988 to 2018. Political stability (PS), gross fixed capital formation (GFCF), total labor force (TLF) and Inflation (INF) are important explanatory variables. Whereas for model selection GDPr is used as the dependent variable. To check the stationary of time series data Augmented Dickey Fuller (ADF) unit root (UR) test has been used,  and whereas to find out the long run relationship among variables, OLS method has been used. The analysis the impact of PS on EG (EG) in the short run, VAR model has been used. The outcomes show that all the variables (PS, GFCF, TLF and INF) have a significantly positive effect on the EG of Pakistan in the long run period. But the effect of PS on GDP is smaller. Further, in this research we are trying to see the short run relationship between GDP and other explanatory variables. The outcomes show that PS does not have such effect on GDP in the short run analysis. While GFCF, TLF and INF have significantly positive effect on GDP of Pakistan in the short run period.

scholarly journals FDI and long-term economic growth in Egypt

2017 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
pp. 65-74
Author(s):  
Saif Alhakimi
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Government Expenditure ◽  
Wage Structure ◽  
Series Data ◽  
The Impact

This research paper aims to empirically analyze the impact of FDI on the long-term economic growth of Egypt. An empirical model was developed to explain the aggregate output, including total labor force, capital stock, foreign direct investment, government expenditure, and the real exchange rate. Annual time-series data from 1990–2013 were then used to estimate the model. Prior to calculating this estimation, the properties of the time series were diagnosed, and an error-correction model was developed and assessed. The overall results suggest that foreign direct investment makes a positive, yet weak and insignificant, contribution to the long-term economic growth of Egypt. This finding warrants further investigation to explore the possible reasons behind it, such as the degree of spillover that FDI has on economic growth and its impact on employment in areas like job creation, wage structure, research, and development.

scholarly journals ANALISIS PERAN BELANJA MODAL DAN INVESTASI SWASTA TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI SERTA DAMPAKNYA PADA KESEJAHTERAAN MASYARAKAT

2019 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
pp. 26
Author(s):  
Akhlis Priya Pambudy ◽  
Muhamad Imam Syairozi
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Sustainable Development ◽  
Human Development Index ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Capital Expenditure ◽  
Private Investment ◽  
Public Welfare ◽  
Series Data ◽  
The Impact

The purpose of economic development is to improve public welfare. Many factors influenceeconomic growth, including sustainable development. This study is aimed to analyze the impactof capital expenditure and private investment on economic growth of the regency/municipalduring the period of 2010-2015 as well as the impact of economic growth on public welfareproxied by the human development index figures. Using WarpPLS, used purposive samplingmethode, testing is done for the 415 autonomous regional and 93 autonomous municipalsin Indonesia using time series data 2010-015. The results of this study shows that capitalexpenditure positively effect economic growth as well as private investment has positive effecton economic growth. Furthermore, the economic growth has been proven to improve publicwalfare.Keywords: capital expenditure, private investment, economic growth, public welfare

Impact of Globalization on Economic Growth in Vietnam: An Empirical Analysis

2018 ◽  
pp. 32-47 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dat Tho Tran ◽  
Van Thi Cam Nguyen
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Empirical Analysis ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Balance Of Trade ◽  
The Impact

This study aims at investigating the impact of globalization on economic growth in the case of Vietnam. Empirical analysis is done by using time series data for the period from 1995 to 2014. The paper tested the stationary cointegration of time series data and utilized the error correction modeling technique to determine the short run relationships among economic growth, globalization, foreign direct investment, balance of trade and exchange rate variables. Then, the long run relationship between economic growth and the variables representing economic integration were estimated by ordinary least square. The results show that globalization, measured by the KOF index, promotes economic growth and Vietnam has gained from integrating into the global economy. The overall index of globalization had positively and significantly impacted the economic growth in Vietnam. The results also indicated that economic globalization had a significantly positive effect on economic growth in the period examined. The study further revealed that foreign direct investment and the exchange rate affect economic growth positively whereas balance of trade affects economic growth negatively.

scholarly journals China–Pakistan Economic Corridor, Logistics Developments and Economic Growth in Pakistan

Logistics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 35
Author(s):  
Zunaira Khadim ◽  
Irem Batool ◽  
Muhammad Bilal Lodhi
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Real Income ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Factor Inputs ◽  
The Impact

The study aims to analyze the impact of China–Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) logistics-related developments on economic growth in Pakistan. The study defined a Cobb–Douglas type of research framework in which the country’s real income level relates to four factor inputs, e.g., employed labor force, logistics development, financial development, and energy consumption in an economy. The study utilized the time series data set for the period 1972–2018. To estimate the long run relationship and short run adjustment mechanism, the study used Johansen’s method of co-integration and error correction model. Estimated results showed that the country’s logistics developments have a significant positive impact on economic growth in both the long run and the short run. It implies that China–Pakistan collaborative efforts for logistics developments will have a strong positive impact on economic growth in Pakistan.

scholarly journals A Comparative Analysis Of Capital Expenditure On Infrastructure And Economic Growth In Nigeria And South Africa

2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (3) ◽  
pp. 53-64
Author(s):  
R. K. Ayeni ◽  
Ireti Olamide Olasehinde
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
South Africa ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Good Governance ◽  
Capital Expenditure ◽  
Specific Model ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Infrastructural Development ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Impact

Nigeria and South Africa are two dominating economies in Africa but defer in terms of infrastructural development. The question of whether this infrastructural difference culminate to the difference in economic growth in the two economies is central to this study. This paper therefore, examined the impact of capital expenditure on infrastructure and economic growth both in Nigeria and South Africa using time series data from 1980 to 2016.  Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) Bound tests technique of cointegration was used to on country-specific model of aggregate expenditure, following the Keynesian theory. The result showed that there is a the long-run relationship among the variables used in Nigeria and South Africa.  Capital expenditure on infrastructure has positive but insignificant impact on economic growth in Nigeria while it was positive and significant on the economic growth in South Africa.  The insignificant impact of capital expenditure on infrastructure on economic growth compare with South Africa may be the major difference in the two economies. This is traceable to lack of accountability and corruption in Nigeria compared to the good governance that truncated corruption and mismanagement in the government circle in South Africa. Tax base has positive and significant impacts on the economic growth in these two countries, this was supported by the Pairwise Granger Causality in which TAX granger caused economic growth in both countries. The study recommends injection of sufficient fund into infrastructural development in Nigeria. AS tax contributed positively to economic growth in both economies, it is recommended that tax revenue realized should be judiciously spent by providing the necessary amenities to discourage evasion of tax.

The Impact of Foreign Aid on Education in Pakistan

2018 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Muhammad MASOOD ANWAR ◽  
Ghulam YAHYA KHAN ◽  
Sardar JAVAID IQBAL KHAN
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Aid ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Political Stability ◽  
Vital Role ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Major Objective ◽  
Data Set ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Impact

Foreign Aid (FA) is an important determinant of economic growth in the developing world and especially countries like Pakistan, where development needs could not be financed by the government due to limited domestic resources. FA supplements domestic resources of finance such as savings and also enhances the amount of investment and capital stock in the country. Education is also a one of the major contributors of economic growth. In countries like Pakistan education also plays a vital role in political stability where institutions are not sound enough. The Major objective of the study is to check the effectiveness of foreign aid for education in Pakistan. This study has been primarily conducted using a time series data set for Pakistan over the period 1975 to 2010. The variables of interest are foreign aid and education, other variables are investment and openness to foreign trade. For empirical analysis ARDL techniques of co-integration developed by Pesaran and Shin (Ghorbani & Motallebi, 2009) have been used. The results show positive relationship between foreign aid and education. The study has relevance as far as policy decisions are concerned for foreign aid. 

Non-Indian aid and growth nexus in Bhutan

2015 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 117-129
Author(s):  
Jigme Nidup
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Foreign Aid ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Labour Force ◽  
Unit Root Test ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
The Impact

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to investigate the impact of Non-Indian foreign aid on economic growth. In addition, this paper also investigates the importance of governance, policy and democratic institution in fostering economic growth. Planned development activities in Bhutan are mostly funded through external assistance, particularly from India. Bhutan also receives assistance from other bilateral and multilateral countries besides India. Design/methodology/approach – This study adopts the autoregressive distributed lag approach to cointegration using time-series data from 1982 to 2012. To ensure stationarity of data, the unit root test is conducted. Necessary diagnostic tests are also performed to confirm that the model does not violate regression assumptions. Findings – Findings indicate that Non-Indian foreign aid, governance and democracy are detrimental to economic growth. Policy and investment is found insignificant determinant. However, labour force and technology are found fostering economic growth. Research limitations/implications – Less number of observations restrained detailed analysis like the use of interactive terms between aid and governance, aid and policy to see its actual impact. Data on Indian aid could not be sourced from any documents. Those available were found only for few years restricting time series analysis. Originality/value – This study explored the impact of various determinants on economic growth in Bhutan. These findings provide useful insights for policymakers in Bhutan to make necessary decisions. The analysis also suggests future ground for research to those scholars and researchers.

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