scholarly journals Determinants of Economic Growth: An Empirical Evaluation of the Ugandan Economy

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Richard Sendi ◽  
John Bbale Mayanja ◽  
Enock Nyorekwa
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Human Capital ◽  
Population Growth ◽  
Foreign Aid ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Gdp Growth ◽  
Government Consumption ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Determinants Of Economic Growth

This paper investigated the determinants of economic growth in Uganda for the period 1982–2015 using the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) mode. The paper was motivated by the impressive economic performance of Uganda since 1986 that made her graduate from a “failed state” to a “mature reformer” in a short time. The paper established that while the initial level of GDP growth, government consumption and investment positively affected Uganda’s economic growth in the short run, inflation, foreign aid and a policy dummy variable representing structural adjustment programmes negatively impacted GDP growth. The results revealed that in the long run, trade openness, population growth, government consumption and investment positively influenced GDP growth in Uganda. The results failed to show a significant relationship between trade openness, population growth and human capital accumulation and economic growth in the short run. The study also failed to show a significant relationship between inflation, human capital and foreign aid and economic growth in the long run. The paper recommends policies that enhances sound macroeconomic fundamentals such as price stability, investment promotion, trade openness, increased government consumption, increased population growth and effective foreign aid.

Modelling the Nexus Between Foreign Aid and Economic Growth: A Case of Afghanistan and Egypt

2021 ◽  
Vol 39 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Muhammed Ashiq Villanthenkodath ◽  
Ubaid Mushtaq
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Aid ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Political Stability ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Annual Time Series ◽  
And Control

This paper tries to explore the existence of a long-run relationship between foreign aid and economic growth by using the data from the two highest foreign aid recipient countries. Using the annual time series data from 1965 to 2017 this study uses several econometric models such as Johansen and Juselius cointegration, Granger causality and vector auto regression to establish the long and short-run relationships among foreign aid inflows and economic growth while also considering financial development and trade openness from both the countries. The empirical results suggest that no long-run relationship exists among foreign aid inflows and economic growth for both the countries. However, unidirectional causality running from foreign aid to economic growth is indicative in both countries. Therefore, the findings in this paper support the adequate need for foreign aid for effective economic growth amid an upright policy environment, related issues of conditionality and political stability. Our results are robust to independent, and control variables and estimation techniques are also on par with robustness.

scholarly journals Sources of Economic Growth in Zambia: An Empirical Investigation

2017 ◽  
Vol 18 (2) ◽  
pp. 275-290 ◽  
Author(s):  
Themba G. Chirwa ◽  
Nicholas M. Odhiambo
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Human Capital ◽  
International Trade ◽  
Foreign Aid ◽  
Development Aid ◽  
Human Capital Development ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Capital Development ◽  
Macroeconomic Determinants

In this article, the key macroeconomic determinants of economic growth in Zambia are investigated using the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) bounds testing approach. The study has been motivated by the unsustainable growth trends that Zambia has been experiencing in recent years. Our study finds that the key macroeconomic determinants that are significantly associated with economic growth in Zambia include, amongst others, investment, human capital development, government consumption, international trade and foreign aid. The study’s results reveal that in the short run, investment and human capital development are positively associated with economic growth, while government consumption, international trade and foreign aid are negatively associated with economic growth. However, in the long run, the study finds investment and human capital development to be positively associated with economic growth, while only foreign aid is negatively associated with economic growth. These results have significant policy implications. They imply that short–run economic policies should focus on creating incentives that attract investment and increase the quality of education, the effectiveness of government institutions, the promotion of international trade reforms and the effectiveness of development aid. In the long run, development strategies should focus on attracting the accumulation of long-term investment, improving the quality of education and the effectiveness of development aid.

scholarly journals TRADE OPENNESS AND ECONOMIC GROWTH: EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE FROM INDIA

2014 ◽  
Vol 16 (1) ◽  
pp. 188-205 ◽  
Author(s):  
Qazi Muhammad Adnan Hye ◽  
Wee-Yeap Lau
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Human Capital ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Granger Causality Test ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Rolling Window ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Impact

The main objective of this study is to develop first time trade openness index and use this index to examine the link between trade openness and economic growth in case of India. This study employs a new endogenous growth model for theoretical support, auto-regressive distributive lag model and rolling window regression method in order to determine long run and short run association between trade openness and economic growth. Further granger causality test is used to determine the long run and short run causal direction. The results reveal that human capital and physical capital are positively related to economic growth in the long run. On the other hand, trade openness index negatively impacts on economic growth in the long run. The new evidence is provided by the rolling window regression results i.e. the impact of trade openness index on economic growth is not stable throughout the sample. In the short run trade openness index is positively related to economic growth. The result of granger causality test confirms the validity of trade openness-led growth and human capital-led growth hypothesis in the short run and long run.

scholarly journals Impact of Tourism on Economic Growth of Nepal: Is Tourism-Led Growth Hypothesis Valid for Nepal?

2022 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
pp. 93-110
Author(s):  
Kumar Bhattarai ◽  
Roshan Karmacharya
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Aid ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Outcome Variable ◽  
Consumption Expenditure ◽  
Government Consumption ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Growth Hypothesis ◽  
Volume Of Trade

A voluminous study is available on tourism-growth nexus as tourism industry received considerable attention as a potential source of economic growth. This paper empirically examines the impact of tourism on economic growth of Nepal by using time series data of 1976-2020 and applying autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) approach. Real GDP was used as proxy measure of economic growth, which was the outcome variable whereas the variable of interest was tourism receipts. Foreign aid, total volume of trade and ratio of government consumption expenditure to GDP were taken as control variables. The result of ARDL model shows that tourism has no significant impact on economic growth of Nepal in both short-run and long-run. However, total volume of trade has positive and significant effect on economic growth in short-run whereas foreign aid, total volume of trade and ratio of government consumption expenditure to GDP have positive and significant effect on economic growth in the long-run. In such context of tourism and growth relationship, tourism-led growth hypothesis is rejected for Nepal.

On the determinants of economic growth: Empirical evidence from the Eurozone countries

2020 ◽  
Vol 23 (2) ◽  
pp. 210-229 ◽  
Author(s):  
Panagiotis Pegkas ◽  
Christos Staikouras ◽  
Constantinos Tsamadias
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Human Capital ◽  
Public Debt ◽  
Public Investment ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Growth Strategies ◽  
Fiscal Consolidation ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Determinants Of Economic Growth

This study empirically investigates the causal relationship between economic growth and several factors (investment, human capital, trade openness and public debt) in the Eurozone countries, where imbalances persist several years after the financial crisis. The results reveal a long-run relationship between variables and public debt, as investment, human capital and trade openness positively affect growth. On the other hand, there is a negative long-run effect of public debt on growth. Furthermore, the results indicate that there is long-run unidirectional causality running from investment, trade openness and human capital to growth and bidirectional causality between public debt and growth. The overall results reveal that Eurozone countries should base their growth strategies on fiscal consolidation, increasing exports, correcting the use of public investment and improving the quality of human capital, especially in higher education.

Impact of Selected Macroeconomic Determinants on Economic Growth in India: An Empirical Study

2018 ◽  
Vol 22 (4) ◽  
pp. 405-415 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rajesh Sharma ◽  
Pradeep Kautish ◽  
D. Suresh Kumar
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Human Capital ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Foreign Aid ◽  
Consumption Expenditure ◽  
Human Capital Development ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Capital Development ◽  
Macroeconomic Determinants

Due to the socio-economic, infrastructural and governance peculiarities, identification of key macroeconomic factors determining the economic growth in developing countries becomes a complicated case. The present study attempts to assess the impact of foreign aid, government consumption expenditure, foreign direct investment, trade openness, exchange rate, human capital development, and inflation on economic growth in India by using yearly data for the period of 46 years, that is, from 1971 to 2016. An autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) bounds model enables to examine the short-run and long-run impact of selected determinants on economic growth during the study period. The outcomes of the study find that in the long run, foreign aid, the government’s final consumption expenditure and foreign direct investment have a positive and significant impact on economic growth, whereas, economic growth has been negatively influenced by exchange rate and human capital development. Contrary to the long run, foreign aid has a negative and significant impact on economic growth in the short run. The short-run outcomes show that all the selected macroeconomic determinants have either negative or positive influence on economic growth. To ensure the long-run economic growth, besides regulating the exchange rate fluctuations, policies related to export -import and human capital development need to be re-examined.

scholarly journals The Impact of Foreign Aid on Economic Growth in Morocco: Econometric Analysis Using VECM

2017 ◽  
Vol 9 (5) ◽  
pp. 87 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kawthar Aghoutane ◽  
Mohamed Karim
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Aid ◽  
Empirical Literature ◽  
Government Consumption ◽  
Vector Error Correction ◽  
Vector Error ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Impact

The present work aims to contribute to the empirical literature on the effectiveness of Foreign aid in Morocco. We use the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) to jointly capture the long-run relationship and short-run dynamics between Official Development Assistance and economic growth. Other variables such as investment, exports, and government consumption are also included in the model. The results indicate that the foreign aid promotes growth through government consumption in the short term. However, the impact of aid on economic growth becomes negative in the long term.

Modelling the Nexus Between Foreign Aid and Economic Growth: A Case of Afghanistan and Egypt

2021 ◽  
Vol 39 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Muhammed Ashiq Villanthenkodath ◽  
Ubaid Mushtaq
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Aid ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Political Stability ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Annual Time Series ◽  
And Control

This paper tries to explore the existence of a long-run relationship between foreign aid and economic growth by using the data from the two highest foreign aid recipient countries. Using the annual time series data from 1965 to 2017 this study uses several econometric models such as Johansen and Juselius cointegration, Granger causality and vector auto regression to establish the long and short-run relationships among foreign aid inflows and economic growth while also considering financial development and trade openness from both the countries. The empirical results suggest that no long-run relationship exists among foreign aid inflows and economic growth for both the countries. However, unidirectional causality running from foreign aid to economic growth is indicative in both countries. Therefore, the findings in this paper support the adequate need for foreign aid for effective economic growth amid an upright policy environment, related issues of conditionality and political stability. Our results are robust to independent, and control variables and estimation techniques are also on par with robustness.

Natural resources and economic growth: evidence from Brunei Darussalam

2022 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Muhammad Tahir ◽  
Umar Burki ◽  
Arshad Hayat
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Human Capital ◽  
Natural Resources ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Domestic Investment ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Brunei Darussalam ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run

PurposeThis paper explores the relationship between natural resources and economic growth of Brunei Darussalam, an underresearched area in the available literature.Design/methodology/approachAnnual data are sourced from reliable sources for the period 1989–2020. Appropriate cointegration techniques for time series data are employed to estimate the specified models and extract results.FindingsThe results provide evidence about the positive and significant role that natural resources have played in the economic growth of Brunei Darussalam. Similarly, trade openness and domestic investment have also positively and significantly impacted the long-run economic growth. On the other hand, the impacts of government expenditure and the growth of human capital on economic growth are although positive but insignificant statistically in the long run. The short-run results show that natural resources, government expenditures and domestic investment have influenced economic growth both positively and significantly. Moreover, the positive and significant impact of trade openness on economic growth, which was observed in the long run, turned negative and insignificant in the short run. Finally, the insignificant positive relationship between the growth of human capital and economic growth observed in the long run remained the same in the short run.Originality/valueThis paper studies the resource curse hypothesis for Brunei Darussalam for the first time, and therefore, the findings will be of significant interest for policymakers and researchers.

Economic Growth and Macro Variables in India: An Empirical Study

2015 ◽  
pp. 42-59
Author(s):  
Saba Ismail ◽  
Shahid Ahmed
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Growth Rates ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Capital Formation ◽  
Gdp Growth ◽  
Fdi Inflows ◽  
Domestic Capital ◽  
The Government ◽  
Macro Variables ◽  
Determinants Of Economic Growth

The research objective of this paper is to explore the empirical linkages between economic growth and foreign direct investment (FDI), gross fixed capital formation (GFCF) and trade openness in India (TOP) over the period 1980 to 2013. The study reveals a positive relationship between economic growth and FDI, GFCF and TOP. This study establishes a strong unidirectional causal flow from changes in FDI, trade openness and capital formation to the economic growth rates of India. The impulse response function traces the positive influence of these macro variables on the GDP growth rates of India. The study also reveals that the volatility of GDP growth rates in India is mainly attributed to the variation in the level of GFCF and FDI. The study concludes that the FDI inflows and the size of capital formation are the main determinants of economic growth. In view of this, it is expected that the government of India should provide more policy focus on promoting FDI inflows and domestic capital formations to increase its economic growth in the long-term.

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