scholarly journals Transmission of Monetary Policy through Credit Interest Rates in Turkey: A Microeconomic Perspective

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. 122
Author(s):  
Ilyas Siklar
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Dynamic Panel Model ◽  
Panel Model ◽  
Loan Interest Rates ◽  
High Degree ◽  
Transmission Of Monetary Policy ◽  
Policy Interest

This study aims to examine the monetary policy transmission through the credit channel from a microeconomic perspective by using the fixed effect dynamic panel model. It is estimated to what extent policy interest rate changes are transferred to the short-term interest rate depending on the type of loan. Results confirm that there is a high degree of inertia in both the commercial and consumer loan interest rates. In terms of the transmission of monetary policy, changes in policy interest rates are transferred to commercial loan interest rates by 11% and consumer loan interest rates by 15% in the short term. These values reveal that policy interest rate changes are gradually transmitted to market interest rates. Variables representing bank size, leverage, and market power in terms of distinctive characteristics have a limited impact on both commercial and consumer loan interest rates in the analyzing period. However, the market share of a bank has a significant impact on both commercial and consumer loan rates.

Central bank transparency, inflation targeting and monetary policy: a panel data approach

2018 ◽  
Vol 45 (6) ◽  
pp. 1159-1174 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gabriel Caldas Montes ◽  
Cristiane Gea
Keyword(s):  
Developing Countries ◽  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Panel Data ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Central Bank ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Inflation Targeting ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Central Bank Transparency ◽  
Policy Interest

Purpose The evidence concerning the effects of the inflation targeting (IT) regime as well as greater central bank transparency on monetary policy interest rates is not conclusive, and the following questions remain open. What is the effect of adopting IT on both the level and volatility of monetary policy interest rate? Does central bank transparency affect the level of the monetary policy interest rate and its volatility? Are these effects greater in developing countries? The purpose of this paper is to contribute to the literature by answering these questions. Hence, the paper analyzes the effects of IT and central bank transparency on monetary policy. Design/methodology/approach The analysis uses a sample of 48 countries (31 developing) comprising the period between 1998 and 2014. Based on panel data methodology, estimates are made for the full sample, and then for the sample of developing countries. Findings Countries that adopt the IT regime tend to have lower levels of monetary policy interest rates, as well as lower interest rate volatility. The effect of adopting IT on both the level and volatility of the basic interest rate is smaller in developing countries. Besides, countries with more transparent central banks have lower levels of monetary policy interest rates, as well as lower interest rate volatility. In turn, the effect of central bank transparency on both the level and volatility of the basic interest rate is greater in developing countries. Practical implications The study brings important practical implications regarding the influence of both the IT regime and central bank transparency on monetary policy. Originality/value Studies have sought to analyze whether IT and central bank transparency are effective to control inflation. However, few studies analyze the influence of IT and central bank transparency on interest rates. This study differs from the few existing studies since: the analysis is done not only for the effect of transparency on the level of the monetary policy interest rate, but also on its volatility; the central bank transparency index that is used has never been utilized in this sort of analysis; and the study uses panel data methodology, and compares the results between different samples.

scholarly journals COMPARISON OF THE PASS-THROUGH SPEED MODELS OF DIFFERENT MARKETS: AN EMPIRICAL STUDY OF THE MARKETS OF MAINLAND CHINA AND TAIWAN

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chi Ming Ho ◽  
Wu Yih Lin
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Mainland China ◽  
Rate Sensitivity ◽  
Interest Rate Spread ◽  
Spread Model ◽  
Pass Through ◽  
Loan Interest Rates ◽  
The Interest Rate

This paper adopted the Boone Indicator, developed by Boone et al. (2008) and Van Leuvensteijn et al. (2011; 2013), to investigate the influence of different pass-through spread models in the competition among banks in emerging markets. With the market share of banks as a dependent variable and marginal cost as an independent variable, this paper probed into the competition among banks regarding the loan market to determine whether competition on the loan interest rates of banks affected the pass-through of monetary policy-related interest rates. After analyzing approximately 5,657 entries of records of the banking industries in Taiwan and mainland China, this paper reached three significant conclusions: 1) the Boone Indicator Model pointed out that, competition in the banking market of mainland China was more intense than that of Taiwan; 2) empirical research based on the Interest Rate Spread Model indicated that the spread of mainland China was lower than that of Taiwan; 3) the Passthrough Speed Model implied that, the interest rate sensitivity of the market of mainland China was higher than that of the Taiwan market. The above results indicate that the influence of monetary policy pass-through on the interest rate of the market in mainland China is faster than in Taiwan.  

scholarly journals Analysis of Macroeconomics Stability Control of ICI Countries (Indonesia, China, India) Based on Transmission of Monetary Policy through Interest Rate Channel

2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (4) ◽  
pp. 226-234
Author(s):  
Annisa Anggreini Siswanto ◽  
Ahmad Albar Tanjung ◽  
Irsad Lubis
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
Economic Stability ◽  
The Interest Rate ◽  
Transmission Of Monetary Policy ◽  
Interest Rate Channel

This study aims to analyze variable control of macroeconomic stability based on monetary policy transmission through interest rate channels in Indonesia, China, India (ICI). Variables used in the interest rate are rill interest rates, consumption, investment, gross domestic product, and inflation. This study used secondary data from 2000 to 2019. The results of the PVECM analysis through the interest rate channel show that the control of economic stability of the ICI country is carried out by investment variables and gross domestic product in the short term, while in the long run it is carried out by consumption, investment and gross domestic product. The results of the IRF analysis are the response stability of all variables is formed in the medium and long term periods. The results of the FEVD analysis show that there are variables that have the greatest contribution in the variable itself either in the short, medium, long term. The results of the interaction analysis of each variable transmission of monetary policy through interest rates can maintain and control the economic stability of the ICI country. Keywords: Interest Rate Channel, Interest Rate, Consumption, Investment, Gross Domestic Product, Inflation.

Großbritannien – ein europäischer Spielverderber? Das britische Opting-Out aus ökonomischer Sicht

1996 ◽  
Vol 45 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Philip Nölling
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Central Bank ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
European Central Bank ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Economic Reason ◽  
Opting Out ◽  
European Central ◽  
The Uk

AbstractWith the beginning of EMU there will be only one monetary policy with a single short term interest rate. In order for common monetary policy to be successful EMU member states have to react similarly to monetary signals from the European Central Bank (ECB). Because of its unique sensitivity to short term interest rates, this would not be the case for the UK. If, for example, the ECB would raise the short term interest rates by an amount which is appropriate for countries like France and Germany, the UK might sink into recession. This shows that besides political reasons there is also an economic reason for the UK’s opting-out from EMU.

scholarly journals Central Bank Communication and Policy Interest Rate

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 76
Author(s):  
Haryo Kuncoro
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Central Bank ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Inflation Targeting ◽  
Central Bank Communication ◽  
Inflation Expectation ◽  
Expectation Gap ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Policy Interest

Central bank communications play an important role in the monetary policy. In the inflation-targeting frameworks, central bank communications might guide public to shape inflation expectations and then determine actual inflation rates through which the policy interest rates policy would manage them. This paper studied the impact and central bank monetary policy communications on the policy interest rate. Unlike other studies, this paper uses two stages. First, we estimate the impact of central bank communication on the inflation expectation gap. Second, we use the estimated value of inflation expectation gap to predict the policy interest rate. The study found evidence that economic agents analyse the Governor Board of Central Bank of Indonesia meeting decisions every month to shape their inflation expectation. Therefore, the difference between inflation expectation and actual inflation tends to narrow. The inflation expectation gap affects the policy interest rates in Indonesia. In other words, the policy interest rates can control the inflation rate and anchor expectations as required by the inflation-targeting framework.

scholarly journals THEORETICAL ASPECTS OF DETERMINING THE INTEREST RATE IN THE TRANSFORMATION OF MONETARY POLICY

2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (34) ◽  
Author(s):  
T.A GORBACHEVA ◽  
◽  
T.N BARKOVA ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Time Lag ◽  
The United States ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Interest Rate Policy ◽  
The United Kingdom ◽  
Number Of Factors ◽  
The Interest Rate

Modern practice of macroeconomic management is based on the regulation of money supply through the management of interest rates, mainly short-term. Short-term interest rate management is a Central approach to implementing monetary policy in countries such as the United States, the United Kingdom, and the Euro area. By changing the interest rates on operations of providing or absorbing liquidity, the national Central Bank has a significant impact on the level of interest rates for the same period in the money market. Consequently, the structure of all short-term rates changes for a longer period. Depending on a number of factors, including the exchange rate and the expected level of inflation, the structure of long-term interest rates also changes. Each change occurs with a certain time lag. Changes in interest rates affect the savings and investment decisions of households and firms. The purpose of this article is to study the transformation of the concept of interest and the development of interest rate theories. There are used methods of critical and comparative analysis, a systematic approach to the study of information. The theoretical aspects of determining the interest rate in the development of monetary policy are systematized. The main approaches to the development of interest rate policy in the framework of monetary regulation are studied. The obtained theoretical results can be used in the formation and adjustment of monetary policy.

scholarly journals ANALISIS INTEREST RATE PASS-THROUGH PADA MEKANISME TRANSMISI KEBIJAKAN MONETER INDONESIA

2017 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 125
Author(s):  
Risna Amalia Hamzah ◽  
Handri Handri
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Commercial Banks ◽  
Money Market ◽  
Bank Loans ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Consumer Loans ◽  
Pass Through ◽  
The Interest Rate

This reseach aimed to evaluate the performance of monetary policy, toexamine and test the magnitude of the response rates on deposits and bank loans to the money market interest rate, and how fast adjustment of the interest rate of deposits and loans in response to changes in money market interest rates. The performance evaluation of the level of adjustment of interest rate pass-through is done by testing the coefficient of adjustment of the interest rate deposits and loans in response to changes in money market interest rates. The object of this reseach is reported in interest rates interbank money market (rPUAB) and bank interest rates (loans and deposits) of all commercial banks in Indonesia, the data used in the form of a row of monthly time (monthly time series) of the annual report of Bank Indonesia and SEKI ( Economic and Financial statistics Indonesia), in the period 2005-2016. The method used in this research is the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) for calculating the amount of long-term coefficients and Error Correction Model (ECM) -ARDL for calculating the amount of short-term coefficients. We find of the analysis indicate a change of monetary policy in the short term through the interest rate channel with its operational targets interest rates interbank money market (interbank) did not respond in full by the rates on deposits and loans in commercial banks in Indonesia, represented by the value of the degree of pass- through which less than 1 and there is a tendency that the longterm interest rates on loans and deposits experienced incomplete pass-through, then interest rates on consumer loans and deposits of 24 months has the speed of the slowest, which means consumer loans and deposits of 24 months in Indonesia unresponsive to changes in interbank rates. keywords: ARDL, ECM, Interest Rate pass-through, PUAB.

Impacts of monetary instruments on overnight spread under the interest rate corridor framework: evidence from China

2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Chiu-Lan Chang ◽  
Ming Fang ◽  
Bin Hong ◽  
Kung-Cheng Ho
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Policy Instruments ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Interest Rate Policy ◽  
Interest Rate Liberalization ◽  
The Interest Rate ◽  
Financing Market

PurposeTo verify the effectiveness of the monetary policy, the impacts of monetary instruments on overnight spread under the interest rate corridor (IRC) are examined. The People's Bank of China (PBC) has operated the IRC since 2014. To understand the impacts of monetary instruments on overnight spread before and after the IRC framework, the complete samples are divided into two periods.Design/methodology/approachTo model the overnight spread, an exponential GARCH (EGARCH) approach is used which can examine the interbank market interest rates for monetary policy purposes. The overnight money market plays an important role in the implementation of monetary policy.FindingsChinese interest rate liberalization and the implementation of IRC affect the overnight spread in the short-term financing market. Before the implementation of the IRC, the key factor to affect the overnight spread is mainly affected by the PBC's monetary policy control on the liquidity supply side. After the implementation of IRC, the overnight spread can be the largest part explained by the liquidity demand side and the PBC's multiple monetary instruments have significant impacts on the reduction of overnight spread.Originality/valueThe overnight spread has recently been influenced by various factors that are directly or closely related to the monetary policy instruments and the interest rate policy of the PBC. Chinese interest rate liberalization and the implementation of interest rate corridor policy affect the overnight spread in the short-term financing market.

scholarly journals Monetary Conditions Index: A Composite Measure of Monetary Policy in Pakistan

2002 ◽  
Vol 41 (4II) ◽  
pp. 551-566 ◽  
Author(s):  
Abdul Qayyum
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Open Economy ◽  
Bank Lending ◽  
Open Market ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Rate Effects ◽  
The Interest Rate

Accurate measures of the size and direction of changes in monetary policy are very important. A number of variables/indicators have been used as a measure of the stance of monetary policy the world over. These include growth rates of monetary aggregates and credit aggregates, short-term interest rate as used by Sims (1992), index of minutes of Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), as suggested by Friedman and Schwartz (1963) and reintroduced by Romer and Romer (1989), monetary policy index constructed by employing Vector Autoregression (VAR) estimation technique with prior information from Central Bank such as Bernanke and Blinder (1992) and Bernanke and Mihov (1998), and Monetary Conditions Index (MCI)—which is the focus of this paper—constructed by and used by Bank of Canada [Freedman (1995)], taking into consideration the interest rate and exchange rate channel of monetary policy transmission mechanism in a small open economy. In case of open economy it is assumed that the monetary policy affects the economy and the prime objective of monetary policy, rate of inflation, through two important transmission mechanisms. These transmission channels are; interest rate channel and exchange rate channel. The working of the first channel is that the interest rate influences the level of expenditures, investment and subsequently domestic demand. The change in official interest rate effects the market rates of interest both short term as well as long term interest rates. This change in market rates of interest is transmitted to the bank lending rates and saving rates. The change in saving rate effects the spending behaviour of individuals (consumption) whereas the change in bank lending rate effects the investment behaviour of firms (investment). The change in aggregate consumption and investment has direct link to the gross domestic product (GDP).

scholarly journals The Emergence of Forward Guidance As a Monetary Policy Tool

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 (032) ◽  
pp. 1-59
Author(s):  
Edward Nelson ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Policy Instruments ◽  
Open Market ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Factors Affecting ◽  
Interest Rate Policy ◽  
Forward Guidance ◽  
Policy Tool

Forward guidance—the issuance by a central bank of public statements concerning the likely future settings of its policy instruments—is widely regarded as a new tool of monetary policy. The analysis in this paper shows that Federal Reserve policymakers from the 1950s onward actually accepted the premises of forward guidance: the notion that longer-term interest rates are key yields in aggregate spending decisions; and the proposition that indications of intentions regarding future short-term interest rate policy can affect longer-term rates. Over the same period, they were nevertheless wary about providing forward guidance regarding short-term interest rates, fearing that this could generate untoward market reactions or lock the Federal Open Market Committee into inappropriate rate settings. They concentrated on describing future policy in terms of achievement of economic objectives, with their commentary on interest-rate prospects usually confined to consideration of the longer-term factors affecting rates. Even in these years, however, there were infrequent occasions—notably in 1974 and 1982—when policymakers provided more explicit guidance regarding the path of short-term rates. In the 1990s, a consensus developed in U.S. policy circles that was more receptive toward the notion of guiding longer-term interest rates by providing indications of future FOMC actions. This consensus developed even before concerns about the lower bound on short-term rates became prevalent in U.S. policymaking. The new mindset, which stressed the stabilizing effects on the economy of communication of policy intentions, set the stage for the emergence of forward guidance as a monetary policy tool.

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