Weakening of the Atlantic Niño variability under global warming

The Atlantic Niño is one of the most important tropical patterns of interannual climate variability, with major regional and global impacts. How global warming will influence the Atlantic Niño has been hardly explored, because of large climate model errors. We show for the first time that the state-of-the-art climate models robustly predict that equatorial Atlantic Niño variability will weaken in response to global warming. This is primarily because subsurface and surface temperature variations decouple as the upper equatorial Atlantic Ocean warms. The weakening is predicted by most (>80%) models following the highest emission scenarios in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phases 5 and 6 considered here. These indicate a reduction in variability by the end of the century of 12-17%, and as much as 25% when accounting for model errors. Weaker Atlantic Niño variability will have major consequences for global climate and the skill of seasonal predictions.

Inter-basin interactions between the Pacific and Atlantic Oceans depending on the phase of Pacific decadal Oscillation and Atlantic multi-decadal oscillation

The authors investigated the inter-basin interactions between the Pacific and Atlantic Oceans depending on the phase relationship of Pacific decadal oscillation (PDO)/Atlantic multi-decadal oscillation (AMO) based on observations and idealized model experiments. When the AMO and the PDO are in-phase (i.e., +PDO/+AMO or −PDO/-AMO), the Pacific Ocean regulates the SST anomalies in the equatorial Atlantic Ocean with altering a Walker circulation. During this period, there is a negative SST-precipitation relationship in the equatorial Atlantic Ocean where the atmosphere forces the ocean. In contrast, when they are out-of-phase (i.e., either +PDO/-AMO or −PDO/+AMO), the Atlantic Ocean influences the equatorial Pacific Ocean by modifying Walker circulation, resulting in a westward shift of a center of convective forcing in the equatorial Pacific Ocean compared to that during an inphase relationship of PDO/AMO. During this period, a positive SST-precipitation relationship is dominant in the equatorial Atlantic Ocean where the ocean forces the atmosphere. To verify this result, we conducted pacemaker experiments using the Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology Earth System Model version 3 (NESM3). Model results supported our findings obtained from the observations. We infer that the characteristics of the Pacific-Atlantic inter-basin interactions depend on whether the PDO and AMO phases are either in-phase or out of phase.

Representation of Spatial Variability of the Water Fluxes over the Congo Basin Region

The Congo Basin, being one of the major basins in the tropics, is important to the global climate, yet its hydrology is perhaps the least understood. Although various reanalysis/analysis datasets have been used to improve our understanding of the basin’s hydroclimate, they have been historically difficult to validate due to sparse in situ measurements. This study analyzes the impact of model resolution on the spatial variability of the Basin’s hydroclimate using the Decorrelation Length Scale (DLCS) technique, as it is not subject to uniform model bias. The spatial variability within the precipitation (P), evaporation/evapotranspiration (E), and precipitation-minus-evaporation (P-E) fields were investigated across four spatial resolutions using reanalysis/analysis datasets from the ECMWF ranging from 9–75 km. Results show that the representation of P and P-E fields over the Basin and the equatorial Atlantic Ocean are sensitive to model resolution, as the spatial patterns of their DCLS results are resolution-dependent. However, the resolution-independent features are predominantly found in the E field. Furthermore, the P field is the dominant source of spatial variability of P-E, occurring over the land and the equatorial Atlantic Ocean, while over the Southern Atlantic, P-E is mainly governed by the E field, with both showing weak spatial variability.

Quaternary equatorial Atlantic deep-sea ostracodes: evidence for a distinct tropical fauna in the deep sea

Low-latitude, deep-sea faunas remain poorly understood and described. Here, we systematically describe Quaternary deep-sea ostracodes from the Ocean Drilling Program (ODP) Site 925 (Ceara Rise; 4°12.2'N, 43°29.3′W; 3040 m water depth) in the equatorial Atlantic Ocean. Twenty-six genera and 52 species were examined and illustrated with high-resolution scanning electron microscopy images. Six new species are described herein: Pseudocythere spinae, Hemiparacytheridea zarikiani, Pedicythere canis, Xylocythere denticulata, Paracytherois obtusa, and Poseidonamicus sculptus. The results show that deep-sea ostracodes have a tropical faunal element that is distinctive from higher latitude ostracodes, and that is globally distributed in low latitudes. This tropical faunal component is possibly a Tethyan legacy of a fauna that was widely distributed in tropical and extratropical latitudes in deep waters during greenhouse conditions in the Cretaceous and early Cenozoic. Global cooling thereafter shrank its distribution, limiting it to tropical latitudes, perhaps with the relatively warm uppermost bathyal area acting as the source or refuge of this faunal component. Because similar present-day biogeographic patterns (i.e., presence and wide distribution of tropical deep-sea fauna) are known in other deep-sea benthic groups, this scenario might be applicable to the deep-sea benthos more broadly. UUID: http://zoobank.org/552d4cb2-c0db-463a-ae3f-b2efcc0985df.