scholarly journals Monte Carlo Simulation-based Approach to Optimal Bus Stops Allocation in the Municipality of Laško

2012 ◽  
Vol 23 (4) ◽  
pp. 265-278 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dejan Dragan ◽  
Tomaž Kramberger ◽  
Martin Lipičnik

The paper addresses the problem of optimal bus stop allocation. The aim is to achieve reduction of costs on account of appropriate re-design of the process of obligatory transportation of children from their homes to the corresponding schools in the Laško municipality. The proposed algorithm relies on optimization based on the Monte Carlo simulation procedure. The number of calculated bus stops is required to be minimal possible, which can still assure maximal service area within the prescribed radius, while keeping the minimal walking distances pupils have to go across from their homes to the nearest bus stop and vice versa. The main issues of the proposed algorithm are emphasised and the working mechanism is explained. The presentation of calculated results is given and comparison with some other existing algorithms is provided. The positions of the calculated bus stops are going to be used for the purpose of physical bus stops implementation in order to decrease the current transportation costs.

2021 ◽  
Vol 50 ◽  
pp. 101301
Author(s):  
A.Z. Zheng ◽  
S.J. Bian ◽  
E. Chaudhry ◽  
J. Chang ◽  
H. Haron ◽  
...  

2007 ◽  
Vol 129 ◽  
pp. 83-87
Author(s):  
Hua Long Li ◽  
Jong Tae Park ◽  
Jerzy A. Szpunar

Controlling texture and microstructure evolution during annealing processes is very important for optimizing properties of steels. Theories used to explain annealing processes are complicated and always case dependent. An recently developed Monte Carlo simulation based model offers an effective tool for studying annealing process and can be used to verify the arbitrarily defined theories that govern such processes. The computer model takes Orientation Image Microscope (OIM) measurements as an input. The abundant information contained in OIM measurement allows the computer model to incorporate many structural characteristics of polycrystalline materials such as, texture, grain boundary character, grain shape and size, phase composition, chemical composition, stored elastic energy, and the residual stress. The outputs include various texture functions, grain boundary and grain size statistics that can be verified by experimental results. Graphical representation allows us to perform virtual experiments to monitor each step of the structural transformation. An example of applying this simulation to Si steel is given.


2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Italo César Montalvão Guedes ◽  
Stelamaris Rolla Bertoli ◽  
Jugurta Montalvão

Electronics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (22) ◽  
pp. 2881
Author(s):  
Muath Alrammal ◽  
Munir Naveed ◽  
Georgios Tsaramirsis

The use of innovative and sophisticated malware definitions poses a serious threat to computer-based information systems. Such malware is adaptive to the existing security solutions and often works without detection. Once malware completes its malicious activity, it self-destructs and leaves no obvious signature for detection and forensic purposes. The detection of such sophisticated malware is very challenging and a non-trivial task because of the malware’s new patterns of exploiting vulnerabilities. Any security solutions require an equal level of sophistication to counter such attacks. In this paper, a novel reinforcement model based on Monte-Carlo simulation called eRBCM is explored to develop a security solution that can detect new and sophisticated network malware definitions. The new model is trained on several kinds of malware and can generalize the malware detection functionality. The model is evaluated using a benchmark set of malware. The results prove that eRBCM can identify a variety of malware with immense accuracy.


2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Abroon Qazi ◽  
Mecit Can Emre Simsekler

PurposeThis paper aims to develop a process for prioritizing project risks that integrates the decision-maker's risk attitude, uncertainty about risks both in terms of the associated probability and impact ratings, and correlations across risk assessments.Design/methodology/approachThis paper adopts a Monte Carlo Simulation-based approach to capture the uncertainty associated with project risks. Risks are prioritized based on their relative expected utility values. The proposed process is operationalized through a real application in the construction industry.FindingsThe proposed process helped in identifying low-probability, high-impact risks that were overlooked in the conventional risk matrix-based prioritization scheme. While considering the expected risk exposure of individual risks, none of the risks were located in the high-risk exposure zone; however, the proposed Monte Carlo Simulation-based approach revealed risks with a high probability of occurrence in the high-risk exposure zone. Using the expected utility-based approach alone in prioritizing risks may lead to ignoring few critical risks, which can only be captured through a rigorous simulation-based approach.Originality/valueMonte Carlo Simulation has been used to aggregate the risk matrix-based data and disaggregate and map the resulting risk profiles with underlying distributions. The proposed process supported risk prioritization based on the decision-maker's risk attitude and identified low-probability, high-impact risks and high-probability, high-impact risks.


Author(s):  
Guilerme A. C. Caldeira ◽  
JoaquimAP Braga ◽  
António R. Andrade

Abstract The present paper provides a method to predict maintenance needs for the railway wheelsets by modeling the wear out affecting the wheelsets during its life cycle using survival analysis. Wear variations of wheel profiles are discretized and modelled through a censored survival approach, which is appropriate for modeling wheel profile degradation using real operation data from the condition monitoring systems that currently exist in railway companies. Several parametric distributions for the wear variations are modeled and the behavior of the selected ones is analyzed and compared with wear trajectories computed by a Monte Carlo simulation procedure. This procedure aims to test the independence of events by adding small fractions of wear to reach larger wear values. The results show that the independence of wear events is not true for all the established events, but it is confirmed for small wear values. Overall, the proposed framework is developed in such a way that the outputs can be used to support predictions in condition-based maintenance models and to optimize the maintenance of wheelsets.


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