scholarly journals Re: “Revised isoseismal maps for the 1956 Bay of Plenty and 1987 Edgecumbe, New Zealand, earthquakes – implications for seismic hazard and risk” by David Dowrick, Bulletin, Vol 40, No. 4, December 2007.

Author(s):  
G. W. Butcher ◽  
A. L. Andrews
2020 ◽  
Vol 36 (1_suppl) ◽  
pp. 210-225
Author(s):  
Elizabeth Abbott ◽  
Nick Horspool ◽  
Matt Gerstenberger ◽  
Rand Huso ◽  
Chris Van Houtte ◽  
...  

The corrected 2010 New Zealand National Seismic Hazard Model has been adapted for use in the Global Earthquake Model’s OpenQuake engine through an extensive benchmarking exercise with GNS Science’s legacy Fortran code. Resolution of differences between the legacy code and OpenQuake result in hazard curve output comparisons with discrepancies of less than 3% nationally and remaining discrepancies highlight challenges faced when moving away from in-house legacy code. OpenQuake’s multiple and varied computation options for both hazard and risk and OpenQuake’s consistent, software-friendly output formats allow for exploration and development of innovative approaches to future seismic hazard and risk modeling in New Zealand. The end-to-end seismic hazard-to-risk capabilities already enabled by the inclusion of New Zealand seismic hazard, vulnerability, and building exposure models in OpenQuake have already had significant impact on post-disaster response to the 2016 Kaikōura earthquake.


Author(s):  
David J. Dowrick

The Modified Mercalli intensities of the 1956 Mw 6.3 Bay of Plenty and 1987 Mw 6.5 Edgecumbe earthquakes have recently been reviewed and about one-third of them were found to be erroneous. The resulting revisions to their isoseismal maps are substantial, and both new maps now show the strong influence of the high attenuation in the Taupo Volcanic Zone (TVZ). An analysis of the causes of the errors in the intensities is given. The new maps will help improve the modelling of attenuation in the TVZ, and will contribute to improvements in assessments of seismic hazard and risk in that region. An important implication is that the mean damage ratios estimated from studies of damage costs in the Edgecumbe earthquake by Dowrick and Rhoades are likely to be erroneously low, and need to be reviewed.


2017 ◽  
Vol 33 (2) ◽  
pp. 481-498 ◽  
Author(s):  
Julian J. Bommer ◽  
Peter J. Stafford ◽  
Benjamin Edwards ◽  
Bernard Dost ◽  
Ewoud van Dedem ◽  
...  

The potential for building damage and personal injury due to induced earthquakes in the Groningen gas field is being modeled in order to inform risk management decisions. To facilitate the quantitative estimation of the induced seismic hazard and risk, a ground motion prediction model has been developed for response spectral accelerations and duration due to these earthquakes that originate within the reservoir at 3 km depth. The model is consistent with the motions recorded from small-magnitude events and captures the epistemic uncertainty associated with extrapolation to larger magnitudes. In order to reflect the conditions in the field, the model first predicts accelerations at a rock horizon some 800 m below the surface and then convolves these motions with frequency-dependent nonlinear amplification factors assigned to zones across the study area. The variability of the ground motions is modeled in all of its constituent parts at the rock and surface levels.


2016 ◽  
Vol 87 (6) ◽  
pp. 1311-1318 ◽  
Author(s):  
Matthew C. Gerstenberger ◽  
David A. Rhoades ◽  
Graeme H. McVerry

Author(s):  
Mark Stirling ◽  
Matthew Gerstenberger ◽  
Nicola Litchfield ◽  
Graeme McVerry ◽  
Warwick Smith ◽  
...  

We present a new probabilistic seismic hazard model for the Canterbury region, the model superseding the earlier model of Stirling et al. (1999, 2001). The updated model incorporates new onshore and offshore fault data, new seismicity data, new methods for the earthquake source parameterisation of both datasets, and new methods for estimation of the expected levels of Modified Mercalli Intensity (MMI) across the region. While the overall regional pattern of estimated hazard has not changed since the earlier seismic hazard model, there have been slight reductions in hazard in some areas (western Canterbury Plains and eastern Southern Alps), coupled with significant increases in hazard in one area (immediately northeast of Kaikoura). The changes to estimated acceleration for the new versus older model serve to show the extent that major changes to a multidisciplinary source model may impact the final estimates of hazard, while the new MMI estimates show the added impact of a new methodology for calculating MMI hazard.


2017 ◽  
Vol 96 (5) ◽  
pp. s39-s46 ◽  
Author(s):  
Clemens A. Visser ◽  
Jose L. Solano Viota

AbstractThe assessment of the seismic hazard and risk associated with the extraction of gas from the Groningen field involves a chain of modelling efforts. The first step is a description of the 3D distribution of reservoir properties in the reservoir – the static reservoir model – and is the subject of this paper. Consecutive steps in the chain of models are described elsewhere in this volume. The construction of a static reservoir model is not strictly a scientific endeavour, but many of the applied modelling techniques are underpinned by extensive scientific research. This paper aims to give a general introduction to the approach followed by NAM to build static models for the Groningen field. More detailed accounts of the applied modelling techniques, the assessment of associated uncertainties or the usage of multiple modelling scenarios are beyond the scope of the current paper, but are referenced in the text.


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