scholarly journals Spatio-temporal modeling of surface runoff in ungauged sub-catchments of Subarnarekha river basin using SWAT

MAUSAM ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 72 (3) ◽  
pp. 597-606
Author(s):  
CHINMAYA PANDA ◽  
DWARIKA MOHAN DAS ◽  
B. C. SAHOO ◽  
B. PANIGRAHI ◽  
K. K. SINGH
Keyword(s):  
Surface Runoff ◽  
Assessment Tool ◽  
Nutrient Loss ◽  
Coefficient Of Determination ◽  
Annual Rainfall ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Runoff Generation ◽  
Temporal Modeling ◽  
Spatio Temporal ◽  
R Factors

In this present study, Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) embedded with ArcGIS interface has been used to simulate the surface runoff from the un-gauged sub-catchments in the upper catchment of Subarnarekha basin. Model calibration and validation were performed with the help of Sequential Uncertainty Fitting (SUFI-2) in-built in the SWAT-CUP package (SWAT Calibration Uncertainty Programs). The model was calibrated for a period from 1996 to 2008 with 3 years warm up period (1996-1998) and validated for a period of 5 years from 2009 to 2013. The model evaluation was performed by Nash - Sutcliffe coefficient (NSE), Coefficient of determination (R2) and Percentage Bias (PBIAS). The degree of uncertainty was evaluated by P and R factors. Basing upon the R2, NSE and PBIAS values respectively, of the order of 0.90, 0.90 and -12%, during calibration and 0.85, 0.83 and -15% during validation, substantiate performance of the model. All uncertainties of model parameters have been well taken by the P and R factors respectively, of the order of 0.95 and 0.77 during calibration and 0.82 and 0.87 during validation. The runoff generation from 19 sub-catchments of Adityapur catchment varies from 29.2-44.1% of the annual rainfall and average surface runoff simulated for the entire catchment is 545 mm. As the surface runoff generated in most of the sub-catchments amounts to above 30% of rainfall, it is recommended for adequate number of structural interventions at appropriate locations in the catchment to store the rainfall excess for providing irrigation, recharging groundwater and restricting the sediment and nutrient loss.

scholarly journals Modelling monthly runoff generation processes following land use changes: groundwater–surface runoff interactions

2004 ◽  
Vol 8 (5) ◽  
pp. 903-922 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Bari ◽  
K. R. J. Smettem
Keyword(s):  
Land Use ◽  
Water Balance ◽  
Surface Runoff ◽  
Land Use Changes ◽  
Annual Rainfall ◽  
Rainfall Runoff ◽  
Runoff Generation ◽  
Mean Annual Rainfall ◽  
Monthly Runoff ◽  
Stream Bed

Abstract. A conceptual water balance model is presented to represent changes in monthly water balance following land use changes. Monthly rainfall–runoff, groundwater and soil moisture data from four experimental catchments in Western Australia have been analysed. Two of these catchments, "Ernies" (control, fully forested) and "Lemon" (54% cleared) are in a zone of mean annual rainfall of 725 mm, while "Salmon" (control, fully forested) and "Wights" (100% cleared) are in a zone with mean annual rainfall of 1125 mm. At the Salmon forested control catchment, streamflow comprises surface runoff, base flow and interflow components. In the Wights catchment, cleared of native forest for pasture development, all three components increased, groundwater levels rose significantly and stream zone saturated area increased from 1% to 15% of the catchment area. It took seven years after clearing for the rainfall–runoff generation process to stabilise in 1984. At the Ernies forested control catchment, the permanent groundwater system is 20 m below the stream bed and so does not contribute to streamflow. Following partial clearing of forest in the Lemon catchment, groundwater rose steadily and reached the stream bed by 1987. The streamflow increased in two phases: (i) immediately after clearing due to reduced evapotranspiration, and (ii) through an increase in the groundwater-induced stream zone saturated area after 1987. After analysing all the data available, a conceptual monthly model was created, comprising four inter-connecting stores: (i) an upper zone unsaturated store, (ii) a transient stream zone store, (ii) a lower zone unsaturated store and (iv) a saturated groundwater store. Data such as rooting depth, Leaf Area Index, soil porosity, profile thickness, depth to groundwater, stream length and surface slope were incorporated into the model as a priori defined attributes. The catchment average values for different stores were determined through matching observed and predicted monthly hydrographs. The observed and predicted monthly runoff for all catchments matched well with coefficients of determination (R2) ranging from 0.68 to 0.87. Predictions were relatively poor for: (i) the Ernies catchment (lowest rainfall, forested), and (ii) months with very high flows. Overall, the predicted mean annual streamflow was within ±8% of the observed values. Keywords: monthly streamflow, land use change, conceptual model, data-based approach, groundwater

Evaluation of allergic response using dynamic thermography

2015 ◽  
Vol 23 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
E. Rokita ◽  
T. Rok ◽  
G. Tatoń
Keyword(s):  
Allergic Reaction ◽  
Skin Prick Test ◽  
High Sensitivity ◽  
Allergic Response ◽  
Coefficient Of Determination ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Prick Test ◽  
Skin Reactivity ◽  
Heated Area ◽  
Spatio Temporal

AbstractSkin dynamic termography supplemented by a mathematical model is presented as an objective and sensitive indicator of the skin prick test result. Termographic measurements were performed simultaneously with routine skin prick tests. The IR images were acquired every 70 s up to 910 s after skin prick. In the model histamine is treated as the principal mediator of the allergic reaction. Histamine produces vasolidation and the engorged vessels are responsible for an increase in skin temperature. The model parameters were determined by fitting the analytical solutions to the spatio-temporal distributions of the differences between measured and baseline temperatures. The model reproduces experimental data very well (coefficient of determination = 0.805÷0.995). The method offers a set of parameters to describe separately skin allergic reaction and skin reactivity. The release of histamine after allergen injection is the best indicator of allergic response. The diagnostic parameter better correlates with the standard evaluation of a skin prick test (correlation coefficient = 0.98) than the result of the thermographic planimetric method based on temperature and heated area determination (0.81). The high sensitivity of the method allows for determination of the allergic response in patients with the reduced skin reactivity.

scholarly journals Estimation of Surface Runoff to Bahr AL-Najaf

2021 ◽  
Vol 27 (9) ◽  
pp. 51-63
Author(s):  
Ataa Ali Farhan ◽  
Basim Sh. Abed
Keyword(s):  
Surface Runoff ◽  
Assessment Tool ◽  
Curve Number ◽  
Coefficient Of Determination ◽  
Flow Conditions ◽  
City Center ◽  
P Factor ◽  
Sensitive Parameters ◽  
The City ◽  
Water Assessment

The estimation of the amounts of Surface runoff resulting from rainfall in the water basins is of great importance in water resources management. The study area (Bahr Al-Najaf) is located on the western edge of the plateau and the southwestern part of the city center of Najaf, with an area of 2729.4 (km2). The soil and water assessment tool (SWAT) with ArcGIS software was used to simulate the runoff coming from the three main valleys (Kharr (A and B)), Shoaib Al-Rahimawi, and Maleh), that contribute the flow to the study area. The results of the model showed that the SWAT software was successfully simulating the flow conditions based on the coefficient of determination (R2), the Nash coefficient (NSE), P-factor, and R-factor for calibration (validation)  ranged between 0.59-0.62 (0.51-0.59), 0.59-0.66 (0,.60-0.62), 0.57-0.76 (0.62-0.76), and 0.58-0.74 (0.55-0.70) respectively for these valleys. Moreover, the sensitivity results revealed that the most sensitive parameters in (SWAT-CUP) SWAT calibration and uncertainty programs are the curve number (CN2) for the runoff, soil available water capacity (SOL_AWC), and Saturated hydraulic conductivity (Soil_k), according to the calibration results for the main three valleys related the study area. Three hypothesis scenarios were implemented according to the assumed amount of precipitation that would submit a water level of 16,18, and 22 (m.a.m.s.l.) which would result in filling with the bounded lake, the whole study area, and exceeding the boundaries to flood part of the ancient Najaf City.

scholarly journals Spatio-temporal modelling of the duration of the cotton cycle in the State Of Goiás, Brazil

2011 ◽  
Vol 31 (4) ◽  
pp. 652-662
Author(s):  
Jorge C. dos A. Antonini ◽  
Euzebio M. da Silva ◽  
Nori P. Griebeler ◽  
Edson E. Sano
Keyword(s):  
Pearson Correlation ◽  
The State ◽  
Coefficient Of Determination ◽  
Maximum Temperature ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Crop Fields ◽  
Time Space ◽  
Spatio Temporal ◽  
Temperature Records ◽  
Comparative Results

The objective of this work was to develop and validate a mathematical model to estimate the duration of cotton (Gossypium hirsutum L. r. latifolium hutch) cycle in the State of Goiás, Brazil, by applying the method of growing degree-days (GD), and considering, simultaneously, its time-space variation. The model was developed as a linear combination of elevation, latitude, longitude, and Fourier series of time variation. The model parameters were adjusted by using multiple-linear regression to the observed GD accumulated with air temperature in the range of 15°C to 40°C. The minimum and maximum temperature records used to calculate the GD were obtained from 21 meteorological stations, considering data varying from 8 to 20 years of observation. The coefficient of determination, resulting from the comparison between the estimated and calculated GD along the year was 0.84. Model validation was done by comparing estimated and measured crop cycle in the period from cotton germination to the stage when 90 percent of bolls were opened in commercial crop fields. Comparative results showed that the model performed very well, as indicated by the Pearson correlation coefficient of 0.90 and Willmott agreement index of 0.94, resulting in a performance index of 0.85.

scholarly journals Hydrological modeling of Upper Ribb watershed, Abbay Basin, Ethiopia.

2020 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Surface Runoff ◽  
Hydrological Modeling ◽  
Assessment Tool ◽  
Swat Model ◽  
Simulated Data ◽  
Coefficient Of Determination ◽  
Climate Data ◽  
Water Balance Components ◽  
Discharge Data ◽  
Forested Areas

<p>Hydrological modeling of a watershed is necessary for water resources planning and management. The hydrology of upper Ribb watershed has been analyzed using spatially semi-distributed Soil and water assessment tool (SWAT) model. This study aimed to determine the water balance components and its relation with the rainfall which reaches to the surface of the earth. Different spatio-temporal (land use, soil, digital elevation model, climate data, river discharge) data were used for hydrological modelling of Upper Ribb watershed. The applicability of SWAT model in Upper Ribb watershed has been evaluated using coefficient of determination (R2) and Nash Sutcliff efficiency (NSE) parameters. The calibration results revealed the observed data showed a very good agreement with the simulated data with the R2 and NSE values of 0.90 and 0.84 respectively. Similarly, the validation results of streamflow were acceptable with the R2 and NSE values of 0.80 and 0.82 respectively. The monthly average streamflow from Upper Ribb watershed were found 13.39 m3/s. The major portion of the rainfall contributes to the surface runoff due to the major percentage of the watershed is covered with agricultural lands. The groundwater flow was high in forested areas, while evapotranspiration was found very high in water bodies (Ribb reservoir). In this study area the rainfall showed a direct relationship with the streamflow. The ratio of streamflow and evapotranspiration with rainfall was 0.61 and 0.36 respectively. Due to the presence of high amount of surface runoff and evapotranspiration the deep recharge which contributes to the ground water is not that much significant.</p>

scholarly journals Importance of Detailed Soil Information for Hydrological Modelling in an Urbanized Environment

Hydrology ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 7 (2) ◽  
pp. 34
Author(s):  
Johan van Tol ◽  
George van Zijl ◽  
Stefan Julich
Keyword(s):  
South Africa ◽  
Surface Runoff ◽  
Assessment Tool ◽  
Hydrological Modelling ◽  
Soil Types ◽  
Generation Process ◽  
Runoff Generation ◽  
Hydrologic Simulation ◽  
Entire Study ◽  
Soil Information

Soil information is critical in watershed-scale hydrological modelling; however, it is still debated which level of complexity the soil data should contain. In the present study, we have compared the effect of two levels of soil data on the hydrologic simulation of a mesoscale, urbanised watershed (630 km2) in central South Africa. The first level of soil data, land type (LT) data, is currently the best, readily available soil information that covers the whole of South Africa. In the LT database, the entire study area is covered by only two soil types. The second level of soil data (DSM) was created by means of digital soil mapping based on hydropedological principles. It resulted in six different soil types with different hydrological behaviour (e.g., interflow, recharge, responsive). The two levels of soil data were each included in the revised version of the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT+). To compare the effects of different complexity of soil information on the simulated water balance, the outputs of the uncalibrated models were compared to the three nested gauging stations of the watershed. For the LT scenario, the simulation efficiencies calculated with the Kling–Gupta efficiency (KGE) for the three nested gauging stations (640 km2, 550 km2, 54 km2) of 0, 0.33 and −0.23 were achieved, respectively. Under the DSM scenario, KGE increased to 0.28, 0.44 and 0.43 indicating an immediate improvement of the simulation by integrating soil data with detailed information on hydrological behaviour. In the LT scenario, actual evapotranspiration (aET) was clearly underestimated compared to MODIS-derived aET, while surface runoff was overestimated. The DSM scenario resulted in higher simulated aET compared to LT and lower surface runoff. The higher simulation efficiency of DSM in the smaller headwater catchments can be attributed to the inclusion of the interflow soil type, which covers the governing runoff generation process better than the LT scenario. Our results indicate that simulations benefit from more detailed soil information, especially in smaller areas where fewer runoff generation processes dominate.

scholarly journals Contributions of Human Activities and Climatic Variability to Changes in River Rwizi Flows in Uganda, East Africa

Hydrology ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (4) ◽  
pp. 145
Author(s):  
Charles Onyutha ◽  
Resty Nyesigire ◽  
Anne Nakagiri
Keyword(s):  
Climate Variability ◽  
Human Activities ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
River Flow ◽  
Assessment Tool ◽  
Climatic Variability ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Catchment Management ◽  
Runoff Generation ◽  
Flow Changes

This study employed Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) to analyze the impacts of climate variability and human activities on River Rwizi flows. Changes in land use and land cover (LULC) types from 1997 to 2019 were characterized using remotely sensed images retrieved from Landsat ETM/TM satellites. SWAT was calibrated and validated over the periods 2002–2008 and 2009–2013, respectively. Correlation between rainfall and river flow was analyzed. By keeping the optimal values of model parameters fixed while varying the LULC maps, differences in the modeled flows were taken to reflect the impacts of LULC changes on rainfall–runoff generation. Impacts due to human activities included contributions from changes in LULC types and the rates of water abstracted from the river as a percentage of the observed flow. Climate variability was considered in terms of changes in climatic variables such as rainfall and evapotranspiration, among others. Variability of rainfall was analyzed with respect to changes in large-scale ocean-atmosphere conditions. From 2000 to 2014, the portion of River Rwizi catchment area covered by cropland increased from 23.0% to 51.6%, grassland reduced from 63.3% to 37.8%, and wetland decreased from 8.1% to 4.7%. Nash–Sutcliffe Efficiency values for calibration and validation were 0.60 and 0.71, respectively. Contributions of human activities to monthly river flow changes varied from 2.3% to 23.5%. Impacts of human activities on the river flow were on average found to be larger during the dry (14.7%) than wet (5.8%) season. Using rainfall, 20.9% of the total river flow variance was explained. However, climate variability contributed 73% of the river flow changes. Rainfall was positively and negatively correlated with Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) and Niño 3, respectively. The largest percentages of the total rainfall variance explained by IOD and Niño 3 were 12.7% and 9.8%, respectively. The magnitude of the correlation between rainfall and IOD decreased with increasing lag in time. These findings are relevant for developing River Rwizi catchment management plans.

scholarly journals Modeling Population Spatial-Temporal Distribution Using Taxis Origin and Destination Data

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (7) ◽  
pp. 3727
Author(s):  
Fatema Rahimi ◽  
Abolghasem Sadeghi-Niaraki ◽  
Mostafa Ghodousi ◽  
Soo-Mi Choi
Keyword(s):  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Mean Squared Error ◽  
Population Distribution ◽  
Temporal Distribution ◽  
Coefficient Of Determination ◽  
Temporal Modeling ◽  
Location Data ◽  
Time Period ◽  
Proposed Model

During dangerous circumstances, knowledge about population distribution is essential for urban infrastructure architecture, policy-making, and urban planning with the best Spatial-temporal resolution. The spatial-temporal modeling of the population distribution of the case study was investigated in the present study. In this regard, the number of generated trips and absorbed trips using the taxis pick-up and drop-off location data was calculated first, and the census population was then allocated to each neighborhood. Finally, the Spatial-temporal distribution of the population was calculated using the developed model. In order to evaluate the model, a regression analysis between the census population and the predicted population for the time period between 21:00 to 23:00 was used. Based on the calculation of the number of generated and the absorbed trips, it showed a different spatial distribution for different hours in one day. The spatial pattern of the population distribution during the day was different from the population distribution during the night. The coefficient of determination of the regression analysis for the model (R2) was 0.9998, and the mean squared error was 10.78. The regression analysis showed that the model works well for the nighttime population at the neighborhood level, so the proposed model will be suitable for the day time population.

scholarly journals Pyramidal Framework: Guidance for the Next Generation of GIS Spatial-Temporal Models

2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (3) ◽  
pp. 188
Author(s):  
Cyril Carré ◽  
Younes Hamdani
Keyword(s):  
Conceptual Models ◽  
Future Generations ◽  
Temporal Data ◽  
Temporal Modeling ◽  
Temporal Models ◽  
Gis Data ◽  
Spatio Temporal ◽  
New Interpretation ◽  
Conventional Literature

Over the last decade, innovative computer technologies and the multiplication of geospatial data acquisition solutions have transformed the geographic information systems (GIS) landscape and opened up new opportunities to close the gap between GIS and the dynamics of geographic phenomena. There is a demand to further develop spatio-temporal conceptual models to comprehensively represent the nature of the evolution of geographic objects. The latter involves a set of considerations like those related to managing changes and object identities, modeling possible causal relations, and integrating multiple interpretations. While conventional literature generally presents these concepts separately and rarely approaches them from a holistic perspective, they are in fact interrelated. Therefore, we believe that the semantics of modeling would be improved by considering these concepts jointly. In this work, we propose to represent these interrelationships in the form of a hierarchical pyramidal framework and to further explore this set of concepts. The objective of this framework is to provide a guideline to orient the design of future generations of GIS data models, enabling them to achieve a better representation of available spatio-temporal data. In addition, this framework aims at providing keys for a new interpretation and classification of spatio-temporal conceptual models. This work can be beneficial for researchers, students, and developers interested in advanced spatio-temporal modeling.

A Review on SWAT Model for Stream Flow Simulation

2013 ◽  
Vol 726-731 ◽  
pp. 3792-3798
Author(s):  
Wen Ju Zhao ◽  
Wei Sun ◽  
Zong Li Li ◽  
Yan Wei Fan ◽  
Jian Shu Song ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Spatial Data ◽  
Stream Flow ◽  
Assessment Tool ◽  
Swat Model ◽  
Flow Simulation ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Distributed Hydrological Model ◽  
Rs And Gis ◽  
Model Research ◽  
Gis And Rs

SWAT (Soil and Water Assessment Tool) model is one of distributed hydrological model, based on spatial data offered by GIS and RS. This article mainly introduces the SWAT model principle, structure, and it is the application of stream flow simulation in China and other countries, then points out the deficiency existing in the process of model research. In order to service in water resources management work better, experts and scholars further research the rate constant and uncertainty of the simplification of the model parameters, and the combination of RS and GIS to use, and hydrological scale problems.

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