scholarly journals Analysts’ Forecasts, the Abandonment Option and Intellectual Capital

Author(s):  
Jeffrey E. Jarrett

The abandonment option under various capital budgeting models are discussed in this manuscript to bring forth the notion that present value of cash flows is often improperly estimated in the financial models utilized in the decision analytic process. In this study, Intellectual Property Rights and other intangible assets often are not considered in accounting estimation processes utilized in financial accounting. A decision maker often utilizes misestimates of the present value of cash flow resulting in less than optimum capital budgeting decisions. Decisions to abandon for salvage and other similar decisions improve when the present value of intangibles and property rights are included in the decision process. This last statement is the goal of this study and to present well founded processes to improve abandonment and similar decisions in capital budgeting decisions. The estimation problem in financial accounting is included in the analysis to accomplish this goal.

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-6
Author(s):  
Jeffrey E Jarrett ◽  

The abandonment option under various capital budgeting models are discussed in this manuscript to bring forth the notion that present value of cash flows is often improperly estimated in the financial models utilized in the decision analytic process. In this study, intellectual property rights and other intangible assets often are often not considered in accounting estimation processes utilized in financial accounting. A decision maker often utilizes misestimates of the present value of cash flow resulting in less-than-optimum capital budgeting decisions. Decisions to abandon for salvage and other similar decisions improve when the present value of intangibles and property rights are included in the decision process. This last statement is the goal of this study as well as to present well-founded processes to improve abandonment and similar decisions in capital budgeting decisions. The estimation problem in financial accounting is included in the analysis to accomplish this goal. In addition the role of a Pandemic is emphasized


2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (11) ◽  
pp. 186-196
Author(s):  
Jeffrey Jarrett

The abandonment option under various capital budgeting models are discussed in this study to illustrate the notion that present value of cash flows is often improperly estimated in financial models utilizing decision analytics in estimation theory as it applies in financial accounting. In this study, intellectual property rights and other intangible assets which are often not considered in the accounting estimation processes utilized in financial accounting. An investor/analyst often misestimates cash flow resulting in less-than-optimum capital budgeting decisions. This is especially a problem when actions to abandon for salvage and other similar decisions improve when the present value of intangibles and property rights are included in the decision process. This last statement is the goal of this study as well as to present well-founded processes to improve abandonment and similar decisions in capital budgeting decisions. The estimation problem in financial accounting is included in the analysis to accomplish this goal.


2011 ◽  
Vol 2 (3) ◽  
pp. 71
Author(s):  
Robert J. Sweeney

Capital budgeting decisions generally involve the commitment of resources in the current period to secure positive cash flows over time that generate a rate of return in excess of the cost of the funds invested. The most common techniques used to perform this analysis are the Net Present Value (NPV) and the Internal Rate of Return (IRR).Conceptually, these two techniques are substitutable; i.e. the resulting decision from a NPV analysis is identical to the decision from an IRR analysis. In practice, however, the NPV and the IRR can, on occasion, produce conflicting decisions. Specifically, when analyzing mutually exclusive assets the Net Present Value can support one asset while the Internal Rate of Return supports the other. The purpose of this paper is twofold; first, to highlight structural deficiencies in the conventional application of the NPV and the IRR, and second, to demonstrate a procedure to correct for these structural errors.


1995 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 105-125
Author(s):  
Khursheed Omer ◽  
Andre de Korvin ◽  
Philip H. Siegel

2011 ◽  
Vol 19 (4) ◽  
Author(s):  
Stanley Martens ◽  
Thomas Berry

In February 2000, the Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) issued Statement of Financial Accounting Concepts No. 7, Using Cash Flow Information and Present Value in Accounting Measurements.  In this document the FASB asserts without proof that a present value computation along its lines will provide a good estimate of the fair value of an asset or liability.  Using numerical examples provided by the FASB, we attempt to construct arguments in support of the FASB’s claim.  We find that such arguments require strong and not at all obvious assumptions about players in hypothetical markets.


2018 ◽  
Vol 12 (6) ◽  
pp. 151
Author(s):  
Ahmad N. H. Anabtawi

This research paper aims to find the degree of the use as well as the trust of the Net Present Value (NPV), Payback Period (PBP), Internal Rate of Returns (IRR) and Accounting Rate of Returns (ARR) as a key capital budgeting method. The research conducted on the listed corporations in Palestine which are 48 company. A questionnaire distributed on 77 financial and project/operations managers in these corporations with 67 responds. The result shows that both discounted and non-discounted cash flows methods are used and trusted by Palestine public corporations. However, on the other hand, the above four methods are volatile in term of use and trust. The most used and trusted capital budgeting method is the Payback period (PBP). This followed by the Net Present Value (NPV). Accounting Rate of Retunes (ARR) becomes third. Thus the least used and trusted method is the Internal Rate of Returns (IRR). 


1981 ◽  
Vol 5 (4) ◽  
pp. 30-35 ◽  
Author(s):  
Thomas H. McInish ◽  
Ronald J. Kudla

The traditional application of the net present value method in capital budgeting involves the use of market derived discount rates such as the cost of capital. Justification of these discount rates stems from the separation principle that states that investment decisions can be made independent of shareholders' tastes and preferences. The purpose of this paper is to show that the separation principle does not hold for closely-held firms and small firms, and, accordingly, market-derived discount rates are inappropriate. Two capital budgeting techniques which are appropriate for these firms are presented. Accept/reject decisions for capital budgeting projects are often made using a technique known as “net present value” (NPV).1 Using the NPV method, acceptable projects are those for which the project's cost is less than the present value of the project's cash flows discounted at the firm's cost of capital; in other words, acceptable projects have a positive NPV. The firm's cost of capital is usually taken to be the weighted average of the firm's cost of equity and debt as measured by investor returns in the capital markets. Justification for use of a discount rate, determined by reference to market-wide investor returns, is based on “the separation principle” which asserts that corporations can make capital budgeting decisions independently of their shareholders' views.2 But because a critical assumption of the separation principle is that shares are readily marketable, it is likely that the separation principle and, hence, market-determined discount rates are inappropriate for closely-held firms and small firms.3 In this paper, we discuss two capital budgeting approaches which are applicable to firms whose shares are not readily marketable. This paper is divided into five sections. First, we discuss the traditional net present value approach to capital budgeting and, then, we indicate in detail, why it may not be suitable for use by closely-held firms and small firms. In the third and fourth sections, we explain two capital budgeting techniques which may be appropriate for use by these firms. Finally, we summarize our conclusions.


2015 ◽  
Vol 16 (5) ◽  
pp. 877-900 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wenqing Zhang ◽  
Prasad Padmanabhan ◽  
Chia-Hsing Huang

Uncertainty influences a decision maker's choices when making sequential capital investment decisions. With the possibility of extremely negative cash inflows, firms may need to curtail operations significantly. Traditional Net Present Value analysis does not allow for efficient management of these problems. In addition, firm managers may behave irrationally by accepting negative Net Present Value projects in the short term. This paper presents a Monte Carlo simulation based model to provide policy insights on how to incorporate extreme cash flows and manager irrationality scenarios into the capital budgeting process. This paper presents evidence that firms with irrational managers and experiencing extremely negative cash flows may, under certain conditions, reap long term rewards associated with the acceptance of negative Net Present Value projects in the short term. These benefits are largest if cost ratios (discount rates) are small, or investment horizons are high. We argue that acceptance of short term negative Net Present Value projects implies the purchase of a long term real option which can generate positive long term cash flows under certain conditions.


2012 ◽  
Vol 27 (1) ◽  
pp. 51-74 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ross Jennings ◽  
Ana Marques

SYNOPSIS: A proposed accounting standard issued jointly by the Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) and the International Accounting Standards Board (IASB) would require firms to recognize many more lease assets than are currently required and to amortize those assets on a straight-line basis. A number of respondents to the exposure draft argue that the “front-loading” of lease expense resulting from straight-line amortization would not reflect the economics of the lease assets. This study compares straight-line amortization with the most-often cited alternative, present value amortization. First, we illustrate by example that under stylized conditions, present value amortization provides information that more faithfully represents the future cash flows of lease assets than straight-line amortization. Second, for a large subset of firms that are more likely to conform to the stylized conditions in our example, we find that investors value those firms as though the lease assets are capitalized and amortized on a present value basis. Finally, we find that financial ratio comparability is substantially increased when operating leases are constructively capitalized and amortized using straight-line amortization, and further increased when using present value amortization. Taken together, these results provide no evidence for favoring straight-line amortization over present value amortization as the default method for amortizing capitalized operating leases. Data Availability: Data used in this paper are publicly available.


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