scholarly journals The Impact of Dividend Payment on Market’s Expectation after the Global Crisis

2015 ◽  
Vol 8 (11) ◽  
pp. 68
Author(s):  
Thanh Thai Nguyen ◽  
Tristan Nguyen

<p>This paper examines if there is any change in investors’ behavior toward dividend payout policy of the US corporations after the breakout of the global financial crisis in 2007-2008. In order to do so, dividend signaling theory is adopted as the main theme where we build econometrical models describing the influence of dividend payment on market’s expectation. Unlike most of the previous studies which use either price-dividend or dividend-earnings type tests to provide empirical evidence for the signaling theory, this paper attempts to perform a new type of test called present value of growth options (PVGO)-dividend type test. It is inspired by the recent development of real options as an investment valuation tool. This paper is in our opinion the very first to examine the implications of the signalling models in the context of the relation between dividend and PVGO using real options technique. Our result shows that in the market flooded with information like the US financial market, dividend no longer plays a significant role in delivering additional valuable information to investors. This outcome is highly inconsistent with dividend signaling theory. </p>

2021 ◽  
Vol 3 (3) ◽  
pp. 353-366
Author(s):  
Abdul Hameed ◽  
Farheen Zahra Hussain ◽  
Khawar Naheed ◽  
Muhammad Sadiq Shahid

Purpose: The objective of the paper is to examine the impact of corporate governance on the dividend payout policy of firms listed on the Pakistan stock exchange during 2010-2020. As Pakistani investors face issues regarding their return in the shape of dividends and depend upon the firm’s corporate governance strength. To test whether changes in firm code of corporate governance have a significant influence on dividend policy. Design/Methodology/Approach: The panel data has been used for the period 2010-2020 and panel least square has been applied. Further, to test the association, following factors such delisting risk, government tenure, political connection with institutional shareholding as many political firms hold corporate shares which influence the decision to pay dividends. Findings: Findings from the fixed effect model show that corporate governance has a negative impact on dividend policy while government tenure, politically connected firm has a positive impact on the dividend. The study also concludes that firm size, profitability, tax, asset turnover, leverage, and firm shareholding also influence firm dividend payment behavior. Implications/Originality/Value: The implication of study reveals that firms must focus on strong their governance and include more independent directors on the board which leads to favorable strategies regarding investors. The investor must invest in those firm where lower political connection, pay continuous dividend either high or low decease/increase delisting chances, strong corporate governance and firm specific factors also lead to make decision of dividend payment.


2014 ◽  
Vol 16 (4) ◽  
pp. 339-372
Author(s):  
Ibrahim Ibrahim ◽  
Tri Winarno ◽  
Melva Viva Grace ◽  
Yan Fitri

Global financial crisis which began in the US in the latter part of 2008 hit a lot of countries in both trade and finance. In trade aspect, the crisis spread widely; in Indonesia, the total export value in 2009 dropped to 14,3%. Therefore, the economy of China, tightly linked with Asian countries including Indonesia, which rapidly rose before the crisis but slowed after it should be monitored as this condition, could indirectly hold down Indonesia’s GDP. Applying RAS method to update Asian IO data, this research has attempted to describe the trade structure of Asian countries in 2010. Also, it implemented a simulation of the impact of US and China’s GDP decline and US exports on Indonesia’s GDP, both at aggregate and sector levels. The result of the mapping shows that Indonesia is getting more dependent on China. Generally, the link between Indonesia’s exported products and global production chain is weak. Indonesia’s export commodities which are mostly of intermediate goods have low contribution towards value added. Moreover, the result of the simulation shows that 1% decrease in China’s GDP has greater impact on Indonesia’s GDP (0,14%) than that of the US (0,05%) and EU (0,07%) though with similar point.  Keyword: Trade Interactions, Input Output Model JEL Classification : F16, R15


Author(s):  
Richard Roberts

At the onset of the Global Financial Crisis in 2007 London was one of the two foremost global financial centres, along with New York. London experienced a 12 per cent fall in wholesale financial services jobs in 2008–9, but a recovery got underway in 2010 and London’s wholesale financial services sector staged a wavering advance. But now there were new challenges, in particular the avalanche of financial regulation coming from the UK, the EU, the US and the G20. Fintech engendered new uncertainties. The impact of Brexit was uncertain, but mostly expected to be negative, at least in the short-term. Furthermore, there was growing competition from Asian and other financial centres. Nevertheless, London remained pre-eminent as one of the two largest global concentrations of wholesale financial services activity and at the top of the Global Financial Centres Index.


2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (3) ◽  
pp. 52
Author(s):  
Caner Özdurak ◽  
Veysel Ulusoy

The 2008 global financial crisis provides us with a wide range of study fields on cross-asset contagion mechanisms in the US financial markets. After a decade of the so-called subprime crisis, the impact of market news on asset volatilities increased significantly. Consequently, return and volatility spillovers became the most extensive channel for spreading out the news generated in one market to the other ones, which made the financial markets inherit international risk factors as their own local risks. Moreover, as a result of the Chinese economy becoming the main driver of the global economy in the last decade, Chinese markets became more interconnected with developed markets which were followed by a “digital cold war” era via Twitter. In this study, we investigate the relationship between the US stock market, Chinese stock markets, rare earth markets and industrial metals, and mining products via three different models by utilizing VAR–VECH–TARCH models. According to our findings, bilateral spillover exists between US and Chinese stock markets. Cross-market spillovers show that there is a risk transmission channel between the industrial metals, rare earth, and Chinese and US stock markets due to China’s strengthening position in the global economy.


PLoS ONE ◽  
2022 ◽  
Vol 17 (1) ◽  
pp. e0261835
Author(s):  
Samet Gunay ◽  
Gokberk Can

This study investigates the reaction of stock markets to the Covid-19 pandemic and the Global Financial Crisis of 2008 (GFC) and compares their influence in terms of risk exposures. The empirical investigation is conducted using the modified ICSS test, DCC-GARCH, and Diebold-Yilmaz connectedness analysis to examine financial contagion and volatility spillovers. To further reveal the impact of these two crises, the statistical features of tranquil and crisis periods under different time intervals are also compared. The test results show that although the outbreak’s origin was in China, the US stock market is the source of financial contagion and volatility spillovers during the pandemic, just as it was during the GFC. The propagation of shocks is considerably higher between developed economies compared to emerging markets. Additionally, the results show that the COVID-19 pandemic induced a more severe contagious effect and risk transmission than the GFC. The study provides an extensive examination of the COVID-19 pandemic and the GFC in terms of financial contagion and volatility spillovers. The results suggest the presence of strong co-movements of world stock markets with the US equity market, especially in periods of financial turmoil.


2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (1) ◽  
pp. 255-269
Author(s):  
Konstantin Melching ◽  
Tristan Nguyen

Abstract This paper examines the relation between dividend payments and stock prices of all firms in the German prime standard DAX 30 in the time period from 2012 to 2019. The irrelevance theory introduced by Miller and Modigliani states that dividend payments must not have an impact on stock prices in a perfect market. In contrast, the signaling theory and the dividend puzzle indicate that dividend payments are likely to have a profound impact on the stock price. According to our findings the ex-dividend decrease of stock prices was significantly smaller than the dividend payment. Nevertheless, the results support the impact of the dividend payment on the share price. Firstly, the existence of the ex-dividend markdown is a proof that dividend payments cause share price losses. Secondly, the study explains in particular that high dividend payments result in high share prices over the examined period. Thirdly, our analysis demonstrates a positive correlation between the dividend and the stock price development according to the signaling theory. Considering the above- mentioned results, we can conclude that the share price of a company is highly affected by the decision making of the company regarding the dividend policy.


2017 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
pp. 49-70
Author(s):  
Shinta Fitrianti

This paper investigates the long-run and short-run impacts of the exchange rate volatility onIndonesia’s real exports to its major trading partners; Japan and US. The study uses monthly data from January 1998 to October 2015 in order to capture the structural break period of the Global Financial Crisis 2008. In addition, commodity price is included as an explanatory variable. The index of exchange rate volatility is generated using moving sample standard deviation of the growth of the real exchange rate. This paper estimates the long-run cointegration using Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) bounds testing, while for the short-run dynamic this paper use error-correction-model (ECM). The findings suggest rupiah volatility against the Japanese yen reduces Indonesia’s export to Japan, both in the short and the long-run. Fluctuation of rupiah against the US dollar helps Indonesia’s export to the US in the short run, but the impact is not carried out to the long-run. On the other hand, the impact of commodity price shock is negligible, except for the long-run export to Japan.


2009 ◽  
Vol 13 (4) ◽  
pp. 526
Author(s):  
Endri Endri

This research aims to test dividend signaling theory in the Jakarta Islamic Index groups. Signaling theory states that dividend policy has information content that can influence to share price. This research usesamples in the form of company allocating dividend for period 2006-2007 which listed on Jakarta Islamic Index. Final samples which are utilized in this research are equal to 12 firms observation. Using the event-study method, the result of our research shows that at the significant level of 5%, there is only one working days which yield the abnormal return that is significant at the dividend announcements. Those are the sixth day before the event date with the value of 0.00889 or around 0.9%. The final conclusion is that stock price will negatively reacted to the announcement of dividend. Overall, the evidence tends to support the dividend irrelevancy hypothesis, but does not provide a support for the signaling theory. Evidence also indicates that dividend payment does not signal any information to the investors, which needs to be further investigated.


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