Impact of Selected Macroeconomic Determinants on Economic Growth in India: An Empirical Study

2018 ◽  
Vol 22 (4) ◽  
pp. 405-415 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rajesh Sharma ◽  
Pradeep Kautish ◽  
D. Suresh Kumar
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Human Capital ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Foreign Aid ◽  
Consumption Expenditure ◽  
Human Capital Development ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Capital Development ◽  
Macroeconomic Determinants

Due to the socio-economic, infrastructural and governance peculiarities, identification of key macroeconomic factors determining the economic growth in developing countries becomes a complicated case. The present study attempts to assess the impact of foreign aid, government consumption expenditure, foreign direct investment, trade openness, exchange rate, human capital development, and inflation on economic growth in India by using yearly data for the period of 46 years, that is, from 1971 to 2016. An autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) bounds model enables to examine the short-run and long-run impact of selected determinants on economic growth during the study period. The outcomes of the study find that in the long run, foreign aid, the government’s final consumption expenditure and foreign direct investment have a positive and significant impact on economic growth, whereas, economic growth has been negatively influenced by exchange rate and human capital development. Contrary to the long run, foreign aid has a negative and significant impact on economic growth in the short run. The short-run outcomes show that all the selected macroeconomic determinants have either negative or positive influence on economic growth. To ensure the long-run economic growth, besides regulating the exchange rate fluctuations, policies related to export -import and human capital development need to be re-examined.

scholarly journals Sources of Economic Growth in Zambia: An Empirical Investigation

2017 ◽  
Vol 18 (2) ◽  
pp. 275-290 ◽  
Author(s):  
Themba G. Chirwa ◽  
Nicholas M. Odhiambo
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Human Capital ◽  
International Trade ◽  
Foreign Aid ◽  
Development Aid ◽  
Human Capital Development ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Capital Development ◽  
Macroeconomic Determinants

In this article, the key macroeconomic determinants of economic growth in Zambia are investigated using the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) bounds testing approach. The study has been motivated by the unsustainable growth trends that Zambia has been experiencing in recent years. Our study finds that the key macroeconomic determinants that are significantly associated with economic growth in Zambia include, amongst others, investment, human capital development, government consumption, international trade and foreign aid. The study’s results reveal that in the short run, investment and human capital development are positively associated with economic growth, while government consumption, international trade and foreign aid are negatively associated with economic growth. However, in the long run, the study finds investment and human capital development to be positively associated with economic growth, while only foreign aid is negatively associated with economic growth. These results have significant policy implications. They imply that short–run economic policies should focus on creating incentives that attract investment and increase the quality of education, the effectiveness of government institutions, the promotion of international trade reforms and the effectiveness of development aid. In the long run, development strategies should focus on attracting the accumulation of long-term investment, improving the quality of education and the effectiveness of development aid.

scholarly journals Human Capital Development and Economic Growth Nexus in Zimbabwe

2019 ◽  
Vol 23 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sanderson Abel ◽  
Nyasha Mhaka ◽  
Pierre Le Roux
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Human Capital ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Labour Force ◽  
Government Expenditure ◽  
Human Capital Development ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Capital Development ◽  
The Relationship

This study empirically examined the relationship between human capital development and economic growth in Zimbabwe for the period 1980 to 2015, using time series analysis techniques of co-integration, error correction model, and Granger causality tests. The study was motivated by changes which have characterised the financing of human capital since the country attained independence. A decade after independence, the government was able to adequately finance the social sectors; however, thereafter government financing has been declining since the adoption of the structural adjustment programme. The findings of this study indicate the existence of a short-run and long-run relationship between human capital development and economic growth in Zimbabwe. On the direction and significance of the relationship, the result is mixed. Human capital development, proxied by government expenditure on health, had a significant positive impact on economic growth—both in the short run and the long run—reaffirming that a healthy labour force will be more productive and efficient. Human capital development, proxied by government expenditure on education, was found to negatively impact economic growth in the long run. In conclusion, a positive relationship between human capital development and economic growth in Zimbabwe was found, although the relationship is weak.

scholarly journals Domestic Resource Mobilization and Human Capital Development in Sub- Saharan Africa

2021 ◽  
Vol 27 (4) ◽  
pp. 504-533
Keyword(s):  
Human Capital ◽  
Capital Accumulation ◽  
Resource Mobilization ◽  
Human Capital Accumulation ◽  
Human Capital Development ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Two Measures ◽  
Capital Development ◽  
Domestic Resource

This study investigates the nexus between domestic resource mobilization using aggregated and disaggregated taxes, and human capital accumulation as measured by the index of human capital and total factor productivity. The study explores panel Autoregressive Distributed Lag. We further explore the linear and nonlinear effects of taxes on human capital accumulation. The results from the scatterplots show that taxes at aggregate and disaggregated levels positively correlated with the two measures of human capital. On the linear analysis, the impact of aggregated and disaggregated taxes is largely negative under the index of human capital but largely positive under the second measure in the short-run. However, the long-run results indicate that aggregate and disaggregated taxes significantly amplify human capital accumulation. On nonlinearity, there is no presence of human capital laffer curve (HCLC) in the short-run under the two measures of human capital. However, there is presence of HCLC in the long-run. The net effects results show that some taxes (such as indirect taxes, taxes on goods and services) are distortionary in improving the level of human capital development while some taxes (such as total tax, direct tax, taxes on income, profit, and gains) can distort human capital development in the SSA region.

scholarly journals Selected macroeconomic determinants and economic growth in Cameroon (1970–2018) “dead or alive” an ARDL approach

2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Kesuh Jude Thaddeus ◽  
Chi Aloysius Ngong ◽  
Njimukala Moses Nebong ◽  
Akume Daniel Akume ◽  
Jumbo Urie Eleazar ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Human Capital ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Government Expenditure ◽  
Human Capital Development ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Capital Development ◽  
Macroeconomic Determinants ◽  
The Impact

PurposeThe purpose of this paper is to examine key macroeconomic determinants on Cameroon's economic growth from 1970 to 2018.Design/methodology/approachData were obtained from the World Development Indicators and applied on time series data econometric techniques. The auto-regressive distributed lag (ARDL) bounds model analyzed the data since the variables had different order of integration.FindingsThe results showed long and short runs’ positive and significant connection between economic growth in Cameroon and government expenditure; trade openness, gross capital formation and exchange rate. Human capital development, foreign aid, money supply, inflation and foreign direct investment negatively and significantly affected economic growth in the short and long-runs. Hence, the macroeconomic indicators are not death.Research limitations/implicationsThe present research paper has tried to capture the impact of nine macroeconomic determinants on economic growth such as the government expenditure (LNGOVEXP), human capital development (LNHCD), foreign aids (AID), trade openness (LNTOP), foreign direct investment (LNFDI), gross capital formation (INVEST), broad money (LNM2), official exchange rate (LNEXHRATE) and Inflation (LNINFLA). However, these variables have the tendency to affect each other in a unidirectional or bidirectional manner. Further, the present research paper is unable to capture the impact of other macroeconomic variable due to the unavailability of data.Practical implicationsThe study recommends that Cameroon should use proper planning and strategic policy interventions to achieve higher sustainable economic growth with human capital development, foreign aid, money supply, foreign direct investment and moderate inflation.Social implicationsMacroeconomic indicators, if managed well, increase economic growth.Originality/valueThis paper to the best of the researcher's knowledge presents new background information to both policymakers and researchers on the main macroeconomic determinants using econometric analysis.

scholarly journals Determinants of Economic Growth: An Empirical Evaluation of the Ugandan Economy

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Richard Sendi ◽  
John Bbale Mayanja ◽  
Enock Nyorekwa
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Human Capital ◽  
Population Growth ◽  
Foreign Aid ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Gdp Growth ◽  
Government Consumption ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Determinants Of Economic Growth

This paper investigated the determinants of economic growth in Uganda for the period 1982–2015 using the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) mode. The paper was motivated by the impressive economic performance of Uganda since 1986 that made her graduate from a “failed state” to a “mature reformer” in a short time. The paper established that while the initial level of GDP growth, government consumption and investment positively affected Uganda’s economic growth in the short run, inflation, foreign aid and a policy dummy variable representing structural adjustment programmes negatively impacted GDP growth. The results revealed that in the long run, trade openness, population growth, government consumption and investment positively influenced GDP growth in Uganda. The results failed to show a significant relationship between trade openness, population growth and human capital accumulation and economic growth in the short run. The study also failed to show a significant relationship between inflation, human capital and foreign aid and economic growth in the long run. The paper recommends policies that enhances sound macroeconomic fundamentals such as price stability, investment promotion, trade openness, increased government consumption, increased population growth and effective foreign aid.

scholarly journals Human Capital Development, Economic Rejuvenation and Stable Long-Term Growth: The Case of Nigeria

2014 ◽  
Vol 27 ◽  
pp. 202-214
Author(s):  
Martins Iyoboyi
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Human Capital ◽  
Development Economic ◽  
Bounds Testing ◽  
Human Capital Development ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Stable Growth ◽  
The Stability ◽  
Capital Development

The paper investigates the relative impact of human capital development on economic rejuvenation and growth in Nigeria form 1981 to 2010, using the bounds testing approach to cointegration. The study utilized a combined proxy of education and health to capture the influence of human capital on growing and consequently rejuvenating an economy. Fixed capital and human capital were found to be positively associated with economic growth in both the short and long run, while Granger-causing economic growth in the period of study, implying the imperatives of using them to rejuvenate an economy. The stability of the coefficients of the estimated model is confirmed by the CUSUM and CUSUMSQ tests. The paper showed that for Nigeria’s economic rejuvenation and long-term stable growth, emphasis should be placed on deliberately developing the country’s vast human resources.

scholarly journals Financing Human Development for Sectorial Growth: A Time Series Analysis

2017 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 51-67 ◽  
Author(s):  
Abdul Olatunji Shobande ◽  
Charles Etukomeni
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Human Capital ◽  
Human Development ◽  
Growth And Development ◽  
Human Capital Development ◽  
Economic Growth And Development ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Depth Relationship ◽  
Capital Development ◽  
The Impact

Abstract The role which financing human development plays in fostering the sectorial growth of an economy cannot be undermined. It is a key instrument which can be utilized to alleviate poverty, create employment and ensure the sustenance of economic growth and development. Thus financing human development for sectorial growth has taken the center stage of economic growth and development strategies in most countries. In a constructive effort to examine the in-depth relationship between the variables in the Nigerian space, this paper provides evidence on the impact of financing human development and sectorial growth in Nigeria between 1982 and 2016, using the Johansen co-integration techniques to test for co-integration among the variables and the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) to ascertain the speed of adjustment of the variables to their long run equilibrium position. The analysis shows that a long and short run relationship exists between financing human capital development and sectorial growth during the period reviewed. Therefore, the paper argues that for an active foundation for sustainable sectorial growth and development, financing human capital development across each unit is urgently required through increased budgetary allocation for both health and educational sectors since they are key components of human capital development in a nation.

scholarly journals A contribution to the human capital investment debate vis-à-vis economic growth: the case for Nigeria

2021 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 15-28
Author(s):  
Lasbrey ANOCHIWA ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Human Capital ◽  
Capital Investment ◽  
Growth Limitation ◽  
Human Capital Development ◽  
Education And Health ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Growth Development ◽  
Capital Development ◽  
The Relationship

Purpose: Human capital development is essentially vital in enhancing economic growth and Nigeria needs to grow. This study investigates the contribution of human capital to growth in Nigeria. Research methodology: We have disaggregated the article's variables into different models, for a better result. We employed the Autoregressive Distribution Lag (ARDL) framework to examine the relationship between the variables. E-views software was used as applied in Akbari, Chude and Chude (2013). Result: The result shows that there exists a long-run relationship between the human capital indices, education and health in Nigeria and economic growth. Though the coefficient is positive but has a statistically insignificant relationship with human capital development and economic growth. Limitation: The study was hindered by the availability of data. Contribution: It is satisfactory to know from the study that human capital is still relevant in explaining growth in Nigeria. Keywords: Human capital, Economic growth, Development

scholarly journals Impact of Tourism on Economic Growth of Nepal: Is Tourism-Led Growth Hypothesis Valid for Nepal?

2022 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
pp. 93-110
Author(s):  
Kumar Bhattarai ◽  
Roshan Karmacharya
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Aid ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Outcome Variable ◽  
Consumption Expenditure ◽  
Government Consumption ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Growth Hypothesis ◽  
Volume Of Trade

A voluminous study is available on tourism-growth nexus as tourism industry received considerable attention as a potential source of economic growth. This paper empirically examines the impact of tourism on economic growth of Nepal by using time series data of 1976-2020 and applying autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) approach. Real GDP was used as proxy measure of economic growth, which was the outcome variable whereas the variable of interest was tourism receipts. Foreign aid, total volume of trade and ratio of government consumption expenditure to GDP were taken as control variables. The result of ARDL model shows that tourism has no significant impact on economic growth of Nepal in both short-run and long-run. However, total volume of trade has positive and significant effect on economic growth in short-run whereas foreign aid, total volume of trade and ratio of government consumption expenditure to GDP have positive and significant effect on economic growth in the long-run. In such context of tourism and growth relationship, tourism-led growth hypothesis is rejected for Nepal.

scholarly journals Financial Inclusion’s Role in Economic Growth and Human Capital in South Asia: An Econometric Approach

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (8) ◽  
pp. 4303
Author(s):  
US Thathsarani ◽  
Jianguo Wei ◽  
GRSRC Samaraweera
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Human Capital ◽  
Financial Services ◽  
Sustainable Development Goals ◽  
Financial Inclusion ◽  
Human Capital Development ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Development Goals ◽  
Capital Development ◽  
Econometric Approach

Many of the 2030 sustainable development goals have targeted the strengthening of financial inclusion, which is currently a key policy priority on the agendas of most governments in developing nations. The process of facilitating banking and financial services for individuals is called financial inclusion, which supports growth and the broader development goals of an economy. Although economic growth and human capital development indices have been analyzed using different proxy variables, insufficient attention has been paid to constructing a composite index for measuring this to achieve greater sustainability in terms of the economy, communities, and the environment. This study sought to address this gap using secondary data from eight countries in South Asia from 2004 to 2018. A financial inclusion index was developed through principal component analysis using an econometric approach of panel data with vector error correction models and a Granger causality test. As per the results of the study, financial inclusion has a long-run impact on human capital development in South Asian countries, whereas it has a short-run positive impact on economic growth. Domestic credits to the private sector also impact the short-run growth and human capital development in the economy. This ensures the confidence of vulnerable communities in their economy, as well as information management, and allows for quality enhancements of transactions with fewer environmental impacts. Government intervention to improve access to financial services, including ATMs and commercial banking, is one policy allowing digital finance to accelerate the achievement of sustainable development goals in South Asian countries.

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