scholarly journals ARIMA Modelling of Neonatal Mortality in Abia State of Nigeria

2020 ◽  
pp. 54-62
Author(s):  
C. Nwokike, Chukwudike ◽  
C. Offorha, Bright ◽  
Obubu Maxwell ◽  
O. Uche-Ikonne, Okezie ◽  
C. Onwuegbulam, Chisom
Keyword(s):  
Neonatal Mortality ◽  
Time Plot

In this study, the incidence neonatal mortality in Abia State of Nigeria was consideredusing data from January 2014 to December 2018. The data was obtained from the FederalMedical Centre, Umuahia in Abia State of Nigeria. The time plot of the data and the ADFtest conducted conrmed the series to be stationary. The plots of the ACF and PACF cuto after lags 4 and 1 respectively which suggested ARIMA (1, 0, 4). However, diagnosticchecks led us to select ARIMA (1, 0, 1) as the best model to t the data and it was used tomake forecast. Our forecasted values indicate there will be a continous decline in the incidenceof neonatal mortality in Abia State of Nigeria. Much should be done to even expedite the decrease.

A Health Program's Effect on Neonatal Mortality in Eastern Kentucky

1985 ◽  
Vol 1 (3) ◽  
pp. 35-40
Author(s):  
Frederick P. Rivara ◽  
Gregory A. Culley ◽  
Durlin Hickok ◽  
Ronald L. Williams
Keyword(s):  
Neonatal Mortality ◽  
Eastern Kentucky

scholarly journals Effective coverage and budget implications of skill-mix change to improve neonatal nursing care: an explorative simulation study in Kenya

2019 ◽  
Vol 4 (6) ◽  
pp. e001817 ◽  
Author(s):  
Apostolos Tsiachristas ◽  
David Gathara ◽  
Jalemba Aluvaala ◽  
Timothy Chege ◽  
Edwine Barasa ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Quality Of Care ◽  
Neonatal Mortality ◽  
Nursing Care ◽  
Public Hospitals ◽  
Sensitivity Analyses ◽  
Full Time ◽  
Skill Mix ◽  
Neonatal Nursing ◽  
Low Middle Income Countries

IntroductionNeonatal mortality is an urgent policy priority to improve global population health and reduce health inequality. As health systems in Kenya and elsewhere seek to tackle increased neonatal mortality by improving the quality of care, one option is to train and employ neonatal healthcare assistants (NHCAs) to support professional nurses by taking up low-skill tasks.MethodsMonte-Carlo simulation was performed to estimate the potential impact of introducing NHCAs in neonatal nursing care in four public hospitals in Nairobi on effectively treated newborns and staff costs over a period of 10 years. The simulation was informed by data from 3 workshops with >10 stakeholders each, hospital records and scientific literature. Two univariate sensitivity analyses were performed to further address uncertainty.ResultsStakeholders perceived that 49% of a nurse full-time equivalent could be safely delegated to NHCAs in standard care, 31% in intermediate care and 20% in intensive care. A skill-mix with nurses and NHCAs would require ~2.6 billionKenyan Shillings (KES) (US$26 million) to provide quality care to 58% of all newborns in need (ie, current level of coverage in Nairobi) over a period of 10 years. This skill-mix configuration would require ~6 billion KES (US$61 million) to provide quality of care to almost all newborns in need over 10 years.ConclusionChanging skill-mix in hospital care by introducing NHCAs may be an affordable way to reduce neonatal mortality in low/middle-income countries. This option should be considered in ongoing policy discussions and supported by further evidence.

scholarly journals The Role of Place of Delivery in Preventing Neonatal and Infant Mortality Rate in India

Geographies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 47-62
Author(s):  
Ujjwal Das ◽  
Barkha Chaplot ◽  
Hazi Mohammad Azamathulla
Keyword(s):  
Mortality Rate ◽  
Infant Mortality ◽  
Neonatal Mortality ◽  
Public Hospitals ◽  
Infant Mortality Rate ◽  
Private Institutions ◽  
Public And Private ◽  
Place Of Delivery ◽  
At Home

Skilled birth attendance and institutional delivery have been advocated for reducing maternal, neonatal mortality and infant mortality (NMR and IMR). This paper examines the role of place of delivery with respect to neo-natal and infant mortality in India using four rounds of the Indian National Family Health Survey conducted in 2015–2016. The place of birth has been categorized as “at home” or “public and private institution.” The role of place of delivery on neo-natal and infant mortality was examined by using multivariate hazard regression models adjusted for clus-tering and relevant maternal, socio-economic, pregnancy and new-born characteristics. There were 141,028 deliveries recorded in public institutions and 54,338 in private institutions. The esti-mated neonatal mortality rate in public and private institutions during this period was 27 and 26 per 1000 live births respectively. The study shows that when the mother delivers child at home, the chances of neonatal mortality risks are higher than the mortality among children born at the health facility centers. Regression analysis also indicates that a professionally qualified provider′s antenatal treatment and assistance greatly decreases the risks of neonatal mortality. The results of the study illustrate the importance of the provision of institutional facilities and proper pregnancy in the prevention of neonatal and infant deaths. To improve the quality of care during and imme-diately after delivery in health facilities, particularly in public hospitals and in rural areas, accel-erated strengthening is required.

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