scholarly journals Traffic fatalities prediction based on support vector machine

2016 ◽  
Vol 39 (3) ◽  
pp. 21-30 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ting Li ◽  
Yunong Yang ◽  
Yonghui Wang ◽  
Chao Chen ◽  
Jinbao Yao

To effectively predict traffic fatalities and promote the friendly development of transportation, a prediction model of traffic fatalities is established based on support vector machine (SVM). As the prediction accuracy of SVM largely depends on the selection of parameters, Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) is introduced to find the optimal parameters. In this paper, small sample and nonlinear data are used to predict fatalities of traffic accident. Traffic accident statistics data of China from 1981 to 2012 are chosen as experimental data. The input variables for predicting accident are highway mileage, vehicle number and population size while the output variables are traffic fatality. To verify the validity of the proposed prediction method, the back-propagation neural network (BPNN) prediction model and SVM prediction model are also used to predict the traffic fatalities. The results show that compared with BPNN prediction model and SVM model, the prediction model of traffic fatalities based on PSO-SVM has higher prediction precision and smaller errors. The model can be more effective to forecast the traffic fatalities. And the method using particle swarm optimization algorithm for parameter optimization of SVM is feasible and effective. In addition, this method avoids overcomes the problem of “over learning” in neural network training progress

2018 ◽  
Vol 4 (10) ◽  
pp. 6
Author(s):  
Shivangi Bhargava ◽  
Dr. Shivnath Ghosh

News popularity is the maximum growth of attention given for particular news article. The popularity of online news depends on various factors such as the number of social media, the number of visitor comments, the number of Likes, etc. It is therefore necessary to build an automatic decision support system to predict the popularity of the news as it will help in business intelligence too. The work presented in this study aims to find the best model to predict the popularity of online news using machine learning methods. In this work, the result analysis is performed by applying Co-relation algorithm, particle swarm optimization and principal component analysis. For performance evaluation support vector machine, naïve bayes, k-nearest neighbor and neural network classifiers are used to classify the popular and unpopular data. From the experimental results, it is observed that support vector machine and naïve bayes outperforms better with co-relation algorithm as well as k-NN and neural network outperforms better with particle swarm optimization.


2014 ◽  
Vol 472 ◽  
pp. 485-489 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hong Kai Wang ◽  
Ji Sheng Ma ◽  
Li Qing Fang ◽  
Yan Feng Yang ◽  
Hai Ping Liu

In order to better observe the trend of small sample data, this paper based on that the least squares support vector machine (LS-SVM) algorithm has an outstanding performance in the data processing of small sample, presents a data fitting method for small sample. The quantum particle swarm optimization (QPSO) that has better global search ability is used to optimize the parameters of the least squares support vector machine, and establish the curve fitting model. According to error analysis, show that the method presented in this paper has a good application value.


2022 ◽  
Vol 2160 (1) ◽  
pp. 012056
Author(s):  
Jian Pan ◽  
Yujiang Li ◽  
Panfeng Wu

Abstract In order to improve prediction accuracy of water pump operating state, a chaotic prediction model of the pump vibration data based on improved particle swarm optimization of support vector machine is proposed in this paper. Firstly, a grouping optimization strategy particle swarm algorithm based on cosine function is proposed. Then, the training set is obtained on the time series of vibration data by phase space reconstruction. Secondly, The improved particle algorithm is used to optimize the penalty parameters, insensitive loss coefficient and width parameters of support vector machine. Then, a prediction model of vibration data is established by using support vector machine combined with training set and optimal parameters. Finally, the operating state of the pump is predicted according to pump vibration measurement and evaluation method. Compared with the method of linear decreasing weight strategy, the method proposed in this paper is more accurately.


Author(s):  
Midde Venkateswarlu Naik ◽  
D. Vasumathi ◽  
A.P. Siva Kumar

Aims: The proposed research work is on an evolutionary enhanced method for sentiment or emotion classification on unstructured review text in the big data field. The sentiment analysis plays a vital role for current generation of people for extracting valid decision points about any aspect such as movie ratings, education institute or politics ratings, etc. The proposed hybrid approach combined the optimal feature selection using Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) and sentiment classification through Support Vector Machine (SVM). The current approach performance is evaluated with statistical measures, such as precision, recall, sensitivity, specificity, and was compared with the existing approaches. The earlier authors have achieved an accuracy of sentiment classifier in the English text up to 94% as of now. In the proposed scheme, an average accuracy of sentiment classifier on distinguishing datasets outperformed as 99% by tuning various parameters of SVM, such as constant c value and kernel gamma value in association with PSO optimization technique. The proposed method utilized three datasets, such as airline sentiment data, weather, and global warming datasets, that are publically available. The current experiment produced results that are trained and tested based on 10- Fold Cross-Validations (FCV) and confusion matrix for predicting sentiment classifier accuracy. Background: The sentiment analysis plays a vital role for current generation people for extracting valid decisions about any aspect such as movie rating, education institute or even politics ratings, etc. Sentiment Analysis (SA) or opinion mining has become fascinated scientifically as a research domain for the present environment. The key area is sentiment classification on semi-structured or unstructured data in distinguish languages, which has become a major research aspect. User-Generated Content [UGC] from distinguishing sources has been hiked significantly with rapid growth in a web environment. The huge user-generated data over social media provides substantial value for discovering hidden knowledge or correlations, patterns, and trends or sentiment extraction about any specific entity. SA is a computational analysis to determine the actual opinion of an entity which is expressed in terms of text. SA is also called as computation of emotional polarity expressed over social media as natural text in miscellaneous languages. Usually, the automatic superlative sentiment classifier model depends on feature selection and classification algorithms. Methods: The proposed work used Support vector machine as classification technique and particle swarm optimization technique as feature selection purpose. In this methodology, we tune various permutations and combination parameters in order to obtain expected desired results with kernel and without kernel technique for sentiment classification on three datasets, including airline, global warming, weather sentiment datasets, that are freely hosted for research practices. Results: In the proposed scheme, The proposed method has outperformed with 99.2% of average accuracy to classify the sentiment on different datasets, among other machine learning techniques. The attained high accuracy in classifying sentiment or opinion about review text proves superior effectiveness over existing sentiment classifiers. The current experiment produced results that are trained and tested based on 10- Fold Cross-Validations (FCV) and confusion matrix for predicting sentiment classifier accuracy. Conclusion: The objective of the research issue sentiment classifier accuracy has been hiked with the help of Kernel-based Support Vector Machine (SVM) based on parameter optimization. The optimal feature selection to classify sentiment or opinion towards review documents has been determined with the help of a particle swarm optimization approach. The proposed method utilized three datasets to simulate the results, such as airline sentiment data, weather sentiment data, and global warming data that are freely available datasets.


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