scholarly journals An insight into the severe floods in India during 2005, 2006 & 2007

MAUSAM ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 63 (1) ◽  
pp. 65-70
Author(s):  
M.S. TOMAR

In this paper severe flood during South West monsoon seasons of 2005, 2006 & 2007 have been identified with the related synoptic features. A total of 22 states reeled under severe floods during 2005, 2006 & 2007. In the south peninsula only Karnataka and Kerala were affected by severe floods. During 2006 & 2007 severe floods continued for a longer period and affected many states where as during 2005 severe floods affected most of the states except peninsular India but they continued for short periods comparatively.Formation of excess No’s of low pressure areas and depressions in the Bay of Bengal during July, Aug and Sept 2006, in succession , and their WNW movements upto M.P. and east Rajasthan caused severe floods in Gujarat, Maharashtra, Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, Chattisgarh, Orissa and Andhra Pradesh for a longer period i.e. from 28 July to 12 September 2006. During 2007, Shifting of monsoon trough, presence of secondary monsoon trough and trough in westerly, caused severe floods in most of the North eastern states from 12 July to 10 October 2007.

2017 ◽  
Vol 57 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Lili Zách

ABSTRACTIn the aftermath of the Great War, the birth of new independent small states in East-Central Europe was closely followed in Irish nationalist circles due to the possibility of Partition in Ireland. Newspaper editorials, journal articles and diplomatic accounts illustrate that post-war Ireland had an open attitude toward the settlement of borders on the Continent as the dissolution of the Austro-Hungarian Empire was similarly controversial. This paper aims to investigate how contemporary Irish commentators perceived the question of boundary settlements in Central Europe in order to provide an insight into the transformation of political space in both Ireland and Central Europe. After providing a brief background to the Irish boundary question, this paper touches upon the most important points in historiography with regard to border settlements in the post-World War I era.. It also discusses Irish Partition history in detail, concentrating on the North-Eastern Boundary Bureau (NEBB) and the Boundary Commission, and the importance of Central European precedents in their work. Moreover, this paper also proposes to provide an insight into the Irish interest in the minority problem in European borderland regions after 1925 in order to illustrate the outward-looking attitude to Irish nationalists, even in relation to borders and minorities.


Seismologists have often noted the appearance of pronounced microseisms in seismic records when the weather has been disturbed over a neighbouring sea. For instance, the late Dr. KLOTZ suggested a relationship between disturbed weather in the north Atlantic and the largest microseismic movements at Ottawa. Dr. HARRISON, writing in ' Nature,’ November 1, 1924, in continuation of a note* by the present writer, pointed out that well-marked microseisms in the Omori charts at Calcutta invariably confirmed other evidence in the case of the early stages of dangerous cyclones, and were sometimes noticed when the storm centre was so much as 1000 miles south of Calcutta. He did not, however, recall any instance in which microseisms were associated with ordinary rough weather or with an advance of the monsoon. On the other hand, “ investigation at Eskdalemuir of the possible connection between microseismical amplitude and the state of the sea at different points of the British coasts have yielded results of an inconclusive kind. For example, the correlation between the state of the sea and the Microseismic movements of a type, which were quite characteristic of the south-west monsoon period, made their first appearance in the seismograms generally in May with the advance of the monsoon in the south-east Arabian Sea, becoming more and more pronounced as the monsoon currents approached Bombay. They became less marked or disappeared during a temporary break in the monsoon and reappeared with the strengthening of the currents. They were more or less steady vibrations having periods ranging from 4 to 10 seconds.


Rusin ◽  
2020 ◽  
pp. 111-131
Author(s):  
I. Szakál ◽  

The autumn of 1918 brought the end of WWI. ended. The Austro-Hungarian Empire collapsed, the Aster Revolution ran its course in Hungary, Archduke Joseph appointed Count Károlyi Mihály, head of the Hungarian National Council the Prime Minister. The government of the Hungarian People’s Republic, led by M. Karoya, had its own ideas on the prospects of the north-eastern counties of Hungary. The Károlyi government entrusted Oszkár Jászi, a minister without portfolio, a well-known social scientist, an expert in ethnic issues to elaborate the Hungarian nationalities’ autonomy. On December 21, 1918, the People’s Law Nr. X was adopted. It provided for the creation of Ruszka Krajna autonomous region on the territory of Ung, Bereg, Ugocsa and Máramaros (Maramureș) counties inhabited by the Rusins. Historians are aware of the attempt of the Hungarian People’s Republic to create Rusinian autonomy in the late 1918 and early 1919. However, there are archival documents that can help to supplement our previous knowledge of the issue, providing an insight into the circumstances of the creation of Ruszka Krajna and how real the chances of autonomy were. The article attempts to reveal the plans of the Hungarian government regarding the Rusins in 1918–1919, to derscribe the activities of the Ministry of Ruszka Krajna and the Governor’s Office, and to specify the political and social circumstances that influenced these events. In the course of the research, the author first studied the little-known documents of of Ruszka Krajna in Munkács, the Greek Catholic Diocese of Munkács, and the Rusinian People’s Council of Hungary.


MAUSAM ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 62 (2) ◽  
pp. 179-196
Author(s):  
D.S. PAI ◽  
O.P. SREEJITH ◽  
S.G. NARGUND ◽  
MADHURI MUSALE ◽  
AJIT TYAGI

At present, India Meteorological Department (IMD) issues various monthly and seasonal operational forecasts for the south-west monsoon season using models based on latest statistical techniques with useful skill. Operational models are reviewed regularly and improved through in house research activities. For the forecasting of the south-west monsoon season (June – September) rainfall over the country as a whole, a newly introduced statistical ensemble forecasting system is used. In addition, models have been developed for the forecast of the monsoon season rainfall over four geographical regions (NW India, NE India, Central India and South Peninsula) of the country and forecast for the rainfall over the second half of the monsoon season over the country as a whole. Models have also been developed for issuing operational forecast for the monthly rainfall for the months of July, August & September over the country as a whole. Operational forecasts issued by IMD for 2010 south-west monsoon rainfall have been discussed and verified. In addition, the experimental forecasts for the season rainfall over the country as a whole based on bothstatistical and dynamical models received from various climate research institutes within the country other than IMD arealso discussed. The operational monthly and seasonal long range forecasts issued for the 2010 southwest monsoon season for the country as a whole were accurate. However, forecasts for the season rainfall over the 4 geographical regions (Northwest India, Central India, Northeast India and south Peninsular India) were not accurate as the forecast for South Peninsular India overestimated the actual rainfall and that for northeast India underestimated the actual rainfall. The experimental forecasts for the season rainfall over the country as whole from various climate research institutes within the country showed large variance (91 % - 112% of LPA).


2018 ◽  
Vol 7 (3.12) ◽  
pp. 729
Author(s):  
S Surianarayanan ◽  
S Jaya kumar ◽  
S Jeyaprakash

In the recent trend of changing environment, the rainfall and the inflow to the reservoir are getting reduced year by year respectively in agricultural field and in river basins. In this paper the dependable inflow into the reservoir and the rainfall in the command area is estimated with the past 30 years data. The statistical methods and formulae (Variance, Mann- Kendall method) are used to determine the dependable inflow and rainfall for both the monsoons. It is found that the inflow is not dependable for South –West monsoon, to do the agriculture, for a normal crop, with medium water requirement.. For the North - East monsoon both the inflow and rainfall are dependable hence the agriculture can be carried out with a single crop (paddy) having more water requirement (or) possible multi-crops, according to the storage in the reservoir and prediction of rainfall in that season. The deductions for other requirements of the dam, losses for evaporation, conveyance etc has been taken into account. The case study is done with the data for 30 years (1982-2012)for a dam in Tamil Nadu, India. 


MAUSAM ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 71 (4) ◽  
pp. 625-636
Author(s):  
BASAK PIJUSH

The aim of the study is to understand trend or non-linearity along with a chaotic behaviour, if any, of Eastern and North Eastern sub-divisional rainfall, namely Orissa, Gangetic West Bengal, Sub Himalayan West Bengal, Assam and Meghalaya and also Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram and Tripura based on rainfall data of 143 years (1871-2013). The analysis is performed for examining behaviour of rainfall in each of the seasons, namely, Pre monsoon, South West monsoon, North East monsoon and also Annual rainfall extracted from the monthly data. For that purpose, a trend analysis with Hurst Exponent and non-linearity analysis with Lyapunov Exponent are employed. The analysis revealed that rainfall of Orissa is persistent for all the seasons whilst the rainfall is persistent in Gangetic West Bengal in Pre monsoon and North East monsoon and Assam and Meghalaya along with Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram and Tripura exhibit persistent behaviour in South West Monsoon and annually. Sub Himalayan West Bengal exhibit persistence in annual rainfall only. Chaotic tendency in low magnitude is located in many cases whilst non-chaotic situation has occurred when the persistence is found, mainly in pre-monsoon season. Moreover, the analysis of Hurst and Lyapunov Exponent revealed to identify two groups of sub-divisions with exactly similar region of every respect. Those two groups contain (i) sub-divisions Orissa and Assam and Meghalaya and also (ii) sub-divisions Sub Himalayan West Bengal and Nagaland, Mizoram, Manipur and Tripura although those are at distances of hundreds of kilometers away. The behaviour of those subdivisions in a group has similar behaviour in all respects.


2016 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 567-576 ◽  
Author(s):  
S Thangamani ◽  
A Raviraj

The present study attempted to find out the relation between rainfall variability, trend and distribution in Dindigul district of Amaravathi basin for groundwater management. A detailed analysis of monthly, seasonal and spatial variation of rainfall (1971-2014) for the study area had carried out. The normal annual rainfall of the district varies from 700 to 1600 mm. The north east monsoon contributed the maximum rainfall of 439mm (50%), followed by South-west monsoon which contributed 254 mm (29%), summer which contributed 147 mm (16.8%) and winter contributed the minimum rainfall of 26.8 mm (2.8%).A high value of CV had observed in all the stations, which indicate the greater rainfall variability, and more chances of occurrence of drought. Higher variability of coefficient of variation was observed in central part of the district.Theresult of MMK z-test at 1% level indicates that the majority of stations showed non-significant trend in annual, summer and monsoon season of rainfall. Out of the 13 stations studied in the district, annual rainfall of only one station (Kuthiraiyar) showed significant decreasing trend in annual rainfall (-3.05 mm/year) and five stations recorded the significant decreasing trend in rainy days during southwest monsoon. Chatrapatti and Natham stations recorded the significant increasing trend during north east monsoon and Virupatchi station recorded the decreasing trend.


1942 ◽  
Vol 21 (8) ◽  
pp. 315
Author(s):  
Bowen ◽  
Vickery ◽  
Buchanan ◽  
Swallow ◽  
Perks ◽  
...  

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 60-69 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pijush Basak

The South West Monsoon rainfall data of the meteorological subdivision number 6 of India enclosing Gangetic West Bengal is shown to be decomposable into eight empirical time series, namely Intrinsic Mode Functions. This leads one to identify the first empirical mode as a nonlinear part and the remaining modes as the linear part of the data. The nonlinear part is modeled with the technique Neural Network based Generalized Regression Neural Network model technique whereas the linear part is sensibly modeled through simple regression method. The different Intrinsic modes as verified are well connected with relevant atmospheric features, namely, El Nino, Quasi-biennial Oscillation, Sunspot cycle and others. It is observed that the proposed model explains around 75% of inter annual variability (IAV) of the rainfall series of Gangetic West Bengal. The model is efficient in statistical forecasting of South West Monsoon rainfall in the region as verified from independent part of the real data. The statistical forecasts of SWM rainfall for GWB for the years 2012 and 2013 are108.71 cm and 126.21 cm respectively, where as corresponding to the actual rainfall of 93.19 cm 115.20 cm respectively which are within one standard deviation of mean rainfall.


Author(s):  
Sergey B. Kuklev ◽  
Vladimir A. Silkin ◽  
Valeriy K. Chasovnikov ◽  
Andrey G. Zatsepin ◽  
Larisa A. Pautova ◽  
...  

On June 7, 2018, a sub-mesoscale anticyclonic eddy induced by the wind (north-east) was registered on the shelf in the area of the city of Gelendzhik. With the help of field multidisciplinary expedition ship surveys, it was shown that this eddy exists in the layer above the seasonal thermocline. At the periphery of the eddy weak variability of hydrochemical parameters and quantitative indicators of phytoplankton were recorded. The result of the formation of such eddy structure was a shift in the structure of phytoplankton – the annual observed coccolithophores bloom was not registered.


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