scholarly journals Impact of Monetary Policy on Value of Stock Traded: Short Run and Long Run Evidence from Nigerian Stock Exchange (1987- 2017)

2019 ◽  
pp. 1-9
Author(s):  
Chinedu Maurice Umezurike ◽  
Amalachukwu Chijindu Ananwude
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Central Bank ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Negative Relationship ◽  
Financial Resources ◽  
Annual Data ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Effect Of Monetary Policy

This study examined the effect of monetary policy on value of stock traded in Nigerian Stock Exchange. Specifically, we ascertained the effect of monetary policy rate, liquidity ratio and loan to deposit ratio on value of stock traded using the Autoregressive Distribute Lag (ARDL) based on annual data from 1986 to 2017. Our findings showed that monetary policy rate, liquidity ratio and loan to deposit ratio have no significant effect on value of stock traded. Monetary policy rate maintained a negative relationship with value of stock traded, while liquidity ratio and loan to deposit ratio positively correlated with value of stock traded. We are vehemently of the view that expansionary monetary policy that guarantees adequate liquidity in the economy should be pursued vigorously by the Central Bank of Nigeria. Adequate level of liquidity offers firms’ in the stock market better access to financial resources which will increase their revenue and thus appreciation in their stocks trading.

Non-performing loans and monetary policy dynamics in Ghana

2019 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 169-184 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rexford Kweku Asiama ◽  
Anthony Amoah
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Annual Data ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Quarterly Data ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Policy Dynamics ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Private Savings ◽  
Effect Of Monetary Policy

Purpose The sharp rise in non-performing loans (NPLs) with its associated effect on financial institutions in Ghana has become very alarming. This has led to the collapse of distressed institutions and associated repercussions such as loss of private savings, investments, businesses and livelihoods. The purpose of this paper is to test the hypothesis that the monetary policy rate can be used to influence NPLs in Ghana. Design/methodology/approach Using quarterly data spanning from 2000 to 2016, the authors used the autoregressive distributed lag econometric approach to estimate the effect of monetary policy on the percentage growth of NPLs in Ghana. The results are presented for both short-run and long-run periods. Findings In the short run, the authors find evidence of no statistically significant effect of monetary policy on the percentage growth of NPLs. However, in the long run, the authors find a statistically significant effect of monetary policy on the percentage growth of NPLs. Practical implications The authors recommend that policymakers should focus on building a strong financial environment, so that monetary policy can be used to influence the commercial bank’s interest rate. In effect, this will help reduce the growth of NPLs, reduce risk and attract competitors into the financial market, increase asset base, increase credit to support viable ventures and subsequently boost economic growth in Ghana. Originality/value The paper shows its value by using quarterly data whereas most literature have considered annual data. Also, the paper includes a policy variable measured by the Monetary Policy Rate (MPR) as the key variable of interest which is normally not the case with most studies.

The Impact of Monetary and Fiscal Policies on the Stock Market in the United States (U.S); Evidence from Linear ARDL Framework

2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 132-132
Author(s):  
Aref Emamian
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
The United States ◽  
Real Effective Exchange Rate ◽  
Annual Data ◽  
Fiscal Policies ◽  
Long Run ◽  
The Us ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Impact

This study examines the impact of monetary and fiscal policies on the stock market in the United States (US), were used. By employing the method of Autoregressive Distributed Lags (ARDL) developed by Pesaran et al. (2001). Annual data from the Federal Reserve, World Bank, and International Monetary Fund, from 1986 to 2017 pertaining to the American economy, the results show that both policies play a significant role in the stock market. We find a significant positive effect of real Gross Domestic Product and the interest rate on the US stock market in the long run and significant negative relationship effect of Consumer Price Index (CPI) and broad money on the US stock market both in the short run and long run. On the other hand, this study only could support the significant positive impact of tax revenue and significant negative impact of real effective exchange rate on the US stock market in the short run while in the long run are insignificant. Keywords: ARDL, monetary policy, fiscal policy, stock market, United States

Determinants of Total Factor Productivity in Mexico, Indonesia, Nigeria, and Turkey (1980–2014)

2018 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 192-217 ◽  
Author(s):  
Phillip Akanni Olomola ◽  
Tolulope Temilola Osinubi
Keyword(s):  
Human Capital ◽  
Total Factor Productivity ◽  
Negative Relationship ◽  
Annual Data ◽  
Factor Productivity ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run ◽  
The World ◽  
Government Stability ◽  
Short Run

This study analyzed the macroeconomic and institutional determinants of total factor productivity (TFP) in the MINT (Mexico, Indonesia, Nigeria, and Turkey) countries during the period 1980–2014. Annual data covering the period between 1980 and 2014 were used. Data on real gross domestic product (real GDP), labor force, gross fixed capital formation, foreign direct investment (FDI), human capital, and inflation were sourced from the World Development Indicators published by the World Bank. Also, data on corruption, government stability, and law and order were obtained from the database of International Country Risk Guide. Panel autoregressive distributed lag (PARDL) regression technique was used to estimate the model. Results showed that TFP growth rate declined on average by 1.4 per cent and 1.8 per cent in Mexico and Turkey, respectively, while Indonesia and Nigeria did not experience productivity growth on the average. Results also showed that in the long run, human capital and government stability had positive and significant effects on TFP, while FDI and corruption had negative but significant effects on TFP. In the short run, there existed a significant negative relationship between TFP and inflation. However, the effects of human capital and corruption on TFP were positive and significant. The study concluded that human capital and corruption were key drivers of TFP in the MINT countries both in the long run and short run.

scholarly journals MONETARY POLICY AND TELECOMMUNICATION OUTPUT IN NIGERIA

2020 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 62-73
Author(s):  
John Abiodun Akinde ◽  
Elijah Oludayo
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Negative Relationship ◽  
Negative Influence ◽  
Favourable Effect ◽  
Data Series ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Integration Test ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Positive Effect

Different policies impact on the growth of the telecommunication sector in Nigeria. One of these policies which influence the expansion or contraction of the telecommunication output is monetary policy. To this end, this research examined the effect of monetary policy on telecommunication output in Nigeria. For the purpose of analysis, time series secondary data were sourced from Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) statistical bulletin covering the periods1986 to 2018. Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) technique was employed after examining the stationarity of the data series using Augmented Dickey-Fuller technique. The bound co-integration test revealed that there is long run equilibrium between the monetary policy variables employed and telecommunication output. The ARDL result revealed that money supply had significant and positive effect on telecommunication output in the short and long run; liquidity ratio produced an insignificant and negative relationship with telecommunication output in the short run and insignificant positive effect in the long run; exchange rate had insignificant negative effect in the short run and a significant positive effect on telecommunication output in the long run; consumer price index had significant negative influence on telecommunication outputboth in the short run and long run. The study concluded that monetary policy stimulates telecommunication output in Nigeria. Thus, it was recommended that the monetary authority should pursue an expansionary monetary policy to sustain the positive influence of money supply on telecommunication output in Nigeria while rolling out policy to reduce the liquidity ratio of banks in the short run but increase it in the long run so that the long term favourable effect of liquidity ratio can be felt on telecommunication output.  

scholarly journals The long-Run and Short-Run Analysis between Stock Market Index and Macroeconomic Variables in Jordan: Bounds Tests Approach

2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (4) ◽  
pp. 50
Author(s):  
Raed Walid Al-Smadi ◽  
Muthana Mohammad Omoush
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Stock Market Index ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
Market Index ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Equilibrium Relationship ◽  
Short Run

This paper investigates the long-run and short-run relationship between stock market index and the macroeconomic variables in Jordan. Annual time series data for the 1978–2017 periods and the ARDL bounding test are used. The results identify long-run equilibrium relationship between stock market index and the macroeconomic variables in Jordan. Jordanian policy makers have to pay more attention to the current regulation in the Amman Stock Exchange(ASE) and manage it well, thus ultimately helping financial development.

scholarly journals Does Monetary Policy and Foreign Direct Investment Have an Influence on the Performance of Stock Market: Further Empirical Evidence from Ghana

2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 161-176
Author(s):  
Opoku Adabor ◽  
Emmanuel Buabeng
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Market Performance ◽  
Empirical Literature ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Stock Market Performance ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Positive Effect

Monetary policy, foreign direct investment, and the stock market continue to dominate in discussions in developing countries. However, the linkage between the three variables in empirical literature remains unclear. This study aims to test two separate hypotheses: Firstly, the study examines the effects of monetary policy on stock market performance in Ghana. Secondly, the study also empirically investigates the effect of foreign direct investment on stock market performance in Ghana. Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model was employed as an estimation strategy to examine the short and long-run effects using annual time series data from 1990 to 2019. The study revealed that monetary policy rate and money supply exerts a statistically significant negative and a positive effect on stock market performance in both the long and short-run in Ghana, respectively. It was also found that foreign direct investment has significant and a positive effect on stock market performance in Ghana in both the long and short run. Total capital stock and volume traded were also found to exert significant positive and negative impacts on stock market performance both in the short and long run respectively. Based on our findings, we recommend that expansionary monetary policy will be a better option to be carried out to improve the stock market performance in Ghana. Furthermore, government and private partnership may ensure the effective management of the macroeconomic variables to attract foreign direct investment into Ghana to boost stock market performance.

scholarly journals The effect of monetary policy of Central Bank on activities of Tehran Stock Exchange

2013 ◽  
pp. 2307-2314 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hossein Vazifehdust ◽  
Karim ghalmegh ◽  
Kianoush Nazari Ameleh
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Central Bank ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Effect Of Monetary Policy

scholarly journals Effect of Monetary Policy on the Nigerian Stock Market: A Smooth Transition Autoregressive Approach

2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (No. 1) ◽  
pp. 1-21
Author(s):  
Jamilu S. Babangida ◽  
Asad-Ul I. Khan
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Smooth Transition ◽  
Exchange Market ◽  
Treasury Bill ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
Effect Of Monetary Policy ◽  
Smooth Transition Autoregressive

This paper examines the nonlinear effect of monetary policy decisions on the performance of the Nigerian Stock Exchange market, by employing the Smooth Transition Autoregressive (STAR) model on monthly data from 2013 M4 to 2019 M12 for All Share Index and monetary policy instrument. This study considers the two regimes characterizing the stock market, which are the lower regime (the bear market) and the upper regime (the bull market). The results show evidence of nonlinear effect of monetary policy on the stock exchange market. Monetary policy rate, money supply, lagged monetary policy rate and lagged treasury bill rate are found to have significant positive effects on the stock exchange market in the lower regime while current treasury bill rate shows a negative effect. In the upper regime, money supply and lagged treasury bill rate have significant negative effect on the stock market. The current treasury bill rate is found to have a positive effect on the stock exchange market. It is recommended that the Central Bank of Nigeria should maintain a stable money supply growth that is consistent with increased activities in the Nigerian stock market.

scholarly journals Response of Deposit Money Banks to Monetary Policy Dynamics in Nigeria

2020 ◽  
Vol 7 (4) ◽  
pp. 33
Author(s):  
Ejem, Chukwu Agwu ◽  
Ogbonna, Udochukwu Godfrey
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Central Bank ◽  
Deposit Insurance ◽  
Policy Instruments ◽  
Bank Performance ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Policy Dynamics ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Saving Deposit ◽  
Reserve Ratio

This study examined how banks react to the monetary policies transmission mechanisms of the central bank of Nigeria. The data employed were collected from Nigerian Deposit Insurance Cooperation and Central Bank of Nigeria and subjected to various finametric techniques. The major findings are that cash reserve ratio negatively and significantly affects the performance of deposit money banks in Nigeria, while other monetary policy variables exert insignificantly to the performance of deposit money banks. It was also found that apart from banks own shock; banks respond negatively to shocks from major monetary policy instruments. It was observed that Monetary Policy Rate causes bank performance in both in the short run and long run. While, Cash Reserve Ratio, Liquidity Ratio and Saving Deposit Rate do not cause bank performance in the short run but in the long run. It was also found that monetary policy instruments jointly cause bank performance in the short and long run as opposed by individual instruments in Nigeria. The researchers therefore suggest among others that central bank of Nigeria reduce the cash reserve ratio to enable deposit money banks extend more loans to their potential customers, thereby enhance performance.

scholarly journals Does Monetary Policy Affect Stock Market Return? Recent Evidence from the Nigerian Stock Exchange (1986-2018)

2019 ◽  
pp. 1-8
Author(s):  
Chinedu Maurice Umezurike ◽  
Felix Nwaolisa Echekoba ◽  
Amalachukwu Chijindu Ananwude
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Central Bank ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Cash Flows ◽  
Reasonable Doubt ◽  
Single Digit ◽  
High Interest Rate ◽  
Market Return ◽  
Stock Market Return

The nexus between monetary policy and stock market return has remained a topic of debate in the literature. We determined whether stock market return in Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE) is affected by monetary policy or not. To this end, we employed the Autoregressive Distribute Lag (ARDL) model using data from 1986 to 2018 bearing in mind that our conclusion in this subject matter may be used to make assertion by other researchers who have interest in this area of study in finance. We are convinced beyond reasonable doubt based on the data we employed that the stock market return in Nigeria is not significantly affected by adjustments in monetary policy instruments of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN): The apex regulator of the financial system in Nigeria. This paper wholeheartedly reflects the opinion that the Central Bank of Nigeria should consider reducing the current double digit monetary policy rate to a single digit say 9% at most to attract investments in the stock market. This would reduce the prime lending rate because, high interest rate reduces cash flows of firms quoted in the exchange, and thus contraction in values of securities traded on the market.

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