scholarly journals Excess and deficient summer monsoon rainfall over Orissa in relation to low pressure systems

MAUSAM ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 60 (1) ◽  
pp. 25-38
Author(s):  
M. MOHAPATRA ◽  
U. C. MOHANTY
Keyword(s):  
Bay Of Bengal ◽  
Andhra Pradesh ◽  
West Bengal ◽  
Monsoon Rainfall ◽  
Low Pressure ◽  
Summer Monsoon Rainfall ◽  
Cyclonic Storm ◽  
Normal Number ◽  
Different Characteristics ◽  
Low Pressure Systems

A study has been undertaken to find out different characteristics like frequency, intensity, movement, region of occurrence etc. of low pressure systems (LPS) including low, depression and cyclonic storm etc. developing over Orissa and neighbouring sea and land regions during excess and deficient monsoon  rainfall months (June – September) over Orissa. The study is based on data of 20 years (1980-1999). The principal objective of this study is to find out the contribution of LPS to extreme monsoon rainfall activity over Orissa.   The number of LPS days rather than frequency of formation of LPS over different regions better explain the excess and deficient rainfall over Orissa. The excess rainfall over Orissa during June is not significantly related with the number of LPS days. Significantly less than normal number of LPS days over northwest (NW) Bay of Bengal and Gangetic West Bengal (GWB) and higher number of LPS days over west central (WC) Bay off north coastal Andhra Pradesh (NCAP) cause deficient rainfall over Orissa during June. While significantly higher than normal number of LPS days over NW Bay and Orissa leads to excess rainfall during July, less than normal number of LPS days over WC Bay off NCAP is associated with excess rainfall during August. The less number of LPS days over Orissa due to less frequent movement of LPS across Orissa from the Bay of Bengal leads to deficient rainfall over Orissa during both July and August. Significantly higher/less than normal number of LPS days over NW Bay leads to excess/deficient rainfall over Orissa during September.

scholarly journals Origin and movement of cyclonic storms in the Bay of Bengal

MAUSAM ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 51 (3) ◽  
pp. 225-230
Author(s):  
A. MUTHUCHAMI
Keyword(s):  
Bay Of Bengal ◽  
Tamil Nadu ◽  
Andhra Pradesh ◽  
West Bengal ◽  
Regression Equation ◽  
Cyclonic Storm ◽  
Post Monsoon ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Cyclonic Storms

Using 1891-1997 data of cyclonic storm positions an attempt is made to study probability of a storm located at about 500 kms in the Bay from the coast to strike or threaten a given station or a given state. It is found that probable location of formation of storms affecting Tamil Nadu coast is 9.3° N / 85.0° E in the month of October and November, for the storms affecting Andhra Pradesh is around 11.5° N/87. 0° E in May and October and for the storms affecting Orissa is 16. 0° N / 89. 5° E in May and October. The storms affecting West Bengal have their origin around 14.8° N / 88. 6° E in May and 17.0° N / 88. 8° E in October. It is also found that the track of a given storm during post monsoon months (October-December) depends on the track of the earlier storm formed in the same season over Bay. Mean direction of storm over the Bay of Bengal is estimated based on the mean direction of the storm formed earlier in the Bay by a regression equation.

An investigation of the bias in the median track of Monsoon Low Pressure Systems over the Indian subcontinent in CESM1.2.2 simulations

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tresa Mary Thomas ◽  
Govindasamy Bala ◽  
Venkata Vemavarapu Srinivas
Keyword(s):  
Monsoon Rainfall ◽  
Indian Subcontinent ◽  
Low Pressure ◽  
Monsoon Trough ◽  
Tropospheric Temperature ◽  
Monsoon Period ◽  
Global Circulation Models ◽  
Extreme Precipitation Events ◽  
Latitudinal Shift ◽  
Low Pressure Systems

<p>Monsoon low pressure systems (LPS) are synoptic scale tropical disturbances that form in the Indian subcontinent over the quasi-stationary monsoon trough axis during the monsoon period (June to September). In a recent study, we showed that 60-70% of monsoon rainfall and 78% of extreme precipitation events in India are associated with LPS. Global circulation models (GCMs) have been used to understand the behavior of tropical disturbances in the past. It has been found that model resolution plays a key role in simulating the climatology of tropical storms, with finer resolution (of the order of 20-100km) required to better represent the genesis and propagation of these storms. As GCMs can be run at these finer resolutions today, various characteristics of LPS in the Indian subcontinent can be studied. It has been found that most CMIP5 GCMs show a southward latitudinal shift in the monsoon trough location and hence in the LPS tracks and associated characteristics. This shift has been attributed to a weaker simulated meridional tropospheric temperature gradient (MTG) in the models. However, the cause of weaker MTG in models is not known. In this study, we investigate the reason for the weaker MTG and hence the southward latitudinal shift of LPS tracks in the Climate Earth System Model (CESM1.2.2). A present-day control simulation is performed at 0.9°×1.25° horizontal resolution, and output is saved at 6-hourly intervals for LPS track analysis. We find that CESM is capable of simulating the general behavior of monsoon over the Indian subcontinent in terms of seasonality, propagation of monsoon rainfall, and mean monsoon winds. LPS are tracked in the CESM outputs by our recently proposed Automated Tracking Algorithm using Geopotential Criteria (ATAGC). A southward latitudinal shift is observed in the median track of LPS in CESM present-day simulations. The value of MTG is also significantly smaller compared to the observed MTG. The results from investigations on the likely causes for the weaker MTG in CESM will be presented at the meeting.</p>

Salient features of Andhra Pradesh cyclonic storm in the Bay of Bengal during September 1997

2012 ◽  
Vol 62 (2) ◽  
pp. 613-633
Author(s):  
G. R. Chinthalu ◽  
T. Dharmaraj ◽  
A. R. Dhakate ◽  
P. C. S. Devara
Keyword(s):  
Bay Of Bengal ◽  
Andhra Pradesh ◽  
Cyclonic Storm ◽  
Salient Features

Simulation of Monsoon trough and low pressure systems in CMIP6 models

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Praveen Veluthedathekuzhiyil ◽  
Ajayamohan Ravindran ◽  
Sabeerali Cherumadanakadan Thelliyil
Keyword(s):  
Climate Models ◽  
Monsoon Rainfall ◽  
Indian Monsoon ◽  
Low Pressure ◽  
Monsoon Trough ◽  
Warming Scenario ◽  
Wide Range ◽  
Future Warming ◽  
Dynamical Features ◽  
Low Pressure Systems

<p>Monsoon low pressure systems (LPS) contributes to more than half of the Indian monsoon rainfall. However most climate models fail to capture the characteristics of low pressure systems realistically. This aspect is scrutinized in a wide range of available CMIP6 model simulations using an objective LPS tracking algorithm. Broader features such as monsoon trough over which these systems forms are also analyzed. It has been found that, majority of the models fail to realistically represent these two important features. However few models that were able to capture these events in CMIP5 are able to simulate them in CMIP6 as well. We examine the dynamical features that lead to realistic simulation of LPS in these set of models. Selected good models are then used to study the characteristics of LPS in a future warming scenario. This study will help in judging the performance of models and for any future improvements.</p>

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